Silver - Just Starting The Parabolic Rally!Trading update on Silver ( TVC:SILVER ):
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Silver just perfectly completed the bullish break and retest and is about to reject the next horizontal resistance level. However everything is still significantly bullish and I honestly do expect a breakout soon. Following the previous cycle, Silver might rally another +35% from here.
Levels to watch: $34, $45
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
XAGUSD (Silver) still BullishMonthly Chart
The monthly candle is still bullish.
Weekly Chart
Weekly candle closed as indecision candle while the trend is still bullish and we are expecting the price to at least retrace towards the middle of previous IPA (or FVG) candle of previous week and then resume higher. Next Target above 35.15 level.
Daily Chart
We will be looking a bullish structure around 32.47 or slightly lower for a buy entry. Next target around 35.15 level.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Important Demand Zone Ahead
Silver is retracing after a sharp bullish movement.
Ahead, I see a significant demand zone.
The underlined yellow area is based on a rising trend line
and a recently broken weekly/daily horizontal resistance cluster.
With a high probability, we will see an up movement from that area.
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XAGUSD: Sell the bounce. Top about to be completed. Silver reached the top of the 3 month Channel Up, naturally on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.183, MACD = 0.939, ADX = 32.693) and since 3 days it got rejected to the 4H MA50 today. The 2 bullish waves before that show that this is technically the last bounce before the top is formed. We are ready to sell this back to the bottom of the Channel Up, targeting the 0.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 32.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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XAGUSD - 1H BullishOANDA:XAGUSD is showing strong bullish momentum, particularly as we approach late October 2024. On the technical side, the current chart presents a series of three bearish pullbacks, each one weaker than the last, suggesting the bearish trend is losing strength. Silver has now reached a key support zone, which aligns with the end of the bearish phase and a potential upward reversal. The breakout is likely, supported by bullish signals from the trend line and weakening bearish pressure.
From a fundamental perspective, there are several factors supporting this bullish outlook for silver. Global demand for silver, particularly in renewable energy sectors and industrial uses, continues to grow. In October 2024, silver prices have also been supported by increasing inflation concerns and the weakening U.S. dollar, as noted by various market analysts. Additionally, silver remains above critical moving averages, further reinforcing the possibility of continued upward momentum.
With a strong technical foundation and supporting fundamentals, silver looks well-positioned for a rally in the coming weeks. Keep an eye on key resistance levels and potential macroeconomic developments for further confirmation of the bullish trend.
Silver (XAGUSD): Anticipating a correction after new local highsTwo out of our three Silver positions remain active, with Silver reaching a remarkable high near $35. Today, we decided to fully close our second position, locking in substantial gains. The first position, initiated at $26.30, will remain open with a stop loss placed slightly below $26, aligning with the high-timeframe support and wave 1 level.
Given current analysis, a correction in Silver may be on the horizon after reaching the minimum target for wave 3. With increased Treasury yields and some profit-taking, Silver could face resistance in climbing further, especially considering the upward trend in yields.
While we cannot predict the exact speed of this potential downturn, if it unfolds as expected, we’ll look to re-enter with Silver certificates around the $30 to $28.30 range. The ideal correction would see a pullback toward the volume range high and a subsequent bounce within the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone, which we’ll confirm once wave ((a)) is established. Stay patient and focused, as volatility is expected to rise with the upcoming presidential elections.
Silver’s U-Turn: Head & Shoulder Formation Triggers Sell Signal● After breaking out from the Rounding Bottom formation, the price soared to an impressive peak of $34.87.
● Subsequently, a consolidation phase unfolded, leading to the development of the Head & Shoulder pattern.
● We expect a swift drop once the neckline is breached, potentially retracing the price back to its earlier breakout point.
Key levels to watch
● Entry : Below $33.4
● Potential Target : $32.7
● Stop-loss : Above 33.7
XAGUSD Bull Flag to test the strength of the MA50 (1d).Silver has completed a Cup pattern with the price breaking above it this week.
Yesterday's pull back may start a Bull Flag, delayed Handle of the Cup, same as the mid April Bull Flag that gave an excellent buy above the MA50 (1d).
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the 1.0 Fibonacci level.
Targets:
1. 38.500 (the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is also trading on a similar pattern as April. A neutral (1d) RSI is perhaps the most efficient buy signal there is.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Correction Silver H4. 24.10.2024Correction Silver 📉
The correction in silver started a bit earlier than the expected zone, so I'm clarifying the situation. Buying zone is important at 31.31-32.17 and slightly above the margin with support level. I am still aiming for 35.50 and higher after the end of the pullback. There were no strong culmination volumes at the top, so it is more likely that a pullback is forming downwards.
