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WILL NOT SELL UNTIL WE GET SELL CONFIRMATIONS ON BIGGER TIME FRAMES.
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Xagusdanalysis
SILVER - Wave Revision - Bullish Potential ExplainedFollowing on from my video idea I posted yesterday which talks about Inflation using some macro views. (Linked below)
In this video I give you a full break down of the waves in Silver since the early 1900's.
I do believe the pressure is mounting on shorts in this market and eventually it will snap out of this range.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
AriasWave VS Fundamentals VS InflationLately I have felt that I need to touch on how AriasWave and fundamentals are inextricably intertwined.
AriasWave being primarily a technical analysis tool has led me to want to understand how everything operates on the macro level, although it is technical, humans are humans and these patterns are based on psychology and ever since discovering these patterns it has led me to ask more and more questions about how everything connects together.
I am not a financial advisor. This is just my own opinion. I encourage you to do your own research and learn the waves because they fit together, they are one and the same thing.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
XAGUSD vs XAGCAD? More important than you might think.I have been looking at XAGUSD vs XAGCAD, with the theory that the relative performance of the pairs could be a signal. In this scenario, CAD should be thought of as a proxy for commodities, of which Silver is just one. The USD is acting as a measure of the wider economy, and the role Silver plays in it.
Starting with the long term then, some general notes. The CAD (main chart) persistently pegs more closely to the price of silver, as you might expect. It has lower highs, and higher lows. Priced in Silver, CAD is less volatile. USD on the other hand, fluctuates above and below this line, with important potential observations. Notice the considerable difference between the two charts today, a potential for catch up is coming?
We can see highlighted important regions. In green, the 2011 Silver and commodity bull market. Silver in USD significantly outperformed, more detail on that later. In red, we see the 2011 to 2020 bear market. Significant under performance of silver is highlighted. We will see some more detail of that in a bit as well, as there are some important differences today. Finally, the period today is highlighted, which appears to be under performed. More on that later.
Next, let's get more into the thesis. Here is the consolidation phase of the 2008 bear market. We see persistent and significant out performance, almost without exception from where you set the time scale. The difference grows to as much as 30% in several parts, all before the real bull market begins. Most of this can be seen around $25, which was the previous interim top from 2006.
The Silver Bull Market. The growth in XAGUSD continues throughout the process. The top in this cycle is amazingly formed as CAD reaches it's highest point in 40 years vs the USD, in April of 2011. Two months later, the CAD begins it's 30% retreat to the twenty year lows. Measured from December 2008, the performance of XAGUSD peaks in the region of +100% vs XAGCAD (This depends on the start and end date of course).
The Crash; Although not obvious initially, the XAGUSD Line dips below XAGCAD and stays below, which seems to confirm this bear market. This limits this relationship for picking tops, I admit.
The bear market 2011 to 2016. I've highlighted how the market consistently fails to outperform XAGUSD vs XAGCAD. Even during the 'Bull' run of 2016, there is only a brief, 3 month period where it is even possible to show out performance of XAGUSD, from Nov 2015 to Mar 2016. Move the chart and see for yourself. This signal is squashed even before the bull market begins, which could have been a warning sign as XAGUSD failed to break out relative to XAGCAD.
2016 to 2020. A mixed signal? The consolidation of 2016 to 2020 was mixed, there was no clear under performance, but neither did it outperform. Using the full consolidation phase, we cannot see a breakout today.
Today; While no breakout is clear, there are perhaps signs this has changed with this current phase. From the March lows, we can now see Silver in USD is clearly outpacing Silver in CAD, although not yet by as much as in the 2008-2011 cycle.
This could mean either;
The signal is registering a false breakout. Although unlike the 2016 and earlier interim tops, this out performance has lasted almost a full year. Something that has not happened since 2008.
We are still in the early stages of this bull market. Look for this comparison to breakout with a 20 to 30 point difference. This is not hard to see as possible, considering how far XAGUSD needs to catch up just to where XAGCAD is today. And considering that when it does, it tends to overshoot, this could be further confirmation that this party has just started.
