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USDT.D Bearish Reversal Incoming Into a New Bullish Phase in BTCUSDT.D Update: Its been a while since my last USDT.D update on here since i accurately forecasted and called the top in September last year from its last distribution range. Since then, Ive been expecting USDT.D and USDC.D to continue higher into deeper premiums and into monthly and 3M supply areas, taking further BSL in the process and coming into the HTF downtrend channel high, whilst the rest of the market continued bearish after the first moves from last year. Both have done just that, pushing higher to extreme supply and heavy premium pricing. USDT.D has topped out with high volume as it come into refined extreme daily supply from the UT event in the prior distribution range, whilst taking the LQ at the 5.93% level i discussed in the market update videos. This is effectively following last points of supply from one distribution range to the next, following HTF bearish orderflow and HTF bearish structure in stablecoin dominance pairs. From the recent UTAD event we have seen bearish breakdowns on the daily timeframe on both USDT.D and and USDC.D, marking a turn in the market where things should start to get more interesting! Im looking for this again but on the weekly timeframe and monitoring for a HTF weekly close below the weekly HL, therefore putting in a LL on the weekly to give further HTF confirmations of the reversal from this area. Whats interesting at this point is the last couple days of data on both USDT.D and USDC.D and the range conditions we are now creating. For me, it looks pretty similar to the last top, where we created a distribution range in HTF supply after taking extreme key levels and LQ, putting the market in extreme fear, before slowly flipping bearish in the range before a full blown reversal and breakdown to the 3.73% level. Im expecting a bounce of some degree over the next week or so in USDT.D back into the 5.57% region where the range high sits alongside some daily and refined 12H supply zones from the UTAD event. Im looking for a push into supply forming a LPSY last point of supply in phase D, before continuing HTF bearish to target SSL on the lows of this upward trend channel with my main targets between 3.73% and 3.12%. This aligns with what im seeing in BTC as posted today on TradingView and the market, expecting a pullback to demand respectively before continued upside. I don't for see this taking the highs again above 6.24%. There is a lot of resistance and supply in this range now we have broke down and its likely we are seeing the formation of the reversal taking shape in due course. As ive stated i the most recent BTC analysis, this is a risk on situation in my opinion and i will be allocating capital to spot bags as USDT.D hits its supply levels in the range highs and as BTC comes into the daily demand levels im monitoring between $84,000 - $76,500, buying the dip whilst expecting further upside and a HL to form in BTC and new LHs in stablecoin dominance pairs. To finish, look at this chart on the daily, 2D, 3D, 4D, 5D, 1W, 2W, 3W charts and really look at the HTF closes on these candles at these highs. Theres been no HTF bullish closes above HTF supply or significant highs. Price has failed to put in new higher highs and is merely sweeping highs now with high volume rejections, volume dropping off, all whilst looking like a top imo with HTF weekly rejections all the way up to the monthly candle. 1D: 3D:https://www.tradingview.com/x/XtxjrvGR/ 1W: 1M:
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by marshyyy
5
BTC on the verge of another accumulation range breakoutMorning all! So its time for a proper set of markups having spent the last few months breaking down the charts in video format for you all. The last BTC update I gave was on 24/03, in the 4 year cycle analysis breakdown. In that video i was expecting lower pricing into SSL and the range lows once more, forming a bottoming structure before seeing a HTF bullish reversal come through, aligning with the 4 year cycle where we have time to continue higher based on past cycle data and where we are in the current cycle. A month later and we have seen that come through wonderfully after the sweep of the range lows and its time to reanalyse now the direction is changing.... BTC has formed another accumulation range down in these discounted levels over the last couple months and there was nothing really interesting taking shape until the last couple of days thats give us some real confirmation of a trend change in this accumulation range that we can now work with. Unlike the August 2024 bottom, there isnt a massive influx of volume on the sweep event. I was able to call the bottom after such a sweep and high volume event back then just days after but in this most recent range we havent seen volume like back in August 2024, so ive had to be more cautious of further downside until we get some market shift confirmations to confirm intent and be on the safer side here whilst still holding my HTF bias of new ATHs before cycle end. As shown on the charts, ive marked up the range and stages. We have carried out the sellers climax event, forming the range low, into the automatic rally (AR) forming the range high, moving into the secondary test (ST) with a failure swing back to the lows which forms the secondary test in phase B. From there we continued to range before putting in another range low deviation in the Spring event, with tests of the range low before seeing this explosive move come through from the spring event back to the range highs. Volume also supports price action with a high influx of volume on the sellers climax low, stopping the prior trend, decreasing volume in the range into supply with a further increase in buyer volume as we deviate the lows in the spring event. We have also broke structure bullish in the range and formed a HH, with a HL yet to be formed.... **So whats next? ** It seems a lot more clear now after the last couple days, and also confirms intent behind the range and i think its safe to say we have formed a bottom here and my focus is now on the upside on BTC from here. After this range high deviation into supply, in this new HH, i wouldn't be surprised to see BTC pull back to the midpoint of the range between $84,000 - $76,500, back into demand and form a last point of support/demand in the accumulation range forming a HL, before another leg higher as shown. With how price has set up, with the demand left behind in the range and the bullish intent, my focus is on BTC forming a HL from demand before a continuation higher in line with my HTF bias that we will see new ATHs again before the cycle end. This is also supported in what im seeing on USDT.D and USDC.D where they are distributing in their ranges in supply with breakdowns in both and moving to a bearish trend. Therefore, when price corrects into these levels i will be looking to allocate risk into the market during the discount of the HL and I will be looking for my buys on DOGE and any other opportunities, where im expecting higher lows in the market before continuations higher across the board. This doesnt mean everything though as many alts are yet to catch up and flip bullish, so my focus will be on the higher quality, stronger coins such as DOGE, but i expect the rest of the market to catch up eventually as BTC runs higher from these lows. 1D: 3D: 1W: 1M:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by marshyyy
BTC short term Wave countAnalyzing a Bitcoin (BTC) form Wyckoff schema in a 4H chart. We can’t determine if it’s an accumulation or distribution yet. Based on MACD and Elliott Wave Theory, I believe the chart will follow a similar pattern. However, time will determine the outcome. If BTC declines and accumulates within a shorter time frame of Elliot support levels, it could be a long trade opportunity. (This analysis is not financial advice. Your actions are solely your responsibility.)
