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Wticrudeoil

Oil could go to $90 and higher if this happens...Since the eruption of the war between Hamas and Israel in early October 2023, we have been occasionally reporting on some of the developments in the oil-rich region. In one of the more recent articles, we outlined how Israel’s deadly airstrike against Iranian generals in Damascus, Syria, was likely to provoke retaliation from Iran and its proxies. On Saturday, Iran followed through and launched a large-scale attack on Israel. Per media reports, Iran sent approximately 170 drones, 120 ballistic missiles, and 30 cruise missiles, most of which were intercepted outside of Israel’s airspace with the help of Israel’s allies, including the United States. The attack sparked a discussion of retaliatory strike against Iran within Israel’s war cabinet, with officials not being able to agree on a timeline. Initially, it was announced Israel would reciprocate aggression in a window of 24 to 48 hours. However, just shortly before the futures market opened on Monday, Israel’s officials backtracked their plans, noting the country was not looking for significant escalation of the conflict while leaving a possibility of payback on the table. Besides the attack, there was also news concerning Iran’s seizure of the Israel-linked MV MSC Aries cargo ship (operated by Geneva-based Mediterranean Shipping Company and owned by Gortal Shipping) off the Strait of Hormuz. At the moment, it does not seem very probable there will be some sort of disruption to cargo or tankers transiting through the area, but keep in mind that about 21 million barrels per day were transiting through here in 2022, which is about three times more than oil passing through the Red Sea before the start of the Israel-Hamas War. All in all, the geopolitical situation in the region progresses from bad to worse, carrying many unknowns. But judging by how things are unfolding, there is a high chance of a conflict passing beyond a point of no return, which, in turn, has profound implications for the oil market and could see the oil price rise above $90 per barrel (and potentially to the upper $90 per barrel). Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bullish Weekly time frame = Bullish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
XTIUSD(USOIL): 07/04/2024 We are pleased to inform you that our previous four setups on XTIUSD have been successfully respected. We maintain our belief that our initial target of $100 is highly achievable. The price has rebounded effectively from our initial concept. At this juncture, we anticipate a minor correction before the price reaches our designated area. Our immediate target is $92, which represents a substantial 1000 pips from our entry point. Our ultimate take profit objective remains at 1800 pips.
FXOPEN:XTIUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
6
Oil unaffected by the Port of Baltimore's closureAfter breaking above the ascending channel and reaching its highest value in nearly six months late last week, the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil retested the upper bound of the channel during yesterday’s trading session. The outlook continues to look bullish on daily and weekly time frames. Nevertheless, multiple indicators flash overbought signals on the daily chart, implying this might not be the best spot to enter the market on the long side, and instead, it might be preferable to wait for a more substantial correction. While waiting for such an event, we would like to address a recent tragedy in Baltimore that captured national headlines and caused the closure of the Port of Baltimore. Some analysts proclaimed this to be the start of bigger problems for various supply chains. However, despite the event's emotional weight and social implications, its impact on the oil market has been minimal. That is mainly because the port’s imports are not made up of crude oil but rather petroleum-derived products, including biodiesel, asphalt, and numerous fertilizers (along with different non-petroleum products). Therefore, the port does not hold considerable significance to the oil market. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL and the upward-sloping channel. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bullish Weekly time frame = Bullish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
Time for a small pullback before higher price tags?West Texas Intermediate crude oil has increased nearly 20% since the start of 2024 and is currently trading near $86.50 per barrel. The precarious situation in the Red Sea, production cuts by OPEC (and its allies), and the inability of the United States to bring more production online fast enough have greatly contributed to the rising oil prices in the past four months. Going forward, it is unlikely that the geopolitical issues in the Middle East will improve anytime soon, especially following a severe escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran earlier this week when Israel killed two Iranian generals by airstrike in Damascus, Syria (not to mention constant failures in peace negotiations between Hamas and Israel, and Israel’s plans to continue military operations in Gaza). These actions will likely provoke retaliation from Iran in the form of more attacks on Israel through its proxies. As these relationships seem to have entered a spiral of reciprocating aggression, the odds of a huge war spillover continue to grow, which has enormous implications for this oil-rich producing region and the oil market itself. On the subject of technicals, the daily and weekly time frames are bullish. However, the USOIL broke above the ascending channel on Tuesday, and the RSI reached overbought territory on the daily timeframe. Besides that, the price also deviated too far from its 20-day and 50-day SMAs, which increases the chances of a short-term pullback in the price of oil. Nonetheless, the probability of oil reaching $90 per barrel in the coming weeks continues to rise. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the upward-sloping channel on USOIL’s daily chart. The yellow arrow indicates a breakout above the channel. Illustration 1.02 The chart above illustrates simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs. Alternative support levels lay at $85.85, $83.56, and $79.72. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bullish Weekly time frame = Bullish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
Israel strikes Iranian consulate, what does WTI chart tells us?Hi, 1PERCENT here. Today I am sharing a chart that I drew a few years ago. Contrary to crypto where we have fast movements of 30% intraday, Bonds, commodities, inflation rates, etc. are "slow movers"... but only in peaceful times. So patience is required for investors who focus on the forest. You were correct, but 10 years early. Now is your time to shine. #PeterSchiff #MikeMaloney WTI crude oil price that bounced from the $68-74 support zone . This support zone held well even last year when mass media and the EIA (US government's puppy) kept screaming that we have an oversupply of oil & gas. Remember what happened back in 2022 when oil went to $128? Especially those in Europe & Asia? Pay attention & Be prepared for the changes occurring in our societies. Stay safe. 1PERCENT