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
XAGUSDXAGUSD is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH, which is also the 50% Fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this buying confluence the next leg up could go for new HH.
What you guys think of this idea?
Silver H1 | Potential bearish reversalSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 34.18 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 34.70 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 33.56 which is a pullback support.
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XAG/USD "SILVER DOLLAR" Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Bonjour! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
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silver to 35$ Rate Cut Expectations Hello Traders as I can see Silver Breaks Above $30.19 as Fed Rate Cuts Loom, Eyes $31.76 and $32.52 as Bullish Targets for the Week Ahead. Dollar Weakness and Gold Inflows Propel Silver Higher; Traders Await Fed's Upcoming Interest Rate Decision. Fed Rate Cut Expectations Soar: Markets See 57% Chance of 25-Basis-Point Cut, 43% Chance of a Bigger 50-Basis-Point Cut
is moving toward to 35$ range as we can see bull market continues on the base of FFR cut Expectations also technically chart is showing us that the descending Triangle breakout is a clear view to continue Rally till 35$. Silver prices surged last week, breaking above the $30.19 per ounce mark and confirming a bullish trend on the weekly charts. The rally brought key levels of $32.52and $35 into focus. Optimism that the U.S. Federal Reserve is preparing to cut interest rates, coupled with a weaker U.S. dollar and strong gold inflows, fueled silver’s upward move.
Dollar Weakness and Gold Inflows Drive Silver Higher. One of the key drivers of silver’s rise was the U.S. dollar’s continued decline, which hit its lowest level of the year against the yen. A weaker dollar typically boosts silver by making it cheaper for holders of other currencies. Additionally, global gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw continued inflows, with the SPDR Gold Trust reaching its highest levels since January. This increased demand for gold also lifted silver prices, as the two metals often move in tandem. Friends its just a trade idea make proper research before entering any trade Support the idea it will help many other traders Stay tuned for more updates ....
Dont Buy Silver Here; Watch Gold/Silver RatioSilver has been mostly sideways since 2021 and till 2024, when metal clearly formed a corrective price action because of choppy and overlapping moves. Ideally, that was a very big triangle that sent prices sharply higher this year as shown on weekly chart below. We have seen some nice turn up, due to inflation hedge, CB easing and geopolitical tensions. In fact, we can see some volatility in last few weeks with sharp move out of a big contracting range; its an impulsive reaction since price broke above $25, but notice that price now trades $34-37 area as expected; marked as potential resistance zone identified by swing highs from 2012, 2013, and Fibonacci levels.
The reason why we should be aware of a resistance on silver and also gold, is gold/silver ratio (XAUSD/XAGUSD ), which is pointing higher after an A-B-C corrective setback. Based on past correlations, bullish gold/silver ratio is usually bearish for metals, so if ratio start moving higher, then watch out for a limited upside on silver. From an Elliott wave perspective this push higher on XAUSD/XAGUSD chart would deffinitely not be a surprise because of bullish pattern.
If someone wants to join uptrends on gold and silver, then due to the reasons described above, it may not be a bad idea to wait on some pullback first. $30 can be an interesting levels in such case.
Is Silver About to Rewrite the Rules of the Global Financial GaIn a remarkable twist of market dynamics, silver – long overshadowed by its golden cousin – is positioning itself for what could be its most dramatic transformation in decades. Russia's unprecedented decision to add silver to its central bank reserves has sent shockwaves through the precious metals market, potentially signaling a fundamental shift in how central banks view this dual-purpose metal. This strategic move, combined with a staggering supply deficit of 663 million ounces projected through 2024, suggests we may be witnessing the early stages of a historic price realignment.
The numbers tell a compelling story: a 41% price surge year-to-date, pushing above $33.89 per ounce, with analysts projecting potential moves beyond $40 before year's end. Yet it's not just the price action that's turning heads. The convergence of industrial demand from emerging technologies, particularly in renewable energy and electronics, alongside traditional investment demand, has created a unique supply-demand imbalance. This structural deficit, coupled with major central banks' expected rate cuts in 2024, could catalyze a powerful upward price trajectory.
Perhaps most intriguing is the current gold-silver ratio of 81:1, sitting well above its historical average of 55:1. This disparity, viewed alongside Russia's groundbreaking policy shift, raises a provocative question: Are we witnessing the early signs of a new monetary paradigm where silver reclaims its historical role as a strategic reserve asset? For investors and market observers alike, the unfolding story of silver in 2024 may well represent one of the most compelling opportunities in the precious metals space – a narrative where industrial necessity meets monetary revolution.