Ride the Silver Surge: A Strategic Long-Term Trade Opportunity! 🚀 Silver: Bullish Setup Targeting $34.86 🚀
Silver presents a strong buy opportunity with bullish momentum building both technically and fundamentally. Here’s the updated setup:
Key Levels
Entry: $30.60
🎯TP1: $32.10
🎯TP2: $34.86
🛑 Stop Loss: $28.54
Why This Trade Looks Promising
1️⃣ Trendline Support: The price has rebounded strongly off a key ascending trendline, signaling continued bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Industrial Demand: Long-term demand for Silver is fueled by clean energy initiatives, including solar panels and EV production.
3️⃣ Bullish RSI: The RSI is trending upward, confirming growing buyer strength and potential for further price gains.
4️⃣ Long-Term Setup: This trade requires patience and is more suitable for traders with larger accounts, as the stop-loss is set wider to accommodate market fluctuations.
Market Context:
Silver remains fundamentally supported by rising industrial demand, inflation hedging, and the prospect of a weaker US Dollar in the months ahead. This longer-term setup aligns with both technical and macroeconomic trends, offering significant upside potential.
⚠️ Note: Please ensure this trade aligns with your account size and risk tolerance. For smaller accounts, a tighter stop-loss or different setup might be more appropriate.
XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
SILVER Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 34.116 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 34.330
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
(XAG/USD) weekly Forcast – Double Top Breakdown & Bearish SetupThis detailed technical analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) on the daily timeframe highlights a potential bearish reversal forming through a Double Top pattern. This setup suggests that Silver could be gearing up for a major decline, provided key confirmation levels are met. Let’s break it down thoroughly.
📌 1. Understanding the Chart Pattern – Double Top Formation
A Double Top is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend, signaling that buyers are losing strength and sellers are taking control.
🔹 Key Phases of the Double Top:
1️⃣ First Top (Top 1)
Silver initially rallied to a major resistance zone ($34.5 - $35).
The price failed to break higher, leading to a correction.
This rejection signals heavy selling pressure at this level.
2️⃣ Pullback to the Neckline ($28.5 - $29)
After the first peak, the price retraced to a critical support area known as the neckline.
This level acts as a decision point—either price bounces or breaks lower.
3️⃣ Second Top (Top 2) – Bull Trap?
Silver made another attempt to break through $34.5 - $35, but once again, sellers defended this level.
The failure to set a new higher high confirms weakness, forming the second peak.
This second rejection adds credibility to the Double Top pattern, increasing the likelihood of a bearish move.
4️⃣ The Crucial Neckline Test
The neckline around $28.5 - $29 is the most critical level to watch.
A clean daily close below this level would confirm the breakdown and trigger a strong bearish trend.
📍 2. Key Technical Levels & Market Structure
🔴 Resistance Level ($34.5 - $35) – Strong Selling Zone
This area has repeatedly rejected price advances, indicating high supply.
A breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
🔵 Support & Neckline ($28.5 - $29) – The Make-or-Break Zone
A break below this level would complete the Double Top pattern and confirm the bearish trend.
If buyers defend this area, Silver could see short-term consolidation before another breakout attempt.
🎯 Target Price ($22 - $23) – Where Silver Could Be Headed
The measured move (distance from top to neckline) suggests a potential drop to $22 - $23.
This aligns with historical support zones, making it a reasonable target.
🚨 Stop Loss Area ($35.2 - $35.5) – Risk Management
If Silver invalidates the pattern and closes above $35.2 - $35.5, the bearish setup is no longer valid.
Traders should cut losses early if price regains bullish momentum.
📊 3. Trading Setup & Execution Plan
🔻 Bearish Trading Plan (Short Entry):
✅ Entry Point:
Enter a short position after a confirmed neckline break below $28.5 - $29.
Wait for a break-and-retest of this level to confirm the bearish move.
✅ Stop Loss:
Place stop loss above $35.2 - $35.5, just beyond the resistance level.
