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Wyckoffmethod

EUR/USD Shorts from 1.05600 back downThis week, my analysis for EUR/USD aligns closely with GBP/USD, as both pairs have exhibited bearish momentum. However, there are subtle differences in price action as we approach the final month of the year. A key focus is the 4-hour supply zone around 1.05600, which initiated a break of structure to the downside. Once price reaches this area, I’ll look for redistribution on the lower timeframes to confirm a potential sell. If the price moves higher, the 2-hour supply zone just above offers an even better opportunity for shorts. Confluences for EUR/USD Sells: - Liquidity Below: Significant downside liquidity remains untapped. - Bearish Momentum: The pair has been bearish for the past two weeks. - Break of Structure: Key levels have broken to the downside on the higher timeframe. - DXY Correlation: The dollar index (DXY) supports this bearish setup. - Key Supply Zone: The 4-hour supply zone caused the initial bearish move. Note: If price mitigates the 5-hour demand zone, I may consider a counter-trend buy to take price back up toward the supply zone. However, if this demand zone fails, it will trigger another break of structure (BOS), prompting me to identify a new supply zone for potential shorts. Stay disciplined and have a strong trading week—let’s close Q4 on a high note!
Short
by Hassan_fx
December 11 2024 - Buy Limit Activated GBPJPY TRADEAs I checked one of my favorite pair in forex, I noticed that gbpjpy moving a bullish direction. One thing is certain here I will ride the pullback if supply was introduced in this market aiming for buy limit pending order in important swing low with demand. If you will noticed my chart during london session supply was introduced to mitigate Demand zone with validity. I like to trade demand and supply area with "PROOF". Please check my charts for additional information. RR: 1:4 Intraday (London-New york Session ) ATR: during that time = 10 #wyckoff #supplyand demand
Long
by glyrad
ALRS 5M Conservative CounterTrend DayTradeConservative CounterTrend Trade - long impulse + 1/2 correction - SOS level + support level + volumed 2Sp+ Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit slightly above 1 H range Transferrable to Swing after closes test and resumes buying on 1H Transferrable to Investment trade after ends test and resumes buying on 1D 1H CounterTrend "- short impulse + 1/2 correction - unvolumed T1 + support level - volumed 2Sp- + test" Daily CounterTrend "- short impulse + volumed T1 + support level + biggest volume Sp + weak test" Monthly CounterTrend "- short impulse + volumed TE / T1 + support level + volumed Sp + test" Yearly trend "+ long impulse + 1/2 correction + T2 level + support level + manipulation"
RUS:ALRSLong
by MishaSuvorov
GAMUDA GOING FOR MARK UPVery nice Re-Accmulation Pattern here I have been actively Accmulating the share since MId September 2024 : These are my list of Entry & Exit : 1st POE : 17/9/2024 (Black Arrow) 2nd POE : 9/10/2024 (Black Arrow) -EXIT : 21/10/2024 (Red Arrow) Re-Initiated PE : 1st : 22/10/2024 (Black Arrow, This time i went with Full Position) 2nd : 4/11/2024 (Blue Arrow, I went with Overweight Position) Purely Wyckoff Entry, i always aiming for, a condition in which i am in Assymetrical Leverage
MYX:GAMUDALong
by drsyariz
KGB CONTINUE MARK UPThis is a very big Re-Accumulation Pattern But seems like more towards An Atypical Type of Re-accumulation #2 Schematic, The Rising bottom Vol has been evaporating, which probably supply been succesfully absorbed (Red Arrow) What attract me the most, is that , despite Huge demand on 13/11/24 (blue arrow), there were not much selling pressure Current price action might be a sign of LPS, Thus breakout of LPS probably an indication of Continuation of SOS (Sign Of Strength) KGB might be one of the Leader in Tech Sector/Semiconductor-Related Thus, position initiated today \ Tight SL Pure Wyckoff
MYX:KGBLong
by drsyariz
GBP/USD Longs from this weekly demand This week, my analysis suggests that GU is likely to experience a bullish reaction from its current position. Price is sitting within a key weekly demand zone and has already surpassed the 50% retracement mark, signaling a potential area for long opportunities. At the current level, there is a 1-hour demand zone nearby, with another demand zone just below it. I plan to watch for price accumulation in these areas, particularly to take out the weekly low. Once that occurs, I’ll look for my lower time frame confirmation to enter long positions. My primary target will be the Asian session high near the supply zone above. Confluences for GBP/USD Longs: - Liquidity Targets: Significant liquidity rests above, including the Asian session high. - Supply Zone Mitigation: A strong supply zone above has yet to be mitigated. - Retracement Setup: The bearish trend suggests the need for a retracement upward. - Imbalances Above: Price has left clear imbalances that need to be filled. - Weekly Demand Zone: Price is currently reacting within a high-probability weekly demand area. P.S.: If price opens the week with bullish momentum but doesn’t provide a clear entry setup, I’ll shift my focus to the mitigation of the supply zone above. This would present potential sell opportunities to continue the broader bearish trend.