TVC:USOILLong
by RVD_1PERCENT
U.S. oil prices will continue to rise on March 14th. As the four major inventories continue to decrease. U.S. oil continues to rise. WTI quotation as of closing: 79.153 U.S. API crude oil inventories for the week to March 8 (10,000 barrels) (-5.221 million barrels) U.S. EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week to March 8 (-1.536 million barrels) EIA crude oil inventories in the United States for the week to March 8 (-220,000 barrels) EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories in the United States for the week to March 8 (596,000 barrels) BLACKBULL:WTI FPMARKETS:WTI BLACKBULL:WTI NYMEX:WTI1! MATBAROFEX:WTI1! There are good motivations for the rise in oil prices. At the beginning of the Asian market, oil was stable above 79. Judging from short-term trends, market demand continues to increase due to the spread of geopolitics. It is expected to continue to rise above 80. At the same time, OPEC countries have also decided to reduce production. If there is no physical fall below 79 in the short term, you can directly buy. If the body falls sharply and falls below 79. We can buy near 78.6 in the second position personal suggestion: 79.-79.3 buy. sl78.TP80.6 The transaction price is based on the real-time price of TradingView. When you are not a member and follow the above operations, remember to control risks.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by T0_messenger
WTI CRUDE OIL: Turning bearish with two clear targets.WTI Crude Oil has almost reached on Wednesday our 83.50 long-term TP and it is time for us to turn bearish and consider a long-term selling approach. Technically, the 1D chart already almost turned neutral (RSI = 56.205, MACD = 1.310, ADX = 32.453) and hasn't even approached the 1D MA200. We are targeting a decline near the 1D MA50 (TP = 78.00). If the price closes a 1D candle under it, we will sell again and target the 1W MA200 (TP = 74.50), which as explained in previous analyses and as you can see on this chart, it has been the long-term Support since February 1st 2021. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
Breakout for crude oil in focusCrude oil has been grinding higher since the December low, but after a 4-week period of choppy trade momentum has turned higher. Whilst $80 has been a tough level to crack in recent week, we suspect a breakout is now on the cards - 200-day MA has provided dynamic support - Falling wedge into 200-day MA - Bullish range expansion out of the falling wedge - RSI (14) curling higher from the neutral zone (50) Prices are teasing the $80 level during a quiet Asian session. Bulls could either look to enter the breakout above $80 alongside rising volume, or seek dips down to the $79 handle / 2023 open price in anticipation of a breakout. The bias remains bullish above the $200-day MA with $84 now in focus
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CityIndex
Crude Oil Wti: Bullish -GARTLEY possibleCrude Oil Wti: Bullish -GARTLEY possible This possible Gartley would raise the price of oil to $85-93-109-116 as shown on my chart! On the downside - we could go down to 77-70 -67 -61$ To monitor : -exponential moving averages -as well as the Ichimoku and Fibonacci levels Warning: We are currently at 27.2 Fibonacci, and we could go back to 38.2 then 50% Fibonacci Add to that the geopolitical tensions with Russia, France and Europe... be careful because the Roc is in positive territory in Weekly good trade everyone
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
1
Crude Oil Price Analysis: Implications of Recent EventsIn the H4 timeframe, US Crude Oil prices started the week with a bearish candle, contrasting with the strong gains seen in the previous week. This bearish sentiment seems to be influenced by multiple factors, including technical indicators such as the 61.8% Fibonacci level and overbought stochastic conditions, particularly around the $81.50 mark. The recent disturbances, including Houthi attacks in the Red Sea and increased drone strikes on Russian oil refineries by Ukraine, have added volatility to the market. Additionally, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's announcement to push into Gaza's Rafah enclave has further fueled concerns. Despite these geopolitical tensions, the decision by OPEC+ members to extend production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day through the second quarter has contributed to worries about a tight global supply. This has acted as a catalyst for Crude Oil prices. Looking ahead, the market is closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. Expectations that the Fed will maintain higher rates for an extended period may dampen economic activity and fuel demand, potentially impacting Crude Oil prices. However, the overall fundamental backdrop remains supportive for bullish traders, suggesting that any corrective pullbacks could be viewed as buying opportunities. In conclusion, while the opening bearish sentiment in US Crude Oil prices raises questions about short-term direction, the broader outlook remains bullish. Investors should remain vigilant for potential buying opportunities amid the prevailing geopolitical tensions and supply concerns. Daily setup:
TVC:USOILShort
by FOREXN1
1
Oil continues to ascend within the upward-sloping channelWest Texas Intermediate crude oil regained a bullish momentum and managed to establish a new high at $81.58, which marks the highest value in over four months. Additionally, RSI, MACD, and Stochastic all moved higher on the daily chart. These developments are positive for oil and bolster a bullish case in the short term and medium term. However, while it is possible that oil might reach $85 per barrel (or perhaps even $90, depending on the global economy, oil supply/demand dynamics, and the situation in the Middle East), we are skeptical about such high price tags as $100 per barrel in the coming months. In our opinion, the United States will continue to ramp up its production against OPEC, which is trying to balance the market by cutting its own production quotas. Furthermore, the declining industrial and manufacturing production in Europe and the United States is likely to continue holding a lid over rising oil prices. Consequently, at the moment, we see very limited upside for oil. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the ADX’s daily chart, which reflects the trend’s momentum. Yellow arrows indicate a temporary decline in momentum ahead of the OPEC’s monthly report and subsequent awakening after the report. Illustration 1.02 The image above shows the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bullish Weekly time frame = Bullish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
2
Crude Oil (WTI) at ResistanceCrude oil is currently facing resistance on a 1-hour time frame. We've established an upper and lower zone for trading. On the weekly candle from last week, the price closed above the previous week's level, which indicates a possible uptrend towards higher levels around 83. If there is a significant gap in the price on Sunday, we should watch for how the price reacts at these levels before closing the gap. I'd appreciate your thoughts on this.