Long
by maayan_tiran
OGKB 5M Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + biggest volume T1 level + biggest volume 2Sp- + weak test + first bullish bar close entry Calculated affordable stop limit 1/2 yearly level take profit at 0.459 1H Counter Trend "- short impulse + biggest volume TE / T1 level + support level + volumed 2Sp-" 1D Trend "+ long impulse + JOC level + support level + 1/2 correction + volumed manipulation" 1M Trend "+ long impulse (in 1d 4h) + neutral zone" 1Y CounterTrend """- short impulse + 2Sp- + perforated support level"""
RUS:OGKBLong
by MishaSuvorov
ALRS 1D Long Investment Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + volumed T1 + support level + biggest volume Sp + weak test + first bullish bar close entry Calculated affordable stop limit Take profit 1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R 1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2 1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y Calculated affordable stop limit Take profit 1/3 - 1 to 2 R/R 1/3 - 1D T2 / 1M T2 1/3 - 1/2 of 1Y Monthly CounterTrend "- short impulse + volumed TE / T1 + support level + volumed Sp + test" Yearly Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + T2 level + support level + manipulation"
RUS:ALRSLong
by MishaSuvorov
$NVIDIA ─ Wyckoff Distribution #4 aka Rising Wedge PatternVANTAGE:NVIDIA ─ Wyckoff Distribution #4 aka Rising Wedge Pattern Although Rising wedge turning into more like Rising Channel distribution idea is still valid. #2 Long Trade TP1 Hit so far 🔥 ------------ ------------ Note: This is the most positive outcome possible. As always, my play is: ✅ 50% out at TP1 ✅ Move SL to entry ✅ Pre-set the rest of the position across remaining TPs It's important to take profits along the way and not turn a winning trade into a losing trade.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Bulltro
RAMSSOL CONTINUE MARKING UPI have been following ramssol since my last position For ramssol, this is an Atypical Type #2 Re-Accumulation Schematic The Rising Bottom Based on the chart, I bought @ 6th Jan , i assumed that ramssol was at Phase D incoming to the phase E , awaiting for markup. However somehow price plummeted (18th Feb) and i managed to secure some profits. Since then, what interesting to me, is that, ramssol has 4 undercut (orange arrow) and price making uptrend -These 'undercut' can be considered as 'Stepping Stone SPRING' from the volume side, supply successfuly absorbed with succesful test of the 'Spring' Position initiated as attached Pure Wyckoff Tight SL
MYX:RAMSSOLLong
by drsyariz
$NIO Wyckoff Accumulation – Schematic #1 or #2 in PlayMy base case at the moment is Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #2 , where the Secondary Test ( ST-B ) could mark the very bottom. This idea will be validated for me especially if we see interaction with the High Time Frame Channel projection. Green Zone: We have multiple levels of confluence around this zone: 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement from the 2020 low to the 2021 top MO – Monthly Open level Volume cluster from previous local consolidation Blue Zone: If price drops as low as VAL, I expect it to be just a quick, volatile wick breaching into the Blue Zone. High Time Frame Channel projection:
NYSE:NIOLong
by Bulltro
3
F 1H Swing Long Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade - long impulse - volumed T2 + support level + 1/2 correction + biggest volume Sp Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Day Trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction - neutral zone - context direction short" Month CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1/2 correction - unvolumed T1 + support level + long volume distribution + biggest volume manipulation" Year Trend "+ long impulse + volumed T2 level + volumed 2Sp+ + 1/2 correction + weak test"
NYSE:FLong
by MishaSuvorov
LCID looks like it could hit a nice 50% popBasically been in an extended downtrend since the SPAC merger in '21. I have seen sporadic bullish news fundamental wise but those I take with a grain of salt. What has really snagged my attention is we broke out of the falling wedge on the weekly, made a lower low, catching out people who took the breakout early, we bounced up, double topped, generating some decent liquidity above those 5-6 highs to our immediate left. On top of that when we came in for the 2nd bottom we put in a pretty clean accumulation schematic, volume jiving on cue. Daily P pattern on the TPO, bull flag on the 15, the more I look, the more I like it. Much love and good luck!
NASDAQ:LCIDLong
by Trend_Chasin
1