Wticrudeoil
USOIL Long Trade Setup Update ( Banked TP3 with 710+ Pips )Thanks for Jumping back on my Analysis, Traderchamp is here on your Service,
Congratulations to my followers banked 710+ Pips with the OIL Pump.
In here we can see a perfect trend breakout happened with a retest! This is the second confirmation we were waiting for,
Previous Analysis: I have witnessed a "W" formation on 4h time frame on the major support price has formed. Price failed few time to break the $20 level and its very promising for a trend reversal which can support for bulls to make price in an average range of $25 or above. Good Luck in your trading.
Profitlio Trading ( Since 2014 in Financial Markets )
WTI Crude Oil: Channel Up on 1H. Sell and Buy targets.Oil is trading within a Channel Up on the 1H chart (RSI = 66.305, MACD = 0.410, ADX = 40.465) and has just priced the Higher High on the 1H MA200 (orange line). Roughly a -9.00% pull back is expected for the next Higher Low (20.50) and then the bullish leg for the next Higher High at 22.90 (0.618 Fibonacci).
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WTI Oil: Close to a MACD bullish reversal. Bottom may be close.The MACD on the 1D chart, which remains vastly oversold (RSI = 25.205, ADX = 68.790, CCI = -108.7025), is close to making a bullish reversal. If successful it will be the first time since February 26th.
This is quite similar to the 2018 sharp sell-off, when Oil recovered on the 2nd MACD bullish cross (since the decline started). During that sequence the price bottomed on the -0.236 Fibonacci level, almost exactly when the 2nd MACD bullish cross took place.
At the moment we are almost on the -0.236 Fibonacci level and about to make the bullish cross. This can be an early indication of finally finding a bottom, and if that's the case Oil's target next month or two should be 33.00.
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WTI US crude oil. Buy. Divergence. Gap fill?Here we can see a nice divergence of lower prices with a rising RSI and MACDH divergence on the hourly. Nice Doji reversal candle to.
Analysis of the WTI charts shows big volume on this candle to.
Is this a double bottom? Will we see a big pump up to the neckline? Resistance box to get through first. As always I'll be taking profits as we hit that and buying pullbacks again on the 5 min (or 1 min depending on momentum) charts.
WTI Oil: Must hold 20.00 otherwise risks drop to 13.50.A very bearish pattern is emerging on Oil as if the 20.00 Support fails we may see another sharp fall as the one last week. In March 17th the price broke the Support and Oil collapsed to the 1.786 Fibonacci extension. If the 20.00 Support doesn't hold we may see sellers accumulating causing another flash crash to the 1.786 which in this case is at 13.50. The MACD sequence between the two fractals is identical as you see on the chart.
If on the other hand, the 20.00 Support is defended and the price breaks the 4H MA50 (blue line on the chart), then that will be a strong bullish reversal signal as it will be the first time Oil would touch it since February 24th. In that case we will target the 28.50 Resistance.
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Which way will oil break???Here we are at the crossroads, US crude oil has put in a lower high and lower low on the hourly charts and we could see another move downwards.
This is an interesting trade as we could either see a continuation flag to the upside where we may break major resistance and pile on up to 28. Or we could see a cup and handle reversal pattern and see a retest down to 20-21. As such i'm on the sidelines waiting to see. At time of writing we just saw a breakout fakeout of the flag and so now we could see the cup and handle come into play. Or another go at the flag (5 min moving averages are indicating long trade). In these types of situations its easy to get burnt multiple times trying to trade breakouts. Better to wait until an explosive move comes in which would negate the other potential pattern.
STALLED WEEK FOR THE OIL MARKETAfter the technical correction experienced in the market last Friday, the wrecked oil market had what is considered a flat trading week, forming a consolidation channel within 25- & 21-dollar range, market sentiment remains skeptical with investors in “sit-and-wait” mode weighting the outcomes of events in different fronts before placing their bets.
On one side, the market is waiting for April to validate the ramp-up in production announced by the Saudis that will overflow the market with the black commodity, budgetary cuts in major oil producers’ companies were also announced. And last but not least, the confirmation this week of a possible alliance between the US and Saudis to curb the damaged oil market.
The technical chart does not say much. The market is still under intense bearish pressure, trading within a consolidation channel. Here MACD also confirms a flat trading week. Moving averages reducing their falling angle.
Although not comment on the alliance front, the news was enough to booth the sentiment in the market. Big oil players are already announcing a significant cut in spending, as the oil price remains in the $20 handle. It is a fact that with current oil prices, US oilfields activity will collapse.
