Silver will launch when USDJPY plummets from Dovish FEDSCENARIO 1: EVERYTHING hinges on the carry trade. If USDJPY goes down, so will yields - making inflation higher and commodities will boom. Of course this is a mistake and Japan (and the whole world) will feel the effects off inflation here since TVC:DXY will plummet also to 97. Then when everyone blows up in the summer sparking a u-turn and the FED realizes inflation reignited, the FED will be forced to hike rates, as the BOJ goes back to negative interest rates. This will spark the largest explosion of currencies as the TVC:DXY goes to 140-160+ - blowing up last in the process.
This will give central bankers the opportunity to bring out CBDC's as they go negative interest rates hinged on social credit scores. That's unless Donald Trump can overcome all the cheating and banana republic shenanigans (arrest or assassination). If he is able to become president then he will move the USA back to a gold standard when everyone else (BRICS) is being forced to swear fealty to a digital yuan (remnimbi) that's backed by social credit scores.
SCENARIO 2: IF the FED goes hawkish, that will spark the blowup in currencies and markets, forcing silver down before catapulting when the FED erases interest rates, but I believe we are in for scenario 1.
XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
Five waves completed and now correction! or a higher waveEsteemed analysts and traders,
I hope this correspondence finds you in good health and high spirits, prepared to tackle the upcoming week with renewed energy. I extend my best wishes for your continued success in all your business endeavors. It is worth noting that success in trading is largely dependent on the consistent definition and adherence to one's own rules.
As a supporter of the Elliott Wave Principle, I consider this methodology an invaluable tool for market analysis. After three years of personal experience, I have developed my approach by combining this principle with meticulous consideration of different market scenarios. I strive to avoid market surprises by maintaining a range of market prospects, which enables me to recognize the market structure forming with 100% accuracy.
I am pleased to share my analysis with you, with the caveat that I do not provide buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is entirely impartial, and if my analysis meets your standards, it may serve as a guide to making an informed decision.
For your reference and comparison, I have attached my previous analysis of the same market. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled for ease of comprehension. Nonetheless, familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory would facilitate an understanding of the analytical idea.
My study of the Elliott Wave Principle took nearly three years, during which my understanding and experience with this invaluable tool have grown. My progress thus far is a testament to the legacy of Ralph Nelson Eliot, whose genius has provided the foundation for my achievements. May he rest in peace.
I express my gratitude for your continued support and kindness, and welcome your comments and critiques.
May my analysis be a valuable asset to your business journey, and I remain sincerely yours,
Mr. Nobody
XAGUSD New Bull Cycle but pull-back possible. Buy it.Silver (XAGUSD) easily broke through the 25.000 Target we set 2 months ago (February 15, see chart below) and invalidated the Triangle pattern as it is entering into a new long-term Bull Cycle:
This was achieved as it broke above the 2-year Resistance Zone 1 and the Triangle transitioned into a Channel Up. Last week it hit Resistance Zone 2 and technically we should be expecting a medium-term pull-back as this is close to the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up. Note that Resistance Zone 2 was formed after the August 2020 High.
We are looking for a buy within 26.500 - 26.000 to target the top of the Channel at 32.000. A Resistance Zone 2 break-out practically confirms the new Bull Cycle. We have to point out also the the 1W RSI broke last week above the 70.00 overbought barrier and is at the highest level since September 2020.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Up to 207% gains in SilverSilver has given a strong impulsive break out from the long term trendline resistance after long accumulation phase.
Big volume candles since July 2023 confirm healthy accumulation by strong hands.
Currently price is in Primary Wave 3 which can end somewhere near 66 level. A potential gain of 135% by end of this year.
Wave 5 target is around 87-88 levels which can be achieved by the end of 2026. Around 207% gains from CMP within 3 years.
Do your own due diligence before taking any action.
Peace!!
