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Wyckoffdistribution

Wyckoff Accumulation & DistributionThe Wyckoff Method, pioneered by Richard Wyckoff, a prominent figure in the early 1900s stock market, remains a powerful technical analysis-based trading approach. This article delves into the intricacies of the Wyckoff Accumulation and Distribution phases, fundamental to this method. Who was Richard Wyckoff? Richard Wyckoff, a highly successful American stock market investor of his time, stands as a pioneer in technical analysis. He transitioned from accumulating personal wealth to addressing what he perceived as market injustices, devising the Wyckoff Method to empower traders against market manipulation. Through various platforms like his own Magazine of Wall Street and Stock Market Technique, Wyckoff disseminated his insights. The Wyckoff Method: Wyckoff proposed that markets undergo distinct phases: Accumulation and Distribution. These phases guide traders on when to accumulate or distribute their positions, forming the core of the method. The Wyckoff Accumulation Phase: This phase materializes as a sideways, range-bound period subsequent to a prolonged downtrend. During this stage, significant players seek to establish positions without causing dramatic price drops. The accumulation phase comprises six integral components, each serving a vital role: Preliminary Support (PS): As signs of the downtrend ending emerge, high volume and wider spreads surface. Buyers initiate interest, suggesting the end of selling dominance. Selling Climax (SC): Characterized by intense selling pressure and panic selling, this phase represents a sharp price decline. Often, price closes well above the lowest point. Automatic Rally (AR): Late sellers experience a reversal, driven by short sellers covering positions. This phase sets the upper range limit for subsequent consolidation. Secondary Test (ST): Controlled retesting of lows with minimal volume increase indicates potential reversal. Spring: A deceptive move resembling a downtrend resumption, designed to deceive and shakeout participants. Last Point of Support, Back Up, and Sign of Strength (LPS, BU, SOS): Clear shifts in price action mark the transition into the range's start. A rapid, one-sided move signifies buyer control, often following the spring. Wyckoff Distribution Cycle: Following Accumulation, the Wyckoff Distribution phase unfolds. This cycle consists of five phases: Preliminary Supply (PSY): Dominant traders initiate selling after a notable price rise, leading to increased trading volume. Buying Climax (BC): Retail traders enter positions, driving further price increase. Dominant traders capitalize on premium prices to sell. Automatic Reaction (AR): The end of the BC phase brings a price drop due to decreased buying. High supply causes a decline to the AR level. Secondary Test (ST): Price retests the BC range, assessing supply and demand balance. Sign of Weakness, Last Point of Supply, Upthrust After Distribution (SOW, LPSY, UTAD): SOW signals price weakness, LPSY tests support, and UTAD might occur near cycle's end, pushing the upper boundary. Wyckoff Reaccumulation and Redistribution Cycles: Reaccumulation occurs during uptrends, as dominant traders accumulate shares during price pauses. Redistribution, during downtrends, begins with sharp price rallies as short sellers capitalize. Dominant traders strategically enter positions during these rallies. Wyckoff's Foundational Concepts: Law of Supply and Demand: Prices rise when demand is high and supply is low. Prices fall when supply is high and demand is low. Balanced supply and demand lead to stable prices. Law of Cause and Effect: Price changes are driven by specific underlying factors. Price rises result from accumulation phases, while drops arise from distribution phases. Law of Effort vs. Result: Trading volume should match price movement. Deviations signal potential shifts in market sentiment or upcoming opportunities. The Wyckoff Method is relevant to all markets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, where supply and demand play a crucial role in influencing price movements.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALEducation
by Vestinda
1
Wyckoff Cycle - AMD Setup 📊🎢🔍 Phase 1: Accumulation 📈 Imagine a market that's been in a downtrend, beaten down and disheartened. This is the accumulation phase, where savvy investors slowly start scooping up assets at bargain prices. It's like finding hidden treasures amidst the rubble. Prices might move sideways or slightly up, creating a sense of stability. 🎭 Phase 2: Manipulation 🕵️‍♂️ As accumulation continues, the market sentiment shifts. The smart money players start flexing their muscles. Prices might experience sharp upward spikes, tricking the crowd into believing a new bullish trend has begun. This is the manipulation phase – a time when market manipulation is at its peak. The goal? To create FOMO (fear of missing out) and draw in unsuspecting traders. 