Long
by Hassan_fx
XAU/USD shorts from 2,760 or Longs from 2,720This week, my analysis suggests that gold may continue to drop, targeting the trendline liquidity formed below. Once that liquidity is taken out, I anticipate a bullish reaction, potentially around the demand zone I have identified. If the price retraces up to the supply zone, I’ll look for potential sell opportunities to follow this short-term bearish trend. Since my overall bias is bullish, I am more inclined towards long positions due to the higher time frame outlook. However, if the price surpasses any of my nearby Points of Interest (POIs), I’ll watch for a deeper retracement around the demand at 2,680 or the supply at 2,780. Confluences for Gold Sells: - Price has shown a bearish shift on the higher time frame. - Supply zones remain on both the 1-hour and daily charts. - There is significant trendline liquidity below, providing a target for further downside movement. - The dollar has been moving bullishly, which aligns with a potential drop in gold. - Gold has been in a strong bullish trend and may be showing signs of exhaustion, hence the recent heavy decline. P.S. I’ll stay vigilant and assess where the price moves first. If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll have a stronger inclination to sell. Have a great trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
GBPJPY Buy trade activated Oct 25 2024Another simple trade using the knowledge of supply and demand, liquidity capture, london session and new york session. This was an intraday trade -> buy limit using mt4. Always pay attention to the manipulations and Session you are trading, orderflow will always respect the higher timeframe. First analysis of this trade was from Daily structure to 1h structure. Refinement : Using 15 min TF to find optimal entry. RR: 6:1 #smarttrading #supplydemand
Long
by glyrad
USDC.D In a Wyckoff Distribution range - Breakdown imminentUSDC.D Looking bearish as hell here in its Wyckoff distribution range. Compare it to USDT.D and see the similarities. The difference being USDC.D is leading here and weaker, compared with USDT.D. Both still look great for the downside here and its only a matter of time before they roll over and the market runs to new highs! USDC.D: USDT.D: Once this breaks down with USDT.D, we are in for the next bullish expansion in the market to new ATHs!
CRYPTOCAP:USDC.DShort
by marshyyy
USDT.D Incoming bearish reversal and a bullish market and Q4!Im loving the look of USDT.D right now, it looks so bearish with the recent HTF closes. It looks done for and in the perfect wyckoff distribution. Following the plan to a T, rejecting off the 5.90% level as discussed in the prior analysis where this was a key resistance level from the first PSY event. Price has refused to push to the upper limit of the range, rejecting from the last supply point and PSY in the range, formed a swing high on the daily, swept that high and is now continuing to distribute lower in line with the HTF picture. This does look like a local top here following the last points of supply and we could be putting in local bottoms in the market. Market could start its next run higher anytime over the next couple weeks now! Be patient, we are almost there!