SILVER: Growth & Bullish Continuation
The strict beauty of the chart is a reflection of the fierce eternal battle between the bulls and bears and right now I can clearly see that the bulls are taking over so we will bend to the will of the crowd and buy too.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Silver H4 | Falling to pullback supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 27.94 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 26.70 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 29.78 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SILVER On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the SILVER next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 27.890
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 28.558
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Potential bearish reversalXAG/USD is rising towards a resistance level at 28.515, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A reversal from this level could lead the price to drop to our take profit target.
Entry: 28.515
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 29.621
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance
Take profit: 27.308
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAGUSD, Elliott wave analysis■Outlook of XAUUSD on 3D chart.
I think We are in sub-wave 1 of wave (ⅲ).
Wave (ⅲ), shown by the orange line, will probably become a 3rd wave extension impulse.
If the assumption of this scenario is correct, If it can break through a channel line, it will probably become strongly Bullish.
■Outlook of XAUUSD on 3D chart. Apr 13.2024
■Outlook of Dow(DJI) on 3D chart. Feb 23.2024
Black swan?When we view the price of XAGUSD since 2000, we see an asset which historically has done very well in the event of turmoil.
When we had the dot com bubble burst in late 2000 we saw a significant price rally in the metals, Id imagine as people reinvest money as their tech stocks began to fall, does this have correlation with todays NASDAQ? If the NAS continued from todays sell off could we potentially see the same shift of funds?
Next we had the GFC in 2008 an historic event which changed the financial health of the economy drastically and we saw historical low interest rates, also during this period silver had a significant climb.
2020 and Covid strikes, another large move in Silver as we saw another catastrophic blow to the worlds economic affairs with crazy spending and debt creation, high inflation period.
We then saw this balanced market of consolidation in the silver market, and it appears to be that we have broken this range, however some added confirmation is a plus.
Where does this leave us? well statistically the large silver moves above 90% have all been caused by a market event, if we are seeing the beginning of a bull run in silver, which is lagging xauusd currently, we have seen this crazy 20% rise in the price of xau, but silver is following slowly, if we see this balance off and some market price rising over the coming weeks, we could potentially be in the midst of market event.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Unstoppable Rally & Next Target 🪙
Silver keeps rallying and breaking the historical resistances.
The next goal for the buyers can be the structure that is based
on the highs of 2020 and 2021.
The area that unites these highs also has a psychological level within - 30.0.
The underlined blue will most likely reached soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Strifor || GOLD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: SELL
Comment: Gold once again updated its maximum. It’s not surprising, everyone should have gotten used to this for nowadays. At the same time, our most likely sell-scenario, which we published in the previous trading idea for this metal, was activated. Here we talked about a likely fall at the level of 2400 , which is where we are trading right now. There is a possibility of manipulation, that is, small movements just above 2400 , but in general the idea to sell from this level is relevant. The target for a downward correction is considered at the level of 2300 .
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
Thank you for like and share your views!
Strifor || GBPUSD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: The previous medium-term trading idea for the pound worked out very quickly against the backdrop of the publication of CPI data. By the end of the week, longs are already being considered more as part of a small upward corrective movement. The price is trading just above the 1.25000 level, which is significant support. We can expect various kinds of manipulations at this level (scenario №2) , but most likely the buyer will still be able to push the price higher towards the level of 1.26000 . The most likely scenario №1 assumes an increase from the current maximum prices.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
Thank you for like and share your views!
Strifor || EURUSD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: The main currency pair is most likely now the most interesting to buy, since it has the most formed buy-setup. A significant part of the buyers have already been liquidated, and growth according to scenario №1 is now most likely. Scenario №2 is considered as plan B, where buy-positions are expected at the level of 1.06500 . This level is located near the support trend line.
The target for this medium-term long trade is not considered above the level of 1.07500 .
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
Thank you for like and share your views!
Strifor || NZDUSD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: Once again, we are considering the New Zealand dollar together with the Australian dollar , well, this is not surprising given their high correlation. Here, too, a recovery is expected in the medium term, but not everything is so simple, and still, before growth, there will most likely be updates to local lows. A more optimistic scenario is exactly what it looks like and can be found on the chart within scenario №1.
