XAG/USD (Silver) - Triangle Breakout (09.07.2025)The XAG/USD (Silver) pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3749
2nd Resistance – 3781
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XAG USD (Silver / US Dollar)
Silver Analysis – Strong Bulls and a Clean Setup AheadLast month, Silver printed a new multi-decade high, a major technical milestone.
Since then, price has entered a sideways consolidation, forming a rectangle — but what stands out is this:
👉 Silver bulls have absorbed every dip, even when Gold dropped.
That’s strength. And strength usually precedes breakout.
🔍 Current Situation
At the time of writing, price is trading around 37.20,
and from the current structure, it looks like nothing is standing in the way of an upside break.
We don’t predict — we prepare...
And this chart looks ready.
🎯 Next Target: 40.00 USD?
A push to 40.00 looks like the next “normal” target.
But don’t forget: that’s a 3,000 pip move.
This type of move will require patience
Plan your trade.
Respect your risk.
Let the bulls work. 🚀
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SILVER (XAGUSD): Correction is Over?!
It looks like Silver has finally completed a consolidation within
a wide horizontal parallel channel on a daily.
A new higher high formation today indicates coming growth.
Because if its Friday, I suggest looking for trend-following buy from Monday.
Let the market close above the underlined resistance to let it set a Higher Close
as well.
Look for buying after a pullback, aiming at 38.0 as the first goal.
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Silver bullish breakout support at 3686The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3686 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3686 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3814 – initial resistance
3865 – psychological and structural level
3920 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3686 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3645 – minor support
3590 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 3686. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
"XAG/USD: BULL FLAG FORMING? LAST CHANCE TO JUMP IN!"🔥 XAG/USD "SILVER RAID" – Bullish Loot Grab Before the Cops Arrive! 🚨💰
🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Bandits! 🌟
Based on the 🚨Thief Trading Style🚨 (a ruthless mix of technicals + fundamentals), we’re plotting a day/swing trade heist on XAG/USD (Silver). Our mission? Loot bullish gains before hitting the police barricade (resistance zone). Stay sharp—this is a high-risk, high-reward escape plan with overbought signals and bearish traps lurking!
📜 THE HEIST BLUEPRINT
🎯 Entry (Bullish Swipe):
"Vault is OPEN!" – Long at any price, but for smarter thieves:
Buy limit orders near swing lows/highs (15m-30m TF).
DCA/Layering strategy: Spread entries like a pro bandit.
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route):
Nearest swing low/high (1H candle body/wick) → 36.700 (adjust based on risk & lot size).
Risk management is key! Don’t get caught by the market cops.
🏴☠️ Take Profit (Escape Before Handcuffs!):
First Target: 38.500 (or bail earlier if momentum fades).
Scalpers: Only play LONG! Use trailing SL to lock profits.
💡 WHY THIS HEIST? (Market Drivers)
Bullish momentum in Silver (XAG/USD) fueled by:
Macro trends (COT report, sentiment shifts).
Intermarket moves (Gold correlation, USD weakness).
Potential breakout from consolidation.
⚠️ News Risk: Major releases can trigger volatility—avoid new trades during high-impact events!
🚨 THIEF'S PRO TIPS
✅ Trailing SL = Your getaway car.
✅ Small accounts? Ride the swing traders’ coattails.
✅ Big wallets? Go full-throttle.
✅ Boost this idea 💥 to strengthen our robbery squad!
📌 DISCLAIMER (Stay Out of Jail!)
Not financial advice! DYOR, manage risk, and adapt to market changes.
Silver is volatile—trade smart, not greedy.
🤑 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… STAY TUNED! 🕵️♂️
🔗 Want the Full Intel?
Check the fundamentals, COT reports, and intermarket analysis for deeper clues! (Klick the 🔗🔗).
💬 Drop a comment if you’re joining the heist! 👇
XAGUSD Analysis : Squeeze + Curved Support Break + Bearish SetupThe XAGUSD 4-hour timeframe presents a structurally rich bullish setup, displaying signs of smart money accumulation and directional bias toward a potential breakout. Price action is currently compressing beneath a major horizontal resistance, supported dynamically by a Black Mind Curve, indicating progressive demand absorption by larger players.
