XAG
📈 Silver - Surge Continues!🚀Similar to gold, silver witnessed a robust surge last week. On the 1-hour chart since early October 2023, a strong uptrend is evident. With completed Wave 1 and Wave 2, we're currently shaping Wave 3. Before concluding, sub-waves 3, 4, and 5 need completion.
Anticipating a short correction next week, I estimate silver might dip to the 23.6% or at most 38.2% level, avoiding an excessive retracement. A price range between $24.67 and $24.14 is plausible before another upward move to the $26.12 level. Subsequently, we may undergo further correction, building Wave 4. 🌟🔥
XAGUSD (SILVER)Dear Traders,
Hope you had a great weekend, now as we look into XAGUSD, last three daily candle closed completely bullish which indicates a further bullish price continuous. We also need to consider one important fact here that XAU AND XAG both metals are positively correlated. It is advisable to wait until price come to our area and then we can take entry with proper entry.
Have a great trading week ahead!
SILVER Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER broke the long-term
Falling resistance and
The breakout is confirmed
Because the 1D candle
Closed above the resistance
So after some pullback and retest
I think we will see further growth
Buy!
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SILVER Strong Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER keeps growing in
A strong uptrend and
I am bullish biased mid-term
However, a strong horizontal
Resistance level is ahead
At 25.26$ from where
I will be expecting a
Local correction to the downside
Sell!
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XAG/USD on the Rise, Sustaining Upward Momentum Silver prices saw a 0.91% increase on Thursday amid low trading volumes as the Asia-Pacific trading session commenced, holding steady around $23.82. There was little change in the early Friday session as markets in Japan and the United States resumed activities following a break.
The daily chart for silver illustrates the gray metal's trend as neutral to slightly bullish, remaining close to the weekly high, potentially paving the way for a test of the $24.00 mark. After overcoming a previous hurdle, the next resistance lies at the highest point on June 9, reaching $24.52 before XAG/USD advances to $25.00. Achieving this milestone would solidify the upward trend, marking the highest point year-to-date at $26.12.
Conversely, a decline below the November 23rd low of $23.60 may initiate a test of the 200-day moving average (DMA) at $23.32. If sellers push the price below that level, XAG/USD could shift towards a neutral downtrend, indicating the 20-DMA at $23.13, followed by the 50-DMA at $22.75. This potential downward movement signals a cautious market sentiment and warrants careful monitoring in the coming sessions.
XAG/USD Maintains Uptrend, Buyers Target $24.00Silver prices increased by 0.91% on Thursday, trading around $23.82 as the Asia-Pacific trading session commenced on Friday. The daily chart indicates a neutral to bullish trend, maintaining near weekly highs, setting the stage for a potential test of the $24.00 level. Once surpassed, the next resistance lies at the June 9th high of $24.52 before potentially reaching $25.00. Breaking through these levels would solidify the upward trend, marking the highest point year-to-date (YTD) at $26.12.
On the downside, if XAG/USD drops below the November 23rd low of $23.60, it may test the 200-day Moving Average (DMA) at $23.32. Further decline could lead to a neutral to bearish trend, with the 20-DMA at $23.13 and the 50-DMA at $22.75 as potential support levels.
XAGUSD Sell signal at the top of the Channel Down.Silver / XAGUSD got rejected on Friday at the top of the 6 month Channel Down.
Today it is supported by the 1day MA200, which was the Resistance in late September-October. If crossed, we will have a sell confirmation.
The typical decline inside the Channel Down has been within -12.12% and -13.21%.
Also we spotted a fractal during July-October 2022, which is so far similar to today's and targeted Support A.
As a result we have two potential targets.
Sell and target initially 22.000 (Support A). If Support A breaks, you can extend to 21.250 (-12.10% from the top).
Previous chart:
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Silver? What's that?Ladies and Gentlemen, after decades of price suppression, NASDAQ:XAG is finally ready to break out. As you can see, price has broken out of the cloud and has regained bullish emas. The only resistance left is the 77 Vwma. After we breakthrough that, based on fibs, I put the initial breakout target at $31.35. After that clears, $35 should be an area investors and traders accumulate for longer term gains.
XAGUSD SilverPair : XAGUSD ( Silver / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Completed Impulse and Corrective Wave " wxyx ". Symmetrical Triangle as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame. Head and Shoulder Pattern in Long Time Frame, It will complete its Right Shoulder at Daily Demand Zone
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it Breaks UTL / LTL
SILVER Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER broke the key
Horizontal level of 22.47$
Then made a retest of the
New support and is now
Going up again so I am
Bullish biased and I think
That we will see a
Further move up
Buy!
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XAGUSD Giant Inverse Head & Shoulders makes it long-term bullishSilver (XAGUSD) is one of our favorite assets to analyze on the 1W time-frame, as a result of its high reliability of following long-term patterns. You can see a few examples of such successful trades we made using this time-frame below:
This time we have another major pattern forming on the 1W time-frame, an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S), a formation typically found on market bottoms that initiates trend reversals. Interestingly enough, the last two weeks have been ranged within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). This high volatility action can be an indication that a major move is approaching. Technically the IH&S patterns can target as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. On such a large time-frame, this target is of course on the long-term.