Scenario №2 is more aggressive on the part of the seller, and here it would be best to look for long-positions at the support level of 0.59018 . Above the level of 0.60713 the target is not considered.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
Thank you for like and share your views!
Strifor || AUDUSD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: We consider the Australian dollar in favor of a buyer within the medium term. It should be noted here that AUDUSD and NZDUSD will most likely update at least local minimums before growing. However, current prices are also great for "step by step" accumulating a buy-position. This trade is not designed for a big move higher, as the Pacific currencies do not look so positive in the longer term. Therefore, the target for a corrective upward movement is not considered above the level of 0.66000.
We have two scenarios for this medium-term long, where scenario №1 is more likely. As there is a medium-term deal, the two scenarios are considered in combination.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
Thank you for like and share your views!
Strifor || USDCAD-12/04/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: The US dollar continues to strengthen before the weekend, but there is a high probability of a downward correction beginning, and this concerns all major currency pairs.
The Canadian dollar has one of the most interesting buying setups against the US dollar . The price is trading slightly above trend resistance, and it is unlikely that we will see continued growth. Although this probability remains, in this case we have scenario №2 , where growth may still be towards the level of 1.37500 . But it should also be noted in favor of scenario №1 that most of the sellers have already been liquidated, and the instrument is more ready to fall towards the designated target at the level of 1.36500 .
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
Thank you for like and share your views!
SILVER Seeks Support at $22.00 Amidst Rate Cut ExpectationsOn Monday, silver experienced a sharp downturn, revisiting the $22.00 mark, reflecting a more than 2.5% decrease from its previous close. Market participants swiftly adjusted their expectations of early rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), leading to a substantial sell-off in the white metal.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the current price is positioned in a crucial support area around $22.00. This zone is fortified by a dynamic trendline, historically supportive of price rebounds. Additionally, the 78.6% Fibonacci level acts as a potential discount area, offering a foundation for the price to find support. The Stochastic indicator remains in oversold conditions, signaling the potential for a rebound. Anticipating a recovery, our outlook targets a return to $24.50 and $26.00 in extension.
Economic Landscape:
Turning to economic news, the CME Fedwatch tool suggests that investors are now eyeing a potential interest rate cut in May. This shift in sentiment is attributed to persistent price pressures driven by robust household spending and favorable labor market conditions. The upcoming focus of the week will be on the release of United States Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data scheduled for Thursday. A positive GDP reading would reinforce the narrative of 'higher interest rates,' aligning with the Fed's cautious approach towards premature rate cuts.
Outlook:
As silver grapples with the $22.00 support, the interplay of technical factors and market sentiment becomes crucial. The dynamic trendline and Fibonacci support offer a potential springboard for a price rebound. However, the economic landscape, particularly the GDP data release, will significantly influence the metal's trajectory. Traders are advised to closely monitor developments to navigate potential price fluctuations in the coming days.
Conclusion:
The silver market finds itself at a critical juncture, seeking support at $22.00 amid shifting expectations of Fed rate cuts. Technical indicators suggest the potential for a rebound, yet the economic data release later in the week will undoubtedly play a pivotal role in determining silver's path. Traders should exercise caution, staying adaptable to evolving market dynamics as they unfold throughout the week.
Our preference
Long positions Above Support Area $20 with targets at 24.50 & 26 in extension.
Strifor || EURUSD-10/04/2024Preferred direction: Neutral
Comment: According to the settings that we outlined at the beginning of the week, we continue to hold the euro long, but note that most of the profit has already been recorded, and the trade has been moved to breakeven. This also applies to other majors that we considered as part of the medium-term weakening of the US dollar .
Today is one of the most significant events of the week, namely the US CPI . The euro is expected to strengthen against the US dollar during the release of inflation data. However, more global prospects are more in favor of the seller and the likelihood of a reversal downward from the level of 1.09000 is high. In this case, we can expect a fall to at least 1.08000.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
Thank you for like and share your views!