SILVER POSSIBLE ANALYSISAfter price has been breaking higher highs and respecting higher lows on higher timeframe, it was evident that price was in a bullish trend. Price has just recently retraced and mitigated a higher timeframe demand, and zooming down to our 4h timeframe, we see that price gave us a shift in market structure for bearish to bullish trend. Price has just now tapped a demand zone on which it could use to push to the upside to take out the recently formed high
XAG-USD
XAG / USD – HTF JOURNAL - WEEKLY SERIESThis is an ACTIVELY managed BLOG CONTRIBUTION, which will be UPDATED WEEKLY with comments and trade ideas.
| This way, I generate a SERIES for you, where you, as a reader, can - ACTIVELY - learn from the analyses, decisions, & interactions |
In the following analysis, I do NOT highlight any specific scenario but neutrally look at the higher timeframes in the > FX:XAGUSD <
We focus on the technical KEY points and KEY areas that will be relevant in the coming weeks & months.
As soon as candlestick closes emerge that suggest a temporary direction for the price intra-day, I create a separate post below.
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MARKED POINTS OF INTENTION (POI)
The price is below the mid-trend line of the oldest and most influential trend channel, which originated in 1971.
Additionally, we are at the upper resistance line of a slightly younger trend channel, which formed in 2011 and has served as resistance since 2020.
The "Higher High" of 2008 will serve as our next support, as well as the zone formed around it (21,355 - 22,000).
In our recent trend channel, another subordinate trend channel has emerged, which is currently contested.
Momentum indicators in the weekly TFs show declining momentum, which is additionally noted in the daily TFs.
The daily "moving averages" have all broken through the 200s and are now serving as resistance.
Z - You have to understand the big picture to not drown in the noise of the small one - Z
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🔥NEW: XAGUSD 🔥 SWING TRADE 🔥 (2W)As an alternative, you can choose your TP based on the ATR of your favorite chart:
ATR = Average True Range
1 day = 20 pips
4 hours = 10 pips
1 hour = 5 pips
15 minutes = 3 pips
5 minutes 2 pips
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
The XAGUSD pair is currently trading in a range between 26.14 and 22.11. Price Action has been consolidating in this range since April 24, 2023.
Now, that PA has bounced off of our TP1, we should be good to go for more downtrend action.
INDICATORS:
P2P INDi — Annotates Curve Analysis
— Pivot High @ 28.90
— Pivot Low @ 12.75
— Based on this curve, PA is bearish
TREND
— Momentum: Big Picture Downtrend
— Price Action: Downtrend
— CounterTrend: NO (conservative trade)
🔥NEW: XAGUSD 🔥 SWING TRADE 🔥 CounterTrend⚠️ A countertrend trade is a trade that is made against the prevailing trend. This means that the trader is betting that the trend will reverse and that the price will move in the opposite direction of the BIG PICTURE trend. Countertrend trading can be a very profitable strategy, but it is also more risky than trend following.
SLO @ 24.66 📉 +0.42%
SSO @ 24.26 ⏳
TP1 @ 24.55 (scalp)
TP2 @ 23.85 (day)
TP3 @ 23.85 (mid-pivot)
TP4 @ 22.45 (swing)
Or choose your TP based on the ATR of your favorite chart:
ATR = Average True Range
1 day = 20 pips
4 hours = 10 pips
1 hour = 5 pips
15 minutes = 3 pips
5 minutes 2 pips
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
The XAGUSD pair is currently trading in a range between 21.52 and 26.12. The price has been consolidating in this range since March 16, 2023, and it is not clear which way it will break out — below 21.52 or above 26.12.
Support and Resistance:
However, PA "kissed" the main Support level at 22.09, and it broke the main Resistance level is at 25.17. If this "odds enhancer" works in our favor, we should see a BREAK OUT to the upside above 25.17.
INDICATORS:
P2P INDi — Annotates Curve Analysis
— Pivot High @ 26.12
— Pivot Low @ 21.52
TREND
— Momentum: Big Picture Uptrend
— Price Action: Downtrend Retracement
— CounterTrend: YES (aggressive trade)
Target Reached! XAGUSD ReviewPrice reversed strongly from our resistance level to the support level at 22.20. But how did it happen?
Join Desmond in today's analysis review to have a quick recap on the elements that led to this strong reversal.