On the shorter-term, we may be seeing the emergence of a Channel Up that aims inevitably at the 3 year Resistance Zone. We are technically at the start of the bullish leg towards that Zone, but a 1W MACD Bullish Cross can only confirm it. Once it does, Target 1 will be 28.750 (bottom of Resistance Zone) and when the Channel Up breaks, Target 2 will be 34.500 (just under the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
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SILVER BEARISH OUTLOOKSilver faces challenges due to a combination of factors, including higher real yields, a stronger U.S. Dollar Index, and the potential for panic selling during economic recessions. These elements cast a shadow over silver's performance, despite recent gains linked to the Middle East conflict. Additionally, rising mortgage rates and a weaker housing market could contribute to further pressure on the white metal, as increased rates tend to discourage investment in non-interest-bearing assets like precious metals.
Silver's outlook remains uncertain as the economic landscape evolves, with its price likely influenced by the interplay of interest rates, the U.S. Dollar's strength, and broader market sentiment during turbulent economic periods.
The technical indicators on the daily chart are still showing bullish signals, but in shorter timeframes like an hourly and 4 hours charts they are starting to reverse.
If the bearish trend confirms the price of the instrument might fall to levels of 22.543 and 22.33. In the opposite scenario, the price might reach levels of 23.355 and 23.568.
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XAGUSD 23/10 MovePair : XAGUSD ( Silver / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and it is Rejecting from the Upper Trend Line and S / R Level. If it Rejects from the Lower Trend Line then it will Reject from the Daily Descending Trend Line. Break of Structure / RSI - Divergence
Entry Precaution :
Wait for the Breakout and Retest of the Lower Trend Line or S / R Level
Macro Monday 16~SIlver 2nd in RecessionMacro Monday 16
Silver Performance During and Immediately Post-Recession
Over the past few weeks I have heard many financial analysts recommending holding Gold and Silver for protection against a recession scenario or at least holding some bullion as a diversifier or insurance against currency risk. Today’s Silver Chart and Golds Chart from last weeks Macro Monday are aimed at identifying how good these assets performed during the last 8 recessions.
Last week we covered how gold performed during the last 8 recessions and discovered that gold provides an average return of +7.3% during recession periods whilst the S&P500 averaged a -35.6% decline. It is important to note that Gold’s price declined by -9.3% and -6.3% during 2 of the last 8 recessions, however it performed better than the S&P500 in both those scenarios during which the S&P500 declined -12.7% and -16.3% respectively. Last week’s chart of Gold demonstrated that it can offer protection during recessions whilst also potentially offering an average +7.3% return over those period.
The Chart
Interestingly Silver does not appear to be as protective as Gold during recession periods however it appears to make positive moves post-recession which is valuable to know as timing your silver allocation later in a recession cycle could be benefit your portfolio;
1. During 6 out of the last 8 recession periods Silver has declined in price by an average of -9%.
- This is a lessor performance to Golds positive average of +7.3% over the same period.
- However, Silver declines less than S&P500 which declines on average -35.6% over these same recessionary periods
2. Within a 6 months immediately post-recession Silver has increased in price 7 out of 8 times by an average of +18% (blue areas on chart)
- This provides an argument for diversifying a portion of your gold or cash position into Silver late in a recession or at the end of a recession period.
- Obviously timing this would be difficult however, if you had a Gold position that increased between +7 – 10% during what you believe to be a recession period, it could be beneficial to start allocating a portion of that position to Silver based on the average +18% potential within 6 months after the recession ends. There is no guarantee of course.
The Silver Second Allocation Approach
Based on the price history of Gold and Silver over the last 8 recessions there is an argument to not hold silver at the onset and/or during the recession itself (as silver declines -9% on avg during the recession period).
At the onset and during a recession Gold has a much better record with an average return of +7.3% however, Silver can offer significant returns in the 6 months post-recession with an average return of 18%, thus as we wade closer to the end of a recession an allocation into Silver could put you on the right side of probability. No Guarantees.
The Silver Long Hold Approach
Interestingly if you check the data chart which I will share in the comments, you will see that Silvers overall performance (recession periods including the 6 months post-recession period) is positive with an average of +9.1%. In other words, if you held Silver through the recession period and the 6 months post-recession, the average return is 9.1%. Amazing what an additional 6 months of patience can achieve. This is where there is a potential argument to hold silver from the outset of a recession if you intend to hold it that 6 months post-recession.
When you check Silvers post-recession performance (6 months post-recession), it can historically increase as high as +50.6% thus a Silver allocation does offer that upside potential that Gold does not. This adds to the Silver Long Hold Approach argument however this has to be weighed against a potential -58.3% decline during the recession period (also evident on the chart as the opposite extreme).
Final Word
The safety in Gold during a recession is attractive and the post-recession potential return in silver is hard to ignore. Silver can go down or sideways when gold first starts to increase, this has been the case historically and often gold increases for 18 – 24 months before silver really starts to move and catch up (I will follow up this point with a chart).
I myself lean towards a later recession allocation to silver, lets say we get a 14 - 20% drop in silver with a 5 - 7.3% increase in gold, this could be a window to start building your smaller silver position from your gold or cash holding but for me, the silver position will always be smaller and allocated late into a recession. I want to emphasize there is no right approach, these are just considerations worth pondering about Gold and Silver portfolio allocations during recessions. The ultimate decision is up to you.
I hope both the gold and silver chart provide you with some perspective and help keep you on the right side of probability.
PUKA
Silver 13/10 MovePair : XAGUSD ( Silver / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Falling Wedge in Long Time Frame and Rising Wedge in Short Time Frame and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line. It can Rejects from Demand Zone or Upper Trend Line at Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
Entry Precaution :
Wait until it Rejects from any Level with Strong Reversal Price Action