WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION XAUUSDBeautiful real-time example of WYCKOFF Distribution happening currently with Gold.
1. PSY = Preliminary Supply
2. BCLX= Buying Climax
3. AR = Automatic Response
4. ST = Secondary Test under BCLX
5. SOW = Sign Of Weakness
6. LPSY = Last-Point of Supply (Usually PSY=LPSY***)
Wyckoff distribution is the Systematic selling by Institutions.
Wyckoffdistribution
US30 POSSIBLE "SELL/SHORT" AND/OR "BUY/LONG" PLEASE READ!!!!Alright folks, just bare with me on this analysis as I think we are at such a pivotal point in the current state of our markets and economy. So lets begin, this idea at the moment will be posted as neutral.
From a Technicals standpoint, I am a trader that follows some ICT methods, along with Wyckoff and others work and combined it into my own Strategy. I play price as almost as if it is hunting for a play.
So on the Higher time frames I'm Recognizing:
SELLING SCENARIO:
FOLLOW BIG RED ARROW FOR SELLER SCENARIO
- An ICT SELL Model
- Price Broke Structure and is Retesting a Bearish Order blocl
- Reversal Candle on the weekly
- Every time Price Breaks a Higher high it is followed by severe distribution (A sign institutions are selling)
- We are also at the equilibrium of our last weeks range
IF PRICE SELLS/ Rejects on the 1-4hr TIME FRAME AT OUR BEARISH ORDER BLOCK:
- I will be looking to short to the imbalance between 34485 and 34285
BUYER SCENARIO:
FOLLOW BIG GREEN ARROW FOR BUYER SCENARIO
- Price Retested a very strong liquidity zone
- The Weekly close occurred above the area of liquidity Acting as a strong Base of demand that will move price bullish
- Really strong demand for price at a 34840 levels
- Price is still creating higher highs on the daily time frame
IF PRICE BUYS AT OUR Point of interest:
- I will be looking for the price to test this block as breaker block for buy entry to 35364
As always a look into fundamentals is very crucial while trading in confluence with your technicals:
Lets look at some previous weeks news/ Macro Economics price fluctuations:
- FED announced the tapering of bonds
- Gold has dropped over 1000 points (giving signs of deflationary period in our economy)
- COVID DELTA Variant is back, cases are rising
- High inflation in grocery prices and Gas
- Deflation occurring in some commodities
- Infrastructure Bill Passed
- Consumer spending reports show a decrease in consumer spending
- Retail sales down
All in all,its a must to keep everything in mind MY Personal "OPINION" is the markets will sell this week HOWEVER, MY BIAS WILL STAY NEUTRAL. AS HUNTERS, we might want 17 pointer but sometimes you get 12 pointer or baby deer. So As always stay blessed happy trading week Follow for more in depth analysis!!
Murtzaa Out
Wykoff Distribution! Potential Dump or Paranoia?I've been right and wrong before, but the recent pattern I am seeing with BTC looks kind of familiar. In the back of my head, I still have that 20-25k target. The recent pattern BTC has been making has me slightly worried as it oddly resembles a Wyckoff distribution, but on a tiny scale. Or perhaps it is just paranoia. Either way, not sure if I am betting on a dump yet, but I did set limit orders for my target lows. I have this saying where "the price you want always exists." My gut tells me 20-25k. When? I don't know, but I would bet it will happen eventually. I am not a bull or bear right now, just skeptical. Especially with how the world is turning out. Let me know your thoughts!
BTW check out my old ETH chart. Maybe I'm psychic??
A Crypto Wyckoff Distribution PatternFull Credit to this article on Wykoff Distribution and video.
The reason this pattern caught my eye on a custom 3d timescale are the first 3 events of Phase A lining up perfectly in a cyclical pattern.
I'll update the pattern as it continues prove / disprove.
Phase and Definitions in italics are taken directly from the article .
PHASE A
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PSY - Preliminary Supply
The first peak is the Preliminary Supply or PSY, which is where some retail traders start to sell
BC - Buying Climax
Around this time inexperienced investors start to come in and this causes the Buying Climax or BC shortly after the PSY
AR - Automatic Reaction
This is where institutions start to sell their assets to the newcomers, and this is the Automatic Reaction or AR price tip.
ST - Secondary Retest <--- WE ARE HERE
After some time, the institutions will ease off some of the sell pressure and the market will spike back up to form the Secondary Retest or ST, which is usually just below the BC retail rally.
PHASE B
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As with Phase A of the accumulation, pattern institutions will occasionally push up the price to keep retail interest and confidence high while they secretly sell.
SOW - Sign of Weakness
UT - Up Thrust
PHASE C
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In Phase C of the distribution pattern, we see something called the Upthrust After Distribution or UTAD.
UTAD - Upthrust After Distribution
Whereas the spring is meant to shake out the retail investors, the UTAD is meant to get as many retail investors to buy in as possible through the fomo it causes.
Institutions start to aggressively sell to these investors causing the price to fall. This price collapse continues in Phase D of the distribution pattern.
PHASE D
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The brief pause in the drop is marked by the Last Point Pf Supply or LPSY and is followed by a Sign Of Weakness or SOW, which falls below the support line drawn by the automatic reaction.