This protects against false breakouts and sudden bullish reversals.
✅ Take Profit Targets:
Primary target: $24.5 - $25 (first support zone).
Final target: $22 - $23 (measured move completion).
📉 4. Market Sentiment & Technical Outlook
📌 Why This Setup is Important:
The Double Top pattern is a well-established bearish signal.
Price failed to create a new high, showing that buying momentum is fading.
The neckline breakdown will confirm that sellers are in control, pushing price lower.
📌 What Could Invalidate This Setup?
If Silver breaks and closes above $35.5, it would signal that bulls have regained strength.
A strong rally above this level could send Silver towards $37 - $38 instead.
🔎 Final Thoughts – Will Silver Collapse or Hold?
The chart suggests a bearish bias, but confirmation is key!
A breakdown below $28.5 - $29 would activate the Double Top pattern, leading to a potential drop.
If Silver bounces off the neckline, then we might see consolidation or a reversal instead.
🚀 What’s your view? Will Silver break down or bounce back? Share your thoughts below! 🚀
SILVER (XAGUSD): Strong Resistance Ahead
Silver is very close to the resistance based on the last year's high.
Watching how strong is the bullish momentum, I got a feeling
that it is going to be broken.
A daily candle close above that will provide a strong bullish confirmation.
The price will keep rising to the new highs then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
SILVER bullish and overbought at the new ATH SILVER bullish and overbought at the new ATH
Trend Overview:
Silver remains in a bullish trend, supported by an ongoing uptrend. However, a corrective pullback could present potential buying opportunities at key support levels.
Key Levels:
Support: 3400 (critical level), 3332, 3240
Resistance: 3440, 3488, 3555
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback to 3400 followed by a strong bounce could confirm support and drive prices towards 3440, with extended targets at 3488 and 3555 over the longer term.
Bearish Scenario:
A daily close below 3400 would invalidate the bullish outlook, signaling further downside towards 3332 and possibly 3240 in an extended correction.
Conclusion:
The bullish trend remains intact, but 3400 is the key level to watch. Holding above it supports further upside, while a break below could trigger a deeper retracement. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at support and resistance levels for trade setups.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Silver (XAG/USD) Rising Wedge – Bearish Breakdown Setup!A rising wedge is a pattern that typically forms when the price makes higher highs and higher lows, but the upward momentum starts weakening. The narrowing structure of the wedge indicates that buyers are losing strength, and a breakout to the downside is likely.
Key Characteristics of the Rising Wedge:
✔ Higher highs & higher lows – but with reduced momentum
✔ Trendline support (lower boundary) & resistance (upper boundary)
✔ Volume decline – suggests a potential reversal
Expected Scenario:
If the price breaks below the lower trendline, it signals bearish pressure, and Silver could see a strong decline.
2. Key Levels & Trading Setup
📌 Resistance Level ($34.50 - $34.80)
The upper boundary of the wedge is acting as strong resistance.
Historically, this zone has rejected price action multiple times, indicating sellers are defending this area.
📌 Support Level ($30.20 - $30.50)
A major demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.
If the wedge breaks down, this is the most likely target for the decline.
📌 Stop Loss ($34.81)
Placed just above the recent high and resistance zone to limit risk in case of an unexpected upside breakout.
📌 Target ($30.20)
Measured move from the wedge breakdown projects a sharp decline toward the next strong support at $30.20.
3. Trade Execution Strategy
🔴 Bearish Breakdown Scenario
If the price breaks below the lower trendline (around $33.00), we expect a strong move downward.
📉 Short Entry: Below $33.00 (after confirmation)
🎯 Target: $30.20
❌ Stop Loss: $34.81 (above resistance)
Confirmation Needed:
✅ Strong bearish candle close below support
✅ Increased volume during breakdown
✅ Retest of broken support turning into resistance
🟢 Bullish Alternative (Invalidation)
If price breaks and holds above $34.81, the bearish setup will be invalidated, and a breakout towards $36.00 - $37.00 could be expected.
