AUDJPY Short was the one last weekI think most traders find August quieter than the rest of the trading year due to lower volatility and ranging markets. For myself, trading opportunities are not as easy to come by but they are still there. Here's a backtested FX:AUDJPY breakdown from last Thursday.
Following a bearish 1h break of structure during Thursday's Asia session, price rejected at a 1h demand zone and pulled back into the macro supply zone by New York session on the same day. The clue that sellers were still in control was the corrective nature of the retracement in comparison with the impulsive nature of the structural break.
s3.tradingview.com
On the lower time frames (click the screenshot link above), price tested the 1h supply zone once with an unconvincing rejection. With the second test, there was a liquidation of the previous high followed by a 5 minute bearish break of structure; a strong sign of selling presence. Price pulled back for a mitigation (ENTRY 1) followed by a further ltf BoS and another mitigation showing that sellers were gradually gaining control again for a downside break. First target, 1h swing low.
Gearing up for increased volatility come September. Have a great week.
Black Out.
Wyckoff
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #07Good evening , we are from Ukraine!
I expect further depreciation of the cryptocurrency market.
But if we see the strength of the buyer at the price of 25k, we will break through local highs. But judging by the current situation, the chart shows weakness.
That is, after exiting the trading range (breaking through local highs), we correlate the spread to the volume, which indicates a narrowing of the spread and a decrease in volume several times.
For further upward movement, we need new forces. At this time, they are absent.
Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success .
Sometimes you win /sometimes you learn .
#Bitcoin
Virgin Galactic (SPCE) - Q2 Interest - Potential Accumulation 📊 Fundamental Analysis:
Virgin Galactic has been gaining attention in the market due to a positive Q2 performance. The company's strong quarterly results have sparked interest among investors, potentially indicating positive growth prospects ahead.
📈 Technical Analysis:
The chart above illustrates a potential Wyckoff accumulation phase for SPCE. The price action appears to be forming a classic Wyckoff pattern, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. We've seen a series of higher lows forming over time, indicating increasing buying interest.
🔄 Anticipating the Spring Phase:
The final confirmation for the Wyckoff accumulation pattern often comes with the "Spring" phase, which involves a liquidity grab at the bottom. In this case, we're watching for a potential dip to the 0.272 Fibonacci level around $2.36. This could act as the liquidity grab, setting the stage for a potential bullish move.
📈 Bullish Confirmation:
To confirm the bullish scenario, we're looking for a higher high (an outbreak) in the price action, potentially around the $8 to $10 range. This breakout would validate the accumulation phase and signal a potential trend reversal.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 0.272 Fibonacci at $2.36
Breakout Confirmation: $8 to $10 range
Let's discuss in the comments below! What are your thoughts on SPCE's potential accumulation phase and breakout scenario? Share your insights!
MATIC - Shift In Momentum - Practical Example 📚Dear TradingView community and fellow traders,
I am Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The MATIC H4 chart has captured my attention due to its intriguing momentum structure shift.
📉 Following its rejection from the 0.9 - 1.0 resistance zone, MATIC has entered a bearish phase, marked by lower lows and lower highs— a classic MarkDown phase .
However, a noteworthy observation is the diminishing size and flattening of the impulse movements.
According to Charles Dow, this signals an early alert for a potential shift in momentum, which brings us to the Accumulation phase as per Richard Wyckoff.
Presently, MATIC appears to be consolidating within a significant range, spanning from 0.65 to 0.7 — an evident Accumulation phase.
🏹 For the bulls to take over, and the MarkUp phase to start, we need a momentum candle close above 0.7 zone marked in green.
I hope you find this post useful, and I would appreciate your likes and support.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen first? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard
BTCUSD End of Distribution Schematic?We have reached Phase E of the Wyckoff Distribution schematic and i am expecting volume to diverge from price action and we start to enter an Accumulation phase to continue our HTF structure moving in a bullish direction.
Here we are probably already in Phase A of an accumulation schematic
BTC 230127 Outlook on D chartThere's not a large amount of institutional money in BTC. Due to this, I use a loose interpretation of Wycoff paired with Elliot and Fibinocci.
I feel we established a solid floor for potential Wycoff phases to play. I feel we swept the liquidity built by early buyers. While this spring was atypical, it did provide a perfect grab for sellers who believed we would continue deeper. The textbook setup was there, but the volume showed a different story. Just as much buying volume and some last-minute consolidation.
This would be aggressive entry levels, and I felt there was a fake CHoCH to keep sellers fooled. This was a beautiful area for bulls to accumulate. Further proof of this came when the impulse wave began.
I do believe it is too early to draw Elliot waves. I want to see this impulse finish. Should it finish here, I expect us to head back to the ST zone. If note, we continue up to the next high.
HOW TO: Lesson 2 - Learn from the Master's Wyckoff and WeisThis video explains the Change in Behavior concepts as well as Effort vs. Result and how Speed Index is filling the gap of quantifying these concepts.
Enjoy!
PS. I am really sorry about the mouse I had some windows 11 issue during recording.