Xag_usd
Expecting Silver may touch 14.72After Silver doing See saw on price & trend. The Silver has finally decided to go North. The upper rally was signaled on 26 January 2016. In near future Silver is poised to go up. on moderate view chances are bright that it may touch 14.72$ to 14.83$. On a brighter side a level of 15.17$ can also be breached in near future.
Caution: The above are our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for any trade. Please consult your personal financial adviser before investing.
Silver at an important crossroadI just wrote about the gold/silver ratio and how it's suggesting a possible new cycle in the silver market (see suggested idea below). To further develop this hypothesis, I find that silver prices are at an important crossroad following last week's rally. The US dollar's sharp fall following the week September US employment data has given relief to battered commodities and commodity-dependent currencies (EM + Aussie + Loonie + NOK). Some are already saying that these assets are changing course, but I prefer to hold of a bit in order to confirm that a durable change in direction is in place this quarter.
This is why I'm watching silver closely. The second bounce off of $14 smells like a double bottom, but I've seen such configurations be invalidated once prices hit their first resistance. With silver prices currently under a 24-month trend line (around $16.00-16.50), I would like to see a technical break before the end of the month (with more US dollar weakness) to be more convinced of the bullish prospects for this metal. Note that the RSI is also testing a long-term trendline. A break of this resistance would theoretically suggest that bullish momentum is building in the market, thereby supporting a technical break above $16. If this were to happen with a clear breakout above $16.50 (or even better $17), I would expect prices to rise back up to $19 by the end of the year.
The conditions for a technical signal are thus set out, but we should all know that silver may very well start falling again so long as prices are below $16 this week. Nonetheless, there's still a decent support at $14 on which I will continue focusing in the weeks ahead.
Silver's testing a long term trend lineI find it quite risky to buy precious metals right now, but silver is currently testing a support that gave way to a technical bounce at the beginning of the year (see related idea below). All I can say at this point is that silver may hold better than gold, which suggests that buying it may provide a hedge for anyone who is already short on in the gold market. At this moment, I'm only looking at silver as a hedge and not an outright buy.