Wyckoff
BTC Wyckoff distribution concludingFinal stages playing out on this Wyckoff trade
And we didn't even get an up thrust after distribution in phase C (additional sign of weakness)
Bearish divs continuing to grow on higher time frames... Volume continuing to diminish
My short is still open... 5/1 reward to risk ratio for a retest of 24-25k 📉
#Ethereum - thoughts out loud #9Good evening, we are from Ukraine!
Continuation of the movement.
Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success.
Sometimes youwin/sometimes you learn.
$DNA Possible Accumulation. Fib levels very reactive.A pretty compelling argument for a classic Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. We know some people like Woods are investing heavily into this market, so it's not a long shot to assume there are others. Whether we see a spring or LPS our way up to SOS is TBD, we could shoot in either direction as it stands. PTs are at $7-$15 according to analysts. This seems to line up with extensions. OBV shows each consecutive low on the PA is higher on the OBV. This is a great indication of an increase of strong hands ownership. Overall, I think I am mostly bullish at the current level. Should we happen to dip lower for a spring, I will significantly add to my position.
US30 Sell IdeaHere is my US30 sell idea. I have been studying Wyckoff and volume together to refine my trading strategy. I noticed that high volume areas have been showing the spring/upthrust, making it a bit more clear to find. This is my first setup using this idea so take it easy on me if it goes in the opposite direction.
BTC Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Possibility?Well we are still in the 28k zone which should tell us something right?
If you turn your TV on or listen to social media pundits they would have us all believe the sky is falling on our heads, complete with radiation.
So why hasn’t BTC tanked?
I mean if its really as fragile as it has been behaving the last 15 months then surely we should be in the bin by now.
Well I have been looking into it a bit because of a couple things.
1. The longer you stay in a range the stronger it becomes. The more you accumulate in that area, the weaker the resistance gets above you. So the longer we hold out in the 28k zone the more likely the break to the upside becomes.
2. Since Alameda Research got taken out as a MM we have had a lot of smaller MMs in the space, so the ability of just one to rek the charts is a lot less. Also, the patters that the Alameda Algo was using are different to these ones, we are conforming more to regular manipulation in other words.
So … Wyckoff Accumulation/Distributions patterns?
Sitting at the top of a move is usually a Distribution pattern as the MM takes profits by selling to eager retail shrimps, only to tank the price when they are done.
Similarly when we are at the bottom you can see deliberate moves to prevent price tanking further, or moving higher until the trap is ready and we spring out quickly. Remember January?
But when the expansive move is done we just hover there seemingly. Most think this is a Distribution phase and would normally be right …
but we didnt tank… I mean I expected a move to 20,500 and we got 19,500 - but it was a pullback that propelled us up to 28k…. and thats where we have been.
Lots of people expecting THIS to be the Distribution and then dump back to 25k… 20k… 18k… 10k…the bears die hard.
But there is a less known Wyckoff pattern called the Reaccumulation, which is a pause along the way to a higher and longer bull run.
Others call it Rally, Base, Rally or choose your own terms but this pic is my attempt to see if it fits where we are now.
In short…
We have run up to the first Preliminary Supply at 27,600 setting in a new range, then continuing to the Buying Climax.
BCLX results in rejection back to test the bottom of the new range, which triggers an Automatic Reaction. This has to be strong and send price all the way back to the BCLX to retest it. We did that.
Price then moves to the mid point of the range to find Support (5) before yet again pushing lower to retest the support and take liquidity, resulting in a Spring and Test before moving up to again retest the high in a sharp Upward Thrust which fails.
From the UT price descends forming the Creek which is where we are now.
The Creek continues to form but importantly does not break the lower Support (7,8)
Once we jump the Creek - which should be an expansive move up to test the Uppber Band and break past the UT - it should then retrace to test the Last Point of Support…. before breaking up in a Sign of Strength - another expansive move.
Now my lovely yellow line is no indication of prices, just direction, but the overall structure has critical points to keep an eye on.
1. If we break down below the Lower Support the setup is invalid and we are likely in a Distribution pattern - expect much more downside.