4. Additional Considerations
📌 Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on macroeconomic news, Fed decisions, and USD strength, as these impact Silver prices.
📌 Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging and use a proper risk-reward ratio (1:3 or higher).
📌 Market Sentiment: Watch volume trends and confirm breakout or fakeout before entering trades.
Conclusion
This chart presents a high-probability short trade setup based on the rising wedge breakdown.
If the breakdown occurs, Silver could drop toward the $30.20 support zone. However, traders should wait for confirmation before entering to avoid fakeouts.
Would you like me to refine this further for a TradingView post? 🚀
Silver H4 | Approaching pullback supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 34.10 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 33.68 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 34.64 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Silver Approaching ATH – Major Breakout Incoming?Silver is showing a strong bullish structure on the weekly timeframe. The price has been consistently forming Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), respecting a long-term ascending trendline that’s acting as dynamic support. This trendline has held multiple pullbacks, confirming strong underlying demand.
Currently, Silver is approaching its All-Time High (ATH) resistance near $34.83 while testing the upper resistance trendline of an ascending channel. A clean breakout above this level could trigger a major rally, potentially setting a new ATH. If the price faces rejection, a healthy pullback toward the support zone around $30 could offer another long-entry opportunity.
The structure remains bullish as long as Silver holds above the trendline support. A successful breakout above $34.83 could lead to a strong bullish continuation.
Still DYOR, NFA
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Silver Insights: Aggressive Strategies and Bullish SentimentHello, friends! I’m excited to share some observations on Silver.
Yesterday, I came across a couple of intriguing portfolios focused on this metal.
The first one is an aggressive call spread at $40-$40.25, while the second portfolio is a "butterfly" spread, positioned slightly lower.
Both portfolios are designed to capitalize on price movement, but the first one could yield a threefold profit with just a little push in its direction. The second one, however, will require some time and ideally needs to reach around $38 by the end of April.
From a technical standpoint, the chart shows a "spring compression", which often leads to the emergence of such portfolios. While I don’t place too much weight on predictive elements, the sentiment remains bullish.
Stay tuned, plan your trades and let’s see how this unfolds!
Always do your own research but do no hesistate visit us to leverage the comprehensive analysis from our team to enhance your trading advantage! 💪💼
XAGUSD Channel Up aiming for the new Higher High.Silver (XAGUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up for exactly year (since the March 27 2024 Low). Its current Bullish Leg started on the December 31 2024 (Higher) Low after almost touching the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Once the price broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on January 28 2025, it remained above it ever since, which is what happened on both previous Bullish Legs. We expect a +30% rise and a test of the 1.382 Fibonacci extension as the previous Higher Highs. Our Target is just below that at 37.000.
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Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Retest📌 Overview of the Chart
The chart illustrates a classic Rising Wedge pattern that has broken down, signaling a potential bearish continuation. The price action respected technical structures, including support and resistance levels, trendlines, and key psychological zones.
The breakdown of the rising wedge led to a sharp decline, followed by a retest of the previous support as resistance, confirming further downside momentum. Traders analyzing this setup can identify clear entry points, stop-loss placements, and target objectives based on price action behavior.
🔹 1️⃣ Understanding the Rising Wedge Pattern
A Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that forms when price moves upward within converging trendlines. It indicates that buying momentum is slowing, and a potential reversal or breakdown is imminent.
✔ Characteristics of the Rising Wedge on This Chart:
📈 Higher Highs and Higher Lows: The price was trending upwards, but the narrowing structure indicated exhaustion.
📊 Decreasing Momentum: Volume likely started declining as the price approached resistance.
📉 Bearish Breakdown: Price broke below the lower trendline, confirming the pattern’s bearish nature.
🔻 What Happened Next?
The price dropped sharply after the wedge breakdown.
