Bret Oil- towards 35-36 zone?While WTI OIL is making new lows, Bret OIL stopped its descend and is consolidating in the 28 old resistance area.
I believe next week will be one of gains for both WTI and Bret and I'm looking to buy Bret OIL for a retest of 35-36 resistance.
Also, a buy trade can have a comfortable 1:3 risk: reward ratio.
Wticrudeoil
OIL Break 20$ Support and NEXT 17.89$ FOR LONG.Many Reasons behind Oil continues dropping After OPEC cut Production.
1- Oil should stay above 20$ after Deal Cut, but look like price war still going on.
2-Demand is very low at the moment all over the country because of lockdown and Economy under the shutdown.
Coming weeks expecting Oil will do big correction upside end of April to mid-May, but before correction Oil could hit support level 2001 Year 16.90 to 17.26$
Good to long entry 18$ as major support level
🛑SUPPORT/RESISTANCE
✅S1= 17.25
✅S2=16.10
✴️R1=20.50
✴️R2=24.10
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WTI Oil: Buy opportunity short term. Scenarios moving forward.Oil is trading sideways on the 1H chart (RSI = 47.613, MACD = -0.080, ADX = 28.589) as it is consolidating on the 19.20 Support. The MACD on the 4H chart just made a bullish cross and if the sequence of March 31 is repeated then we can have a rebound towards the 29.20 Resistance. That would however break the 4H MA200 (orange trend line) which hasn't been testes since January 10th and if broken would be a sign of stabilization and recovery for the market. So until then it is best to target the Lower High trend line of the Descending Triangle.
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WTI TA & FA, targets explained.. - Epic RR 19:57:19 (UTC) Considering adding at these levels to an existing long position. I don't think that the teens will be met. I think $20/bbl will hold. If it doesn't, then it is manipulation of price virtually, as here in Texas the Permian basin is solid and in fine shape compared to Canadian heavy barley getting 4$ bids. I see this is more of a fundamental investment rather than a swing trade at this point. Proper risk management is always applied, with a per risk trade of 2% max; negating a failed account in the long-run of a thousand trades.
Bullish arguments: include cuts from open assuring a $20 spot market. Cuts from OPEC+ and other producers mean that a unilateral bottom has been agreed on.
Suppliers control this market with the flip of a switch (lertaly). My target for May of this year is $41/bbl. The drop in demand has been forced. Fundamentally, anyone who's traded in a market with forced demand/supply knows how to handle this.
Bearish argument:
Slow down in demand.. obvious. The suppression is forced, and those that weren't leveraged and had good cash flow going into the year with adequate solvency are fine. It's the ones that were desperate for gain that want to see Oil to 0$. Of course, it already has been trading negative in parts of the world that don't have the infrastructure to maintain profit with these prices.
According to my source 4$/bbl in Canada is enough to break-even. While firing and downsizing. The infrastructure for heavy crude in Canada is expensive and can't just be towed off of the lot like it can here in Texas. Bears shouldn't be worried about WTI, they should be looking at Brent and heavy Canadian.
19:59:32 (UTC)
Tue Apr 14, 2020
WTI OutlookAfter an extremely volatile week, WTI found support in 22 zone and the price is consolidating now.
I believe this support will hold and a new wave of gains are coming for WTI oil.
A clear confirmation comes in with a break of 23 confluence resistance and the price could rise to at least 25 zone
USOIL Short Entry Update (+375 pips) Update on the short entry I took last week and posted on the channel. Currently floating +353 pips and I've closed 50% of my original position and am floating in profit with stoploss above breakeven for a risk-free trade. The geopolitics between SA, US, and Russia will be a dynamic that will move the price quickly this week so staying protected at all times will be key.
07:03:28 (UTC)
Mon Apr 13, 2020
Try again on renewable resources - USOIL ready for next leg downHello there, this is our view on USOIL, enjoy!
