Silver's Bullish Momentum: Can It Rally Another +12.14%?Hey Realistic Traders, A lot of uncertainty looms after Donald Trump was officially sworn in as President. Will Safe Haven Assets, such as OANDA:XAGUSD Rise Again?
Let's dive into the analysis...
Silver has tested the EMA-200 line more than twice in the past year. This retracement often signals a strong bullish trend.
On the daily chart, Silver has formed a falling wedge pattern, followed by a breakout. The breakout, combined with a bullish MACD crossover, suggests the trend is likely to continue upward.
Based on these technical indicators, the price is projected to rise toward Target 1 at $33.0811 or potentially Target 2 at $34.5649, as long as it stays above the critical stop-loss level of $28.7040
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
"Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Silver".
Xagusdanalysis
XAG/USD "Silver vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAG/USD "Silver vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the MA level Breakout 30.860
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 32.300 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, I would recommend a bullish outlook for XAG/USD.
REASONS FOR BULLISH OUTLOOK
Increasing Demand: The demand for silver is increasing due to its use in various industries such as electronics, solar panels, and medical devices.
Limited Supply: The supply of silver is limited, which could lead to a shortage and drive up prices.
Inflation Hedge: Silver is often seen as a hedge against inflation, and with the current inflation rate rising, investors may turn to silver as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Buying: Some central banks, such as the People's Bank of China, have been buying silver in recent months, which could support prices.
Technical Analysis: The technical analysis suggests that XAG/USD is forming a bullish trend, with a rising 50-day moving average and a bullish MACD crossover.
UPCOMING NEWS AND EVENTS
Federal Reserve Meeting: The Federal Reserve is scheduled to meet on March 20, 2023, which could provide insight into future interest rate decisions and impact XAG/USD prices.
US Inflation Data: The US inflation data is scheduled to be released on March 12, 2023, which could impact XAG/USD prices if it shows a significant increase in inflation.
Silver Institute Report: The Silver Institute is scheduled to release its annual report on April 15, 2023, which could provide insight into global silver supply and demand trends...................
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAG/USD Analysis: Falling Wedge Breakout Signals More UpsideAs I mentioned in my previous analysis, I am bullish on OANDA:XAGUSD , in addition to Gold.
The price has now clearly broken above the falling wedge’s resistance.
Since Monday, this breakout has proven to be genuine, with dips being consistently bought by traders.
Currently, the price is facing minor resistance just below the 31.00 level.
If this resistance is broken, we could see an acceleration toward my target of 32.00.
As long as the 30.00 level remains intact, Silver maintains its bullish outlook, and buying dips should remain the preferred strategy.
XAGUSD Ideathis pair is on a h4 timeframe resistance zone so we're looking for a short position on a lower timeframe
this is the ascending channel on M15 timeframe which is a valid trendline because o the 3 touches
now we're waiting for a M15 candle to close below the last touch standing on the trendline to enter a sell (short) position
Good luck fam
Follow us for more ideas and updates
#XAGUSD 4HXAGUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently respecting a wedge trendline resistance, which suggests that upward momentum is weakening. This pattern indicates a potential bearish reversal if the price fails to break above the resistance and starts moving downward.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price confirms rejection at the wedge trendline resistance, signaling the possibility of a move toward lower support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price shows clear rejection from the trendline resistance.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance or the recent swing high to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target the lower boundary of the wedge or nearby support zones for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The wedge trendline resistance indicates bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to gain control if the price fails to break above the resistance. Waiting for confirmation of rejection ensures alignment with market momentum.
XAG/USD "Silver vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAG/USD "Silver vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the MA level Breakout 30.200,
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 31.400 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XAG/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, driven by several fundamental factors:
Increasing Demand: Silver demand is increasing, driven by its use in industrial applications, such as solar panels and electronics.
Limited Supply: Silver supply is limited, which could lead to a shortage and drive up prices.
Inflationary Pressures: Inflationary pressures are rising, which could lead to an increase in silver prices as investors seek safe-haven assets.
Weakening US Dollar: The US dollar is weakening, which could lead to an increase in silver prices as investors seek alternative assets.
Key Factors:
Industrial Demand: The increasing demand for silver in industrial applications is expected to drive up the price of silver.