This structure — characterized by rounded, ascending support and multiple rejections off a flat resistance — resembles a re-accumulation cup-like formation beneath a key supply level. These conditions often precede high-probability breakouts, driven by liquidity engineering and retail trap setups.
🔍 Key Technical Elements:
🟢 1. Black Mind Curve Support (Dynamic Demand Zone)
The curved trendline support represents an institutionally significant accumulation level, respected over multiple sessions. Note the price’s consistent reaction at this curved support, producing long lower wicks and bullish engulfing candles — both signs of liquidity grabs followed by strong buyer commitment.
This curve essentially acts as a visual footprint of algorithmic buying interest — creating a controlled, higher-low structure leading into the resistance wall.
🔵 2. Major Horizontal Resistance Zone (~37.20–37.40)
This level has served as a historical sell-side liquidity pool, having rejected multiple attempts to break higher over the past weeks. Each approach has been met with selling pressure, but the gradual compression of price against this zone hints at an impending breakout. Repeated testing of resistance with higher lows builds pressure — a classic ascending re-test model.
🟡 3. Break of Structure (BOS) Levels: Confirmation Zones
Minor BOS (~36.20): Confirmed. Indicates bullish intent and short-term trend shift.
Major BOS (~35.80): The ultimate invalidation level. If broken, the bullish thesis is compromised, and price may re-enter the lower consolidation zone.
A bullish BOS above 37.40 would mark a true breakout and open the door to 38.00+ levels.
🔴 4. Liquidity & Smart Money Behavior
The long wicks and deep retests into the Black Mind Curve suggest stop-loss hunts and liquidity inducement. Institutions often use such zones to trap breakout traders early, accumulate orders below swing lows, and then reverse the move. The price action around July 3–10 reflects this behavior clearly.
⚫ 5. Volume & Momentum Consideration
While not shown in the chart, volume confirmation is critical here. A breakout above resistance should ideally be supported by increased volume and momentum divergence on RSI/MACD. A failure to confirm could indicate a fakeout trap, which is not uncommon in commodity markets like Silver.
📌 Strategic Trade Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Continuation Setup:
Trigger: Break and 4H candle close above 37.40 resistance
Retest Entry: Wait for price to retest broken resistance (now support) with bullish confirmation (engulfing, pin bar, etc.)
Targets:
TP1: 38.00 (psychological round number)
TP2: 38.60–38.90 (measured move target from structure base)
TP3: 39.50 (extension target)
Invalidation: Break below 36.00 with strong bearish volume
🔻 Bearish Rejection Scenario:
Trigger: Sharp rejection from resistance zone followed by breakdown below the Black Mind Curve and BOS levels
Confirmation: Close below 36.20 with high volume
Targets:
TP1: 35.80
TP2: 35.20 (curve base)
TP3: 34.80 (range bottom liquidity zone)
Invalidation: Return above 36.80 after rejection
📘 Market Context & Professional Insight:
This is a high-probability continuation pattern in a bullish macro context. With interest rates stabilizing and commodity demand remaining firm, silver often trails gold in performance but catches up with volatility. Traders must watch the behavior around the resistance level, as that’s where smart money will show their hand.
Institutional traders typically accumulate below resistance and engineer a breakout with controlled price action — and this chart is a textbook display of that setup. The Mind Curve structure mimics Wyckoffian schematics in the re-accumulation phase.
Timing is crucial — breakout traders should be patient and disciplined, avoiding premature entries before a valid confirmation of strength.
✅ Conclusion:
Silver (XAGUSD) is approaching a critical juncture. The chart structure suggests an imminent breakout above major resistance, supported by institutional behavior along the Black Mind Curve Support. However, traders must remain agile — watch for breakout confirmation or signs of a false move followed by distribution.
This chart embodies a calculated bullish bias, and offers a great risk-to-reward opportunity for both trend followers and breakout traders.
Silver: Daily Reversal Possible at Supply ZoneI'm anticipating a potential daily reversal in silver prices. Retail traders are maintaining a bullish stance, while commercial traders remain heavily short. The current price action suggests a possible reaction to a key supply area. What are your thoughts on the likelihood of a reversal, and what technical indicators might support or refute this potential shift?