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by marshyyy
Gold Wyckoff AnalysisGold's been on a stellar run with a strong campaign initiated at the start of September which broke out of a beautiful Wyckoff accumulation on the much higher time frame BUEC. Overall still very bullish for gold over the next 18-24months. In the current price action we've had a strong push up from $2,590 where we have found a new trading range. We had a potential spring event that failed to breakout which shows some weakness in the market right now suggesting more of a distribution/selling/profit taking event. Since this spring the range has tightened and tested both extremes of the range at the purple circles indicating no real support either way to rally further or sell of. The volatility is suggesting selling activity however we will not know until the range is completed. This smaller range can also be a test of the potential spring event Expecting the market to show us an answer over the coming days as price continues to contract in a bearish fashion however this can still always mean 2 things, that 1. sellers are exhausted or nearing the end of taking profits and demand is strong or 2. demand is weakening Now looking for another potential spring event that dips below the prior one, if this shows any weakness and fails its going to be a sharp quick drop to the next high volume node at $2,580. Trading opportunities to go long will be in the green circle in which will be a faster reversal given the location as this would also represent another higher time frame test of the consolidation breakout that happened at the start of September or At a successful spring event test back in the range. or The failure of a spring event not able to reclaim the range and going short to the next high volume node in the green circle.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by littlebakes
2
TOTAL - Wyckoff Accumulation 2 Setting up!Price come into the monthly demand at the $1.8 trillion level and we have since formed range conditions after a selling climax event with a massive volume rejection on the weekly and daily wicks into the monthly demand range as shown on the chart. This was also discussed and noted on 05/08 at the height of the crash where i noted the presence of high volume being a positive thing in stopping the proceeding bearish trend alongside the fear and greed index reading 26 in fear as we come into key levels after the capitulation showing us great signs. TOTAL Volume Analysis from 05/08: Since then we have formed a local range after the high volume capitulation low got put in and many question whats next in this range? For me, im seeing this as an accumulation range after the SC event just like ive detailed on BTC. I think we have bottomed in the market, i think we are accumulating here in this local range and we are likely to form a last point of support (LPS) and HL in the range before a breakout of the highs into new highs over Q4. Its setting up great here and im confident we dont put in new lows from here. Im expecting a little more correction in the range as shown into the LPS but overall im focused on the upside from here in line with the HTF!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by marshyyy
TOTAL - Wyckoff Accumulation Range in Progress!Price come into the monthly demand at the $1.8 trillion level and we have since formed range conditions after a selling climax event with a massive volume rejection on the weekly and daily wicks into the monthly demand range as shown on the chart. This was also discussed and noted on 05/08 at the height of the crash where i noted the presence of high volume being a positive thing in stopping the proceeding bearish trend alongside the fear and greed index reading 26 in fear as we come into key levels after the capitulation showing us great signs. TOTAL Volume Analysis from 05/08: Since then we have formed a local range after the high volume capitulation low got put in and many question whats next in this range? For me, im seeing this as an accumulation range after the SC event just like ive detailed on BTC. I think we have bottomed in the market, i think we are accumulating here in this local range and we are likely to form a last point of support (LPS) and HL in the range before a breakout of the highs into new highs over Q4. Its setting up great here and im confident we dont put in new lows from here. Im expecting a little more correction in the range as shown into the LPS but overall im focused on the upside from here in line with the HTF!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by marshyyy