LPSY - Last Point of Supply
SOW - Sign of Weakness
PHASE E
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Phase E of the distribution pattern usually blends with phase a of the accumulation pattern, which readies the market for another run-up.
GBPUSD Downward Correction | Market outlookSterling declined against dollar on Friday as strong jobs report boosted greenback across the board. Labor Department statistics showed U.S. job growth rose solidly in July amid demand for workers in the labor-intensive services industry. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 943,000 jobs last month after rising 938,000 in June, the department said in its closely watched employment report. The British pound fell nearly 0.4%.
We will likely see possible movements downwards before Bullish trend continuation.
XAUUSD | Market outlook Gold prices are showing moderate growth during the morning session, returning to an uptrend after multidirectional dynamics the day before, which did not allow XAU/USD to consolidate at new local highs since August 6. The instrument was pressured yesterday by the massive growth of USD across the entire spectrum of the market in response to increased alarming sentiment regarding the new strain of coronavirus. The strengthening of USD was not prevented by the weak macroeconomic statistics from the USA on the dynamics of retail sales, which only contributed to the risk-aversion of investors. Additional pressure on gold quotes was exerted by a decrease in the yield of 10-year US Treasury bonds, which renewed their two-week lows the day before.
EURAUD - SHORT - WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION AND DAILY SUPPLY ZONEEUR/AUD looks bearish on the Daily timeframe, when scaling down on the 4hr timeframe you can see the potential for a Wyckoff Distribution occurring. It looks as though we are entering Phase C of the Distribution and the potential for a UTAD to form.
Further confluence is found in the long term downward channel, a false breakout would tie into the Wyckoff analysis. At the top end of the channel resistance is a strong Daily supply zone (in yellow). This occurs near the 61.8% Fibo so provides further confluence.
I would look for price action confirmation either within the Supply zone or near the top of the channel, both would be taken as the UTAD formation and I would then initiate a short trade.
READY TO SHORT SILVERSilver might see a sell in coming weeks after price breaking the 24 usd recent lower low. This may signify a break of market structure forming what would be supposedly be a major sign of weakness. It would be quite nice if we see a retracement to the upside until 27.750 level before going down. Once that level holds we can be sure of an impulsive down trend
AUDUSD - SHORTAUDUSD is on the way to hit weekly demand zone. It's clearly shows that AUDUSD is making distribution.
I am sharing this post now & I'll update the trade setup after getting some of my personal confirmation. if you want further info, don't hesitate to ask me.
Text me in Tradingview.
Thank you.!
Time to Dump BTCHello Traders!
BTC was strong bearish today but now it is losing the strength as it has formed a J pattern and There is a pattern at the top which means it is ready to crash hard.
BTC previously has formed Wyckoff's Distribution pattern and it dropped after that and I also gave a sniper Entry for Buyers which worked Perfectly.
It will move now with Lower High Lower Low formation.
Don't forget to hit the like button and follow to stay connected.
CHZUSDT Sell: Wyckoff's DistributionHello Traders!
The market was strong Bullish but it looks like it is at its peak.
CHZ has formed Wyckoff's DIstribution pattern and now it's at the peak which is Called Utad. Every UTAD forms some kind of pattern and it is now forming a pattern that will push it downside to Test the AR level.
Stoploss is 6% of the investment and the target is 16% of the investment.
Don't forget to hit the like button and follow to stay connected.
distribution price cycleThe distribution phase is the third stage of the cycle and it is where the bears are attempting to regain
authority over the market
The price action on this chart at this stage is flat. One indication that the market is in the distribution
phase will be the sustained failure of price to create higher lows/bottoms on the chart.
The price action begins to create Lower tops which is a sign that the market is experiencing a sell off
When trading stocks during this phase the composite operators are selling the shares they own.
Smart Money Concepts Diagram With Wyckoff SchematicsThis is a Smart Money Concepts Diagram With Labeled Wyckoff Accumulation And Distribution Schematics.
These are the main smart money trade setups that you will find in your charts, this is how smart money (big banks, funds, composite man, etc.) manipulate markets to engineer liquidity.
Wyckoff methods teach a bigger picture view of the markets and why they are moving, many times you will see smart money setups inside of bigger picture Wyckoff schematics that form certain parts of the schematic itself.
I hope you find this to be a useful reference diagram for Smart Money trade setups 😁
If you have any questions please comment below and I can make updates to the F.A.Q.
EURUSD | Market outlook EUR shows mixed trading dynamics against USD during the Asian session, consolidating after a strong decline last Friday, which was due to the publication of a strong report on the US labor market for July. EUR continues to trade near the local lows since April 5, waiting for new drivers to appear on the market. However, today there will be few interesting macroeconomic statistics from the US and Europe, and therefore the "bearish" trend can be further developed. Anyway, the data released in the United States reflected an increase in Nonfarm Payrolls in July by 943K after an increase of 938K in June. Analysts predicted a decrease to 870K. The Unemployment Rate in July fell sharply from 5.9% to 5.4%, while investors had expected a decline to only 5.7%.