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Wycoff

Wyckoff Accumulation in GBPAUDThe pair has been ranging since mid-April. Since then, the Cable has become stronger while the AUD turned neutral as confirmed by the CFTC Commitment of Traders report. The net positions for non-commercial traders on the Cable have considerably increased to 33k while the AUD net positions remain sub-zero at -3k. As a result, there has been accumulation in this pair - printing a text book Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. Currently, price is its last phase where traders are looking for sign of strength. When traders a looking for SOS—sign of strength, the price advances on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action. Personally, the LPS—last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS, was the prior action that led me to conclude that this is a Wyckoff accumulation pattern. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term. Therefore, I'll be adding positions right above the 100-week moving average which is a strong level of resistance. This is an interesting learning moment for traders looking to learn about Wyckoff Accumulation and Distribution
Long
by GrizzlyBearBee
ACUMULATION SCHEMATIC #1 WYCOFF EVENT & PHASES Who else was expecting XRP to have gone already? We re months away from being at ATH. PS—preliminary support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end. SC—selling climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests. AR—automatic rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR. ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC. Note: Springs or shakeouts usually occur late within a TR and allow the stock’s dominant players to make a definitive test of available supply before a markup campaign unfolds. A “spring” takes price below the low of the TR and then reverses to close within the TR; this action allows large interests to mislead the public about the future trend direction and to acquire additional shares at bargain prices. A terminal shakeout at the end of an accumulation TR is like a spring on steroids. Shakeouts may also occur once a price advance has started, with rapid downward movement intended to induce retail traders and investors in long positions to sell their shares to large operators. However, springs and terminal shakeouts are not required elements: Accumulation Schematic 1 depicts a spring, while Accumulation Schematic 2 shows a TR without a spring. Test—Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume. SOS—sign of strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action. LPS—last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term. BU—“back-up”. This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
POLONIEX:XRPUSDLong
by AdonisB
4
WYCOFF Re-Accumulation Zone(s)So it seems like BTC has reached a mid bull run exhaustion climax, followed by a little upthrust, and now we're heading back to the bottom of the range for re-accumulation. The question is: What is the range? There's a few potential automatic rally points that could determine the bottom: ~48k, roughly where we are now. ~45k + wick (green box) ~40-42k falling all the way back to the high volume support area (again plus a possible capitulation wick) I am confident this is NOT the top for Bitcoin. Just a mid point re-accumulation phase in the overall bull run, per the S2F model and a whole bunch of other indicators that show BTC has not topped yet for the year. The top should come no earlier than September IMO. So if you're holding cash, i'd start buying the above three leves, to dollar cost average into this temporary dip that shouldn't last more than 4-6 weeks. Probably less.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Losing-Up
2
Minimum 50% Profit. More with a trailing stop potentiallyWe have a classic wycoff distribution pattern here... The next phase is going to be an upthrust after distribution, and even if that fails, it'll typically reach the around the height of the buying climax, a full 50%+ profit from here. And if it doesn't fail, then it could take this coin into markup and onto new heights. So I would suggest a trailing stop; and ride this as high as it wants to go! Also to note, the ParaEye indicator at the top has now reset from its toppy warning eye (crossover). There is some slight divergence indicating a possible bottom on this bottom of the box ranging. The only unknown here is when this coin is going to run. Could take several days/weeks. Theta mainnet launches in 70days (provided no more delays). So it should be before then!
Long
by Losing-Up
USD/CHF buy based on institutional candlesOn the 4hr and 1hr chart, we see that the previous high was an order block (evident by the high volume). Order blocks by definition end up getting filled to create a fair price for buyers and sellers (in this case sellers) to get back in the market. The stop loss is set underneath the previous support. It doesn't sit on the support because the high volume on Monday may cause it to dip below because of the orders being placed on the weekend. TP1 is set above the previous resistance. 50% of the position should be closed at that point. TP2 is halfway through the order block (which is where most orders would lie).
