AUDUSD DISTRIBUTION 1D - Shows consolidation toward resistant.
1HR - Consolidation headed toward PHASE E (mark-down). Currently giving us a confirmation.
15MIN - Flag has been formed with candlesticks respecting new resistance.
OVERALL - Currently in last few stages of distribution; waiting for markdown.
Wyckoffdistribution
Wyckoff theory: GBP/AUD Application (short opportunity) Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice. The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and Mark Down.
Two Rules of Richard Wyckoff
The Wyckoff theory is based primarily on price action and the different cyclical stages the market falls in to. It is essential that we discuss two important rules stated in his book “Charting the Stock Market”. These two essential rules are paraphrased below.
The first rule of Richard Wyckoff states that the market never behaves the same way. Price action will never create a move in exactly the same way that it did in the past. The market is truly unique.
The second Richard Wyckoff rule is related to the first one. It states that since every price move is unique, its analytical importance comes when compared to previous price behavior.
Bitcoin has now broken below 9k. Were you surprised?If you guys saw my other BTC post (link: ) then you would know I had been mentioning this distribution schematic for some time, and we have now broken below 9k giving it a lot more validation. We are now trading under 8750, and price is looking quite bearish. I think this 8k range might be just a temporary stopping point before we eventually head down into the 7k region. The 9k region should act as a major resistance level now as well. Also, for any crypto traders out there, Binance just launched their US exchange (Binance US.) If you need a link to go sign up, click here--> www.binance.us
-This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and own due-diligence before investing and trading, as for investing and trading comes with high amounts of risk. I am not liable for any incurred losses or financial distress.
XAUUSD - GoldWere getting close to our ultimate distribution zones and I'm looking specifically at 3 possible entries for this to fall long term. Wyckoff distribution phases playing out quite nicely also. so sometime this week we should see the drop off to the open orders from the 31st July 2019 starting the price level of 1431.25
It's nearly go time!
PATIENCE - CONFIRMATION - ENTRY - PROFIT
EURUSD - SELLBreakout after Re-distribution (which was also a descending triangle). There was a fakeout to the upside yesterday with massive volume but price has now broken out to the downside today. Shout things play out, I expect price to go down to it's key level of 1.1000 if it breaks support at 1.10298, where I'll be looking to take partials and move stops to breakeven.
BITCOIN BATTLE CONTINUES - KEY LEVELS APPROACHING!Since the climactic action in Bitcoin in late June, price has entered a trading range and we have had the signs of Wyckoff distribution. We will need to see the confirmation of the weakness on the right hand side of the trading range. The characteristics of distribution and re-accumulation can be very similar.
A buying climax followed by an automatic reaction and the secondary test. The secondary test was on lighter volume indicating demand may have eased. We also couldn't reach the top of the trading range.
Price failed at $13,200 with supply entering the market. This level may be tested in the future if we do see a rally higher. Although we are making lower highs, an indication of the downtrend establishing.
Mid July we saw the bottom of the trading range tested and a minor sign of weakness. The price sliced through $10,000 on large volume and spread indicating large supply levels entering the market. We didn't see any follow through lower and this was the first sign that bitcoin may need to go sideways longer to build that cause for the next trend move. The first key level to watch is $10,520.30 - the top of the supply bar. This is the highest volume on the chart since the buying climax. Price has just moved through this area in the last 4 hours. The next few bars will be interesting.
18th July was the first sign of any demand entering the market and price rallied higher on nice volume and spread. We have seen this level defended on four occasions now. There are two ways to interpret this - the smart money is not allowing price to fall lower or they have not distributed fully yet and are doing this on the rallies higher. By 21st July the demand had eased and price had to fall to find further demand. We did see a spring of this area on July 29 and rallied strongly thereafter. Price rallied to $12,325 before stalling.
The second key level I want to talk about is $10,974.63 - this has been a flip area for support and resistance since the supply came in at this level back in early July and may be a crucial level moving forward. Look at how many times on the chart price has bounced higher or lower off it. Look at 5th August, it was the first time in a while that price could break through this level. It was no coincidence that there is a large range demand bar starting at that level. It is the area where demand overcame supply. Unfortunately there wasn't much follow through higher after this and price trending sideways before failing again.
In mid august the bottom of the trading range was tested and defended again.
We have certainly now built enough cause for a move. We need to see the confirmation on the right hand side of the chart. A large demand bar that takes out these levels and rallies higher or a large collapse and supply bar taking out the bottom of the trading range. Either way there is a nice moving coming and patience is the key.
So keep your eye on $10,974.63 in the near future!
AUD/USD - SECOND DISTRIBUTION PATTERN FORMING - HEADING LOWER?A clear second distribution pattern is forming.
We have selling into the moves higher on the recent BC and ST by the looks of the volume.
We are also approaching a re-test of the AR in the first larger distribution pattern.
The downward trend that has formed also indicates a re-test approaching.
Watching this closely for some reversal signals to get into a longer term short trade.
Do your own research and good luck.
BTC running out of steamA quick TA on the BTCUSD charts!
In the past weeks, quite clearly we are seeing price action of BTC within a narrowing upward channel, holding quite diligently to the 50MA (in green).
However, we are starting to see weakness in the bulls as volume seems to be diminishing, and a clear MACD divergence printed. The ADX is also starting to show signs of weakness in momentum, and smaller DI divergence.
According to this analysis, unless the bulls come in strong, the likelihood of a 'distribution period' (see wyckoff market cycles) may be in play. We may see a 'spring' attempt to breakout from the narrowing upward channel only to result in a fakeout, followed by a dramatic markdown. Alternatively, if the 50MA and lower support trendline fails, the markdown may be sooner.