NZD.JPY - Bullish & Bearish OpportunitiesOn the NZD.JPY 1hr chart we 2 potential trade opportunity's at the D leg completion of a Bullish Bat & Bearish Cypher setup.
Bullish Bat Setup ( Blue ) - D leg completion 73.172
Bearish Cypher Setup ( White ) - D leg completion 74.508
Bullish Bat: Stop loss would be placed below X leg structure support.
Bearish Cypher: Stop loss would be placed above X leg structure resistance.
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EUR.CHF - Bullish Bat Setup - 1.0663On the EUR.CHF Daily chart we have a potential long opportunity's at the D leg completion of bullish Bat setup.
The price reversal zone on this pair is between 1.0663 & 1.0622
The PRZ zone is only a guideline of where we will be paying attention for trade setups and opportunity's.
Potential targets for the Bat setup placed at the .382% and .618% retracement of the A to D move.
There is also an opportunity to look for extended targets at 1.0939
Stop loss would be placed below X leg structure support.
Target 1 - 1.0792
Target 2 - 1.0874
EUR.JPY - BULLISH CYPHER SETUP - 121.589On the EUR.JPY 4hr chart we have a potential long opportunity's at the D leg completion of bullish Cypher setup.
The price reversal zone on this pair is between 121.589 & 120.909
The PRZ zone is only a guideline of where we will be paying attention for trade setups and opportunity's.
Potential targets for the Cypher setup placed at the .382% and .618% retracement of the C to D move.
There is also opportunity to look for extended targets back into 123.518
Stop loss would be placed below X leg structure support .
Target 1 - 122.544
Target 2 - 123.128
5 EASY STEPS TO TRADE THE BAT SETUPSTAGE 1:
THE BULLISH IMPULSE LEG
A bullish impulse leg is a strong move in price action to the upside.
The impulse leg can be a mixture of bullish and bearish candles, but must have a bullish overall direction.
The start of the impulse leg should be marked as X and the top of the impulse leg should be marked as A.
STAGE 2:
B LEG RETRACEMENT
Now that you have identified your X to A impulse leg you are now looking for the B leg, which is a retracement of the X to A impulse leg.
Take your Fibonacci retracement tool and draw from your X leg to your A leg.
The crucial Fibonacci levels you are looking for are the 50.00% and 61.60%
Price action must at least touch the 50.00% retracement but cannot touch the 61.80% retracement.
As you can see by the illustration, the candle does not need to close below the 50.00% retracement but must at least spike through.
The bullish Bat setup will be invalid if price action touches the 61.80% retracement of the X to A move.
STAGE 3:
C LEG RETRACEMENT
Once you have identified a valid X to A impulse leg and a B leg retracement, you are now looking for a valid C leg retracement.
Take your Fibonacci retracement tool and draw from your A leg to your B leg.
The crucial Fibonacci retracement level you are looking for is the 61.80%
Price action must at least touch the 61.80% but cannot spike above the A leg resistance.
The candle does not need to close above the 61.80% but must at least spike through.
The bullish Bat setup will be invalid if price action spiked above the A leg resistance.
STAGE 4:
D LEG COMPLETION
Now that you have a valid X, A, B and C move you are looking for the final leg in price action at which point you will buy the chosen currency pair.
Take your Fibonacci retracement tool and draw from your X leg to your A leg.
You are looking for a 88.60% which will now give you a valid D leg completion of the bullish Bat setup.
STAGE 5:
PLACING YOUR TARGETS
When looking to take targets on the bullish Bat Setup the first step is to use your Fibonacci retracement tool.
With your Fibonacci retracement tool draw from the A to D leg, you are looking for target 1 at the 38.20% and target 2 at the 61.80%.
To protect the profits you have accumulated at target 1 it is advised you move your stop loss to breakeven once the 38.20% target 1 has been attained, thus giving you a risk free trade to target 2.
KEY NOTES & RULES:
When trading the bullish Bat Setup, the pattern is meant to be traded at 88.60% D leg completion only.
If you believe the pattern is unfolding but price is only at point B, be patient and wait until price reaches the D leg completion.
The power of the pattern comes from converging Fibonacci levels of all points from X to D.
Point B must at least touch the 50.00% retracement but cannot touch the 61.80% from the X to A move.
Point C must touch the 61.80% but cannot spike above the A leg resistance.
Point D is complete when price action touches the 88.60% retracement of the X to A move.
