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The Price of WTI Oil Falls to August MinimumAs the chart shows, US Crude Oil fell below USD 78 yesterday for the first time since July 25. This was facilitated by: → fears of a crisis that could follow from the collapse of the Chinese property developer Evergrande; → alarming PMI data from different economies. Japan reported a contraction in manufacturing activity for the third month in a row. Business activity in the euro area also fell more than expected, especially in Germany. Business activity in the US in August approached the point of stagnation, while growth was the weakest since February. Bullish arguments: → The market has been bullish since July. And the current rollback from the top of July is just a correction. → The price of WTI Crude may find support from the lower border of the rising channel, as well as from the level of USD 78.50, from which the price has already formed bullish reversals in August. → The level of USD 74 looks like a reliable support. Bearish arguments: → The USD 83 level has served as strong resistance throughout the year. This may be due to the fact that increasing the price above is not beneficial for governments and central banks that are fighting inflation. → A candle with a long upper shadow on August 21 (followed by 2 more bearish candles) indicates bearish activity. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
WTI UpdateThe price appears to bounce back as expected, with OPEC+ output curbs finally biting. Russia announced a voluntary decrease of 500 kbd that will remain through the end of August. The technical context entails an acceleration in wave [ 3] of iii. Most ElliottWave traders aim for a third of the third when the price moves a considerable distance with no noticeable pullback. I don't have any alternative options now, but given how difficult it was to pick the bottom, I won't celebrate until the end of the move. The larger picture stays unchanged. Either a triangle as wave Y of (X) that will last until the end of 2023 or a more sharp rally as wave C of (X) (black labels). I'll reiterate that waves wxy of (b) and [ w] [ x] [ y] of wave ii are a little complex, which is typically a bad sign. However, I'm struggling to come up with an immediate bearish scenario.
TVC:USOIL
by Fomenka
🚨 WTI HIGH PROBABILITY SELL SETUP SOON 🚨🚨 WTI HIGH PROBABILITY SELL SETUP SOON 🚨 * Here we can see clearly the next potential moves for West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil, in coming days or week. * Im thinking there might be a Down Trend Move happening FIRST to form the Inverse Head & Shoulder Reversal Pattern before the Huge Bullish Move to Up Trend. * I've labelled where i can see the Inverse Head & Shoulder that MIGHT happen or not. * I've got Multiple SELL trades to look at. * First SELL position is going to be a quick SCALPING move to execute. * EP(SELL): 70.263 * TP: 69.910 * No SL provided for this trade, use your own discretion. * Nest EP(SELL) is for the Next potential Big Drop to form the Shoulder. * EP(SELL): 69.623 * TP: 68.951 * TP2: 68.016. * No SL provided for this trade, use your own discretion. * Keep your eye close on your trading positions. * Happy pip hunting traders. * FXKILLA *
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by FX-PIPHUNTER
4
Target reached! Crude Oil ReviewPrice bounced strongly above the 67.31 support level towards our take profit target - but how did we do it? Join Desmond in this analysis review where he covers the reason why this setup worked nicely. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): ** Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits.
FX:USOILEducation
by FXCM
WTI Crude Oil Sell TP = 42.67On the weekly chart, the trend started on March 13, 2022 (linear regression channel). There is a high probability of profit, since the channel is not yet closed. A possible take profit level is 42.67 ( this is the minimum take profit value, but it has a high percentage of payoff ). But don't forget about SL = 98 . Using a trailing stop is also a good idea! Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you! Good luck! Regards, WeBelieveInTrading
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by WeBelieveInTrading
WTI REMAINS IN RANGECrude oil prices consolidate around 68 and 77 dollars per barrel, remaining below the heights of March and April. The risk of downside movement is fueled by the slow recovery of China and their slow demand increase, higher interest rates on demand and uncertainty around US economy. On the other hand, if the prices dip too low, the countries of OPEC+ will be fast to decrease the supply in order to mitigate further down movement. The price will most likely keep ranging between 68 and 77 dollars, but if it breaks the support, it might fall to 64, while if the resistance gets broken, the price might target levels of 83.50. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses
BLACKBULL:WTI
by legacyFXofficial
WTI BEARISH OUTLOOK CONTINUESThe weak trade and inflation data from China further casts doubt on the ability of fast economical recovery of the country after COVID. This puts a rench in OPEC's forecast that China will drive the demand for crude oil to record high. The technical indicators are also confirming the downtrend, with MACD histogram being below 0 and RSI under 50 neutral line. If this scenario continues, the price of the instrument might test levels of 64 and even 62. In the opposite scenario, the price might revert and test 77 point resistance. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by legacyFXofficial
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailOil prices did not advance beyond the surge to the $81.20 level, which came on the back of the announcement that the world’s largest oil producers will collude to cut a further 1.7 million barrels from the daily output. The inability of prices to go any higher could not be unconnected to some of the larger economic worries in the market. Hence, throughout the course of last week's trade, we witnessed price action traded within the $81.20 and $79.50 zone. From a technical standpoint, we have no choice but to remain patient for either a breakout or a breakdown of the channel for trading opportunities in the coming week. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOT
by darcsherry
WTI breaks out of consolidation, $90 up next?WTI broke out of consolidation and closed above its 200-day EMA and resistance zone. The OBV (on balance indicator) confirmed the breakout with a move to a new cycle high, and volumes (whilst below average) are turning higher to show buyers stepping back in. Furthermore, we saw a gap ahead of the consolidation above HKEX:79 , although using classic definitions it doesn't quite fit into 'breakaway' or 'runaway' gap category. Regardless, we've seen a 30% rally from the March low with a gap along the way, OPEC+ cut oil production, and the trend points higher. With that said, the 200-day MA is capping as resistance, so bulls may want to wait for a break (or daily close) above the level. But overall, the risks appear skewed to the upside. - The bias remains bullish above 79 and an initial move to 90, then the 93.60 highs - Wednesday's low could be used for tighter risk management
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CityIndex
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThe OPEC+ oil producers on Sunday announced further oil output cuts of around 1.16 million barrels per day hereby bringing the total volume of cuts by OPEC+ members to 3.66 million bpd according to Reuters calculations - a whopping 3.7% of the global oil demand. The latest reductions have a strong potential of lifting oil prices to new highs. In this video, we looked out for the possibility of taking advantage of any potential move in either direction. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOT
by darcsherry