XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
XAG/USD Analysis: Falling Wedge Breakout Signals More UpsideAs I mentioned in my previous analysis, I am bullish on OANDA:XAGUSD , in addition to Gold.
The price has now clearly broken above the falling wedge’s resistance.
Since Monday, this breakout has proven to be genuine, with dips being consistently bought by traders.
Currently, the price is facing minor resistance just below the 31.00 level.
If this resistance is broken, we could see an acceleration toward my target of 32.00.
As long as the 30.00 level remains intact, Silver maintains its bullish outlook, and buying dips should remain the preferred strategy.
#XAGUSD 4HXAGUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently respecting a wedge trendline resistance, which suggests that upward momentum is weakening. This pattern indicates a potential bearish reversal if the price fails to break above the resistance and starts moving downward.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price confirms rejection at the wedge trendline resistance, signaling the possibility of a move toward lower support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price shows clear rejection from the trendline resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance or the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target the lower boundary of the wedge or nearby support zones for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The wedge trendline resistance indicates bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to gain control if the price fails to break above the resistance. Waiting for confirmation of rejection ensures alignment with market momentum.
#XAGUSD 4HXAGUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently respecting a wedge trendline resistance, which suggests that upward momentum is weakening. This pattern indicates a potential bearish reversal if the price fails to break above the resistance and starts moving downward.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price confirms rejection at the wedge trendline resistance, signaling the possibility of a move toward lower support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price shows clear rejection from the trendline resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance or the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target the lower boundary of the wedge or nearby support zones for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The wedge trendline resistance indicates bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to gain control if the price fails to break above the resistance. Waiting for confirmation of rejection ensures alignment with market momentum.
XAGUSD Ideathis pair is on a h4 timeframe resistance zone so we're looking for a short position on a lower timeframe
this is the ascending channel on M15 timeframe which is a valid trendline because o the 3 touches
now we're waiting for a M15 candle to close below the last touch standing on the trendline to enter a sell (short) position
Good luck fam
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XAG/USD "Silver vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAG/USD "Silver vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the MA level Breakout 30.860
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 32.300 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, I would recommend a bullish outlook for XAG/USD.
REASONS FOR BULLISH OUTLOOK
Increasing Demand: The demand for silver is increasing due to its use in various industries such as electronics, solar panels, and medical devices.
Limited Supply: The supply of silver is limited, which could lead to a shortage and drive up prices.
Inflation Hedge: Silver is often seen as a hedge against inflation, and with the current inflation rate rising, investors may turn to silver as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Buying: Some central banks, such as the People's Bank of China, have been buying silver in recent months, which could support prices.
Technical Analysis: The technical analysis suggests that XAG/USD is forming a bullish trend, with a rising 50-day moving average and a bullish MACD crossover.
UPCOMING NEWS AND EVENTS
Federal Reserve Meeting: The Federal Reserve is scheduled to meet on March 20, 2023, which could provide insight into future interest rate decisions and impact XAG/USD prices.
US Inflation Data: The US inflation data is scheduled to be released on March 12, 2023, which could impact XAG/USD prices if it shows a significant increase in inflation.
Silver Institute Report: The Silver Institute is scheduled to release its annual report on April 15, 2023, which could provide insight into global silver supply and demand trends...................
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Silver H4 | Potential bullish bounceSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 30.17 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 29.60 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 30.96 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAG/USD "Silver vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAG/USD "Silver vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the MA level Breakout 30.200,
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 31.400 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XAG/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, driven by several fundamental factors:
Increasing Demand: Silver demand is increasing, driven by its use in industrial applications, such as solar panels and electronics.
Limited Supply: Silver supply is limited, which could lead to a shortage and drive up prices.
Inflationary Pressures: Inflationary pressures are rising, which could lead to an increase in silver prices as investors seek safe-haven assets.
Weakening US Dollar: The US dollar is weakening, which could lead to an increase in silver prices as investors seek alternative assets.
Key Factors:
Industrial Demand: The increasing demand for silver in industrial applications is expected to drive up the price of silver.
Investment Demand: The ongoing economic uncertainty and inflation concerns are expected to drive up investment demand for silver.
Supply Constraints: The limited supply of silver and the decreasing production levels are expected to support the price of silver.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish Sentiment: 70%
Bearish Sentiment: 25%
Neutral Sentiment: 5%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
SILVER Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
SILVER looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 30.376 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 30.638
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver could rise above 32 (1500+ pips target)In my previous analysis on OANDA:XAGUSD , I noted that the lack of bearish continuation following the break below the 30 level suggested a high likelihood of a false breakout.
I anticipated that the price would most likely reverse to the upside, and this scenario has played out as expected.
After breaking back above the 30 level and successfully retesting it, XAG/USD is now holding steadily above this important support.
Additionally, the price has broken out of the falling wedge pattern by moving above the descending trendline.
The morning star candlestick formation observed two days ago further reinforces the bullish outlook.
Adding to the positive sentiment, a strong close today could result in a continuation pin bar on the weekly chart, further supporting upward momentum.
In conclusion, the strategy remains to buy on dips, with an ideal entry around 30.30 and a target at the technical resistance above 32.
Silver (XAGUSD): Position Update and New TargetsBack in October 2024, we successfully closed our second position at the exact top of wave 3, capturing the peak before XAGUSD dropped by 17%. We’re still holding our first setup, which remains open with the stop loss set at break-even.
We believe the bottom of wave 4 was established around $29, and the chart now points towards a move higher into wave 5. Our focus is on a continuation above the Point of Control (POC) into the $31.35–$32.90 range. At that point, we’ll look for an entry during the pullback (wave (iv)).