A retest of the broken trendline acted as a confirmation of resistance.
The downtrend continued, targeting a lower support level.
🔹 2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels
🔵 Major Resistance – 34.27 USD (All-Time High & Supply Zone)
This level served as a strong supply zone, rejecting multiple bullish attempts.
Price struggled to break this level, leading to a sell-off.
The stop-loss for short trades is placed above this zone to minimize risk.
🟠 Support Level – 32.80 USD (Previous Support Turned Resistance)
This was a key support zone before the wedge breakdown.
Once broken, price retested this level and faced rejection, confirming a trend shift.
⚫ Trendline Support (Now Broken)
The lower support trendline was a crucial guide for bulls.
Once price broke below, it signaled strong bearish control.
A retest of the trendline was unsuccessful, confirming a bearish continuation.
🟢 Target Zone – 31.93 USD (Projected Breakdown Target)
The measured move target of the rising wedge aligns around 31.93 USD.
If selling pressure continues, price may reach this level.
🔹 3️⃣ Trading Strategy – Short Setup & Execution
This setup provides a high-probability short trade based on the pattern breakdown.
📉 Short (Sell) Entry Criteria:
✅ Entry Zone: After the price broke below the wedge and retested the trendline (~33.80 USD).
✅ Confirmation:
Bearish candlestick formations (Doji, Engulfing, or Pin Bars).
Increased volume on bearish moves.
🚫 Stop-Loss Placement:
🔹 Above the resistance level (34.27 USD) – If price breaks above this, the setup is invalid.
🔹 Reasoning: Protects against unexpected bullish reversals.
🎯 Take-Profit Target:
🔻 Target Price: 31.93 USD (based on measured move projection).
🔻 Risk-Reward Ratio: At least 2:1 (adjusted based on volatility).
🔹 4️⃣ Market Psychology & Price Action Analysis
Understanding trader sentiment is crucial:
📌 Before the Breakdown:
Bulls were in control, pushing price higher.
However, momentum slowed down, forming the rising wedge.
Traders who identified this pattern anticipated a potential trend reversal.
📌 After the Breakdown:
Sellers overpowered buyers, causing a rapid break of structure.
The price retested the previous support as resistance, confirming further downside.
The market sentiment shifted to bearish, aligning with technical confirmations.
🔹 5️⃣ Alternative Scenarios & Risk Factors
🔄 Bullish Reversal (Invalidation of Bearish Bias)
🚨 If price reclaims 34.00-34.27 USD, it invalidates the bearish setup.
📌 A break above this level could trigger a new bullish wave, targeting higher highs.
⚠️ Key Risk Factors:
Unexpected macroeconomic events (e.g., Fed policy, inflation data, geopolitical tensions).
Strong bullish rejection at lower support zones (~32.00 USD).
Volume divergence (if selling volume dries up, bears may lose control).
📢 Conclusion: High-Probability Bearish Trade with Clear Risk Management
This rising wedge breakdown provides a strong short setup, with technical confirmations and price structure supporting further downside movement.
📉 Bearish Bias Until 31.93 USD
A breakdown retest suggests sellers remain in control.
Price is expected to continue lower unless bulls regain 34.00+ levels.
🔍 Key Trading Question:
Will Silver (XAG/USD) continue to its measured target of 31.93 USD, or will bulls defend key support and push prices higher?
Let’s discuss! 🚀👇
XAG/USD (Silver) 4H Trading Analysis📍 Current Price: 33.0990 (Near Entry Zone)
🔹 Trading Setup:
🟢 Entry Zone: 32.97654
🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 32.48368 ❌
🔵 Take-Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: 33.30512 🎯
TP2: 33.62431 🎯🎯
Final Target: 34.19599 🚀
📊 Price Action Insights:
✅ Bounce from Demand Zone (Gray Box) 📈
✅ Potential Bullish Move if price holds above entry 🚀
⚠️ Risk if SL is hit (Red Box) ❌
Silver Rises as Markets Eye Trump TariffsSilver rose above $33 on Tuesday, rebounding as trade and economic concerns supported safe-haven demand. Hopes that Trump may adopt a more targeted tariff plan ahead of the April 2 deadline offered some relief, though his new pledges to tax autos and pharmaceuticals added uncertainty. Expectations of further Fed rate cuts also supported silver. Markets now anticipate one cut in June, another in September, and growing chances of a third in December.