Stop loss must be placed below the X leg structure support.
Stop loss must also be a minimum of a 1:1 risk reward to the 38.20% target 1.
Target 1 at the 38.20% retracement of the A to D move.
Target 2 at the 61.80% retracement of the A to D move.
CURRENCY PAIR:
This setup like any other is more profitable with certain currency pairs, you should do your own back testing on this prior to trading.
CANDLE COLOUR:
Blue = Bullish Candle
White = Bearish Candle
DISCLAIMER:
Please note I am only providing my own trading information and techniques for your benefit and insight, you should do your own due diligence and not take this information as a trade signal.
GBP.JPY - BEARISH CYPHER SETUP - 147.983On the GBP.JPY 15min chart we have a potential short opportunity at the D leg completion of bearish Cypher setup.
The price reversal zone on this pair is between 147.983 & 148.456
The PRZ zone is only a guideline of where we will be paying attention for trade setups and opportunity's.
Potential targets for the Cypher setup placed at the .382% and .618% retracement of the C to D move.
There is also opportunity to look for extended targets at around 146588
Stop loss would be placed above X leg structure resistance.
Target 1 - 147.316
Target 2 - 146.903
NZD.USD - BULLISH CYPHER SETUP - .7026On the NZD.USD 4hr chart we have a potential long opportunity's at the D leg completion of bullish Cypher setup.
The price reversal zone on this pair is between .7026 & .6970
The PRZ zone is only a guideline of where we will be paying attention for trade setups and opportunity's.
Potential targets for the Cypher setup placed at the .382% and .618% retracement of the C to D move.
There is also opportunity to look for extended targets back into .7200
Stop loss would be placed below X leg structure support.
Target 1 - .7107
Target 2 - .7158
CAD.JPY - BEARISH CYPHER SETUP @ MARKET - 87.724On the CAD.JPY Daily chart we have a potential short opportunity at the D leg completion of bearish Cypher setup.
The price reversal zone on this pair is between 87.724 & 88.779
The PRZ zone is only a guideline of where we will be paying attention for trade setups and opportunity's.
Potential targets for the Cypher setup placed at the .382% and .618% retracement of the C to D move.
There is also opportunity to look for extended targets at around 77.000
Stop loss would be placed above X leg structure resistance .
Target 1 - 82.800
Target 2 - 79.717
GBP.CHF - BULLISH CYPHER SETUP - 1.2727On the GBP.CHF 4hr chart we have a potential long opportunity's at the D leg completion of bullish Cypher setup.
The price reversal zone on this pair is between 1.2727 & 1.2681
The PRZ zone is only a guideline of where we will be paying attention for trade setups and opportunity's.
Potential targets for the Cypher setup placed at the .382% and .618% retracement of the C to D move.
There is also opportunity to look for extended targets back into the 1.2875 resistance level
Stop loss would be placed below X leg structure support .
Target 1 - 1.2793
Target 2 - 1.2830
GBP.NZD - BEARISH CYPHER SETUP - 1.7662On the GBP.NZD 15min chart we have a potential short opportunity at the D leg completion of bearish Cypher setup.
The price reversal zone on this pair is between 1.7662 & 1.7694
The PRZ zone is only a guideline of where we will be paying attention for trade setups and opportunity's.
Potential targets for the Cypher setup placed at the .382% and .618% retracement of the C to D move.
There is also opportunity to look for extended targets at around 1.7568
Stop loss would be placed above X leg structure resistance .
Target 1 - 1.7617
Target 2 - 1.7588
NZDUSD - BEARISH CYPHER + HOW TO MANAGE THE TRADEThere is a bearish Cypher pattern on NZDUSD H1 timeframe with D leg completion at 0.71990.
Entry: 0.71970
Stop: 0.72320
Target 1: 0.71690
Target 2: 0.71500
This is how I manage a trade like this.
Before entry:
1) Set pending sell order a few pips below D completion (to improve likelihood of being filled)
2) Set stop 10-15 pips above X
3) Set profit limit at the 61.8% retracement of the CD leg
After entry:
4) If price reaches target 1, close half of the position and move stop 1-2 pips below entry (locking in breakeven)
5) Do nothing, the remaining position is either stopped out for breakeven, or it moves lower to target 2.
