SILVER | XAGUSD Weekly Outlook Oct 21st: Wait For BUYS!This weekly forecast is for Oct 21 - 25th.
After closing last week with a strong bullish candle, the week ahead maintains a bullish bias.
Be mindful of a short term pullback this week, as price tends to retrace after breaking swing highs. Just remain patient and wait for valid buy setups in this case.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
Silver Shines Brighter: A Bullish Run to $39.62 After Rate Cut?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:XAGUSD
On the daily timeframe, silver has consistently traded above the EMA100, signaling a strong bullish trend. Additionally, it has broken through the upper trendline of a wide descending broadening wedge pattern . This breakout, confirmed by a bullish Marubozu candlestick, indicates strong buyer momentum. The MACD’s bullish crossover further supports the expectation of continued upward movement.
With these technical indicators in alignment, we anticipate silver advancing toward Target Area 1 at 36.76 and potentially reaching Target Area 2 at 39.62. However, the support level at 27.59 remains critical; a break below this level could invite bearish pressure.
In the broader macroeconomic landscape, central banks across multiple countries are enacting rate cuts to stimulate growth amid slowing economic conditions. Combined with declining manufacturing PMIs, geopolitical tensions, and the US-China economic slowdown, these factors heighten uncertainty. As a result, safe-haven assets like silver and gold are expected to benefit, as investors seek protection against market volatility. This influx of demand may provide further upward momentum for silver prices.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Silver.
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Silver Lining: Breakout Signals Imminent Price SurgeThe price previously formed a Falling Wedge Pattern, and after breaking out, it entered a phase of consolidation.
This led to the emergence of a Symmetrical Triangle pattern on the chart, and with a recent breakout, silver is now trending upward.
Key level to watch
First target - $32.2
Second target - $33.0
It is recommended to set a strict stop-loss just below the $30.9 level to mitigate significant losses.
Silver’s Explosive Move: Why Buying Dips Below $33 Could Pay OffAfter a minor correction at the start of last week and two days of tight range consolidation, OANDA:XAGUSD surged on Friday, gaining approximately 2000 pips.
More importantly, though, it broke above the key resistance zone at 32.35-32.50, in what appears to be an attempt to catch up with Gold’s performance.
As mentioned in my previous analyses, my target for Silver remains around the 35 resistance level.
Now, with this decisive breakout to the upside, it looks like 35 could be the next target in the coming week.
Given this setup, a strong strategy would be to buy on dips, ideally below the 33 level.
This approach could offer an attractive 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio, depending on the stop loss placement.
XAUUSD Bullish setup this week**Monthly Chart**
XAGUSD last monthly candle closed bullish after testing the liquidity of Jan 2013 liquidity pool.
The monthly engulfing candle indicates a high probability for Sliver to continue its trend higher at least to take liquidity above the 33.00 (round number) level. It also suggests that the near target high is around 36.00 and then 37.50 (Oct 2012 and Feb 2012 swing highs) Levels
This month's candle, which is still active, tested the imbalanced price action (or FVG) at around 30.00. It moved aggressively and took the high of the previous month.
**Weekly Chart**
Last weekly candle of Silver closed slightly bullish after sweeping liquidity from previous weeks lows. This gives a strong trend momentum for the price to head higher at least to hunt the liquidity above the 33.00 level. The weekly candle closed as a key reversal high.
**Daily Chart**
Last week Silver started a new swing high after it took the liquidity below 30.55 level and head higher.
This week we will be looking for a bullish structure and opportunity to at least target 33.00. This is around 200 pips moves expected on this pair.
XAGUSD Analysis: Unveiling Silver's Next Move Through Elliott WaThis XAGUSD analysis utilizes Elliott Wave theory to uncover potential silver price movements. By identifying key wave patterns, this analysis offers insights into upcoming trends and market shifts, providing traders with a clearer outlook on silver's future direction.
SILVER Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an
Uptrend and we are now
Seeing a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal
Level of 32.50$ which is
Now a support and as the
Breakout is confirmed we
Will be expecting a
Further move up
Buy!
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XAGUSD One of the best investments you can make for 2025.Silver (XAGUSD) has successfully followed up the May - August 2024 Bull Flag with a green September 1M candle that recovered all loses. Having broken above its Resistance, the trend looks more bullish than ever, especially on the hyper long-term 1M time-frame.
We can view the whole sequence since 2021 as a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern. Interestingly enough, this is not the first time we see a similar pattern historically. Based on the 1M RSI fractal, we can see similar Arc patterns formed in 2008/09, 2000/03 and even 1974/78.
All of them rose to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level from the Cup's top. On the current pattern at hand, the 2.0 Fib is a little higher than 50.000. Keeping in mind that the new Cycle of Rate cutting has already started by the Fed, buying a stable asset such as Silver under this economic environment, is perhaps one of the best investments we can make for 2025.
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XAGUSD Outlook: Slight Bearish Bias on October 18, 2024Key Drivers Behind the Bearish Sentiment on Silver (XAGUSD)
Silver (XAGUSD) is showing a slight bearish bias on October 18, 2024, influenced by a combination of fundamental factors and current market conditions. As traders and investors monitor the fluctuating economic landscape, several key drivers are contributing to the downside momentum in XAGUSD today. Let’s explore the factors pushing silver prices lower and what to watch in the coming sessions.
1. Stronger US Dollar (USD)
A stronger US Dollar is one of the most significant headwinds for silver prices today. The USD index (DXY) continues to gain strength, primarily due to hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve. With inflationary pressures still present and the Fed remaining committed to tightening monetary policy, the dollar is seeing consistent demand. As silver is priced in USD, a stronger greenback increases the cost for buyers in other currencies, pushing XAGUSD lower.
