Wyckoffmethod
Rune looking hopefulIt's a beautiful view on the weekly. Decreasing volume over the whole trading range, then a spring-like pop at the end just recently. Currently testing the MA200 and a break out of the COG (bottom) looks likely if the MA200 is broken. Dunno, I like it though. I think we have a potential accumulative scheme over this whole structure and I expect a test to the top of the structure in the coming weeks/months.
FTM Trading RangeI'd speculate on this structure being distributive. Which is a contentious call, given the fervour of the FTM community and HODLers. I really hope it doesn't play out, honestly... but .. it seems very off to me. Check out the volume, no volume at all during the lower structure, but heaps on the tests to the top of the range, a lot of passing the supply over from pros who have made 4000% already and are offloading to people who think it's going to the moon. Hey.. I hope I'm wrong.. I'm just a noob anyway so don't listen to me.
Luna speculative structuresPinning down suspected structures.. zooming out to the Weekly chart looks to be an accumulation range overall. These are smaller local structures I'm finding within that, usually seen on the 4hr timeframe. Please, I'm by no means an expert.. just reviewing as we go along and keeping these as my own reflections.
BTC: Sellers are getting stronger This analysis is based on the composite man theory of Wyckoff. In the following idea, I explained the principles of this analysis.
This analysis shows: The number of buyers compared to sellers (despite the constant volume of transactions) is increasing. This means that salespeople are getting stronger (composite men are on the sales side)
If continued, this could lead to lower prices, indicating that we are probably in a redistribution area.
Combining wyckoff's theory with ONCHAIN data"This is a hypothesis that needs more testing to be more precise."
Wyckoff's theory t is one of the most influential theories of market expression, and the most important components of which are lateral movement areas and trends. This theory turns the graph into something like Dots and lines (stations and paths). But it is not as easy to use as written in books. After getting acquainted with Wyckoff's theory, I read several books on the subject, hoping that they could help me identify this area of lateral movement, the area of accumulation, or distribution. But there was a fundamental drawback. It is challenging to diagnose this issue. In fact, the rules discussed in these books are highly interpretive and subjective, and two different individual traders may come to exactly opposite conclusions based on their interpretation.
But as I became more familiar with the onchain analysis, an idea came to my mind that might be useful for more objectively recognizing charts based on Wyckoff's theory.
Composite Man: Wyckoff proposed a theory to help understand price movements in stocks. this is the “Composite Man” theory. (The same concept of whales or strong hands.)
he said: “…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2)
In fact, composite Man is a hypothetical man who has so much money and stocks that when he wants he can gradually increase the price by buying stocks and creating demand, and when the price goes high enough he selles his stock and lower the price. The composite man is the main player in the market. Wyckoff says that if you want to make a good profit from the market, figure out what a composite man game is.
In fact, having a way of showing us where the Composite Man is in the market, can help us understand future trends
Who are the strong hands in the cryptocurrency market? (I use the strong hand word here instead of the composite man)
There are those who buy or sell more per capita than other market participants (retailers).
To understand this in the bitcoin market, I have used 3 charts and concepts:
1- Sending Addresses: The number of coins addresses making inflow transactions to the exchange.
Indicates the number of sellers' wallets (number of sellers)
2- buyers Addresses: The number of coins addresses making outflow transactions from the exchange.
Indicates the number of buyers' wallets (number of buyers)
3- Pay attention to this issue: the volume of transactions shows both the volume of sales and the buy (Volume of buy and sale is equal in the market)
Considering the above 3 issues, it can be concluded:
- If the number of Receiving Addresses is higher than the Sending Addresses (the number of people who bought compared to the number of those who sold), it indicates that more people bought and fewer people sold (given that the volume of sales and buys are the same) So the sellers were stronger hands. In such a situation, the composite man is on the sales side.
- If the number of Sending Addresses is higher than the Receiving Addresses (number of people who have sold more than the number of people who have bought), it indicates that more people have been sellers and fewer people have been buyers (given that the volume of sales and buys are the same) so the buyers were stronger hands. In such a situation, the Composite man is on the buying side.
To do this, the oscillator at the bottom of the chart divides the Number of Receiving Addresses by the Number of Sending Addresses. Numbers above 1.2 indicate that the Composite man is on the side of the sellers and should expect a price reduction in the future.
Values below 1 (or 1.2) indicate that the Composite man is on the buyers side. And we should expect price increases in the future.
