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Wyckoff

Analysis of FCPOG2025 – Palatau PerspectiveCurrent price action suggests that FCPOG2025 is navigating through the Accumulation Phase, as outlined in the Wyckoff methodology. Key schematic events are marked on the chart to provide clarity. 1. Wyckoff Schematic Overview: The sequence begins with the Selling Climax (SC) and progresses through a Spring/Shakeout (ST) phase, followed by an Automatic Rally (AR). Recently, the price tested an Upthrust (UT) but failed to sustain momentum above the key resistance level of 4961, signaling potential bearish continuation. 2. Anticipated Price Movement: With the failure at the UT, the price seems inclined to seek lower levels. A plausible downside target is the nearest support around 4799, where buyers may step in. 3. Entry Strategy: To capitalize on this movement, traders should identify a Local Trading Range (LTR) on the lower timeframes to refine entry points. This approach helps minimize stop loss levels while optimizing risk-reward. Another entry opportunity may present itself during a Last Point of Supply (LPSY) event, should the price exhibit a bearish rejection at a resistance level. 4. Risk Management: As with all trades, position sizing and margin management are critical. Carefully monitor price action, especially in the identified trading ranges, to avoid excessive drawdowns. 5. Profit Target and Stop Loss: Profit Target: Around 4799, aligning with the identified support level. Stop Loss: Placed just above the recent highest UT zone (5093) or the new resistance formed within the LTR, depending on your entry point. Disclaimer: This analysis represents a personal trading idea based on the Wyckoff methodology and is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a guarantee of future performance, and trading always involves risk. Please perform your own research and consult a financial professional before making any trading decisions. Always trade responsibly and within your risk tolerance.
MYX:FCPOG2025
by baddrifhamzi
DYM - A Whole Different Dimension...Dear TradingView community and fellow traders, I am Richard, also known as theSignalyst. I find the DYM daily chart to be intriguing as it appears to be following the famous Wyckoff Cycle. I would like to apply Richard Wyckoff's four market stages/phases to this chart for analysis as a practical example. 1️⃣ MarkDown After being listed, DYM was bearish making lower highs and lower lows. 2️⃣ Accumulation DYM is currently trading within a big range between $1 and $2.4 in the shape of symmetrical triangle. 3️⃣ MarkUp For the MarkUp phase to start, a break above the upper bound of the range at $2.4 is needed. I hope you find this post useful, and I would appreciate your likes and support. Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen first? and why? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard
Long
by TheSignalyst
4
AFKS 5M Daytrade Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + extra volume T1 + weak approach + volumed 2Sp+ + weak test + first buying bar close entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit 1H CounterTrend "- short impulse + biggest volume T1 + support level + biggest volume maniulation - one bar reversal" 1D Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 weak correction + SOS level + support level + reverse volume distribution + volumed manipulation" 1M Trend "+ long impulse - below 1/2 correction + expanding T2 level + support level + support level + volumed manipulation" 1Y Countertrend "- short impulse - neutral zone"
RUS:AFKS
by MishaSuvorov
GAMUDA GOING FOR MARK UPVery nice Re-Accmulation Pattern here I have been actively Accmulating the share since MId September 2024 : These are my list of Entry & Exit : 1st POE : 17/9/2024 (Black Arrow) 2nd POE : 9/10/2024 (Black Arrow) -EXIT : 21/10/2024 (Red Arrow) Re-Initiated PE : 1st : 22/10/2024 (Black Arrow, This time i went with Full Position) 2nd : 4/11/2024 (Blue Arrow, I went with Overweight Position) Purely Wyckoff Entry, i always aiming for, a condition in which i am in Assymetrical Leverage
MYX:GAMUDALong
by drsyariz
SMLT 1D Aggressive Investment CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + biggest volume T1 + support level + biggest volume 2Sp+ + weak test + first bullish bar closed entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit CounterTrend 1M "+ short impulse + biggest volume TE / T1 level + support level + biggest manipulation?" Trend 12M "+ SOS test level - far below 1/2 correction + support level + biggest volume manipulation?" They say company is going to bankruptcy, but why would it concern technical analysis?!