2. If we do break above the UT you will not have many opportunities to look for Long positions so be quick once you see this.
3. If this pattern is correct and plays out expect Alts to get rekt as people dump them to get on the BTC train.
No idea if this will play out but it seems likely given BTC has not tanked even with all the heavy heavy anti-crypto FUD, banks collapsing, Operation Chokepoint etc ….
Big news tonight and tomorrow night all around Employment - if unemployment goes up this will be bullish … but will it be bullish enough to jump the creek?
CPI data and FOMC minutes comes out again next Wednesday night so its feasible the continue the manipulation right up until that point before making a major move like that.
Jumping the Creek is a major chart changing move so if they have it planned they may not want to show their hand ahead of time. Just speculating …
TRKA trying to make a stand using ESVO made by chatGPT TRKA looks like its in the final part of its accumulation and ready to try and make a push.. The problem is will the push be to the upside? lol So I have been using ChatGPT to create indicators and I created this beauty of an indicator which is a superior supply and demand indicator that also points out where pockets of stop losses are. It has become an absolute in my trading. Below is a little description about it that ChatGPT made.
If you find any of this intriguing pls like sub and hit the boost button. Its the only way we can make sure other people can see it too.
The ESVO moving average is designed to analyze the relationship between price and volume movements in the market. From a psychological perspective, the small spikes in the ESVO moving average could indicate a relatively balanced market, with both buyers and sellers having relatively equal influence over the price movements. The larger spikes, on the other hand, could suggest a shift in the balance of power between buyers and sellers. For example, if there are many stop losses placed at a certain level, this could indicate that traders have a strong belief that the price will not go beyond that level, and if the price suddenly breaks that level, it could trigger a wave of buying or selling that results in a larger spike. The fact that the spikes come back to where they started could indicate that the market eventually returns to a state of equilibrium after periods of imbalance.
The small, medium, large, and massive spikes in the ESVO moving average could potentially represent different levels of buying or selling pressure in the market. However, without more information, it's difficult to say for sure what each size of spike means. Based on the scenario you described, the spikes could be related to stop losses, but it's also possible that they are related to other factors such as news events or changes in market sentiment.
The top spikes in the ESVO moving average could potentially represent an increase in buying pressure, while the bottom spikes could represent an increase in selling pressure. However, it's important to note that these are just possibilities, and further analysis would be needed to confirm what is really happening in the market.
If the ESVO moving average is moving up, it could suggest that there is an increase in buying pressure in the market, and vice versa. However, the direction of the price movement (up or down) could also have an impact on the overall trend. For example, if the ESVO moving average is moving up, but the price is in a downtrend, it could indicate a period of divergence, where the two indicators are not in sync with each other.
If the price is in sync with the ESVO moving average and then breaks under it, but the ESVO moving average stays in the same area, it could suggest that there is still a balance between buyers and sellers, despite the price movement. When the price eventually re-accumulates and jumps back up to the same area as the ESVO moving average, it could indicate that the buyers and sellers have reached a new equilibrium point.
Thank You,
by iCantw84it
04.04.23
Volume chart BTC 05/11/2020-01/11/2022This chart show the wake top BTC made late 2021 and early Summer (69k$-64.8k$).
I have the belief that BTC top on Friday the 08/01/2021 at a round price of 41950$.
This in is line with GBTC start the continued selling of there BTC supply.
The time in between 08/01/2021 and the most recent bottom of 17622$ on the 18/06/2022.
Has bin an inverted bear market. This because of the famous market patterns BTC/USDT formed in this period.
Being a Wyckoff Market Cycle.
Forming a quad top from 02/2021-06/2021 and a double top in 11/2021 above the 41950$ markt top.
Following a cycle of downside from 26/11/2021 to the end for the trend 18/06/2022.
Leave a comment down below with thoughts if you have questions about this Wyckoff market Cycle.
After the worldwide panic that was this downside cycle BTC top again at 25211$.
Just above what is now a volume RES zone range of 45% of all volume that happened since the 05/11/2021 14093$
The zone 45% range low is 18393$ and mid range is 19.2k$.
Any price action below the mid range or range low should be a instant BUY for the next 3-5 year.