Additionally, as the virus continues to destroy demand, Australian refiners viva energy (ax:vea) and Caltex Australia ltd (ax:ctx) said they expect jet fuel demand to shrink by 80% to 90% due to air travel grinding close to a halt and plan to take in less crude.
With price showing enough room to fall further, the price could reach levels previously seen in 1986 or 1998 of around $10 per barrel.
Leaving aside the presumption of the ability to predict the market, technically and fundamentally speaking, the carts are on the table. Let’s stay in the “wait-and-watch” mode until further notice. Happy weekend ahead. See you next Friday.
US OIL double bottom. Big pump up?US crude posted a nice double bottom on the 15 min chart after the expected fakeoutbreakout (see other post). After taking some nice short profits on that trade this was a great long already netting some quick profits with huge momentum as we moved back into the triangle.
I'm holding 30% of position for a move higher. Will look to add again on pullbacks. Daily chart is showing a buy signal
WTI Crude Oil: Sell opportunity on a Head and Shoulders.Oil is trading within the (wider) 24.00 - 20.75 neckline of the 1H Head and Shoulders with 1H neutral (RSI = 47.139, MACD = -0.480, ADX = 27.490). With 4H below the neutral line (RSI = 39.581) we are expecting the neckline to hold and provide at least one more sell opportunity. Our Target is 21.40.
Previous short term trade:
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CRUDE OIL (WTI) | Bearlish scenario The graphs of CRUDE OIL (WTI) and BRENT OIL are very similar. However, I want to show a separate scenario for CRUDE OIL (WTI
Scenario for BRENT is BELOW
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OIL going to Retest 22.05Oil is been rejected from resistance line at $28, now oil will retest the $22,
is a double bottom, so let's see how interact with the support line.
It could be a potential breakout to the downside.
MACD and SRSI pointing down.
Also oil price could be affected by the news, so please be careful and also use SL, especially when you use leverage.
also your risk/reward is higher near the support/resistance lines (key levels)
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Legal disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor.
You trade at your own risk and nobody can guarantee you results.
THE WOUNDED BEASTOil markets yesterday have experienced what is considered a technical correction, creating much expectation about a further recovery. However, it would be hard to claim that it is objectively true. Still, the market needs to deal with the Covid-19 and the disintegration of the OPEC+ alliance.
The market remains under sellers pressure, where investor and traders are still weighting the immediate impact in the global economy with the spread in different latitudes of the virus, newly affected countries are considering stronger lockdowns, that definitely will create mayhem in the oil demand.
Today's weekly report will have two charts to explain and easily spot the bearish pressure in the weekly reign and the technical correction in the H4 domain. In W1 (weekly charts) Oil has recorded a 69.20% plunge from its January high reaching levels last seen in Feb 2002, next support level from 1998 at 16.24 could be achieved even with economic stimulus announcements and the end of the price war between the Saudis and Russians. It would take time for the oil market to cope with the intense never seen disruption in the demand before finally correcting.
Now in the H4 domain (4 hours charts), the price experienced a recovery of 38% from its lowest level, never seen before, giving some enthusiasm to the market. Some experts said it was due to Trump's proposal on increasing the national oil reserves supporting the American drillers hammered by the plunge in oil prices. However, personal opinion, this was a more technical correction after reaching a critical demand zone of $20 per barrel; bulls were sitting there expecting to fill up their orders, and clearly, it just happens, pushing the price action back to the daily moving averages. Finding resistance close to 50 Fibonacci level price action is still under a clear bearish bias, where the last line of defense for the bears could be the next Fibonacci level at around 61.8. Now, 50 EMA and 200 MA continue in bright free fall. MACD (not displayed in the chart sorry) showed some bullish divergence that confirmed this encountered correction. The market will continue to check on the Bulls' endurance for this short-term correction.
As a last note, this downturn in prices for the oil producer dependent countries could vanish governments revenues by up to 85%, for instance, Venezuela, Ecuador, Iraq, Nigeria, Angola are at particular risk, opening the door for the international financial institution to step in and take extraordinary measures. Iraq's oil minister had pledged the call for an emergency meeting with the OPEC this week when price tested the $26 handle, with no confirmation on that front yet, let's get into the weekend and see what next week will bring to the market.
WTI Oil: Rising Wedge towards 24.40.The bounce on yesterday's 20.00 low has been met with strong buying towards the end of the session, making a bottom sequence and today the price appears to be consolidating. This resembles the Rising Wedge of the previous sharp sell-off sequence on March 9th.
After making Higher Lows, the pattern topped slightly above the first High. With 1H technicals largely mixed (RSI = 41.112, ADX = 21.510, MACD = -0.760), we are expecting this to make Higher Low and bounce towards a 24.40 top.
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