BTC Wyckoff accumulation Schematic 2 - Moving as planned!BTC Update: So since my analysis on BTC, price has delivered beautifully and exactly as anticipated from the forecast, having took the internal highs at FWB:65K and into HTF supply from the prior weekly bearish leg and we had the bearish reaction from this area. Price has pushed back into the daily range with a lovely bearish reaction, further fuelled by the FUD news, timed pretty much perfectly to the bearish momentum and downturn in the market as we sit in this accumulation range. However im not worried regarding the news as i see it as FUD in line with my wyckoff understanding. In line with my USDT.D update also posted recently⁠, im still seeing a little downside risk in BTC and im expecting it to continue bearish and push down deeper into the levels marked up between GETTEX:59K - $52K. This level is the discount of the accumulation range and the HTF weekly range and aligns with the weekly demand range, 3D demand range and daily demand range, alongside resting SSL to target at $57,500 in this area, making a prime reversal level and key level imo. As im viewing this as a reaccumulation range, following wyckoff schematic 2 as shown, im looking at price to form a last point of support in this area and a bullish reversal to form and expand out of it as shown. This is my main idea and thesis so far as we continue to range here after the capitulation event. Now my idea could get invalidated at a later time but right now its aligning pretty perfectly alongside what im seeing on USDT.D in its distribution range and price doesn't have to take the lows again on BTC so don't be fooled into thinking it does as right now its not suggesting this and im not looking for it. Patience is needed here as we need more price action to form to work with, but overall its looking great, i aint worried and my focus remains on the range. As a result, i expect alts to continue to bleed and underperform, especially as BTC.D continues to push up into HTF supply and ETH is looking rather weak here with potential to take its lows again, which could end up being SMT divergence between ETH and BTC as it forms its bottom here over the coming weeks. With Q4 just starting, im looking for the next expansion phase in the market to begin within this quarter, alongside the US elections next month which is typically a bullish event in the market! Its all aligning in my opinion for a bullish Q4 and Q1 of 2025, we just need to have patience here and not get shaken out in this range. In addition to this China has started quantitive easing and their market has went on a massive bullish run the last week, with the US also easing up on interest rates cutting them by half a point, leaving investors able to acquire debt at a cheaper rate which typically fuels further bullish momentum in the market, as the M2 money supply increases too which i will delve into in another post. Essentially as global money supply increases, money markets tend to also increase and ill break down this relationship in some other charts to show you just how correlated this is as its very interesting stuff. The technicals are aligning with the macros and i think its shaping up to be a great Q4 and Q1 of 2025! Dont be fooled by the first bearish tones to Q4, think of the monthly candle in terms of the PO3 Power of three formation, we have started the new monthly candle, forming the downside wick before the true expansion to the upside begins!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by marshyyy
USDT.D Pulling back into Last Point of SupplyUSDT.D Update: The markets pulling back as expected, this is as USDT.D pulls back into the range with some momentum, creating a bearish pullback in BTC and alts in conjunction with my prior BTC and USDT.D analysis Nothing to be worried about, simply pulling back into the range forming a last point of supply in the distribution range on USDT.D and a last point of support on BTC in its range. We still have some pain to come where i anticipate USDT.D to push higher into the areas marked up before seeing the reversal back bearish, what matters here is sticking to the plan and remaining patient. If your not allocated in the market, this pullback will provide ample opportunity to get some exposure and risk on before the next bullish leg in the market as USDT.D breaks down out of this range. This will be one of the last chances you get to get in coins that are still priced in discounts relative to the HTF! As price has pushed into this area im seeing an increase in volume from the latest 2 daily candles which is a good sign imo as we come into this key area and supply. However, theres no signs yet to suggest the trend on USDT.D is over and we remain bullish on the daily and 4h as we push into the range high. As a result, im still expecting more pain in the market and red until USDT.D tops out and there is still room to the upside for it to push into as shown on the chart. I remain patient here and confident in my bias and idea still as nothing has changed at all. There is a lot of resistance coming up on USDT.D and id be surprised to see it continue to the upside when theres a lot of levels to clear in this range as well as the prior resistance at 6.51% and the PSY at 5.90%. These areas key areas and im looking for USDT.D to reject from these areas, with high volume before breaking down from the 4h into the daily and then pro trend in line with the HTF picture as discussed here: ⁠free-analysis-channel⁠. Patience needed here and some confirmations from these areas over the coming week or so! Never surprised, never worried and always composed 🫡
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by marshyyy