BTC-USDT(Wyckoff Method)One of the primary reasons for using the Wyckoff method is to improve the market position by predicting the upcoming price movements, especially where a major risk/reward ratio is involved. Trading Ranges (TRs) is another concept used by the method which is used to determine the accumulation and distribution zones. These are those zones where the prices bounce between specific high and low points and a relative balance exists between demand and supply. Different institutions and traders prepare themselves for the next bull run by making buy and sell decisions using these ranges. In both the accumulation and distribution process, a composite man/mediator actively buys and sells. This volume or extent of distribution and accumulation further reveals the next moves for traders.The distribution and accumulation are considered as the most important part of the Wyckoff method in the cryptocurrency community. These schematics are divided into two sections, named distribution and accumulation. These sections are further divided into five sub-sections (ranging from A to E).
Dow Jones Deal Reviewthe distribution phase was determined after which at the last point of testing the offer I entered the market
MONDAY LIVE: SPX500, USOIL, GOLD and FOREX Hi Traders,
This is my view for this week on:
- SPX500 FX:SPX500
- USOIL FX:USOIL
- XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
- AUDJPY FX:AUDJPY
- EURUSD FX:EURUSD
- NZDUSD FX:NZDUSD
I remind you that this is only a forecast based on what current data are.
Therefore the following signal will be activated only if specific rules are strictly respected.
If you follow my strategy you will be able to identify the right filters and triggers to enter correctly the market and avoid fake signals.
I really hope you liked this video and I would like to know what do you think about this analysis, so please use the comment section below this video to give me your point of view.
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Pit - Trading Kitchen
JICPT| BABA got my attention with daily sideway formationHello everyone. It's been a bloody two-year for BABA investors as it tumbled by more than 60% from late Oct. 2020.
As I analyze the daily chart, I noticed two things: firstly, the red downtrend has been soooo well respected. secondly, major daily flip levels served as good supplies.
What got my attention is not just the sideway formation on the daily. The decreased volume as well as the 3rd try failure to create new low are odds-enhancers for the bullish buyers.
I'm still loading tech ETTs with exposure to Chinese tech giants. Admittedly, current P&L is around -10% before CNY. I'm confident to breakeven and make 20-30% in 2022.
I recommend using dollar-cost-averaging strategy. We'd be patient for this setup to be paid off.
What do you think? Give me a like if you're with me.
ADA Wyckoff Re-Distribution Trading RangeThe ADA price has been in a downsloping Wyckoff re-distribution trading range from Sept 2, 2021 to the present. The upper and lower boundaries of this trading range are given by the horizontal black lines.
Wyckoff abbreviations: automatic reaction (ARe), buying climax (BC), failed upthrust (FUT), phase A (Ph A), phase B (Ph B), phase C (Ph C), secondary test (ST), shakeout (SO), sign of weakness (SOS), upthrust (UT).
EURUSD's Snap Bullish ReboundEURUSD's price action rebounded promptly from the previous swing low at 1.11250, as per the expectations of the Wyckoff method. It is now set to probe the 61.8 per cent Fibonacci retracement level at 1.12642, as adverse volatility from the war in Ukraine mounts .
The behaviour of the price action around this crucial threshold will determine the next most likely direction for the pair.
GGPI Lining up for a Push Up on all timeframesGGPI needs to come down close to these three areas before it can make its big push up. These targets will shift as price moves up and down. but should be close. I will update if they shift to much. Once these three areas are hit. The price should move pretty hard to the upside. As all time frames will be on the same stage of the Curve.
EURGBP on a Wyckoff point of viewHi Traders,
This is my view on EURGBP using Wyckoff method… what do you think?
I remind you that this is only a forecast based on what current data are.
Therefore the following signal will be activated only if specific rules are strictly respected.
If you follow my strategy you will be able to identify the right filters and triggers to enter correctly the market and avoid fake signals.
I really hope you liked this video and I would like to know what do you think about this analysis, so please use the comment section below this video to give me your point of view.
Pit
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Bitcoin Wyckoff Distribution We can analyze BTC as Wyckoff methods too
• Right now we are in phase E of Wyckoff Distribution
• As you see, the price reflects the AR and PSY zones of Wyckoff Accumulation (between 33-40k).
• This pattern is really similar to our 1st scenario, which I showed before you can find it here:
• It means the depth of BTC could be 29k; who knows? just we need to wait.
please see another scenario of BTC: