CHZ in a Multi-Year Winter: Awaiting a Break for Wave 3 of 1CHZ looks like it’s deep into a multi-year correction as part of Wave 2 of the higher degree trend. The flameout in Wave 5 of 1 resulted in the current, drawn-out consolidation. This extended correction could be unfolding as a WXYXZ or a very elongated ABC pattern, reflecting the market’s need to churn and reset after the huge rally.
For now, volume remains low, suggesting the slow bleed may continue for some time longer. However, if we see a significant increase in volume, combined with a break of the upper trendline, this could signal the start of Wave 3 of 1, setting the stage for a strong impulse move upward.
Until then, patience is key, as the consolidation phase persists. But when the conditions align, CHZ could be primed for a major breakout.
Wxyxz
USDCAD, extended wave to end soonUSDCAD has been trading in a zigzag structure (channel) with higher highs and higher lows on daily timeframe. It has reached a horizontal resistance zone.
we can notice a WXYXZ Elliot structure, with ABC patterns in every impulse and X correction after it (11 waves in the channel). USDCAD is close to the end of the last extended wave C: we can notice in it 12345 Elliot waves structure. With Fibonacci extensions, wave 5 can reach 1.335 (or the rectangle we draw based on the fib extension).
However, a head and shoulders pattern is recognized on m30, waiting for USDCAD to break the neckline with a candle closing below it to take the sell.
Be careful with your risk management, the last extended wave can still reach 1.25 fib extension before ending.
Goodluck everyone,
Joe.
Intermediate ABC Extension in Minor 3 Complex Correction in 4Bitcoin has been in a corrective pattern from the low of 17,500 on June 18th and is beginning to exhibit signs that it could either be a reverse expanding triangle or a WXYXZ pattern.
Case for the triangle:
Each side subdivides into a zig-zag
C is 123.6 of A
A and C made higher highs while B and soon D will be making higher lows
1H
30mn
15mn
Case for WXYXZ:
X is between 61.8% and 76.4% of W
Y is less than 123.6% of W
X is on target to be around 61.8% of W
Alternate WXYXZ
Finally, as a bullish alternative this could also be a leading diagonal in a wave 1 since the rules for leading diagonals are that each wave 1-5 subdivides as a zig-zag although this feels less likely due to the way the pattern starts contracted and then expands as the correction continues.