📉 Phase 3: Distribution 📉 Just when everyone thinks the party is getting started, reality checks in. The market takes a nosedive, catching the latecomers off-guard. This is the distribution phase – where the smart money players start offloading their assets at inflated prices. The unsuspecting crowd buys in, only to face a sudden and often brutal downturn. 💡 The Cycle's Dance: Accumulation, manipulation, and distribution create a rhythm that repeats in the market. It's like a choreographed dance between the smart money and the crowd's emotions. Understanding this cycle can give traders a leg up in spotting potential trends. 📊 Mapping Opportunities: Traders keen on capitalizing on the Wyckoff cycle often look for signs of accumulation, observe price manipulation tactics, and stay cautious during distribution. It's all about knowing the dance steps and staying ahead of the game. So, what's the bottom line in the Wyckoff cycle? 🎢 It's a market ballet of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution – a sequence driven by the dynamics of smart money and crowd sentiment. By recognizing these phases, traders can potentially align their strategies for a smoother dance through the market's twists and turns. Stay curious, stay vigilant, and keep your eyes on the dance floor of trading opportunities! 🚀🕺 ❗See related ideas below❗ Follow + Like this post and leave a nice comment, it will allow me to move faster and make more useful content! 💚💚💚
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Potential conclusion to the cable run.Based on an adjusted Wyckoff Distribution schematic and a simple Supply ad Demand overview, the observation that the GBPUSD has reached a temporary climax can be considered. We've recently seen a correction to the main impulse made on the 15th of June, mitigating any form of imbalance. This balances out the forces of supply & demand, of which, now the declining price and volume indicate an increasing supply and a declining demand which is likely to lead to bearish momentum towards previous 1H order blocks such as the one around 1.253
Short
by JadenAlexander
C3.AI: AI = SHORT - wyckoff distribution & bearish divergence1st - Bearish Divergence: RSI & MFI on 1D & 1W chart 2nd - Wyckoff Method: Distribution TR phase C (UTAD TEST) more pronounced in the 4&1H charts. Analysis: There seems to be weakness in the stock, and despite the recent highs and uptick in volume the exhaustion can be seen per the TA presented. BUT REMEMBER, the AI craze is still on going and this could be invalidated in minutes if the whales choose to push the price higher. Targets if you trust the analysis: Its pretty simple, I use fib retracement levels 21% and 38.2% as targets. remember to use risk management and positioning! *THIS IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE, JUST SHARING MY ANALYSIS AND INTERNAL THOUGHTS TO MYSELF*
NYSE:AIShort
by Isranuell
3
The Bears Can Smell The MenstruationExpected Path (solid black): - Drop to 396-401 by May 5th (this would mean a very bearish upcoming week - has the setup if SPY stays under 418, I'm seeing gap down next Monday and then sell off) - Then bounce to test 408-412 by May 12th; if rejected under 412 then it will continue back down to 388-393 range by end of May Most Bearish path - solid pink (head and shoulders break down, seeing distribution recently at the 410-415 levels): - Drop to 385-388 by May 12th - I'm in puts obviously because this is possible More Likely Bearish path (dashed red) - Drop to 398 - 402 by May 19th - If 400 holds as support I'll become bullish Alt Path - Bullish (dashed green) - Run to 418-423 by May 11th, then pullback to test 414-416 for support - If that were to play out then a break back above 423 could send it to 430 (in which case the bears would Still be able to smell the menstruation and it would get wrekd) In summary, breakdown level is 401.48; breakout level is 422.99 I'm expecting SPY to be trading near 406 in July, but until then there will be tradable swings in the 380-430 range. Regaurds ~ Brick.
AMEX:SPYShort
by JerryManders
16
ABBV more probable to go down first before reaching ATHThis idea is based on Wyckoff's method for determining price objectives using the Point & Figure count of distribution ranges. We can a distribution ranges following schematic 2 for Wyckoff's distribution. If we take count the ranges separately, this yields a potential reversal zone between 118.50 and 94.50 dollar per share. Personally I am intend to buy if price reached 106.50 (mid point) All other information is on the chart. Good luck, NQDecipher
NYSE:ABBVShort
by NQunlocked
Dollar General has more downside and reversal zone identifiedThis idea is based on Wyckoff's method for determining price objectives using the Point & Figure count of the distribution ranges. We can see a complex distribution range existing of 2 different types of distribution patterns at the top. The yellow range is based on Wyckoff's distribution schematic 1 and the white range is showing a type 2 distribution schematic. If we take count the ranges separately, this yields a potential reversal zone between 108.50 and 89.50 dollar per share. All other information is on the chart. Good luck, NQDecipher
NYSE:DGShort
by NQunlocked