Xaglong
XAGUSD - Silver Continues To Rise?Analysis:
Taking a look at the chart we can clearly see that price is in an upwards trend. We're forming higher highs and higher lows which helps confirm this as well as the upwards trendline that is present. Price today has pulled back to an area of interest to us as this level previously held as resistance. As we know resistance often becomes support when broken so this previous area of resistance looks like a place where we could see buyers step in and push price higher. Looking at our extra confluences we don't have a fib retracement level of a trendline that lines up with our area however both of these confluences are close by, but this isn't why we took this setup. We took this setup now as we're at an area of possible support and we have the fundamentals in our favour. Fundamentals are what drive the markets so if we have a strong fundamental bias then that is more of a reliable signal then any technicals would be. Fundamentally recently we've seen the USD become weaker and as of the most recent report for COT data we saw an increase of 7K long position but we also saw an increase of 8K short positions on the USD so this is bearish for the USD, meaning that this is a bullish confluence for our bias. Overall we have a strong fundamental reason to be bullish on this pair and we've seen an opportunity present itself on the technical aspect as well. This is why we are currently bullish on Silver.
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SILVER RESISTANCE BREAK-THROUGHSilver broke through its resistance at 24.39 on the 4h graph, signaling probable continuation of the bullish trend.
Both MACD indicator and the RSI indicator are signaling bullish trend as well, with MACD histogram being above 0 and rising and RSI being above its neutral line.
If the trend continues we might see the price reaching levels of 24.77 and 24.87
In the opposite scenario, the price might return and test levels of 24.45
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SILVER BULLISH PATTERN EMERGINGXAGUSD is in the process of formatting a rising wedge pattern on the daily graph which might give a bullish momentum for the instrument in the next couple of days. The weakening of the dollar is also making investments in precious metals more desirable for the investors.
RSI indicator is strongly confirming the outlook, being above the 50 neutral line, the confirmation of MACD is weaker, with the histogram still below the 0 value, but still rising.
If this trend continues, the price of the instrument might try to reach levels of 21.725, but on the other hand, if the trend reverses, the price might test its previous support at 21.333
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Silver in inverted head and shoulders.Silver - Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 19.67 (stop at 19.57)
A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders is forming.
Previous resistance located at 19.65. A break of bespoke resistance at 19.50, and the move higher is already underway.
There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited.
Our profit targets will be 19.94 and 20.20
Resistance: 19.65 / 20.00 / 20.20
Support: 19.20 / 19.00 / 18.60
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XAGUSD has loosing the powerXAGUSD has a falling trend and it is losing its power. For the 1d graph, it has lower highs and a "falling triangle". Also, shoulder-head-shoulder formation and double pick were seen in the short past. They indicate weakness. I'm more close to short but before taking a position, it must wait for a confirmation.
Short opinion:
If it will break the support ($20-22), the target will be $18.5.
Long opinion:
If it will break the falling trend, because of flag formation, the target will be $35 with a 50% gain.
It is not an investment suggestion. Please be careful with your decisions.
Bullflag on the Daily for Silver ?Not having a bias on silver at the moment but, Considering the price rise of 162% in 140 Days from the lows in March was quite a large move for Silver, When looking at past prices it took 819 days to reach the $30 mark.
But overall I think a pullback to the 61.8 fib level of $18 would be a healthy correction before we start moving up.
That gives us time to buy in for the long run :)
XAG USD clear path to 26+Hello traders & analysts,
Here is out latest update for Silver . We are bullish and would like to share our out look for the next opportunities which can take place.
Now we have hit 21.00 - expect some resistance to occur - why? This is due to the barrier to be broken through.
We will now anticipate the next target of 26.00
at 20.5 we closed 200 units to cash in 450pips - great partial take!
COT data:
Long Short Total %Long %Short
Avg_13 62,368 28,887 91,255 69% 31%
Avg_20 61,214 26,449 87,663 70% 30%
Avg 50 83,059 35,629 118,688 70% 30%
Avg_130 84,123 36,227 120,349 70% 30%
Technically what has happened?
Price was severely undervalued and silver is an important commodity to use for manufacturing sectors.
Commodity currencies rely on this as an export factor e.g. CAD, AUD, MXN, ZAR , RUB, NZD.
We had a great wedge pattern where we entered on a nice engulfing daily candle which broke to the upside.
Price has hit a nice supply zone at 18.3-18.9 zone.
The price in this area can reject and retrace which is an option we are looking for; however keep in mind the bullish structure, price has alot of upside potential.
If price rejects, we will look for a nice clean break from the zone and hedge.
Fundamentals:
Coronavirus re-opening of industries and subsequent purchase power of retailers.
Fear commodity but less attractive than Gold and platinum.
Cheap metal but gains are very high and attractive
China vs USA trade war
Australia vs China mini trade war.
Mexico has large coronavirus numbers but largest producer of silver .
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Trade idea for XAGUSD SILVER, The major run is getting preparedXAGUSD broke the trendline, retested it and continuing for a rally
its a long term hold
Also it has retested the weekly 200ema so beautifully
I have put the aggressive stoploss you can adjust it according to previous swing low according to you