If silver breaks above $33.80, the next resistance levels are $34.05 and $34.85. On the downside, support is at $33.10, with further levels at $32.50 and $32.15 if selling pressure increases.
Safe-Haven Demand Keeps Gold ElevatedGold edged above $3,020 on Wednesday, near record highs, supported by safe-haven demand amid uncertainty over upcoming US reciprocal tariffs. Trump's April 2 tariff plan is expected to be more targeted than past proposals but still signals a major escalation in trade tensions.
Markets now await Fed officials’ speeches and Friday’s US PCE data for policy clues. Meanwhile, a U.S.-brokered pause in sea and energy attacks between Ukraine and Russia, along with possible sanctions relief for Moscow, slightly eased bullion's appeal.
Key resistance stands at $3082, with further levels at $3100 and $3,150. Support is at $3000, followed by $2,980 and $2,916.
Silver H1 | Falling to an overlap supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 33.56 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 33.15 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 34.18 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAG/USD Trade Ideas: Navigating Key Resistance and Support ZonesSilver 's Next Move: Technical and Fundamental Insights for XAGUSD Traders 🚀📊
Technical Analysis 📊
The chart provided is a 4-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) with Fibonacci retracement levels applied. Here's a detailed technical breakdown:
Trend Analysis 📈:
The price has recently rebounded from a low near $32.90 and is now trading at $33.66.
The short-term trend appears bullish, as the price has made a higher low and is attempting to break higher.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels 🔢:
The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from the recent swing high to swing low.
The price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level ($33.35) and is now testing the 0% retracement level ($33.80), which acts as resistance.
The 61.8% retracement level ($33.24) and 78.6% retracement level ($33.09) are key support zones if the price pulls back.
Resistance and Support 🛑🛠️:
Resistance: The immediate resistance is at $33.80 (0% Fibonacci level). A break above this level could open the door to further upside, targeting $34.25 (50% Fibonacci extension).
Support: The first support is at $33.35 (50% Fibonacci level), followed by $33.24 (61.8% Fibonacci level).
Candlestick Patterns 🕯️:
The recent candles show indecision near the resistance level, indicating a potential pause or reversal.
If a strong bullish candle forms above $33.80, it would confirm a breakout.
Momentum 🚀:
The price is showing bullish momentum, but the resistance at $33.80 needs to be cleared for further upside.
Fundamental Analysis 🌍
Silver's Role as a Safe Haven 🛡️:
Silver often acts as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. If there are concerns about global economic stability or inflationary pressures, silver demand could increase.
US Dollar Impact 💵:
Silver is inversely correlated with the US Dollar. If the USD weakens due to dovish Federal Reserve policies or poor economic data, silver prices could rise.
Industrial Demand ⚙️:
Silver has significant industrial applications, particularly in electronics and renewable energy. Any positive developments in these sectors could support silver prices.
Upcoming Economic Events 📅:
The chart shows upcoming economic events (likely US-related). If these events lead to USD weakness or increased market uncertainty, silver could benefit.
Trade Idea 💡
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout 🚀
Entry: Buy above $33.80 (on a confirmed breakout).
Target: $34.25 (50% Fibonacci extension) and $34.50 (psychological level).
Stop Loss: Below $33.35 (50% Fibonacci level).
Scenario 2: Pullback and Rebound 🔄
Entry: Buy near $33.35 (50% Fibonacci level) or $33.24 (61.8% Fibonacci level) if the price pulls back.
Target: $33.80 (0% Fibonacci level) and $34.25.
