QQQ OUTLOOK 06/05 - 06/09QQQ crushed it again last week, testing a breakout above the channel we drew last week. Investors will look at Apple’s press conference at WWDC 2023 (Monday at 1:00PM EST). It’s safe to say that whichever way Apple moves, NASDAQ:QQQ will follow.
Technical Analysis: Although we got 2 candle bodies to close above the bullish channel, we still have yet to have a full candle body with wicks close above the trend line. I do think we will have some sort of consolidation this week.
Bulls will want to see price action continue above last week’s open at 352.71. Last week’s .618 retrace is around 350, so look to see if dips will be bought at fib retraces. To the upside, we can target the gap fill above from 356.78-359.93.
Bears will have control if we cannot hold a consolidation within last week’s price range. If we lose last week’s low of 346.51, another significant golden pocket retrace can be found around the monthly level at 338.19.
Upside Targets: 354.65 → 356.78 → 358.97 → 359.93 → 362.54 Extended: 364.57
Downside Targets: 352.46 → 350.72 → 349.65 → 348.54 → 346.51
If we lose last week’s low:
Extended: 344.57 → 341.31 → 339.60 → 338.19 → 336.67
Wwdc
Apple Could Be Squeezing Toward a RallyApple has been a frustrating stock for most of the year, but now it may be squeezing toward another rally.
The first pattern on today’s chart is its super-tight Bollinger bandwidth, which yesterday was the narrowest since December 2019. That could suggest price is overdue for a move.
But which way will it go? MACD just turned positive (the second pattern), which could indicate the move will be higher.
Third, AAPL has held its 200-day simple moving average (SMA). Notice the false breakdown below that line on Thursday, which was followed by something of a kicker candlestick pattern.
Next is the declining trend line starting on May 7. A confirmed move above that line, with the 200-day SMA pushing up from below, may leave the bears with few options and draw buyers from the sidelines.
This price action comes as AAPL unveils new operating systems and privacy features at its developer conference (WWDC). While the announcements don’t seem to have an immediate financial impact, they could be bullish simply because the event has passed. Investors waiting to enter may have less reason to delay, and the longer-term uptrend (albeit slow and painful) can potentially resume.
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Apple WWDC21. Interesting chance for a long position.Apple does an annual conference that always raises the price of their stock.
iOS 15, iPadOS 15, watchOS 8, tvOS 15, macOS 12, and other software updates are expected to be announced.
There are also rumors of a new Mac Pro that could be revealed, as well as new AirPods.