TVC:USOIL
by TheMotivationalProfessor
1
Bullish trend is still relatively weakWest Texas Intermediate crude oil continues to trade within the upward-sloping channel. However, its bullish trend remains weak, as reflected in the relatively low (but growing) value of ADX (on the daily time frame). In the past two trading sessions, the daily RSI continued to flatten, Stochastic turned lower, and MACD performed a bearish crossover while staying above the midpoint. With these developments unfolding, we pay close attention to the 20-day SMA and resistance levels at $79.25 and $79.72. The price’s ability to retest these resistance levels and ideally maintain a ground above them will bolster a bullish case in the short term. In contrast, a breakdown below the 20-day SMA might hint at oil wanting to slide toward the channel's lower bound. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily graph of USOIL and two simple moving averages. The yellow arrow indicates the oil’s recent retracement toward its 20-day SMA, which acts as a support. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 shows the daily MACD. The yellow arrow highlights a bearish crossover between the MACD and signal lines. While this is slightly bearish, it is important to note that MACD remains in the bullish territory. Illustration 1.03 The chart above illustrates simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs; one more alternative resistance lies at $79.72. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bullish (weak) Weekly time frame = Neutral Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
2
In the short and medium term, WTI is mainly bought. Due to delays in production cuts by OPEC countries. Oil experienced a slight decline, but some Arab countries decided to reduce production. So oil formed some support after a brief decline. As a resource product. To a certain extent, supply is also lower than demand, and the other is the promotion of geopolitics, so the operation is still based on buying at low prices. The club already has live signals announced. In the mid-term, buying is also the main focus.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by T0_messenger
WTI OIL (USOIL) Technical AnalysisUpon examining the WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude oil chart, we observe a robust bullish trend, accompanied by a retracement to the 78.6% Fibonacci level. This significant pullback warrants attention, as price action appears poised for a deeper correction. In our analysis, we consider historical price swings, taking into account seasonality patterns from previous years at the same time. By doing so, we explore the likelihood that institutional players may be positioning themselves to drive prices lower, targeting liquidity zones below previous support levels. Additionally, an imbalance is evident on the 4-hour timeframe. Disclaimer: This technical analysis serves as an opinion and should not be construed as financial advice. Traders and investors should conduct their due diligence and seek professional counsel before making any trading decisions.
TVC:USOIL
by fxtraderanthony
USOIL getting positioned for more gains? Yesterday, OPEC and its allies announced plans to extend a voluntary oil production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day through June 2024. Currently, the USOIL trades near $80.20 per barrel, and its structure is undergoing a significant change. Since late November 2023, the USOIL has traded predominantly sideways between $70 and $80 per barrel. However, last week, it broke above the resistance at $79.25 and established a new high in more than three months. By doing so, the USOIL formed an ascending channel, which is a bullish structure. In addition to that, the ADX started to tick slightly higher on the daily chart, suggesting the trend might be gaining bullish momentum. On top of that, technical indicators (on the daily chart), including RSI, MACD, and Stochastic, all turned to the upside, which is yet another bullish sign. Finally, it looks like the USOIL might be awakening and getting positioned for more gains in the short-term and medium-term future. Illustration 1.01 While OPEC and its allies are cutting oil production, the United States is doing the opposite; in fact, the U.S. crude oil production rose approximately 10% in 2023. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bullish (weak trend) Weekly time frame = Neutral Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
6
WTI OIL Sell opportunity targeting the 1D MA50.Oil (USOIL) is trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 13 2023 market bottom and currently is on the 3rd Bullish Leg towards the top (Higher Highs trend-line). This indicates that on a R/R basis, there is greater incentive selling with the price being closer to the pattern's top than the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). As a result we are bearish, targeting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the bottom of the Channel Up at 76.00, which is also marginally above Support 1. Notice also how symmetrical the Higher Highs and Higher Lows legs have been within the pattern. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot
1