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Setupsfx_ | SILVER: Preparing For Another Bullish Move! There are two buying areas we believe could reverse the price trend, which would be a significant move in silver price history. We may even see it go above $40 for the first time. Silver is becoming a secondary best option to invest in the global market, but it will never surpass gold at least for now.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
Silver (XAGUSD) Structural Analysis : Curve break & TargetSilver is exhibiting a textbook bullish continuation pattern, guided by a parabolic curve structure that reflects intensifying buyer momentum. This unique setup provides a high-probability trading roadmap as we approach a major reversal zone—one where smart money may look to offload long positions or enter fresh shorts.
This analysis aims to help traders anticipate the likely path of XAGUSD based on structure, liquidity behavior, and trend psychology.
🔍 Key Structural Observations:
1. Black Mind Curve Support (Dynamic Bullish Structure)
This parabolic arc acts as dynamic support. Every bounce from the curve shows growing strength in buyer conviction.
The price is riding the curve upward with higher lows, signaling accumulation with momentum.
This is not a standard trendline but rather a curve reflecting the accelerated nature of this uptrend.
2. Aggressive Bullish Momentum
The recent price behavior has shown strong impulsive candles to the upside followed by shallow corrections, confirming bullish dominance.
Volume and candle size increase near the curve, suggesting institutional interest.
3. Reversal Zone: 37.20 – 37.45
Marked as the Next Reversal Zone, this green box represents a key supply area where previous swing highs exist.
Historically, price struggled to break this region cleanly, making it a high-probability reaction zone.
Expect either:
a bearish rejection (short-term correction), or
a consolidation before a breakout continuation.
4. Liquidity Pool & Needed Volume Zone (~35.20 – 35.50)
The market often revisits zones of untapped liquidity. This area likely holds:
Buy-side stop losses
Unfilled institutional orders
If the market needs a deeper retracement, this is the zone to watch for re-accumulation.
🧠 Market Psychology Behind This Setup:
This structure suggests a classic case of smart money accumulation, with price moving upward in a controlled yet aggressive fashion. The parabolic nature of the move points to:
Increasing retail buy-ins
FOMO-driven entries
Possible engineered sweep before the next impulse
The reversal zone could become a profit-taking area for institutions. If large players want to continue higher, they may first induce a pullback to absorb more volume at lower prices (near the curve or liquidity zone).
🔧 Tactical Playbook for Traders:
For Bulls (Long Bias):
Watch for pullbacks toward the curve or liquidity zone.
Enter long positions on bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candles, pin bars) off those zones.
Targets: 37.20 – 37.45, possibly higher if broken with strength.
For Bears (Countertrend Traders):
Wait for clear rejection patterns in the reversal zone.
Use confirmation like RSI divergence, momentum slowdown, or distribution volume.
Target: Curve support or deeper liquidity zone for reentry.
📌 Key Technical Levels:
Zone Price Range Description
Reversal Zone 37.20 – 37.45 Resistance / Take-Profit Area
Curve Support Dynamic (rising) Support based on parabolic arc
Liquidity Pool 35.20 – 35.50 High-volume demand zone
🧭 Conclusion
Silver is currently in a momentum-driven phase supported by smart money activity. The parabolic structure and clean liquidity map give traders a clear plan to engage both long and short setups with timing and precision. Patience around the reversal zone will be key, as the next major move may depend on how price behaves in this critical area.
Silver Holds Near 13-Year High Amid Tariff UncertaintySilver held above $36.80 Friday, near 13-year highs, as renewed trade tensions supported safe-haven demand. Markets grew cautious after Trump announced plans to send tariff letters, and as the House passed his tax and spending bill, expected to widen the deficit by over $3 trillion. Silver’s gains were capped by a surprisingly stronger June US jobs report, which eased recession fears and reduced near-term Fed rate cut pressure.
Resistance is at 37.50, while support holds at 35.40.
Silver sideways consolidation support at 3500The Silver price action continues to exhibit a bullish sentiment, underpinned by a prevailing rising trend. However, recent intraday moves indicate a corrective pullback, reflecting short-term consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
3,500 – Primary support and previous consolidation zone; critical for maintaining bullish structure.