Investment Demand: The ongoing economic uncertainty and inflation concerns are expected to drive up investment demand for silver.
Supply Constraints: The limited supply of silver and the decreasing production levels are expected to support the price of silver.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish Sentiment: 70%
Bearish Sentiment: 25%
Neutral Sentiment: 5%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
#XAGUSD 2HXAGUSD (2H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has broken above a key resistance level, which is now acting as support. This change in role indicates potential bullish momentum, with buyers likely to dominate if the level holds.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity is expected as the price respects the new support level, confirming the breakout and signaling further upward movement.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Near the support level after confirmation that the price is holding above it.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed below the support level to limit downside risk.
Take Profit: Target the next resistance levels or Fibonacci extensions for potential upside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The transition of resistance into support reflects strengthening buying interest, favoring upward continuation as long as the support holds.
Can Silver Maintain Momentum Above 28.70?In my previous OANDA:XAGUSD analysis, I mentioned that the price appeared to be forming a head-and-shoulders pattern, with confirmation if the price broke below the 30 level.
Indeed, just before Christmas, the price dropped below this critical milestone and reached a low near the 28.70 zone.
However, instead of continuing toward the technical 28 support level, the price found new support at 28.70, forming a double bottom at this level.
Similar to Gold, Silver began the year on a positive note, reversing upward and retesting the broken neckline level at 29.80 for the second time.
Currently, the price is trading below this level.
A decisive break above 30 could trigger bullish momentum, leading to a potential rally toward the 32 resistance zone.
For now, I'm bullish on Silver as long as the 28.70 support zone holds.
Watch out for 30.280 zone on XAG. A daily rejection of that zone 30.280 would give me a great confluence that Silver is going to be a bearish week.
Last week was a bullish week but the highlighted zone is within an Imbalance on H4 chart.
I'll be looking to target previous week low 28.759 though keeping in mind this daily level 29.806 for possible pullback.
Just keeping it simple no complications.
I'll be dropping more of my insights so stay tuned. 🫴
#XAGUSD 4HXAGUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Resistance Trendline Breakout: The price has broken above a key descending trendline resistance, indicating a potential shift in momentum toward the upside.
Forecast:
Buy Opportunity: The breakout suggests bullish momentum, with further upward movement likely as long as the price holds above the broken trendline.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: After breakout confirmation or a retest of the trendline as new support.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed below the broken trendline or recent swing low to limit downside risk.
Take Profit Zones: Focus on the next resistance levels or Fibonacci projections for potential targets.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish Bias: The breakout above trendline resistance reflects increased buying interest, supporting expectations for further gains.
Silver Short Setup: High-Probability Sell Targeting SSLFollowing the HTF bearish bias, silver is presenting a high-probability short setup. Price has respected both LTF and HTF Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), aligning with the overall downtrend. Additionally, the 30 MA has been decisively broken, adding confluence to the bearish narrative.
Key Points:
- HTF bearish bias confirmed with respect to FVGs on multiple timeframes.
- Price broke below the 30 MA, signaling a shift in momentum.
- High-probability sell setup targeting previous day’s low, where sell-side liquidity resides.
- Equal lows (EQL) observed at the target level, increasing the likelihood of a liquidity sweep.
Trade Idea:
- Entry: Around 29.30 after price confirms rejection from FVGs.
- Target: Sell-side liquidity at 28.78 (previous day’s low).
- Risk: Ensure proper risk management with a stop loss above the FVGs for protection.
- The setup aligns perfectly with ICT principles, leveraging liquidity sweeps and fair value gaps for high-probability entries. As always, DYOR before taking any trades.
DYOR :)
Silver Sell-Off Alert: 10% Drop Dead Ahead● After hitting a high of $34.87, the price entered a notable consolidation phase, eventually created a Head & Shoulders pattern.
● Following the breakdown from this pattern, the price also fell beneath its trendline support, paving the way for a more significant decline.
● Immediate support is anticipated at the $27.8 level.
● If the price drops below this threshold, it could plummet to $26.5, representing a 10% decrease from the current position.
#XAUUSG 1DAYXAGUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Trendline Support Breakdown: The price has moved below a key trendline support, indicating a potential shift in momentum towards the downside.