Long
by UnknownUnicorn7691653
1
Wycoff Accumulation 1# PS—preliminary support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end. SC—selling climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests. AR—automatic rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR. ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC. Note: Springs or shakeouts usually occur late within a TR and allow the stock’s dominant players to make a definitive test of available supply before a markup campaign unfolds. A “spring” takes price below the low of the TR and then reverses to close within the TR; this action allows large interests to mislead the public about the future trend direction and to acquire additional shares at bargain prices. A terminal shakeout at the end of an accumulation TR is like a spring on steroids. Shakeouts may also occur once a price advance has started, with rapid downward movement intended to induce retail traders and investors in long positions to sell their shares to large operators. However, springs and terminal shakeouts are not required elements: Accumulation Schematic 1 depicts a spring, while Accumulation Schematic 2 shows a TR without a spring. Test —Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume. SOS —sign of strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action. LPS —last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term. BU —“back-up”. This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level. school.stockcharts.com
by ForexPharmacy
Wycokk Distrobution Schematic 2#Phase A: Phase A in a distribution TR marks the stopping of the prior uptrend. Up to this point, demand has been dominant and the first significant evidence of supply entering the market is provided by preliminary supply (PSY) and the buying climax (BC). These events are usually followed by an automatic reaction (AR) and a secondary test (ST) of the BC, often upon diminished volume. However, the uptrend may also terminate without climactic action, instead demonstrating exhaustion of demand with decreasing spread and volume; less upward progress is made on each rally before significant supply emerges. In a redistribution TR within a larger downtrend, Phase A may look more like the start of an accumulation TR (e.g., with climactic price and volume action to the downside). However, Phases B through E of a re-distribution TR can be analyzed in a similar manner to the distribution TR at the market top. Phase B: The function of Phase B is to build a cause in preparation for a new downtrend. During this time, institutions and large professional interests are disposing of their long inventory and initiating short positions in anticipation of the next markdown. The points about Phase B in distribution are similar to those made for Phase B in accumulation, except that the large interests are net sellers of shares as the TR evolves, with the goal of exhausting as much of the remaining demand as possible. This process leaves clues that the supply/demand balance has tilted toward supply instead of demand. For instance, SOWs are usually accompanied by significantly increased spread and volume to the downside. Phase C: In distribution, Phase C may reveal itself via an upthrust (UT) or UTAD. As noted above, a UT is the opposite of a spring. It is a price move above TR resistance that quickly reverses and closes in the TR. This is a test of the remaining demand. It is also a bull trap—it appears to signal the resumption of the uptrend but in reality is intended to “wrong-foot” uninformed break-out traders. A UT or UTAD allows large interests to mislead the public about the future trend direction and, subsequently, sell additional shares at elevated prices to such break-out traders and investors before the markdown begins. In addition, a UTAD may induce smaller traders in short positions to cover and surrender their shares to the larger interests who have engineered this move. Aggressive traders may wish to initiate short positions after a UT or UTAD. The risk/reward ratio is often quite favorable. However, the “smart money” repeatedly stops out traders who initiate such short positions with one UT after another, so it is often safer to wait until Phase D and an LPSY. Often demand is so weak in a distribution TR that price does not reach the level of the BC or initial ST. In this case, Phase C's test of demand may be represented by a UT of a lower high within the TR. Phase D: Phase D arrives after the tests in Phase C show us the last gasps of demand. During Phase D, price travels to or through TR support. The evidence that supply is clearly dominant increases either with a clear break of support or with a decline below the mid-point of the TR after a UT or UTAD. There are often multiple weak rallies within Phase D; these LPSYs represent excellent opportunities to initiate or add to profitable short positions. Anyone still in a long position during Phase D is asking for trouble. Phase E: Phase E depicts the unfolding of the downtrend; the stock leaves the TR and supply is in control. Once TR support is broken on a major SOW, this breakdown is often tested with a rally that fails at or near support. This also represents a high-probability opportunity to sell short. Subsequent rallies during the markdown are usually feeble. Traders who have taken short positions can trail their stops as price declines. After a significant down-move, climactic action may signal the beginning of a re-distribution TR or of accumulation. school.stockcharts.com
