Strifor || SILVER-14/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: Against the backdrop of the upcoming news week, metals in particular are best viewed from a medium-term perspective. Here, for silver , the most likely scenario seems to be the formation of accumulation and then growth towards a local maximum of 30 exactly ( scenario №1). We also designate Scenario №2, and it is mainly necessary as a plan B in case of increased volatility, which is likely to happen.
The best thing, in our opinion, would be to find a long entry point using a breakout strategy at the level of 28.69664.
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XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
Bitcoin Holds Support After US CPI PrintThe US dollar is showing a notable downturn after today's CPI figures were released at 3.4%, down from the previous 3.5%. This reinforces market sentiment that the Fed is unlikely to hike rates, especially after comments made by Powell yesterday. This scenario supports a risk-on environment, especially considering the bearish Elliott Wave structure in the US yields, suggesting further declines. This backdrop implies that other assets could rally. For instance, Bitcoin has seen a significant bounce, finding support at crucial trend lines, and can be poised for higher levels if HS neckline near 66k is broken . Similarly, Nvidia and silver also show potential for gains in the coming weeks.
However, building intraday trades at this juncture can be challenging due to potential setbacks before the market continues in the direction of dollar weakness.
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Grega
Strifor || GOLD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: As a result of last week, gold showed local growth and closed above the level of 2343.869 . This trend is likely to favor buyers, especially in the short term, as we expect the publication of US inflation data on Wednesday, which is likely to particularly affect short-term trends. You need to take this into account and be careful.
Such a metal closed above 2343.869 , then this level can be counted as support and further growth to the historical maximum of 2431 can be expected from this area and above (scenario №1). Scenario №2 also involves entering from the indicated support, but through a false breakout. The target in both cases is the same.
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Strifor || GBPUSD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: According to the British pound , buyers continue to fight for the support area at the 1.25000 level, which is the key area at the moment. For the coming week, the buy-priority will remain relevant, but you need to be careful, especially in the middle of the week, when US inflation data will be published.
The likely best option for entering a long position is a trade on a breakdown of the level of 1.25396. This level is a local resistance, and if it is overcome, buyers can count on growth at least to the level of 1.26300 (scenario №1) . An alternative option is scenario №2 , where exactly the same breakout transaction is expected after testing the area of 1.24500 .
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Silver H4 | Resistance overhead?Silver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 28.68 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 29.15 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 27.63 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAG/USD has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?Price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 27.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 27.09
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 28.74
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
SILVER: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
SILVER
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SILVER
Entry - 28.176
Sl - 28.590
Tp - 27.457
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Natural Gas Price Forecast | Oil, Silver, Gold
This little guy is about to rocket 700% minimumThis is a great leveraged silver miner play. I can see this easily doing more than 700% when silver breaks its ATH, which this miner wasn't even around for, so I can say that it can do 1400%. Obviously do your own research, this is NOT financial advice. I also own this miner myself so I put my money where my mouth is...
Strifor || AUDUSD-10/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: In the second half of the week, the main trading instruments finally began to move in the directions we had previously indicated. For the Australian dollar, today we can expect the previously set target at 0.66460 . At the moment, both scenarios are activated, of course, the most effective, as expected, is scenario №2.
One can also consider a goal slightly above the level of 0.66460 , but one should not set the target too high, for example close to the level of 0.67000, as there is a high probability of a medium-term downward reversal.
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Strifor || GOLD-09/05/2024Preferred direction: Neutral
Comment: As we expected at the beginning of the week, metals are mostly standing still. In addition, we talked about a likely fall, and the mood associated with it only strengthened in the second half of the week. The most likely scenario №1 looks in favor of the seller, and here an approach to the level of 2250 is expected. If this scenario is realized, a fall to 2200 and 2150 , where the liquid area is located, can be expected.
Scenario №2 is less likely and assumes the short-term strengthening of buyers. However, in the more medium-term, even after updating the all-time high, gold prices are likely to go down to 2200 and 2150 .
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Strifor || USDCHF-08/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Against the backdrop of a calm week on the economic calendar, the US dollar is trying to strengthen, but this is likely to change in the near future. We continue to consider short-term sell priority for the dollar. Considering the USDCHF currency pair, the most conservative is at the level of 0.91424 (scenario №1) . However, it is permissible to look for entry points into selling starting from the current ones. Also, as an alternative scenario, in the case of more aggressive behavior by buyers for this instrument, shorts will be considered after a false breakout of the level of 0.91424 (scenario №2).
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Strifor || AUDUSD-07/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The current situation for the AUDUSD currency pair continues to develop in favor of buyers, and against this background, we are considering a short-term long from the level of 0.66000 . In the recent past, this level was the growth target for a medium-term deal. This level is currently support.
The most likely scenario №1 assumes an increase from current prices, and our target is at the level of 0.66460 . Scenario №2 is less likely. In this case, of course, one needs to be careful, as a sharp imbalance may be in favor of the seller.
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Silver ShortTechnical Analysis: Silver has failed to break above key resistance levels multiple times, indicating a lack of bullish momentum.
Market Sentiment: There's growing uncertainty surrounding global economic recovery, with concerns about inflation easing and a potential interest rate hike. This could dampen demand for silver as a safe-haven asset.
Dollar Strength: The US dollar has been strengthening, putting downward pressure on commodity prices including silver, which is priced in USD.
Supply Dynamics: Silver mine production is expected to increase, potentially leading to a surplus in supply. Meanwhile, industrial demand remains subdued due to global supply chain disruptions.
Risk-Reward Ratio: With resistance levels holding and fundamental factors weighing on silver, the risk-reward ratio favors a short position at this time.
A short signal for silver is recommended, with a focus on managing risk through appropriate position sizing and stop-loss orders.
Silver H4 | Approaching resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 27.63 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 28.30 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 26.83 which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Strifor || SILVER-07/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: As noted at the beginning of the week, the prospects for metals are quite vague, but it is still possible to make more assumptions about growth. The nearest serious resistance level is located at 28.69664 , where growth is considered.
Both scenarios are depicted in the graph. Scenario №1 is the most likely, and here it is better to enter after breaking through the level of 27.50 , which is local resistance. Scenario №2 assumes growth from the level of 26.50 . It should be noted that scenario №2 is less desirable since the probability of falling below 26 increases.
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Silver- Rise towards 30usd In my earlier analysis of OANDA:XAGUSD , I emphasized that bulls ought to monitor the price action closely, as Silver's correction might have concluded and previous resistance could now serve as support.
As anticipated, following a double Pin Bar formation in that area, Silver's price began to ascend, currently trading at 27.60, around an interim resistance level.
Given the bullish trend and the broader market structure, I anticipate a breakthrough above this level, leading to a continuation towards the $30 mark.
However, if the price falls below yesterday's low, it would temporarily halt this bullish scenario.