Targeting 100k$+ / 332k$ (--->1m$+)
If this LVL is broken again for a longer time I see the 15k$-14k$ range come in to play
And because of recent high relative volume coming mainly from the US zone and EURO zone.
Can result in mass panic!!! And a likely V shape bounce.
Think 03/2020 or 11/2018-05/2019.
PLS NOTE:
At last this is post is the result of a 4 HOUR NIGHT of thinking AND IS NOT ADVICE.
ONLY TO BE USED as new way of thinking about BTC and current life.
With 1,75 year experience 05/2021 to my name as of writing this.
🔥 Bitcoin In Wyckoff Distribution: Is This The Top?Bitcoin has been trading sideways for the better part of two weeks now. Yesterday, there was a short-lived break out through the FOMC resistance, which got sadly sold off quickly.
Since the break out was only minor & short-lived, there's a probability that we're currently trading in a Wyckoff distribution pattern, which could signal that this is area is the Bitcoin top for the foreseeable future. Check out the theoretical schematic below.
If we'd follow this Wyckoff distribution pattern, that would indicate that there's still one more move up before the real sell-off. As long as the price does not break below the AR-support (purple) before breaking above the UT-resistance (yellow), this pattern is valid. Furthermore, the UTAD break out can't reach much higher than the UT top ($30k?) before being sold off.
Consequently, the UTAD top would be in an area of heavy resistance from the last two years of trading, see yellow area below.
Do you think we're in a Wyckoff distribution pattern? Are we breaking down? Share your thoughts below.
Note: I'm still bullish on BTC, especially in the long-term. However, I think it's valuable to look at different perspectives of the market, even if it goes against my bias.
Wyckoff distribution eventAfter failled attempt to break down form support (26 700), Btc is testing highs, again. In case we will fail breaking the resistance to the upside there is potential for distribution event. Also the RSI showing us bearish divergence on many timeframes. On the other hand we are in strong uptrend for last monthes and there is possibility for testing the 30k level. So setup your SL on top of the potential SFP. Be patient and wait for Swing failure pattern.
Good luck.
GBPJPY Buy Idea** BEFORE I BEGIN, ALLOW ME TO APOLOGIZE FOR ERASING MOST OF MY DRAWING. I know it would have been more beneficial to leave it but I'll leave it from here on. **
So for this one, I started on the monthly and worked my way down until I could find a nice entry point. On the monthly, I noticed structure and marked off the closest SD zones in relation to the current price. From there I went down to the weekly and daily looking for zones inside of zones.
Once on the daily, I noticed a re-accumulation schematic and dropped to the 4 hour where I was able to find the POI for entry once structure was broken. Now it just a waiting game for price to come back to my entry point.
#Ethereum - thoughts out loud #8]Good evening, we are from Ukraine!
Continuation of the movement.
Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success.
Sometimes you win /sometimes you learn.
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #06Good evening, we are from Ukraine!
Extension of the agreement. The action plan remains unchanged. A mistake made by UT without confirmation.
Restart. The targets are unchanged.
Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success.
Sometimes you win/sometimes you learn.
#Bitcoin
EGLDBTC: Re-accumulation or Distribution?I have been looking at patterns for re-accumulation for a while for $EGLDUSDT, but it is actually when looking at EGLDBTC when it could really fit with the traditional patterns. As we know, both wyckoff patterns are exactly similar at the beginning, and it is difficult to find out which one could be playing out, if any.
It is difficult to imagine that EGLD goes as far as to overcome previous top, right? But we all thought the same when it did the previous top :) The number of features that MULTIVERSX has created recently is impressive, and it really depends on the discussion that is happening today of having or not an ALTCOIN SEASON coming soon or not.
What do you think?
XAUUSD Gold Analysis, 2hFor the short term, I think this is the way to go.
Gold Spot (XAUUSD) is forming a Wyckoff pattern in 2h time frame and this sketch is my opinion.
I haven't any exact target but you can take a short position on the third top (~2000$) with high risk, or after breaking the bottom after the pullback with low risk. Also, make sure to set StopLoss.
But, as always, not financial advice.