Stop Loss: Below $33.00.
Scenario 3: Bearish Reversal 📉
Entry: Sell below $33.24 (61.8% Fibonacci level) if the price fails to hold support.
Target: $33.00 and $32.90.
Stop Loss: Above $33.50.
Conclusion ✅
The current setup favors a bullish bias 📈, but the resistance at $33.80 is critical. A breakout above this level could lead to significant upside, while a failure to break higher may result in a pullback to key support levels. Monitor price action closely around the Fibonacci levels and upcoming economic events for confirmation. ⚠️
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Silver H1 | Falling to swing-low supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 32.85 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 32.54 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 33.56 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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Silver (XAG/USD) Double Top Reversal – Bearish Trading SetupThe provided 1-hour chart for Silver (XAG/USD) presents a well-structured bearish trade setup, highlighting key price action patterns, technical indicators, and confluence factors that suggest a potential downside move. Let's analyze the chart step by step to understand the logic behind this bearish trade setup.
1. Market Structure & Trend Overview
Silver (XAG/USD) has been in a short-term uptrend, as indicated by the ascending trendline. However, the trend now shows signs of exhaustion, with a clear shift in market behavior. The price action reveals the formation of a double top at a strong resistance level, coupled with a Change of Character (CHOCH), which signals a possible reversal.
A break below the trendline suggests that the bullish momentum is losing strength, and sellers are beginning to dominate the market. The combination of these elements makes this setup a high-probability short trade opportunity.
2. Key Technical Levels & Zones
A. Resistance Zone ($33.96 - $34.20) – The Selling Pressure Area
The chart marks a clear resistance zone, where price has struggled to break higher.
Two price rejections from this level indicate that sellers are actively defending this region.
This zone serves as an ideal stop-loss area for short trades, as a breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
B. Double Top Formation – Reversal Pattern
The price tested the resistance zone twice and failed to establish new highs, forming a double top structure.
A double top is a well-known bearish reversal pattern, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
The second top (Top 2) aligns with a downward trendline, further confirming that sellers are stepping in at lower levels.
C. Support Level ($32.60 - $32.80) – Initial Reaction Zone
This area has previously acted as a demand zone where buyers stepped in.
If the price breaks below this support, it would confirm further downside movement towards the final target.
D. Trendline Breakdown – Loss of Bullish Momentum
The dotted trendline represents the previous bullish trend, supporting price action for several days.
A break below this trendline suggests a structural shift in market dynamics, meaning buyers are losing control.
The failure to reclaim the trendline increases the probability of a deeper move downward.
E. Target Level ($32.11 - $32.20) – The Bearish Objective
The projected target is based on the double top’s measured move, which suggests a price drop to at least $32.11.
This level also coincides with previous historical price action, making it a strong confluence zone for profit-taking.
3. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
📌 Entry Point:
Aggressive Entry: Short position around $33.40 - $33.50, near the second top where price rejected the trendline.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed break and retest of the support level at $32.80 before entering short.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement:
The stop-loss should be placed above the resistance zone at $33.96.
This level ensures that the trade is invalidated if the price breaks out higher.
📌 Take-Profit Target:
Primary Target: $32.60, which is the first support level where price may temporarily react.
Final Target: $32.11, aligning with the double top breakdown target and historical support.
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio:
A minimum 1:2 risk-reward ratio, meaning for every 1% risked, there is a potential 2%+ gain.
This makes the trade favorable in terms of risk management.
4. Confluence Factors Supporting the Bearish Outlook
✅ Double Top Formation – A classic bearish reversal pattern.
✅ Lower Highs Formation – Indicates increasing selling pressure.
✅ Trendline Breakdown – A significant loss of bullish momentum.
✅ Resistance Zone Rejection – Strong seller presence.
✅ CHOCH (Change of Character) – Confirms a shift in market sentiment.
5. Risk Management & Alternative Scenario
📌 What If Price Moves Against the Trade?