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XAGUSD, H4 | Bearish Reversal off key resistancePrice is approaching a strong resistance level at 23.21 which is a pullback resistance, 50% Fibonacci retracement and a 100% Fibonacci projection.
On top of that, we have a long term descending resistance line and the bearish ichimoku cloud contributing to the bearish momentum.
A reversal from here could see prices drop all the way down to 22.22 which is a recent swing low support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
XAGUSD, H4 | Drop to 22.16?Price has broken a key overlap support level suggesting that price might make a bearish breakout towards the 22.16 level. The 221.16 level is a 61.8% major Fibonacci retracement and a 127.2% Fibonacci extension. If price were to drop to this level, watch out for a potential bounce from 22.16 for it to rise back up to 22.69.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
xagusd (silver) could be a good re-test for a buy? Hey everyone I believe silver could be a good trade a nice little 1h channel moving up, 4h trend up is also a good positive sign, recent bullish engulfing candlestick on the 4h confirms bullish bias, I believe a re-test of the top is likely, we also have 1h 200 moving average covering our stoploss, which even if it pullsback is likely to react and find bullish pressure once again. 😊 🚀
XAGUSD Daily Potential Forecast | 11th April 2023Technical Confluences
1. Silver is currently near last year's high
2. Near-term resistance at 25.31550
3. Near-term Support at 24.29100
4. High-up resistance at 28.13740
Idea
We are looking for price to continue heading towards the near-term resistance at 25.31550.
There might be some struggle to break through the resistance so we are expecting a possible pullback down towards the near-term Support at 24.29100 before continuing it's bullish momentum upwards.
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Silver shows bearish signs with head and shoulders patternThe silver is forming a clear Head and Shoulders pattern with a visible divergence on momentum indicators. Additionally, it has broken the ascending weekly trendline. These are all signs that the price is likely to fall to 22.150, after which it may rebound to 22.68 and retest the breached neckline. The retest point could present a good opportunity to enter a short position, with a potential profit of at least 6200 points.
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Silver: The Breakout of Head and Shoulders PatternXAGUSD has completed the formation of a head and shoulders pattern with divergence on momentum indicators, and has made an initial break of the neckline. I prefer to wait for confirmation of the breakout before entering a sell position targeting 21.19. However, with the current global crisis in American and European banks, conditions may change at any moment, so it is advisable to enter and exit with caution and strict risk management.
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XAGUSD potential for bearish drop towards overlap supportLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for XAGUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a pullback sell entry at 23.01995, where the overlap resistance and 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 24.63700, where the previous swing high is. Take profit will be at 20.80500, where the overlap support is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAGUSD 16-20 Jan Next MovePair : XAGUSD ( Silver / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Rising Wedge in Long Time Frame and Rejecting from the Upper Trend Line with Strong Bearish Price Action as Impulse
Making Correction in the Form Bullish Channel and Rejecting from the Upper Trend Line
Fibonacci Level - 78.60%
S- R Level
Resistance Level
Divergence
Completed " ABC " Corrective Wave
XAGUSD Potential For Bullish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for XAGUSD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. With price tapping into my buy entry at 22.56150, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be placed at 22.35795, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 22.91150, where the 23.6% and 61.8% Fibonacci lines are.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAGUSD (Silver) Buy possibility Silver, which often follows the direction in gold, rallied sharply into December, with the benchmark futures contract on Comex hitting a seven-month high of $22.94 while spot silver hit a similar milestone with $22.74. Silver is up 5% month-to-date after rising almost 14% in November.
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Investing.com
💡SILVER (XAGUSD) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
20.621 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 20.621 is broken.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 20.860 on 11/28/2022, so more gains to resistance(s) 24.129, 25.986, 26.940 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index ( RSI ) is 71.
Take Profits:
19.939
20.621
21.200
22.417
24.129
25.986
26.940
28.304
29.850
37.500
44.200
49.800
60.000
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💡SILVER (XAGUSD) - Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 17.520, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 22.417 breaks.
If the support at 17.520 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 22.245 on 11/15/2022, so more losses to support(s) 20.621, 19.939, 19.525 and minimum to Major Support (17.520) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 56.
Take Profits:
19.939
20.621
21.200
22.417
24.129
25.986
26.940
28.304
29.850
37.500
44.200
49.800
60.000
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
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Now, It's your turn!
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Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️