Oil made a great dead cat bounce after the capitulation that occurred on March 9th and the following week but couldn't really manage to completely reverse the trend. So what's now for wti crude oil?
First of all, let's focus on the news: US is now leader both in total coronavirus cases and in deaths, which isn't positive for any sort of market. Yet the crisis end can't be foreseen (some people claim it'll be during next couple of months, but no one could effectively state if the real peak has already occurred, so who knows?), we hope we'll see an end very soon.
Now, let's focus on pure technical analysis: price is still stuck inside a pennant, which once broken will state a continuation in (bearish) trend. Then we can also see a bearish turn in high/low count: yet could manage to mark a lower high, while latest thing was a higher low. Next opening prospects to be bearish since Easter holidays have been bearish so far for futures. This is also part (on h4) of a perfect AB=CD pattern, which already played out through the HL. Price is now moving below many pending bearish moving average crosses. Either do exponential moving averages. It couldn't manage to breakout mid bollinger band twice, which resulted in an extremely bearish double top.
Then oscillators they come: fisher transform is just about to form a death cross, meanwhile relative strength index, stochastic and ultimate weren't able to grow to an higher high, so they do look like the price and are now going to test lower trendlines onto them. Nice recover trend on moving average convergence/divergence and awesome.
No bullishness spotted on this chart since also candles study suggests (with a bear engulfing) a bearish turn.
We're not able to predict a strategy for the price since we're not used to trade without volumes, all levels are marked on chart.
Happy Easter at home! Anlvis
Oil- ready to explode again?- updateIn the morning I wrote that OIL could reach 30 this week...
As we can see from the chart, the correction seems to be over and the price is consolidating in a very narrow range.
A break of 27.20 would accelerate gains and we can see it reach 30 sooner rather than later.
This scenario is valid as long as the price stays above 26
WTI Crude Oil: Channel Up on 4H aiming 30.00.Oil appears to be trading within a Channel Up formation on the 4H chart (RSI = 62.702, MACD = 1.460, ADX = 28.496, CCI = 59.3622) having so far made two Higher Highs and one Higher Low.
Since the MACD is about to make a Bear Cross, we are expecting the price to pull back now for its 2nd Higher Low and make contact with the 4H MA50 (blue trend line). Our Target Zone is 30.00 - 32.00 which is where we expect to price its 3rd Higher High and make contact with the 4H MA200 (orange line).
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MARKET SENTIMENT DRIVEN BY CALLSThe oil market started this trading week recording a new low at 19.29 US$, a level last seen 18 years ago, with a shadowed and gloomy projection of the global oil demand falling by more than 20 Mb/d, the yesterday’s rebound in the oil price could be only temporary relief.
Technical reading prevails clear bearish bias, oil market tilted towards the upside yesterday to later closing with a firm rejection and seller pressure right at the support zone in red. Only this week, the price was able to recover some lost ground, almost 42%, fighting not only with the support level but additional finding rejection from the 18 EMA.
Starting the week, the headlines that capture the spotlight in the energy market were regarding Trump’s talks with Putin. President Trump spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday, and they agreed to have their top energy officials to discuss the sliding oil demand. Trump is clearly showing concern about the price war and direct impact that is already causing in the US oil rigs.
Later on, Wednesday report with the surge in the US stockpile inventories by 13.8 million vs. 3.5 million forecasted did not cause the expected selloff as expected; instead, price closed in green supporting the theory of a broken global oil market. Storage facilities are filling up, according to Bloomberg. At the current rates, storage could overflow in just a few months. The physical oil market has seized up.
The risk sentiment in the oil market is currently that shallow that even a tweet from President Trump about his conversation with Saudis and Russians yesterday moved the market in one day by 28% up to later drop and close with a 17%, closing in green but signaling a strong seller pressure, again technical correction as the bearish bias remain to hover the energy sector. With no confirmation yet on agreements after the talks, the market will close this week with the skepticism in place.