RUS:SMLTLong
by MishaSuvorov
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.07800 back downThis week, my analysis for EU is showing slow movement, as it isn't close to any key Points of Interest (POI). However, after the CPI release, I expect a surge in liquidity, which could lead to a retracement in EU. From there, I’ll be looking to enter sell positions at a supply zone I've marked, which previously caused a break of structure to the downside. There are two potential supply zones to watch: the 9-hour supply zone or the 2-hour supply zone above it. If price begins to slow down and distributes upward, I’ll be cautious. However, if the price continues to drop, I’ll wait for a new supply zone to form or look to enter buy positions from the 3-hour supply zone, as outlined in Scenario B. Confluences supporting EU sell positions are: - Price action has been strongly bearish, aligning with a pro-trend idea. - The DXY has been bullish, which suggests EU could continue to move down. - Liquidity remains focused to the downside. - A potential supply zone is identified, providing a possible selling POI. P.S. If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll wait for a retest and then follow the downtrend. Look out for CPI and remain diligent!
Short
by Hassan_fx
GU imminent buys to sell idea?My analysis for GBP/USD (GU) is still bearish at the moment, as the DXY (Dollar Index) has been very bullish. Additionally, GU has broken structure to the downside, and there's a clean supply zone that aligns with this bearish trend. However, as price is currently in my demand zone, I will be looking for confirmation to buy temporarily for a retracement. If price does not respect the 1-hour demand zone, I expect it to accumulate slowly, approaching the demand zone below. In that case, I’ll wait for the price to reach this lower zone before looking to buy. If this scenario doesn't play out, I will wait for the price to rally up and then look for short opportunities to sell again. Confluences for a GU Long: - The market has been very bearish, and a pullback is likely. - There is a lot of liquidity to the upside, including Asia session highs and trendline liquidity. - A clean demand zone lies below a liquidity level, offering potential buy opportunities. - The DXY has left imbalances below due to recent news, suggesting the dollar could decline temporarily. Note: If price rallies up and breaks the current high, I would expect an upward continuation, as there's significant liquidity being built up above for GBP/USD. Wishing you a successful trading week ahead!
Long
by Hassan_fx
XAU/USD to continue dropping?From both technical and fundamental analysis I believe we should be seeing the beginning of a gold drop. Gold has been nothing but bullish with extreme euphoric movement. Following Donald Trumps win in the American election we can expect the dollar to begin its bullish ascent meaning that its time for the XAU/USD to finally start its descent. from my charts we can see that I predict a slight bullish move from the market open reacting of an 8H Imbalance taking Asian high liquidity from the upside and reacting from another 8H IMB to ultimately continue in its downtrend at least until the daily zone that caused a previous break of structure to the upside.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JamelCapital
SLB 5M Daytrade Long Aggressive CounterTrend tradeAggressive CounterTrend trade - short impulse + support level - unvolumed T1 level + volumed 2Sp- - weak test closed below T1 + first bullish bar closed entry - target beyond 5M / 1H range Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit expandable to swing / investment trade 1 Hour CounterTrend "- short balance + expanding ICE + support level + biggest volume manipulation" 1 Day Trend "+ long impulse + SOS test level + support level + 1/2 correction" 1 Month Trend "+ long balance + expanding ICE level + support level + 1/2 correction + volumed manipulation" Sell SLB Limit 44.54, GTC Sell SLB Stop 42.29 LMT 43.06, GTC
NYSE:SLBLong
by MishaSuvorov
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.09200 back down This week’s analysis for EUR/USD is somewhat different from GBP/USD. I expect price to continue dropping from one of the two supply zones I’ve identified. I’ll be watching for a potential Wyckoff distribution pattern to form at these zones. Once I see signs of distribution, I’ll look to enter short positions, targeting the liquidity pool below. If, during the week’s election events, price drops to fill the gap left at Sunday’s open, I see potential for buys from the 1-hour demand zone. I’ll wait for signs of price slowing down and accumulating to identify good entry points for long trades. Confluences for EUR/USD Sells: - Price is approaching a premium supply area. - Significant liquidity lies below, including untouched Asian session lows. - The higher timeframe trend remains bearish. - The DXY still shows strong bullish pressure. P.S. Although there’s been a recent shift in character to the upside, I still view EUR/USD as bearish on the higher timeframe, especially with the dollar’s ongoing bullish momentum. I’ll observe price behavior within my points of interest to determine the best entries.
