Wtioil
Crude Oil Technical AnalysisOil is trading bullishly above the 100-period simple moving average (SMA) and created a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on October 31. Technical indicators suggest that while the primary trend is bullish, oil is overpriced in the short term.
From a technical perspective, crude oil has the potential to fill the gap around $70.00 before the uptrend resumes. The FVG area provides a solid entry point for bullish positions.
The trend outlook remains bullish as long as the $69.70 support holds. That said, the next bullish target will likely be the $72.25 resistance level.
WTI Crude Oil Outlook: Eyeing Potential Demand Zone RecoveryWTI crude oil is currently trading around $68.25 as of this Tuesday, following a significant gap-down opening to start the week. The move lower was largely influenced by easing tensions in the Middle East, as recent developments suggested a more contained military approach, which alleviated fears of a broader conflict that could disrupt oil supply.
Upcoming U.S. Economic Data: GDP and Nonfarm Payrolls in Focus
The U.S. economic calendar this week includes key data releases, beginning with the flash Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report for Q3 on Wednesday, projected to show an annualized growth rate of around 3%. A stronger-than-expected GDP figure could bolster the USD, adding pressure to USD-denominated assets like crude oil, as a stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies. Following the GDP report, Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls will provide additional insight into U.S. labor market conditions, which could further influence dollar strength and, subsequently, WTI prices.
Technical Analysis: WTI Trading in Demand Zone
From a technical perspective, WTI crude is currently positioned within a demand zone, where buyers could be eyeing a recovery of Monday's gap-down. This demand zone represents a critical area where traders are observing whether buying interest will drive prices higher to close the gap. A recovery attempt here, with a tight stop loss, could offer a favorable risk-to-reward setup, particularly if data later in the week doesn’t significantly strengthen the USD.
Conclusion
The WTI crude oil market remains vulnerable to geopolitical developments and U.S. economic data this week, with a stronger USD potentially capping any recovery attempts. However, should the upcoming data align with current estimates or underperform, there may be room for WTI to rally from its demand zone, attempting to reclaim some of the lost ground from the recent gap-down. Traders may want to monitor these key levels and events closely, as they could provide both direction and confirmation for near-term price movement in WTI crude oil.
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WTI Dips as Israel Avoids Targeting Iran’s Oil: What’s Next?The West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $70.60 during Thursday's London session. The price edged lower following reports that Israel has assured the United States it will not target Iran’s nuclear or oil facilities in its planned retaliatory attacks. This news, as reported by senior Biden administration officials and the Wall Street Journal, came after the US sought to prevent further escalation in the Middle East to avoid a potential surge in oil prices.
Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East and Oil Prices
Oil markets have been on edge due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly following the conflict between Israel and Hamas. Any potential retaliation involving Iran has been closely watched, given Iran’s role as a major oil producer in the region. Had Israel planned to target Iran’s oil infrastructure, it could have led to significant supply disruptions, pushing oil prices higher. For now, traders are breathing a sigh of relief with the promise from Israel to avoid targeting these facilities, but geopolitical tensions still remain a key factor that could influence WTI in the near future. Should tensions escalate further, WTI prices could quickly rebound on supply concerns.
OPEC and IEA Cut Global Oil Demand Forecasts
This week also brought another major development for oil markets as both the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) lowered their forecasts for global oil demand growth in 2024. The IEA now estimates global oil demand will grow by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd), bringing total demand to 104.3 million bpd next year, which is 300,000 bpd below previous estimates.
These cuts are being driven by several factors, including the weakening global economic outlook and persistent challenges in key oil-consuming regions. In particular, China’s economic stimulus measures have failed to provide a meaningful boost to oil demand, further weighing on oil prices. This downward revision in demand growth expectations has created additional headwinds for crude oil prices, contributing to the recent decline in WTI.
Technical Outlook: Bearish Sentiment But Potential Long Retracement
From a technical standpoint, WTI is currently trading within a key demand area, suggesting that some buyers may step in to support prices. While the forecast based on seasonality points toward a bearish trend in the near term, there are some indications that a deeper long retracement could occur.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that institutional investors, also known as "smart money," are maintaining long positions, indicating potential underlying support for oil prices. This dynamic suggests that while prices may experience further pressure in the short term, a retracement to the upside could occur if demand for oil begins to pick up or if geopolitical tensions resurface with greater intensity.
