Wyckoff
XRP - I CAN HAZ GARTLEY NOW?Hey crew, forgive my radio silence here, coding up a storm and generally strapped for time but let's do a quick breakdown on this beauty eh?
As I've repeatedly stated, XRP ALWAYS pumps before a dump. Here are some key points :
XRP, similar to staked tokens has a massive escrow and when they release tokens, there's usually a distribution pattern shortly thereafter
All the market-wide carnage from bankruptcies, fraudsters, SEC and regulatory uncertainty has clearly NOT yet fully manifested
All "relief rallies" must come to an end and The Bear is NOT over (imho)
So we've def got a Gartley now, no question and there looks to be a Wyckoff distribution painted on the chart here.
I personally just stick to Fibs and Forks for my placements and use DCA always to hedge and minimize risks with the following portfolio objectives :
1. Take scalps
2. Increase holdings
3. keep portfolio "in profit" at all times using shorts to hedge against high probability down moves
So that's it folks, hope you stay in the green and as always, not investment advice here, we still have a date with the 0.10 cent range :)
~ Box
BTCUSDT Possible accumulation phase?Just a quick thought I came up with. Could we possibly be in an Wyckoff accumulation phase on the daily, everything is lining up except the volume. There was a spring, now it reversed from the spring and now it seems to be trying to be respecting the resistance level.
Supply in ACTION - GBPJPY sell trade February 2 2023 Got a great analysis and entry in lower tf maximizing risk to reward ratio
re-distribution schematics seen on higher timeframe ---> wait for validity (BOS)
entry at POI in 3min Orderblock (serves as mitigation during GBP NEWS today .
Note: check chart for reference . :)
Have a great trade!
RR: 1:16
GBP USD - 1.26 easy targetHey Guys,
Ive seen a lot of confusion around GBP USD so i figured id share my analysis and take on it.
The simple reason why im long on GU is due to the most recent re-accumulation, for which i believe it's purpose is to push prices up to 1.26.
Anyways, Just my view of things.
Happy trading and stay in the green!!
BTC will retest the bear trendline?
BTC had broken the major trendline of the bear market starting from November 2021, at the third time touching this one (see screenshot below).
This clear breakout (at the 3rd time) would have risen a question on when the retest would happen.
Using Wyckoff method for short-term period (2H TF), it seem that distribution is happening, possibly. You can find more detail in chart.
Let wait and see if this scenario will play out.
For mid-term, as in my previous analysis, I think that BTC is in accumulation phase to head $30000 (please see below link).
DXY falling off a wycliffLost it's support today. Potential wyckoff on weekly. Bears hoping for famine and increasing inflation beware. Everyone saying China opening will cause inflation to rise but it should ease the supply chain issue which was half the reason for the inflation. If it finds support and trends up again we may not have yet seen the UTAD
TSLA Re-Accumulation to Big DistributionTopping reversal candle on the 4 hr. I see Bullish and Bearish scenarios- * Yes Tesla can go to $180 first, it has to happen before Wednesday
Bearish- pullback and double top , Rising Wedge or complete breakdown from here.
Bullish-continuation on new support trend-line past $200… to confirm V bottom recovery (Tsla is one of few stocks that will be green while Markets go red)
*** everything dependent on Markets to confirm Bull cycle or to fade the rally and begin the Final leg Down of Correction.
My Thesis,( until price action delivers a different scenario)-
I’m leaning Bearish, but with a possibility of higher high along with Bearish Divergence confirmation. Just to accumulate more retail liquidity before February selloff -Smart Money began buying in December- taking profits in February lines up with lower Tax on gains and portfolio rotation
I believe economic data or FOMC will maintain hawkishness and rug-pull the markets next Wednesday.
Macro Data:
- NYSE advance decline is supporting weakness in markets
-Retail & Smart money are completely divergent
-Put/Call ratio beginning to favor Bears
-Vix bullish divergence setup forming
-DXY, 10yr & 2yr bond yields are all rising with markets
-HYG Bonds are falling while markets advance
-Retail influx & euphoria is at highest level since 2021 & 2022 August high (LARGE SELLOFF)
- Feb & March seasonally are sell-off & Volatility spikes until April
***Everything is pointing to a Large pullback or “The Final” leg of Bearish Correction
CADCHF I Keep buying from historic lowsWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Bitcoin in ~decade long Wyckoff re-accumulation?This is interesting - if bitcoin is really to survive the coming global depression (very likely probability per Ray Dalio and Bridgewater's amazing research and free published works), then we can also safely assume there is a likely chance bitcoin enters a period of re-accumulation in Wyckoff terms while global equities markets lose a decade to consolidation and crashes and bear market rallies as the big debt cycle deleverages this decade. This is a primary scenario I see playing out. Now if governments start crazy stimulus programs like we saw under covid, and print say $6 trillion here and there... all bets off and the low floor level will rise commensurately as the money will be devalued in the currency you chart bitcoin in. So e.g. from Covid, we can safely assume the "floor" price of bitcoin rose about 40% nearly overnight as the US dollar was devalued 40%.
BTC (Y23.P1.E1).Wyckoff SOS AreaHi Traders,
We have this continuation pattern that consolidated under the monthly level and now aligned to the wyckoff re-accumulation schematics as we enter phase D which is volatility and difficult as the pullback could break the previous resistance and yet be ok.
This week has critical events for the DXY, SP500 and others, so BTC is not in the clear yet.
All the best,
S.SAri
BTC weekly chart analysis by wyckoff distribution pattern If we look the weekly BTC chart, we can discover an other Wyckoff pattern. This is the distribution pattern.
I feel this pattern perfect continuation of the previous analysis :
And I think if we look the montlhy chart....:
So I think we go to ~54k, and then down to ~20-25k.
BTC in wyckoff accumulation pattern$BTC at resistance... my original thesis by lightgray line (from Jul.2.), and the updated blue line.
So I think we are in a Wyckoff accumulation pattern, and this is the final stage, if the next support test will success.
Resistance : PSY leg & AR peak
Support : spring leg & SC leg
Next step : go testing support again ~19,5-20,5k, if we lucky, the test success at 21,5k, but I don't think so.
And spring confirmed by volume, I think the bottom is in ( if the next test is success! )
Clear Accumulation on CADCHFHello everyone,
This setup can be very interesting one for scalpers, I see a clear accumulation and lows being taken out before the shift and the BOS to the upside
Will wait for the price to reach my 5min demand area and retest that zone to look confirmations on much lower timeframes
Still a risky trade because the Higher Timeframe trend remain bearish so be careful.