AMC -- Creek Finding Tool -- BETAThis week, I've been experimenting with a method of anticipating creek cross moments across a number of securities. Of course, my intention is to create a reliable indicator to overlay on Wyckoff accumulations in order to understand where the high pressure domes of selling, which pin price down, exist and to recognize as early as possible when one of those zones has been crossed.
In Wyckoff, the creek has long been thought of as a meandering band which winds arbitrarily through the trading range, pinning the price below it. And, a strong cross above that line, usually with a long green candle is a sign that buying has overwhelmed selling pressure and a markup phase has begun. But, what if, in the age of algorithmic trading, there is a predictable rhythm to the formation of the creek?
WIth this tool, I'm using Sine Waves pinned to volume spikes (to determine wave length) and Fib Retracement (to determine amplitude.)
The three creeks being tracked here are:
Creek 1: Yellow --
Creek 2: Red -- This resistance band is tied to the regional low (measured from the terminal shakeout spring from the previous trading range) & current high (marked UT). It has been pinning price lower and lower in the trading range and carried us toward the ultimate spring (which I mistimed with the path I drew yesterday.)
Creek 3: Green --
As always, this chart is open source. Please feel free to click "share" then "make it mine" in order to play with it for yourself.
Wyckoffaccumulation
AMC -- Creek Finder -- BETAThis week, I've been experimenting with a method of anticipating creek cross moments across a number of securities. Of course, my intention is to create a reliable indicator to overlay on Wyckoff accumulations in order to understand where the high pressure domes of selling, which pin price down, exist and to recognize as early as possible when one of those zones has been crossed.
In Wyckoff, the creek has long been thought of as a meandering band which winds arbitrarily through the trading range, pinning the price below it. And, a strong cross above that line, usually with a long green candle is a sign that buying has overwhelmed selling pressure and a markup phase has begun. But, what if, in the age of algorithmic trading, there is a predictable rhythm to the formation of the creek?
WIth this tool, I'm using Sine Waves pinned to volume spikes (to determine wave length) and Fib Retracement (to determine amplitude.)
The three creeks being tracked here are:
Creek 1: Green -- This is the earliest creek established by a reverse fib extension drawn from the buying climax down to the selling climax. As you can see, once across this creek, the price ran to UT. Also note how it acts as a reversal indicator. If above this wave with diminishing volume, you can expect a reversal. I see this creek as a key area to cross early the week of Dec. 27th.
Creek 2: Red -- This resistance band is tied to the regional low (measured from the terminal shakeout spring from the previous trading range) & current high (marked UT). It has been pinning price lower and lower in the trading range and carried us toward the ultimate spring (which I mistimed with the path I drew yesterday.)
Creek 3: Yellow -- For this creek, I'm speculating that the move from the lower trading range may repeat. In that lower trading range, a fib pulled from the deepest spring to the apex of reaction out of it defined the lower yellow band. Once across, a retest propelled the price out of the trading range. So, here, I'm anticipating a similar uprise out of the spring formed on Dec. 23rd to a high near the bottom of the macro trading range (marked SOS on this chart) before a meaningful reversal. A cross and retest which sends the price up and out of this trading range would be a significant finding of this tool.
As always, this chart is open source. Please feel free to click "share" then "make it mine" in order to play with it for yourself.
BTCUSDT 4HHi everybody
I think in HIGH TF (D & W) #BTC is in downtrend. (a long shot is 29K $)
Volume is getting low and lower
***
The support zone (40K ~ 42K $) is strong and if it broke it will go to 29K
***
For short-term I saw a ACC wyckoff range.
There is liquidity on 45,500 $. it is going to break. and also look at the volume
I placed two position. wait for conformation.
***
It is a personal opinion.
Thanks
EURAUD, looking for positions at LPS, Wyckoff method in ForexEURAUD Wyckoff analysis
Looking for long positions at LPS.
We need wait to see price action and confirmation in LTF.
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Let's see another precision Gold and Bitcoin trading ideas below
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🔰 Attention about this Wyckoff analysis
This is my personal idea and analysis only.
Let's see it as an example or a reference.
You also need your own analysis as well and manage risks.
GBPJPY more than 350 pips from our Wyckoff analysisRecap from our previous Wyckoff analysis
See it below
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You also need your own analysis as well and manage risks.
(Update) Bitcoin Wyckoff analysis - More than 280 pipsWe had a confirmation with small Wyckoff accumulation range in 5m time frame.
Our target at Quasimodo level on above chart.
Let's see another precision Gold and Bitcoin trading ideas below
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🔰 Attention about this Bitcoin analysis
This is my personal idea and analysis only.
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You also need your own analysis as well and manage risks.
GBPJPY update, price re-test last point of supportWill we have to change the view?
I'd like to see price testing Last Point of Support.
LPS is also a un-test Demand.
If this level can't hold, we also have to change our view from accumulation to distribution.
I'm waiting to see price action before enter my positions.
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This is my personal idea and analysis only.
Let's see it as an example or an education content.
You also need your own analysis as well and manage risks.
Gold analysis today, an ideal XAUUSD plan before ChristmasThis is a Gold short-term Wyckoff analysis and just see it as a idea only.
NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE !!
Here's a accumulation range in 6h time frame
In previous P&F chart, our estimate target around 1813.5. Price was reacted at 1814 level like we were saw on the chart.
Now, we can see an Equal Highs at 1815 level. Liquidity above there.
So, I'd like to see price testing Last Point of Support.
If this level can hold in sessions on Monday or Tuesday , Gold will re-test 1815-1818 level to grab liquidity from Short-side.
There're some key-level that we're marked.
Support is 1790-1991, 1780-1782 and below 1770-1773
Gold could be in the range til end of 2021.
