SILVER: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current SILVER chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
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XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
XAGUSD - Awaiting Correction Before Next Leg HigherSilver (XAG/USD) appears to be in a recovery phase after experiencing a sharp selloff in early April that found a bottom near $2,840. The 4-hour chart shows the price has rebounded significantly from those lows and we are expecting for it to form a correction pattern. Based on the projected price path, we can expect a period of consolidation with some downside movement to establish a higher low, potentially targeting the $3,060-3,080 support zone, before resuming the larger uptrend toward $3,350 and beyond. This anticipated correction provides an excellent opportunity for traders to prepare long setups at discounted prices, with the highlighted support area around $2,880 serving as a major floor that should contain any deeper pullbacks. The overall technical structure suggests this retracement will be temporary before bulls regain control of the market.
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SILVER Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 29.588
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 31.319
Safe Stop Loss - 28.754
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER rising trendline support retest Silver maintains a bullish sentiment, in line with the prevailing uptrend. Recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially retesting the previous consolidation zone for support.
Key Level: 3090
This zone represents a significant area of prior consolidation and now acts as a key support level.
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback toward 3090 followed by a bullish bounce would confirm continued upside momentum. Immediate resistance targets include 3266, with extended upside potential toward 3350 and 3450 over the longer term.
Bearish Alternative:
A confirmed breakdown and daily close below 3090 would negate the current bullish outlook. This would open the door for a deeper retracement toward 3028, followed by 2945.
Conclusion:
Silver remains technically bullish while trading above 3090. A successful retest and rebound from this level would support further upside. However, a daily close below 3090 would shift sentiment bearish in the short term, increasing the risk of a deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SILVER (XAGUSD): More Growth is Coming
Following Gold, Silver formed a strong bullish pattern on an hourly time frame.
I found the ascending triangle formation and a breakout of its neckline
as a strong bullish confirmation.
I expect growth at least to 31.7 level now.
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XAG/USD Climbs on FOMC WorriesSilver prices climbed above $31 per ounce on Thursday, extending gains for a second straight session as commodities rebounded following President Trump’s rollback of his reciprocal tariff policy. The new measure lowers tariffs on most trade partners to 10% for 90 days to support negotiations. However, China, a key silver consumer, still faces a steep 125% tariff, keeping geopolitical tensions elevated and sustaining safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, FOMC minutes revealed growing concerns about stagflation and the impact of Trump’s trade agenda on the Fed’s dual mandate of price stability and full employment.
Resistance starts at 31.50; if breached, the next levels are 32.15 and 33.30. Support sits at 30.20, with 29.50 and 29.20 below if that level gives way.
Silver at a Crossroads: More Pain or a Rally Above 34?Silver is undergoing a potential trend change. The previous yellow uptrend channel has been broken, and a new, nearly flat-slightly downward channel (marked by blue lines) appears to be forming. While it may be too early to confirm this as an established trend, the structure is developing with increasing clarity.
Silver is now at a crossroads. The former trendline is being retested, and just above it lies a confluence of resistance: a previous demand zone and the 200-day moving average. These former support levels have now merged into a strong resistance area.
Unless this resistance zone is broken, downward pressure is likely to persist. However, a breakout could open the door for a medium-term move toward the 34 level.
Please check gold/silver chart for longer term understanding:
XAGUSD: Silver, and the latest on tariffs!Silver is trading in its ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, between the EMA200 and EMA50. If silver reaches the supply zone, it can be sold. A downward correction will also provide us with a buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio.
U.S. President Donald Trump has implemented tariff policies with the aim of revitalizing domestic manufacturing. During the 1980s, a significant portion of American manufacturing jobs either moved overseas or were replaced by automation technologies.
The shift in production was largely driven by wage disparities across countries. Nevertheless, the United States remains a leading global manufacturer, although it now focuses on producing higher-value goods. Experts argue that imposing import taxes is unlikely to achieve one of its stated goals: restoring manufacturing as a central pillar of the U.S. economy.
According to many economists, Trump’s campaign to impose tariffs on a wide range of goods from trade partners is unlikely to bring back the manufacturing jobs that once formed the backbone of the blue-collar middle class.