3,450 – Secondary support; potential downside target if 3,500 fails.
3,390 – Key lower support; aligns with a broader demand area.
Resistance:
3,720 – Immediate upside resistance; first target on a bullish bounce.
3,790 – Intermediate resistance; aligns with recent swing highs.
3,850 – Long-term resistance target; marks the upper boundary of the current bullish channel.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Continuation (Base Case):
A bounce from the 3,500 level would affirm the corrective pullback as temporary, with potential for a bullish continuation targeting 3,720, followed by 3,790 and 3,850 over a longer timeframe.
Bearish Reversal (Alternative Scenario):
A daily close below 3,500 would undermine the current bullish outlook and signal a deeper retracement, with downside risk toward 3,450 and potentially 3,390, where structural support may stabilize price.
Conclusion:
Silver remains structurally bullish, with the current pullback offering a potential entry point within the trend. The 3,500 level is the key pivot—holding above it supports further upside continuation, while a breakdown below would raise the risk of a deeper correction. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at this level to validate the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Skeptic | XAG/USD Analysis: Precision Triggers for Spot & FutureHey everyone, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Ready to ride XAG/USD’s next wave? Let’s dive into XAG/USD (Silver) to uncover long and short triggers that can deliver solid profits. Currently trading around $ 36.31 , we’re analyzing Daily and 4-hour timeframes to pinpoint high-probability setups. Here’s the no-nonsense breakdown to keep you sharp. 📊
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the Daily timeframe, we saw a strong primary uptrend sparked by a V-pattern breakout at $ 33.68317 , which drove a 10% rally, as flagged in my previous analyses—hope you caught it! We’re now in a consolidation box, potentially acting as accumulation or distribution. Today’s candle faced a strong rejection from the box ceiling. If it closes this way in 9 hours, the odds of breaking the box floor increase significantly.
Key Supports: If the floor breaks, watch $ 34.78648 and $ 34.41291 as strong reaction zones for potential bounces.
4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers)
On the 4-hour timeframe, let’s lock in long and short triggers:
Long Trigger: Break above resistance at $ 37.29163 , confirmed by RSI entering overbought. Check my RSI guide for how I optimize setups with RSI.
Short Trigger: Break below support at $ 35.59660 , with volume confirmation. Additional confirmation: RSI entering oversold.
Confirmation Timing: Choose your confirmation timeframe based on your style—4-hour, 1-hour, or even 15-minute. I typically confirm triggers on 15-minute closes for precision, but if 1-hour momentum kicks in, I use 1-hour candle closes. Focus on candle body closes, not just shadows, to avoid fakeouts.
Pro Tip: Stick to 1%–2% risk per trade for capital protection.
Final Vibe Check
This XAG/USD breakdown arms you with precise triggers: long at $37.29163, short at $35.59660, with volume and RSI as your allies. The Daily consolidation signals a big move is brewing—stay patient for the ceiling or floor break. Want more cycle-based setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which Silver trigger are you eyeing? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
SILVER: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
SILVER
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SILVER
Entry Point - 36.935
Stop Loss - 37.204
Take Profit - 36.369
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SILVER RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅SILVER has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a
Horizontal resistance of 3730$
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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SILVER Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on SILVER and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 36.935 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 36.582
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
04.07.2025 #XAGUSDSELL 36.9000 | STOP 38.5000 | TAKE 34.7000 - 33.9500 | Medium-term investment forecast on silver deal for the next 2-3 months. On the D1 chart we observe the technical structure of the completion of the ascending wedge. Formation of double top of highs. We also consider a probable potential for the output of volumes in this instrument and a gradual decline to a pronounced support range on the background of growing interest and the potential of the US dollar until the end of summer.
Silver approaching key resistance barrierLooking at MARKETSCOM:SILVER , we can see that the price action is approaching the highest point of June. If that gets cleared, the next target might be the highest point of 2012. Let's dig in.