by ForexPharmacy
1
Wycoff Distrobution Schematic 1#PSY —preliminary supply, where large interests begin to unload shares in quantity after a pronounced up-move. Volume expands and price spread widens, signaling that a change in trend may be approaching. BC —buying climax, during which there are often marked increases in volume and price spread. The force of buying reaches a climax, with heavy or urgent buying by the public being filled by professional interests at prices near a top. A BC often coincides with a great earnings report or other good news, since the large operators require huge demand from the public to sell their shares without depressing the stock price. AR —automatic reaction. With intense buying substantially diminished after the BC and heavy supply continuing, an AR takes place. The low of this selloff helps define the lower boundary of the distribution TR. ST —secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the BC to test the demand/supply balance at these price levels. For a top to be confirmed, supply must outweigh demand; volume and spread should thus decrease as price approaches the resistance area of the BC. An ST may take the form of an upthrust (UT), in which price moves above the resistance represented by the BC and possibly other STs before quickly reversing to close below resistance. After a UT, price often tests the lower boundary of the TR. SOW —sign of weakness, observable as a down-move to (or slightly past) the lower boundary of the TR, usually occurring on increased spread and volume. The AR and the initial SOW(s) indicate a change of character in the price action of the stock: supply is now dominant. LPSY —last point of supply. After testing support on a SOW, a feeble rally on narrow spread shows that the market is having considerable difficulty advancing. This inability to rally may be due to weak demand, substantial supply or both. LPSYs represent exhaustion of demand and the last waves of large operators’ distribution before markdown begins in earnest. UTAD —upthrust after distribution. A UTAD is the distributional counterpart to the spring and terminal shakeout in the accumulation TR. It occurs in the latter stages of the TR and provides a definitive test of new demand after a breakout above TR resistance. Analogous to springs and shakeouts, a UTAD is not a required structural element: the TR in Distribution Schematic #1 contains a UTAD, while the TR in Distribution Schematic #2 does not. school.stockcharts.com
by ForexPharmacy
BTC Market Cap Dominance - Wycoff Acc. Entering Phase D?Hey all, take a look, let me know what you think. In my opinion, it looks like like were heading for ATH and beyond in the near future, as most of us do. This i think confirms it for me. We're just coming off being oversold for quite some time and it seems like a Wycoff Accumulation is coming out of Phase C and into Phase D where price can get explosive. Might play out over some time as we build this last point of support and then show our sign of strength back up. I think a strong confirmation of this trend would be the money flow going positive (green) and a close on the daily above SC and then again above the Automatic Rally (AR) . Definitely a longer term trend but I think those are most reliable. Another Wycoff post but i feel thats all I see right now, heh. Appreciate the feedback from my last post! Please share your thoughts and provide as much feedback for me to learn from as possible. I greatly appreciate it! BIG
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by eatBIG2getBIG
Short term analysis: BNB Upthrust in progress? So we have a possible ABC correction shown on the chart. Volume seems to confirm that. Then we have waves 1 and 2, bouncing between the two green boxes (support and resistance) and now we've possibly begun wave 3 from the FAN support line, which should take us to the top of the wycoff distribution/re-accumulation box. I would suspect the redux resistance from the impulse down from the climax will be the resistance there, forming a wave 4 down to the green box for support. And then we have the final wave 5 that should form the actual upthrust, that should go to at least the previous climax, if not a little higher, but only a little bit, as we are not on any breakout yet, this is still a phase of distribution/re-accumulation. After the upthrust, you would expect things to dip back down into the brown box (possibly half way, or even all the way) before building up for the final upthrust after accumulation/distribution. And at that point, the market decides whether to push BNB to new highs (the 8800 target perhaps), or whether this is distribution, and we fall much lower. Let's see how this plays out. Obviously the ball is pretty much entirely in Bitcoins hands today, but in my opinion BTC is bullish today (Sunday); but tomorrow will be the big uncertainty!
Long
by Losing-Up