In the mid-20th century, the U.S. was the manufacturing capital of the world, employing more workers in this sector than any other. At its peak in the 1950s, one-fourth of the civilian workforce was engaged in manufacturing.
However, starting in the 1980s, free trade agreements facilitated the relocation of many industries abroad, while automation reduced the need for human labor in the remaining factories. Today, only about 7% of the workforce is employed in manufacturing—a figure that has remained largely unchanged since the Great Recession.
The goal of tariffs is to incentivize businesses to relocate their factories to the U.S. to avoid paying import taxes—costs that are typically passed on to consumers.
While some economists believe this approach could work for select industries, it is unlikely to recreate an era in which most household items carried the “Made in America” label.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, while it’s unlikely that the Chinese President will initiate a call himself, the odds of Xi Jinping responding to a call from Trump are reportedly high.
This comes amid heightened tensions between the two nations due to new tariffs and escalating trade disputes, where both sides appear to be locked in a power struggle—neither willing to be the first to back down.
Although this news may seem minor on the surface, it carries a deeper signal for the markets: despite ongoing tensions, the possibility for communication and negotiation remains. This prospect, especially in a highly volatile environment, could be seen as a positive sign by investors.
Earlier in the week, Trump had stated he was waiting for a call from Xi. Now, the Wall Street Journal suggests that if Trump initiates the conversation, a response from China is likely. While this may be an unofficial message from within the Chinese leadership, it still indicates that the door to dialogue and de-escalation is not entirely closed.
Potential bullish rise?XAG/USD has bounce off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 30.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 29.57
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 31.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Silver Remains Volatile Amid Trade War and Recession FearsSilver stayed above $30.50 per ounce on strong safe-haven demand amid U.S.-China trade tensions. Prices held a 3.5% gain after President Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause and a 10% rate for all but China, which now faces a 125% tariff. China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 84%, and the EU approved duties on €21 billion of American exports. Fed minutes showed concerns about stagflation and the impact of Trump’s trade policies. Markets now await March U.S. inflation data on Thursday for clues on the Fed’s next move.
Technically, the first resistance level is located at 31.50. In case of its breach 32.15 and 33.30 could be monitored respectively. On the downside, the first support is at 30.20. 29.50 and 29.20 would become the next support levels if this level is passed.
Silver H4 | Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 31.98 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 33.30 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 30.49 which is a pullback support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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SILVER Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is surging up again
But is about to enter a wide
Supply area around 31.40$
From where a local bearish
Correction is likely to take place
Sell!
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Yields and Trade Wars Induce Silver InstabilitySilver dropped below $30 per ounce, hitting $29.57 on April 4, its lowest since mid-January, as rising U.S. Treasury yields made non-yielding assets less attractive. The U.S. announced a 104% tariff on Chinese imports starting at midnight, intensifying trade war concerns. Although over 70 countries have reportedly requested tariff relief, market sentiment remains cautious. The EU’s retaliatory tariff plans further fueled risk aversion, pressuring industrial metals. Still, expectations of Fed rate cuts and safe-haven demand offer some support.
Technically, the first resistance level is located at 30.90. In case of its breach, 31.40 and 32.50 could be monitored respectively. On the downside, first support is at 29.00. 28.40 and 27.50 would become the next support levels if this level is passed.
XAGUSD Trade Plan: 1D Support, Liquidity Grab, & Bullish Setup!Silver (XAGUSD) is currently exhibiting signs of being overextended, as evidenced by its recent price action on the daily and 4-hour timeframes. The metal has traded into a critical support zone, marked by previous lows on the daily chart. This zone represents a significant area of interest, as it has historically acted as a key level for buyers to step in. However, the current price action has dipped below these lows, eating into sell-side liquidity in the form of stop-loss orders placed beneath this level. This liquidity grab is a classic move often seen in markets before a potential reversal.
On the 15-minute timeframe, the price is consolidating within a range, suggesting a possible accumulation. A break above this range, accompanied by a bullish market structure shift, could signal the beginning of a reversal and provide a compelling buy opportunity. This aligns with the idea of a "spring" in Wyckoff theory, where price manipulates liquidity before reversing direction.