Forecast:
Sell Opportunity: The breakdown suggests weakening buying pressure, and sellers may take control, leading to further declines.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: After confirmation of the breakdown or a retest of the broken trendline acting as resistance.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed above the broken trendline or recent swing high to minimize risk.
Take Profit Zones: Focus on upcoming support levels or price zones identified through Fibonacci extensions.
Market Sentiment:
Bearish Bias: Sustained movement below the broken trendline indicates a bearish outlook, with sellers likely dominating the trend.
Silver’s Deep Retrace: Long Setup with Bullish Potential I’ve entered a long trade on Silver (XAG/USD) after observing a deep retrace to the 0.7 Fibonacci level on the daily timeframe. The entry at $28.96 is positioned strategically based on historical support and the current technical setup.
The stop loss is set at $26.54 to mitigate risk, while the take profit target is $36.00, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. In the bearish scenario, a break below $27.50 will prompt a reassessment and tighter risk management. Conversely, on the bullish side, breaking above $32.50 will strengthen the case for holding towards the TP.
Silver’s price action showcases its potential for a significant bounce back, supported by current geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions.
Fundamentals:
1. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance:
The Fed’s updated projections for rate cuts in 2025 have pressured silver prices, as a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields (above 4.5%) diminish the appeal of non-yielding assets. However, easing inflation in the long term could rejuvenate demand for precious metals.
2. Geopolitical Tensions:
Although silver traditionally benefits from uncertainty, recent macroeconomic headwinds, such as concerns about tariffs under the new Trump administration and sluggish global economic recovery, have overshadowed its safe-haven status.
3. Industrial Outlook:
Challenges in the industrial demand for silver, particularly from China’s solar panel production slowdown, add pressure. However, as inflation stabilizes and geopolitical risks unfold, silver could regain its industrial and safe-haven allure.
Technicals:
• Entry: $28.96
• Stop Loss: $26.54
• Take Profit: $36.00
• Key Levels:
• Bearish Scenario: Manage position below $27.50.
• Bullish Case: Strength above $32.50 confirms upward momentum.
This setup leverages a confluence of technical retracement, macroeconomic factors, and the potential for a trend reversal. Stay sharp and pay yourself as the market unfolds.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Silver Rebound Offers Short Trade Potential: Targeting $28In my weekend analysis, I highlighted the potential formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern in Silver's price, with the neckline positioned precisely at the psychologically significant $30 level.
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve’s rate cut triggered a drop below this key level. Currently, OANDA:XAGUSD is experiencing a normal rebound.
This rebound may provide traders with an opportunity to consider short positions if the broken $30 level is retested.
The next significant support level is at $28, which could serve as the target for this potential move.
Trading Silver: Sell Rallies Amid XAG/USD’s Bearish MomentumLast week, OANDA:XAGUSD made several attempts to break through the 32.30 resistance zone but failed to sustain any momentum. Much like the price action in OANDA:XAUUSD , Thursday was marked by a bearish engulfing candle, which was even more significant given the preceding day's Doji formation. Following the formation of this bearish engulfing candle, the price dropped sharply, reaching a local low around the 30.30 level, marking a 2,000-pip drop from the previous high.
The structure forming since mid-September resembles a potential head and shoulders pattern, although it has not been confirmed yet.
If the price breaks below the 30.00 zone, it could put further pressure on the selling side, triggering more downside momentum. In this scenario, the next key support level to watch would be around 27.80, with the measured target for the pattern being approximately 25.00.
At this point, resistance is positioned at 31.50, and any rallies approaching this level should be viewed as potential selling opportunities. Sellers may look to capitalize on these rallies, anticipating a continuation of the downtrend.
Additionally, the bearish outlook is reinforced by a bearish Pin Bar on the weekly chart, which adds further weight to the negative bias. This combination of factors—bearish patterns on both the daily and weekly charts—suggests that the downward pressure could persist, with further downside potential for XAG/USD in the near term.
In summary, traders should remain cautious about buying in the current environment. Instead, the focus should be on selling rallies, especially near key resistance levels, while keeping an eye on the 30.00 support level as a key area for potential breakdown.