OIL WAR, Will it End ?!Descending Channel coming to an end, Price has been respecting the channel twice, approaching for the 3rd touch to validate a Long term Buy Opportunity on OIL, again we wait for the market and its reactions.
Note : We are seeing it in the Monthly Time Frame, you might want to check lower Time Frames Before Jumping to a Trade.
Trade Safe.
Wticrudeoil
USOIL | Death Cross on Weekly ChartPlease support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
50 and 200 Weekly MAs are close to produce the death crossover. It's a bearish sign and usually a strong confirmation the decline will continue. However on the chart we see the situation where the Death Cross was ignored and price stopped the declining and later started to grow (it happens because losses are already booked and the confirmation comes too late). We might have the same situation now if price will hold the horizontal support zone, otherwise we have a high chance the decline will continue.
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Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
Oil good long term entry. R:R7 50% Solid long term support and bullish divergence on Daily.
This looks like a good long opportunity to me
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I´m not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature, and therefore I´m unqualified to give investment recommendations.
Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing.
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USOIL | More DownsidePlease support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
Price formed a bearish pennant and failed to fill the Gap. The further decline is expected
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The information given is not a Financial Advice.
WTI Crude Oil: Buy on the pull back.Oil is replicating the rebound sequence earlier in February. So far the 1H MA200 (orange trend line) is applying selling pressure and once the 1H MA50 (which is acting as a Support) breaks, we will most likely get a pull back on the Higher Low of the emerging 4H Channel Up (RSI = 47.327, ADX = 39.738). We will be buying this pull back and target 48.60.
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USOIL | Downward Breakout of Ascending ChannelPlease support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
Price made a breakout of support trendline of Ascending Channel. Also it's a breakout of Ichi Cloud. This can lead the price drops to 30 usd.
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Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate. No single analysis is. To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
The information given is not a Financial Advice.
WTI Oil: Entered the long term institutional Buy Channel .Oil has seen a sharp sell-off this week as the coronavirus threat is escalating. The price broke the weekly support levels and the 42.20 Support from the August 2016 low is the last monthly level standing.
This level is conveniently place exactly on the Higher Low trend line of the 1M Channel Up (RSI = 41.589, MACD = -0.200, ADX = 9.410) that started in 2015. In our opinion this is the hyper long term pattern which big institutions has been using to invest on Oil. As you see the price is currently inside the Buy Channel, which has been used since 2016 as a long term Buy Zone. The zone above this displayed in light blue is the Hold Channel as naturally it has been dominating the price action for the past 5 years as it is the neutral zone where investors hold their positions. Above that zone we have the Sell Channel, which is where investors and big institutions liquidate the positions they have been holding on the long term and take their profits.
It is no coincidence that last week's 1W candle was rejection right at the bottom of the Hold Channel and this week we got that much lower price. The market used the Coronavirus news to push the price deeper into the 5 year Buy Channel which is the strongest demand zone they can get. Investors who want to trade WTI Oil as big institutions do, this is their opportunity to buy low.
We see Oil as a long term investment and with the 1W RSI indicating that this is still an accumulation process (and not a break of the bullish pattern) for the next long term bullish leg towards the Profit Taking zone, we are expecting a reversal initially into the Hold Zone and the 65.60 Resistance and (possibly in +1 years time) at the 77.00 October 2018 peak.
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WTI Crude Oil - updated entryThe USOil is now finding a strong support level under the previous demand area $51.
Already creating a double bottom formation, we now expect a break upwards.
The uptrend should start to form now with prices bouncing above the 50-100 EMA's.
On the retest of the $ 52 level, we can put our pending buy orders. The target is $ 59. We might close part of positions at the 200 EMA. We will monitor price action and update the idea as usual.
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WTI- 52 is the line in the sandIn the past month and a half, WTI lost 16usd of its value( more than 25%) dropping from 66 to 50 area. At this point, WTI found support and formed a double bottom with the neckline just around 52. After a break of the neckline and a rise to 54, oil dropped again and is trading now just in support (previous neckline resistance).
A reversal from this point would confirm that oil has more to rising and opens the door for 57 resistance.
Alternatively, a daily close under 52 would signal that the correction is over and the downtrend has resumed.
WTI Oil: Short term (bullish) outlook.Oil has finally entered a consistent uptrend on the 4H chart, practically being within a Channel Up since the Feb 04 bottom (RSI = 59.395, MACD = 0.500, ADX = 23.410, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). The MACD shows that it can be sustainable in the near future as the buy/ sell points seem quite obvious.
It is also positive that the 4H MA50 (which was formerly a strong Resistance in the January sell-off), has now turned into Support and has already successfully provided rebounds twice. Also see how systematically the Lower Highs of the January downtrend are filled (blue dashed lines). It appears that the market is using those as benchmarks/ targets during this (early) uptrend.
Assuming the pattern holds, the next Lower High Gap is at 56.00, which should be the technical Target for short term buyers.
This is very much in line with our long term perspective:
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The CHK perspectiveI like Chesapeake energy for the longer term investment. Energy has been lagging compared to other sectors over the last few years and there is tremendous potential in good energy companies. CHK is historically cheap and could do very well if energy takes off. However, I suspect more pain ahead for oil with the potential for an enormous flush.. perhaps below 2016 levels.. Regardless of that, I think oil goes bonkers high over the next 6-7 years. I'm looking at holding some longer term USO call options (if we see a deep oil flush) as well as a few good oil/energy companies.. CHK is one of those in my opinion. CHK could disappear.. there's always risk in investing but I'm accumulating shares of CHK sub .48 but I wouldn't be surprised to see .20 either. We have some chart history that demonstrates these exact type of moves- From current levels, a $20/share run would equate to a 45x (4500%).. a move back to the 2008 ($69 per share) high would be 16000+% (160x). It can go to $70+ or it can go to 0.. This is a long term trade that has some risks so I'm only willing to put in what I'm willing to lose.
WTI outlook2 days ago we spoke about a double bottom that is forming on Oil price, with the necklike coming into place just above 52.00.
Yesterday sellers failed to regain control and the price formed a nice Pin Bar.
We favour long positions as long as the price is above 50.50, with a medium-term target of 57.50
Oil to trade over $100 Beginning of 2019 we saw a change in character with a sharp bull move to 66.20 level end in May 2019.
Oil as been in a accumulation until February 2020 where we saw a run on equal lows. Sweeping out stops positioned below the 50.20 level then trading higher.
This area dips down into the buy zone of the 61.8 fib retracement level. Institutions are defending the 50.5 level with a higher move above $100 handle, with a projected target of 113.20