Traders should remain patient and wait for confirmation of a bullish breakout on the lower timeframe before entering long positions. Key factors to monitor include strong bullish momentum, a clear break of the range, and the formation of higher highs and higher lows. Until these conditions are met, caution is advised, as the current downtrend could persist. 📉➡️📈
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: Previous daily lows (now acting as a liquidity zone).
Resistance Zone: The upper boundary of the current 15-minute range.
Trading Plan:
Wait for a break of the 15-minute range to the upside. 🚀
Look for a bullish market structure shift (higher highs and higher lows). 📊
Enter long positions with a tight stop-loss below the range low. 🛡️
Target key resistance levels on the 4-hour and daily timeframes for potential take-profit zones. 🎯
This analysis highlights the importance of patience and discipline in trading. While the current setup is promising, confirmation is key to avoid premature entries. As always, this is not financial advice, and traders should conduct their own due diligence before making any decisions. ⚠️
Silver Tested Key Resistance LevelFenzoFx—Silver tested the $30.81 resistance level today. If this holds, the downtrend may resume, targeting $28.75 and possibly $27.73 if selling pressure persists.
A bullish reversal could occur if XAG/USD exceeds and stabilizes above $30.81.
>>> Trade XAG/USD at FenzoFx Decentralized Forex Broker.
XAGUSD: 2 year Channel Up bottomed.Silver turned oversold intra day on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.341, MACD = -0.553, ADX = 36.363) but recovered as it hit the bottom (HL) of the 2 year Channel Up and rebounded. It may be under the 1D MA50 but so were the lows of October 2nd 2023 and February 12th 2024 that formed the last important bottom. In the meantime the 1W RSI hit its LL trendline, an additional bullish signal. The DT Resistance and DB Support offer a great and high probability range for sideways trading, so our recommendation is to long but contain buying under the DT (TP = 34.500). If on the other hand the candle closes under the Channel Down, short and aim for the 1W MA200 (TP = 25.600).
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Silver’s Deep Retrace: Long Setup with Bullish Potential I’ve entered a long trade on Silver (XAG/USD) after observing a deep retrace to the 0.7 Fibonacci level on the daily timeframe. The entry at $28.96 is positioned strategically based on historical support and the current technical setup.
The stop loss is set at $26.54 to mitigate risk, while the take profit target is $36.00, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. In the bearish scenario, a break below $27.50 will prompt a reassessment and tighter risk management. Conversely, on the bullish side, breaking above $32.50 will strengthen the case for holding towards the TP.
Silver’s price action showcases its potential for a significant bounce back, supported by current geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions.
Fundamentals:
1. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance:
The Fed’s updated projections for rate cuts in 2025 have pressured silver prices, as a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields (above 4.5%) diminish the appeal of non-yielding assets. However, easing inflation in the long term could rejuvenate demand for precious metals.
2. Geopolitical Tensions:
Although silver traditionally benefits from uncertainty, recent macroeconomic headwinds, such as concerns about tariffs under the new Trump administration and sluggish global economic recovery, have overshadowed its safe-haven status.
3. Industrial Outlook:
Challenges in the industrial demand for silver, particularly from China’s solar panel production slowdown, add pressure. However, as inflation stabilizes and geopolitical risks unfold, silver could regain its industrial and safe-haven allure.
Technicals:
• Entry: $28.96
• Stop Loss: $26.54
• Take Profit: $36.00
• Key Levels:
• Bearish Scenario: Manage position below $27.50.
• Bullish Case: Strength above $32.50 confirms upward momentum.
This setup leverages a confluence of technical retracement, macroeconomic factors, and the potential for a trend reversal. Stay sharp and pay yourself as the market unfolds.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Silver H4 | Heading into a pullback resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 30.83 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 32.20 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 28.80 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Silver Rebounds Sharply on Risk AversionSilver rebounded Monday, rising 2.3% to $30.22 an ounce after hitting a seven-month low. The recovery followed sharp market volatility and recession fears from rising U.S.-China trade tensions. While silver benefits from safe-haven demand, its industrial use remains a weakness. Broader market sell-offs could keep price action choppy, but intensified risk aversion and Fed easing could support silver demand.
If silver breaks above $30.90, resistance levels are at $31.40 and $32.50. Support stands at $29.00, followed by $28.40 and $27.50.