Short
by Hassan_fx
Increase the difficulty level on yourself. Often, traders like to make things a lot harder for themselves than they need to. Everyone is seeking a silver bullet, truth is "less is actually more". Dow Theory is actually the Grandfather of technical analysis. If you have never heard of this, or even if you have and brushed over it, you are missing out. Some people will say things like "it's over 100 years old it can't work in today's market" Yet, humans have changed very little in those last 100+ years. Sentiment driven by fear and greed is where the secret is hidden. Let me explain by saying Dow theory has 6 "rules" (tenets). 1) Market Moves in Trends Markets have three types of movements: primary trends (long-term trends that last for years), secondary trends (medium-term trends that retrace parts of the primary trend), and minor trends (short-term trends that are typically noise). You will notice I used the weekly for the larger and the daily for the second. When I journal my trade setups; I simply use a traffic light system red lines size 4 for primary, then orange line 3 for secondary and green size 2 for the trigger phase. In addition to that, I mark the trends with 3 boxes and arrows pointing up down or sideways. The second rule; Each trend has three phases: Accumulation Phase. In this phase, informed investors start buying or selling, counter to the general market opinion. Public Participation Phase, more investors notice the trend after it is already underway, and media coverage expands, driving the trend further. (Wyckoff called this a mark-up or mark-down phase) Excess Phase (or Distribution): At this point, speculation is rampant and detached from actual value, leading informed investors to prepare an exit. This is where a lot of Wyckoff, Elliott and other tools such as Smart money concepts all overlap. Then, the 3rd rule. The market reflects all available information, such as economic conditions and sentiment. Therefore, movement in the market averages considers and reflects this information. (in simple terms, discount the news). 4) For a trend to be validated, different market averages must confirm each other. For example, the trend in the Dow Jones Industrial Average should be confirmed by the Dow Jones Transportation Average. If one index moves to a new high or low, the other should follow suit to confirm the trend. (I like this one less, but in some instances it can make the next move very obvious.) Rule 5) The trend is your friend, until the end. Until you see a clear change in the direction, a market shift. The trend is still in play. This one, I feel most just can't comprehend. As you can see below, I have marked up the extreme high and low, I know both my primary and secondary trends are down. So now, I can use my EW bias or start looking for a Wyckoff schematic. (if I believe we are about to see a shift in the trend.) You can start to look for information for areas of interest, look into volume and volume profiles. The last rule. Confirming the trend volume expanding in the direction of the primary trend. For an uptrend, volume should increase as prices rise and decrease during corrections. In a downtrend, volume should increase as prices fall. In this example, the Fibonacci levels line up, the volume is slowing, the EW count makes some sense and zoomed out you can see a shift. Now, with all of this info - we could look at "areas of interest" We are in a demand zone on the higher time frame. At this stage, there is no trade entry, but if we were to view a change in the character we could simply take a trade as a pullback on the primary trend down. Something like this; You see, all you are doing is following the trend and taking a look at other tools, auction areas, fib extensions, an EW bias, and hints of a Wyckoff schematic. But under the hood, the 3 trend principle is a simple-to-follow process. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
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by Mayfair_Ventures
9