2. Rising US Treasury Yields
US Treasury yields have been climbing as the bond market adjusts to expectations of continued Fed rate hikes or at least a longer period of elevated rates. The 10-year Treasury yield has been edging higher, which typically signals reduced appeal for non-yielding assets like silver. Investors tend to move towards assets that offer returns, making precious metals less attractive during periods of rising yields.
3. Lack of Safe-Haven Demand
Another key driver impacting XAGUSD is the reduced demand for safe-haven assets. In times of geopolitical tension or economic uncertainty, investors often flock to silver and gold as protection against market volatility. However, as global equity markets show relative stability and no significant macroeconomic shocks loom on the horizon, the demand for silver as a safe-haven is lower today. This lack of buying pressure contributes to the slight bearish bias in XAGUSD.
4. Weaker Industrial Demand for Silver
Silver is not only a precious metal but also an industrial metal. The recent decline in industrial output data from key economies, especially China, has weighed on the industrial demand for silver. China, being one of the largest consumers of silver for its manufacturing sector, has posted weaker-than-expected economic growth. This slowdown in manufacturing activity limits demand for silver, further pressuring prices lower.
5. Technical Analysis: Silver Below Key Resistance Levels
From a technical perspective, XAGUSD is trading below critical resistance levels around $22.00. The failure to break above this resistance has triggered selling pressure, and traders are now eyeing support near $21.50. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows a neutral to bearish sentiment, further confirming the slight downward momentum for silver today.
Conclusion: XAGUSD Faces Bearish Bias Today
With a stronger USD, rising Treasury yields, and weaker industrial demand from major economies like China, silver prices are expected to remain under pressure. While a sharp downturn in XAGUSD is not expected, the overall bias for today points towards a slightly bearish outlook. Traders should watch key support levels closely and monitor any changes in macroeconomic data or Federal Reserve commentary that could shift the dynamics for silver.
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Potential bullish rise for Silver?The price has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 31.51
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 30.97
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 32.26
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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XAUUSD Potential Up Trend ContinuationWith no high-impact news today, the market is likely to stay in sideways movement until tomorrow. However, sudden developments from the Middle East could introduce volatility, especially for gold. Currently, the market appears choppy, forming a triangle pattern. If the price moves below Friday's low, the triangle may evolve into a bullish flag pattern. Despite the sideways action, the market continues to show bullish signals from both technical and fundamental perspectives. The mid-term target is the resistance zone around 2685
XAG/USD "SILVER" Market Heist Plan on BearishHello My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
This is our master plan to Heist XAG/USD "SILVER" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
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XAGUSD correction towards the end of the year.Silver (XAGUSD) has made a Double Top (red circle) on October 04 near the Higher Highs trend-line of the 2-year Channel Up. Last time it did a similar Higher High was on May 05 2023, after remarkably a similar +48.50% rise, it started a correction that extended below bot the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
The first stop was the 1D MA200 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and that's where our end-of-year Target is at 28.500.
Notice also the 1W MACD similarities between the two peak fractals. Also the time from bottom to top has been highly identical at 246 and 248 days respectively.
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Silver H1 | Potential bearish reversalSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 31.26 which is a pullback resistance that intersects with a descending trendline.
Stop loss is at 31.62 which is a level that sits above a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 30.70 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Bearish drop?XAG/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 31.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 32.24
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 30.35
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
xauusd h1 short from resistance tp 2635 usd🔸Hello traders, today let's review 1hour price chart for gold. Strong
V-shape recovery in progress off the recent lows, however heavy
overhead resistance will trigger a pullback from S/R levels overhead.
🔸Strong resistances at 2665 and 2675. key S/R bulls at 2635 usd.
currently getting overextended so it's recommended to focus on
short selling rips/rallies from overhead resistance.
🔸Recommended strategy bears: short sell from overhead resistances near 2665/75 SL 2680 USD TP 2635 usd. usd fixed stop loss for this entry at 2680 usd, swing trade setup may take more time to hit target. good luck traders!
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Silver Breakout Likely within Weeks - 32.75 Line in the SandSilver approaching 32.75 level after completing a corrective move this week.
37.75 is the line in the sand. A close above this level will confirm a historical breakout.
35 is almost certain and 40-45 a possibility before undergoing a larger, intermediate level correction.
Watch for more detail.
#XAGUSD 4HXAG/USD (Silver vs. US Dollar) pair on the 4-hour chart is showing a support pattern, indicating that the price is holding firm at a particular level, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
Pattern Description:
The market seems to have established a solid support level, where downward momentum is being halted. After a period of selling pressure, the price has tested and bounced off this support zone multiple times, signaling that buyers are stepping in to defend this level. This consistent defense suggests that a reversal might be imminent, as the market sentiment shifts from bearish to bullish.
Forecast:
Given the strength of the support level, the current outlook is bullish, with a potential move to the upside. The price is likely to break higher as buying momentum gathers strength. This makes it a favorable opportunity to buy, targeting the next resistance levels. However, it's important to keep an eye on any additional price action and volume confirmation before entering the trade.
Key Indicators:
- Strong support
- Price consolidating near support, indicating indecision before a potential breakout.
- RSI and other momentum indicators suggest oversold conditions, supporting the bullish forecast.
Recommendation:
Consider entering a buy position near the support level, with a stop-loss placed just below the support zone to manage risk effectively. Potential price targets could be set at key resistance areas above.