If the price breaks above $33.96, the bearish outlook becomes invalid, and a potential bullish continuation could follow. In this case:
Stop-loss is triggered, and the setup is considered invalid.
Traders should then wait for a new setup before re-entering the market.
📌 Market Conditions to Monitor:
Volatility: Ensure there is enough momentum in the market before entering.
Volume Confirmation: A break below support should have strong volume.
News Events: Watch out for fundamental catalysts, such as US Dollar strength, economic data, and geopolitical events, which could influence Silver’s price movement.
6. Final Thoughts & Summary
This chart setup provides a clear bearish trade opportunity based on technical analysis. The combination of double top formation, resistance rejection, trendline breakdown, and lower highs strongly supports the idea of further downside movement.
💡 Key Takeaways:
Bearish bias is valid as long as price stays below $33.96.
Target is set at $32.11, with an intermediate support at $32.60.
Risk-to-reward is favorable, making it an ideal short trade setup.
If the market follows this expected scenario, this trade has the potential to yield significant profit while maintaining disciplined risk management. However, always stay alert to market conditions and adjust strategies accordingly.
Potential bullish rise?The Silver (XAG/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 32.67
1st Support: 31.91
1st Resistance: 33.58
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Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Setup📊 Overview of the Chart
This 4-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) provides a classic example of a Rising Wedge Breakdown, a bearish reversal pattern. The price initially followed a strong uptrend, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, but failed to sustain momentum at the key resistance zone (~$34.00 - $34.50). This led to a breakout to the downside, which has now confirmed a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
This analysis will break down each key level, the technical indicators supporting this trade setup, and how traders can approach it effectively.
🛠️ Breakdown of the Chart Components
1️⃣ Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Pattern Identified)
The price action created a Rising Wedge, which is a bearish pattern characterized by an uptrend where the higher highs and higher lows start converging into a narrowing range.
This shows that while buyers were pushing prices higher, their strength was gradually fading.
The breakdown of this structure signaled a loss of bullish momentum, leading to a shift in trend.
2️⃣ Resistance Level & Sell Zone Identified
The resistance level at $34.00 - $34.50 has acted as a supply zone where sellers stepped in, preventing further upside.
A bearish rejection at this zone confirms that sellers are still dominant.
3️⃣ Retest of the Broken Support (Key Confirmation)
After the breakout from the wedge, the price made a retest of the broken trendline, a classic move before further downside.
Retesting this area confirms that it is now acting as resistance rather than support, further strengthening the bearish case.
4️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Market Structure
The dashed trendline was previously supportive, but now that the price has broken below it, it has turned into a resistance level.
This shift in market structure is a strong bearish signal.
5️⃣ Key Support Levels & Target Projection
The next major support level is at $32.00, a level where price previously found demand.
The ultimate target price is around $31.18, which aligns with historical support and Fibonacci retracement levels.
📉 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup?
✅ Entry Point (Short/Sell Setup)
A good shorting opportunity arises if the price retests the resistance at $33.50 - $34.00 and shows bearish confirmation (like a rejection candlestick or a bearish engulfing pattern).
📍 Stop Loss (SL) Placement
SL should be above $34.20 to avoid getting stopped out by potential fakeouts.
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels
TP1: $32.00 (First support level)
TP2: $31.18 (Final bearish target)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio
Entry at $33.50 - $34.00 with SL at $34.20 and TP at $31.18 provides an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (~1:4).
📌 Market Sentiment & Conclusion
🔴 Bearish signals are dominant, suggesting further downside potential.
📉 A strong bearish move is expected if the price fails to reclaim $34.00.
🎯 Targeting $31.18 in the upcoming sessions.
📢 Final Advice: Traders should watch for confirmation before entering trades. A successful retest and rejection at $33.50 - $34.00 will be a high-probability short setup. 🚀
🔥 Follow price action and risk management principles for a successful trade! 🔥