Conclusion: WTI Traders Remain Cautious Amid Mixed Signals
For now, WTI remains in a delicate position, influenced by a mix of geopolitical risks, lower global demand forecasts, and technical factors. The assurance from Israel that its retaliatory strikes will avoid targeting Iran’s oil infrastructure has alleviated some immediate concerns about a spike in oil prices. However, the ongoing geopolitical situation remains fluid, and any sudden escalation could quickly reverse the current price trajectory.
At the same time, the reduced demand growth outlook from both OPEC and the IEA creates a bearish overhang for crude prices. With China’s stimulus measures failing to spark a meaningful recovery in demand, traders will be closely watching for any new developments that could shift the balance of supply and demand in the oil market.
In summary, WTI may continue to face downward pressure in the short term, but a potential long retracement remains on the table, especially if market conditions or geopolitical tensions shift in the coming days. For now, traders are likely to stay cautious, awaiting clearer signals before taking decisive positions.
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USOil WTI Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 US Oil has encountered recent selling pressure, which may present an opportunity for short-term traders. In this video, we’ll analyze the price action, evaluate the current trend and market structure, and explore potential sell setups if the price action unfolds as outlined. Risk Disclaimer: Forex trading involves significant risks, and market conditions can change unexpectedly. This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. 📉✅
WTI CRUDE OIL: 1H Death Cross suggests another Low is coming.WTI Crude Oil is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.281, MACD = -0.560, ADX = 26.062) with the bearish bias evident as in the last 3 weeks the price is trading inside a Channel Down. The formation of a 1H Death Cross earlier today, draws comparisons with the October 15th one. Both price actions found a temporary support on the 1.382 Fibonacci level at the time of the Death Cross but the 1H RSI was rebounding on a bullish divergence. We expect the price to extend replicating that bearish wave and approach the 1.618 Fib eventually (TP = 66.00).
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WTI OIL Higher Lows held. Strong rebound is expected.WTI Oil (USOIL) is about to complete an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern whose Head was right above the Higher Lows trend-line.
An imminent break above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) will confirm the start of the new Bullish Leg towards the Resistance Zone. Our Target remains 78.50.
Notice how the 4H RSI has already broken above its Lower Highs trend-line, as it did on the September 09 break-out.
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Crude Oil BearishCrude oil technical analysis
Daily resistance 75, support 65
Four-hour resistance 71.8, support 68
Crude oil operation suggestions: From the current market analysis, continue to short near the upper 71.8 mark today, the upper pressure is near 75, the lower support is 69 and 65. The overall support within the day is to maintain the cycle of selling high and buying low in this range, and wait patiently for the key points to enter the market.
SELL:71.8near
BUY: 68near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
USOIL "WTI crude oil" Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Bonjour! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist USOIL "WTI crude oil" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Classic Gap Opening Trade
I see a nice example of a gap down opening on WTI Crude Oil.
As always, there is a high chance that the gap will be filled.
I already see some sign of strength of the buyers:
a double bottom pattern on 30 minutes time frame.
I think that the price will reach 75.3 level soon.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Turned bullish again after the 1D MA50 rebound.WTI Crude Oil turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.281, MACD = 0.570, ADX = 33.404) as even though it breached through the 1D MA50 yesterday intraday, it managed to close the day over it and extend today with a green candle. It was not ideal that the rejection on Tuesday took place on the 1D MA200 but yesterday's 1D MA50 rebound has restored the bullish sentiment. We turn bullish again (TP = 80.00) all the way to the one year LH trendline and the 0.786 Fib.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Sets course for $80WTI Crude Oil is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.800, MACD = -0.360, ADX = 28.602) as it crossed over the LH trendline of the Bearish Megaphone. After a 4H RSI bottom formation, the 4H MA50 and MA200 are about to form a Golden Cross, the first since June 18th that caused a rally continuation to the 0.786 Fibonacci level. That is where the August 12th LH is and that is our target (TP = 80.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NEW IDEA FOR WTIFrom a technical point of view, WTI crude oil has broken the resistance range of the ceiling of the descending channel to the top, and therefore, there is a possibility of further price increase.