Alerts are set, and we’re ready to capitalise when the opportunity arises.
#XAUUSD DAILY ANALYSISDue to the buyer power that caused the micro-wave 4 correction to turn into a triangle... we have updated the chart again on the daily time frame... so that you are aware of the future events of #GOLD
We are happy that you have joined the group of professionals
And finally, PLEASE share this analysis with your friends...
XAGUSD Silver BEARISH - Head & Shoulders and Wedge BreakSilver has two patterns on the Daily TF that indicate a bearish direction ahead.
There is a complete Head & Shoulders pattern and also a Rising Wedge pattern that has been broke. Silver (XAGUSD) has recently had a bullish retracement to re-test both patterns and should start falling soon.
Short-Term TP = $28
Long-Term TP (from Head & Shoulders) = $24.60
Long-Term TP (from Wedge) = $20.70
I expect the short-term TP to be hit at least. The longer-term TP's may or may not be reached. What will probably happen is that the Head & Shoulders target will be reached and Silver will hold up around the $25 level.
NOTE : I personally love Silver and think it's a great long-term investment. I also consider it a highly manipulated market. I am bearish now based solely on the chart, but keep in mind that anything can happen with Silver!
Ride the Silver Surge: A Strategic Long-Term Trade Opportunity! 🚀 Silver: Bullish Setup Targeting $34.86 🚀
Silver presents a strong buy opportunity with bullish momentum building both technically and fundamentally. Here’s the updated setup:
Key Levels
Entry: $30.60
🎯TP1: $32.10
🎯TP2: $34.86
🛑 Stop Loss: $28.54
Why This Trade Looks Promising
1️⃣ Trendline Support: The price has rebounded strongly off a key ascending trendline, signaling continued bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Industrial Demand: Long-term demand for Silver is fueled by clean energy initiatives, including solar panels and EV production.
3️⃣ Bullish RSI: The RSI is trending upward, confirming growing buyer strength and potential for further price gains.
4️⃣ Long-Term Setup: This trade requires patience and is more suitable for traders with larger accounts, as the stop-loss is set wider to accommodate market fluctuations.
Market Context:
Silver remains fundamentally supported by rising industrial demand, inflation hedging, and the prospect of a weaker US Dollar in the months ahead. This longer-term setup aligns with both technical and macroeconomic trends, offering significant upside potential.
⚠️ Note: Please ensure this trade aligns with your account size and risk tolerance. For smaller accounts, a tighter stop-loss or different setup might be more appropriate.
Silver H4 | Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 30.966 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 31.70 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 29.54 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAGUSD Short-term buy signal above the 1D MA50.Last time we looked into Silver (XAGUSD) almost 2 months ago (November 22 2024, see chart below), we gave an excellent bounce sell signal that easily hit our 29.500 Target:
Based on this +2 year Channel Up, which remains valid, another break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), would be a buy signal similar to July 12 2023. As you can see, the price continues to repeat the Channel Down of the Bearish Leg that started on May 05 2023.
As a result, our short-term Target is just below the 0.786 Fib at 33.0000.
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XAGUSD - Silver, waiting for the release of the CPI index!Silver is in a 4 -hour timeframe, between EMA200 and EMA50, moving in its upside channel. If you continue the decline, we can see the channel floor failure and a limited support. Silver stabilization above the resistance range will provide us with silver climbing route to the supply zone, where we can sell at a proper risk.
The U.S. employment report for December disrupted expectations regarding Federal Reserve policies, highlighting the Consumer Price Index (CPI) as a key market driver. Job creation surged by 256,000, significantly surpassing the forecast of 160,000, while the unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%.
This data triggered a sharp rise in Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield reaching 4.79%, the highest level since 2023. Higher yields increase the cost of holding non-yielding assets like silver, which could face headwinds if inflation accelerates. Markets now expect the Federal Reserve to hold off on rate cuts until at least June, a notable shift from earlier forecasts anticipating rate reductions in spring. A hotter-than-expected CPI report could further delay this timeline, strengthening the dollar and potentially putting pressure on silver prices.
Silver’s industrial role continues to support its prices, driven by robust global demand in industries like solar energy and electronics.The production of solar panels, a major consumer of silver, remains a key driver, while geopolitical and inflationary risks have boosted silver’s appeal as an inflation hedge.
Gold’s stability in a high-yield environment has indirectly supported silver as well. Amid stock market volatility, investors have turned to both precious metals. The S&P 500 has declined by 1% year-to-date. Additionally, concerns over tariffs and the fiscal policies proposed by President-elect Donald Trump have increased demand for safe-haven assets.
Meanwhile, speculation around Trump’s potential policies, including tariffs and spending programs, has heightened market uncertainty. Markets are grappling with whether these measures will stoke inflation or negatively impact growth, creating mixed conditions for silver.
Major global banks are revising their forecasts for Federal Reserve monetary policy. Bank of America has stated it no longer expects any rate cuts in 2025. The bank believes the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle has ended and sees the next move as more likely to be a rate hike.
Citi has also updated its projections, announcing that it no longer anticipates a Fed rate cut in January. The bank now forecasts a potential rate reduction in May.
Deutsche Bank has similarly noted that the Fed is unlikely to lower rates in the near term. The bank believes the Fed is currently in a wait-and-see mode, with future actions heavily dependent on incoming economic data.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs predicts the Fed will implement two 0.25% rate cuts in June and December, totaling 0.5% for the year. This marks a revision from its earlier forecast of a 0.75% reduction.
Finally, Morgan Stanley has indicated that the likelihood of a near-term rate cut has diminished. However, the bank still considers a rate cut in March plausible due to an improving inflation outlook.