TVC:SILVER
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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XAGUSD Analysis : Consolidation & FMFR Setup + Target🧭 Technical Overview:
Silver has had a strong bullish rally that started after the breakout of a long-term symmetrical triangle pattern. This breakout marked a Major Break of Structure (BOS) and shifted the overall market sentiment toward the bulls. Since then, price has been consolidating under a major resistance zone, forming a compression range, which is now shown as a blue elliptical zone in the chart.
This ellipse is not just a consolidation area — it represents a neutral compression zone where price can explode in either direction. The price action inside this area has been choppy and manipulative, sweeping both local highs and lows without real follow-through — a perfect environment for a Fake Move – then Reversal (FMFR) strategy.
🔍 Key Chart Components:
🔹 1. Ellipse (Dual Directional Zone)
This region shows indecision. Price is coiling inside, creating higher lows and lower highs — a volatility squeeze. A breakout from this ellipse is likely, but the first breakout move may be fake, followed by a quick reversal.
🔹 2. Major BOS (Break of Structure)
Price broke out of a long-term descending structure and pushed strongly upward, which marked a significant bullish shift. The pullback after that BOS was shallow — a sign of continued strength — but now we’re at a decision point.
🔹 3. Resistance Zone (Previous Target Area)
The price is now retesting a strong historical resistance around $37.00–$38.00, where we’ve seen rejections before. This is the liquidity zone where breakout traders enter long, but institutions may sweep them for liquidity before reversing.
🔹 4. Minor and Major CHoCH Levels
Minor CHoCH: Around $35.00–$35.50
Major CHoCH: Near $33.80–$34.00
These are reversal zones to watch if a fake move to the upside occurs and price rolls over.
📉 FMFR Setup Explained:
FMFR (First Move Fake Reversal) is a market behavior pattern where:
Price fakes a breakout in one direction (e.g., above resistance).
Attracts liquidity (traders’ orders).
Reverses rapidly in the opposite direction, trapping those who entered late.
In your chart, the blue notes say:
“In This Case, XAGUSD Have to Gave FMFR From Anyside”
“First Move Fake Then Reversal”
This highlights that no matter which direction the market initially breaks, it’s likely to reverse shortly afterward. This pattern is often seen before major moves when the market seeks to clear liquidity.
🔄 Scenarios to Watch:
🅰️ Bull Trap (Fake Breakout)
Price spikes above $37.80–$38.00.
Sweeps the highs and rejects sharply.
Reversal triggers below the ellipse, heading toward minor/major CHoCH.
🅱️ Bear Trap (Fake Breakdown)
Price dips below $35.00 (minor CHoCH).
Triggers panic sells.
Then rebounds quickly into the previous high zone or beyond.
⚙️ Trading Strategy Ideas:
Wait for Confirmation: Enter only after a confirmed breakout and retest OR a fakeout with reversal candles (e.g., engulfing, pin bar).
Use Tight Risk Management: Place stops outside sweep zones. This setup is volatile and can trap undisciplined trades.
Watch Volume & Wicks: Spikes with wicks and no close beyond the level usually confirm FMFR setups.
🔐 Key Levels to Watch:
Zone Price Level Action
Major Resistance $37.00–$38.00 Watch for fakeouts
Minor CHoCH ~$35.00–$35.50 Reversal entry zone
Major CHoCH ~$33.80 Last line of bullish defense
📝 Final Thoughts:
This is a textbook FMFR compression setup, where volatility is building inside a symmetrical price zone. The first aggressive move from this region is likely to be deceptive. Smart money traders look for trap setups, not the obvious direction. Silver is approaching a high-risk, high-reward decision zone, and staying patient will be key.
📊 Wait. Observe. React — don’t predict blindly.
SILVER Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend but the price will
Soon hit a horizontal resistance
Area around 37,32$ from
Where we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAGUSD Strong accumulation waiting for a break-out. Silver (XAGUSD) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Up pattern and since the June 18 Higher High, it has entered a Descending Triangle.
This has previous been an Accumulation pattern, which after broken to the upside, it led to June's High. Similarly, we expect a bullish break-out once the 4H RSI breaks above its MA, and as long as the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, we expect a +15.50% minimum rise (like the first Bullish Leg of the Channel Up), with our Target se at 40.500.
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