In general, this scenario is reinforced that WTI crude oil can reach the resistance of the previous ceiling in the range of 77.67 provided that no one-hour close candle time is recorded below the important support interval in the range of 70.00-68.71. The dollar will increase in price.
WTI OIL Channel Down prevailed. Lower Low expected.WTI Oil (USOIL) eventually failed to recover the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the Resistance since August 13, and reversed the short-term rebound. The 3-month Channel Down appears to have prevailed and technically is now looking for its third Lower Low.
The previous two declined by -18.47% and -15.18% respectively, so roughly we same % drop. As the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross today, we can claim that we have the necessary confirmation for a Bearish Leg that at best, we are half-way on it.
Assuming the minimum drop of -15.18%, we expect to see at least $62.00 before this Leg prices the Lower Low.
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Fundamental factors have the main impact on the WTI trendTVC:USOIL ended up slightly higher last Friday but fell more than 3% for the week as markets gauged expectations for increased global supply and considered new stimulus measures from major countries in Asia, which import leading crude oil exporter.
- On one hand, OPEC+ plans to start increasing production in December, which has been particularly suppressive on oil prices and was the main negative factor for the oil market last week.
- On the other hand, the withdrawal of many stimulus policies by major powers, expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further and the escalating conflict in the Middle East still provide some support for oil prices.
Central banks of major Asian countries cut reserve requirements and interest rates last Friday, and governments of major Asian countries are launching a final round of stimulus to boost growth. The economy returns to the target of about 5% this year.
Israel said it bombed Houthi rebel targets in Yemen on Sunday (September 29) and continued airstrikes in Lebanon, expanding its alliance with Iran in the region two days after killing the leader of Hezbollah. Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah during the confrontation.
On the daily chart, TVC:USOIL Currently trading quite stable after recovering from the support level of 67.26USD. Note to readers in the previous issue. The recovery momentum is also being limited by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level and the horizontal resistance level of 69.31USD.
However, looking at the overall technical picture, WTI crude oil is having more bearish conditions with the main trend from the price channel, pressure from EMA21 and weak recovery momentum when the RSI Strength Index turns down. price reduction signal.
In the near term, if WTI crude oil continues to be sold below the important technical level at 67.26USD it is likely to continue to decline more with a target level of 65.25USD. Even if WTI crude oil recovers further, it will still be limited by the EMA21, the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level and the upper edge of the price channel.
The bearish trend in WTI crude oil dominates the daily technical chart, and notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 67.26USD
Resistance: 68.74 – 69.31USD
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bearish Move From Confluence Zone
WTI Crude Oil tested a significant confluence zone yesterday.
That zone is based on a recently broken daily horizontal resistance
and a falling trend line.
Probabilities will be high that the price will drop from that area.
First goal - 70.45
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US OIL / WTI Bullish Money Heist Plan on Long SideHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist US OIL / WTI based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 1H timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan.....
US OIL / WTI Bullish Money Heist Plan on Long SideHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist US OIL / WTI based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 30m timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
WTI OIL📊 #XTIUSD
⏱ TIME: 1w
📝The price has dropped a lot, there is an important range ahead, $63 (blue box), it seems that it can have an upward movement from this range.
⭕️risk: high
📍buyzone: 64.30 - 62.11$
📌TP1: 72 $
📌TP2: 77 $
⛔️: If this range is lost, the analysis will fail and I will update the analysis
WTI OIL giving a buy signal under this condition.Last week we saw how WTI Oil (USOIL) turned bearish long-term following the 1W Death Cross and the breaking below the 16-month Higher Lows trend-line. Even on the 1D time-frame we got a Death Cross formation with the price seemingly reaching the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of a newly formed Channel Down.
As a result we may have a short-term buy signal but only if today's 1D candle closes in green, which together with yesterday will make it a series of green days. As you can see on the chart, every time the 1D RSI posted a Bullish Divergence (rising while Oil was falling), it posted successive 1D green candles to confirm a rebound.
So the key now is to form again a streak (even 2) of green days. If not, the buy potential is invalidated. If successful though, we will target 78.00 (top of the Channel Down, +16.55% rise as the previous Bullish Leg).
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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