Making very specific trading rules helped me overcome the impact of emotions on trading decisions. I still feel bad if the trade is a losing trade, and good if a trade is a profitable one. But these emotions have ZERO impact on my trading. All trading decisions should be made BEFORE entering you position.
If you have a questions leave them below!
Luke
GBP.USD - BULLISH BAT & CYPHER SETUPS - 1.2495 & 1.2459On the GBP.USD 1hr chart we have 2 potential trade opportunity's at the D leg completion of a Bullish Cypher & Bat setup.
Bullish Cypher Setup ( Blue ) - D leg completion 1.2495
Target 1 - 1.2603
Target 2 - 1.2668
Bullish Bat Setup ( Grey ) - D leg completion 1.2459
Target 1 - 1.2580
Target 2 - 1.2655
Bullish Bat Setup: Stop loss would be placed below X leg structure support .
Bullish Cypher Setup: Stop loss would be placed below X leg structure support .
USDJPY - BULLISH BATThere is a BULLISH BAT on USDJPY H1 timeframe with D leg completion at 111.740.
Entry: 111.760
Stop: 111.250
Target 1: 112.880
Target 2: 113.600
This is how I trade a bat pattern.
1) Identify pattern completion point, D.
2) Place an entry order just above completion point.
3) Place stop loss around 10-15 pips below X.
4) Place profit target just below the 61.8% retracement of the AD leg.
5) If price moves up to the 38.2% retracement of the AD leg, manually close half the position and move the stop loss just above my entry to breakeven.
6) Do nothing. Either the market moves to my 2nd target or my stop.
Good luck!
Luke
EUR.GBP - BULLISH CYPHER SETUP - .8360On the EUR.GBP 1hr chart we have a potential long opportunity's at the D leg completion of bullish Cypher setup.
The price reversal zone on this pair is between .8360 & .8304
The PRZ zone is only a guideline of where we will be paying attention for trade setups and opportunity's.
Potential targets for the Cypher setup placed at the .382% and .618% retracement of the C to D move.
There is also opportunity to look for extended targets back into the .8537 resistance level
Stop loss would be placed below X leg structure support.
Target 1 - .8440
Target 2 - .8490
EUR.GBP - BEARISH CYPHER SETUP - .8519On the EUR.GBP 1hr chart we have a potential short opportunity at the D leg completion of bearish Cypher setup.
The price reversal zone on this pair is between .8519 & .8577
The PRZ zone is only a guideline of where we will be paying attention for trade setups and opportunity's.
Potential targets for the Cypher setup placed at the .382% and .618% retracement of the C to D move.
There is also opportunity to look for extended targets at around .8328
Stop loss would be placed above X leg structure resistance.
Target 1 - .8436
Target 2 - .8384
GBP.JPY - BEARISH BAT SETUP - 144.328On the GBP.JPY 1hr chart we have a potential short opportunity at the D leg completion of bearish Bat setup.
The price reversal zone on this pair is between 145.328 & 145.600
The PRZ zone is only a guideline of where we will be paying attention for trade setups and opportunity's.
Potential targets for the Bat setup placed at the .382% and .618% retracement of the C to D move.
There is also opportunity to look for extended targets at around 143.500
Stop loss would be placed above X leg structure resistance.
Target 1 - 144.536
Target 2 - 144.085
EUR.JPY - BEARISH CYPHER SETUP @ MARKET - 122.627On the EUR.JPY Daily chart we have a potential short opportunity at the D leg completion of bearish Cypher setup.
The price reversal zone on this pair is between 122.627 & 126.339
The PRZ zone is only a guideline of where we will be paying attention for trade setups and opportunity's.
Potential targets for the Cypher setup placed at the .382% and .618% retracement of the C to D move.
There is also opportunity to look for extended targets at around 112.611
Stop loss would be placed above X leg structure resistance.
Target 1 - 117.437
Target 2 - 114.257
AUDUSD - PATTERN CONFLUENCEThere is a Bullish Bat and a Bullish Cypher pattern with D leg completions in a very similar area on AUDUSD H1 timeframe. Both patterns will complete just below 0.74. Fibonacci levels have been left off the chart are it would be very confusing and overlapping with 2 patterns so close together.
Bullish Cypher
Entry: 0.73990
Stop: 0.73600
Target 1: 0.74330
Target 2: 0.74575
Bullish Bat
Entry: 0.73860
Stop: 0.73600
Target 1: 0.74260
Target 2: 0.74520
Luke