Ideal plan for Gold is price re-test below level then it'll continuing go upward to 1825, 1833, 1845 or higher levels.
At these levels, if we see rejection of price, we can test short positions to below zone.
I'm waiting to see price action and confirmation before enter my positions.
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You also need your own analysis as well and manage risks.
Bitcoin short-term Wyckoff analysis, will price re-test 50k ?This is a Bitcoin short-term Wyckoff analysis and just see it as a idea only.
NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE !!
Here's a small accumulation range in 30m timeframe
In lower TF, price make HH and move in compression to take liquidity.
I'd like to see price testing Last Point of Support. LPS is also a un-test Demand.
If this level can hold, price will re-test above level like 50k.
Target is Quasimodo Level on above chart.
I'm waiting to see price action before enter my positions.
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You also need your own analysis as well and manage risks.
Will Ethereum accumulate til end 2021 ? Wyckoff analysisEthereum Wyckoff Analysis & Forecast
Price may move in the accumulation range
And it can take up to 2 weeks to get out of this range.
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This is my personal idea and analysis only.
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Will GBPUD reverse at 1.319 level? Wyckoff analysis in ForexGBPUSD Wyckoff Analysis
I'm waiting to see price testing lower zone.
There's a Quasimodo level confluence with Bullish Engulf candlestick.
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You also need your own analysis as well and manage risks.
Is Bitcoin in a small accumulation range? Wait for testingWyckoff Analysis in Crypto trading
Volume is low now.
I'm waiting to see price testing lower zone.
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You also need your own analysis as well and manage risks.
ETHUSD in a small accumulation range, Wyckoff analysis in cryptoWaiting at LPS - Last Point of Support
We need confirmation before enter any positions.
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You also need your own analysis as well and manage risks.
Accumulation: Wyckoff Events on $AVAX/BUSDPS—preliminary support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
SC—selling climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
AR—automatic rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR.
ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC.
Test—Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume.
SOS—sign of strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action.
LPS—last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term.
BU—“back-up”. This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
AAVE in accumulation scheme, wyckoff analysisDo you like this crypto trading idea?
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AVAX accumulation, Wyckoff analysis in crypto tradingDo you trading crypto?
AVAX in accumulation scheme
I'd like to see price retrace back to "Backup".
Wait to see a confirmation before enter positions to minimize risk.
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Attention about this Wyckoff analysis
This is my personal idea and analysis , please just see it as an example for reference .
You also need your own judgment, analysis as well as a trading plan to manage risks when trading Forex.
This is a free blog sharing trading ideas.
Z Concepts is a forex and cryptocurrency trading strategy that combines Wyckoff, supply and demand , price action, and some other modern technical analysis .
Happy Trading !
AMC -- The Road Up Goes Down, Part 1This chart is going to go with the next one I post. To understand my thinking here, you'll need to see a more macro view of AMC's chart.
This is an accumulation within the phase C "spring" of the spring phase of the June to Present re-accumulation. It's The Inception of Springs. For the last three days after what many (including myself) believed to be a terminal shakeout, the deep plunge did not create the kind of upward thrust we needed to break out of this trading range. From where we sit, I see three possible paths:
1. (in pink) we finally respect support and begin to climb out of this trading range toward the accumulation
2. (in purple) we breakdown back into the trading range, but follow Wyckoff accumulation schematic 2 and LPS above the low set by the sell test in phase B
3. (in yellow) we form a deeper spring beneath this micro trading range
If I had to guess, I would say that all signs point to yellow, for me. The next chart will help clarify my rationale -- and I don't believe this move will be long-lasting -- but, now that we're here, we have an opportunity to fill the gap at $16.95, and I think it's in our best interest to take that opportunity. Doing this will not only fill the gap, it will bring us into the golden pocket of the stock's all time trading range, from January's low to June's ATH. The two dotted green lines represent the golden pocket of that fib (which will be more clearly seen in the next chart.
I remain incredibly bullish in the long-term on AMC, but admit that there are a couple of important boxes to tick, since we've broken so far below the re-accumulation's trading range.
This is one of those instances in which I'm simply trying to illustrate what I see -- right or wrong, I'm an AMC long who will be hodl-ing with you all through whatever comes our way.
Wyckoff Accumulation Bitcoin 4H and 1H update.Since the Spring of the Wyckoff Accumulation, we were able to predict the flow of Bitcoins price by following the Wyckoff market cycle.
We are now in phase D, were we will start the clear Sign of Strength move by creating our last point of support.
This will be confirmed if price comes back down to the $47,700 - $47,300 range, creating a higher low on the 1 and 4 hour charts.
If price were to fall to these levels, we are predicting that price will not stay there more than 4-8 hours before rallying back up to our current resistance levels of $49,000 - $49,700.
EGLD: Wyckoff accumulation schematic #2The previous linked Wyckoff idea was invalidated today after having a lower low.
The traditional one can still take place.
Wyckoff Accumulation Bitcoin 4HAccording to Wyckoff, the market can be understood and anticipated through detailed analysis of supply and demand, which can be ascertained from studying price action, volume and time.
PS—preliminary support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
SC—selling climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
AR—automatic rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR.
ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC.
Test—Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume.
SOS—sign of strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action.
LPS—last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term.
BU—“back-up”. This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
Gold Wyckoff AccumulationHello Traders
We are nearing the end of a 3 weeks trading range on gold.
Liquidity for demand was grabbed at the lower levels all this time and we might be on to another Lower Low and/or Spring action for an explosive rally to the upside.
Possible TP would be 1825, and any long term TP could be the 1900s, but as always with gold, tread very carefully and dont over leverage before considering any long term investments.
As always, stay safe with your trades and always wait for for range tests confirmations before making your entries.
Goodluck !