Takeaways; Look for this comparison to breakout to the upside 20 to 30 points, which could then continue for months to years. A spike in the USD is not out of the cards as always, and would be negative for this relationship. If XAGUSD remained neutral in that scenario, I would be very bullish however. This relationship currently has about 10% cushion to allow that without dropping XAGUSD below XAGCAD. A spike in the USD driving this ratio down would also need to persist for several months to indicate this is not Silver's time. Top in the relationship should be formed by a significant high in the CAD.
Silver can drop to 26After failing to pass above 27.70-27.80 resistance, Silver dropped and broke under short term ascending trend line.
At this point, this trend-line is confirmed as resistance and XagUsd can continue its fall to 26 support
Also, a short trade for Silver can have more than 1:3 R:R
Silver- Ready to break above resistanceUnlike Gold, Silver is in a clear uptrend, with the price putting in higher lows and higher highs since the beginning of December.
The spike to 30 from the beginning of February is now corrected and XagUsd looks ready to resume it uptrend.
At the time of writing Silver is trading at 27.55, just under 27.80 resistance and a break above resistance can lead to a new challenge of 30 zone.
Silver is in a clear uptrend as long as the price stays above 26 and dips should be bought
SILVER (XAG/USD) – Week 6 – Heading towards $24 zone.As mentioned in our past analysis, the Silver price didn’t have enough power to sustain a bullish move above the resistance area that we highlighted. Even though Silver slightly broke the top, we still expected the bearish move to unfold in order to finish what it started. In this context we predict the price to head towards the $24 levels, however keep in mind that this will be a corrective move in order for the market to gather further momentum for the weekly bullish trend.
Trade with care.
Best regards,
Financial Flagship
Disclaimer: The analysis provided is purely informative and it should not be used as financial advice. Remember that you need a plan before you start trading; so, take this knowledge and use it as a guidebook that will ultimately help you understand the market and easily predict your next move.
SILVER (XAGUSD) SELL FROM KEY LEVEL As i am watching silver had made a double top and make higher high but get rejected from 30$ zone
it had already done a retrace but we are expecting silver will retest these design levels and as we can see a recovery in $
so if it will not be a bubble then with dollar move it will go to our TP
Friends Silver is a highly risk based trade so always use proper money management
Push like and comment below we appreciate ur support and love
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Silver- To maintain its strong bull trendAs I said in a lot of my previous analyzes, Silver is more bullish than Gold and although XauUsd lagged and stayed under 1900 and weel under its all-time high, XagUsd spiked to reach 30.
As normal a correction followed and Siver dropped over 15% to 26.
From a technical perspective, the structure remains strongly bullish and 26 is strong support at this point.
My strategy is to buy dips towards this support and 30 can be the target in the medium term
Silver (XAGUSD) - Bounce TimeWe have an order block below the previous support on Silver (XAGUSD)
The support marked has been hunted with a wick once, let’s see if we can get a second manipulation followed by a bounce to the upside.
Silver to Rise to the Top of the Channel!XAGUSD broke out of the yellow downtrend line last week. Now, it has successfully retested the breakout as support. If the support holds, Silver should see a large run to the upside with the first resistance being the cyan uptrend line. The 50ma (blue) and 200ma (yellow) are curling up and will act as large support areas if Silver downtrend momentum continues. We would love to buy more Silver if it dips to those levels! - HH
Silver will EXPLODE!Once $30/oz. is broken, it will be just like the 2010 breakout over $20/oz. when the price went ballistic for months thereafter..
SILVER- New Longs now or at 26,36Our updated Silver chart. The price is finding support and we are buying again now but a drop to 26,4 is possible and we will be ready to buy even more then.
Remember: a healthy support is a good sign of the price's possibility to rise in the long run. Watch today's video for more into this matter
Silver- for my Cinderella critics 😱🧟Just my thoughts on Silver and some educational tips.
a few things about Silver:
- Silver has the highest thermal conductivity of any element
Out of all the elements, silver is the best electric conductor, and is actually used as the standard by which other conductors are measured. On a scale of 0 to 100, silver ranks 100 in terms of electrical conductivity. Copper ranks 97 and gold ranks 76.
- Humanity (technology) needs Silver like the desert needs some rain. It's the best semiconductor
-The price of silver is driven by speculation and supply and demand, like most commodities. The price is notoriously volatile compared to that of gold because of the smaller market, lower market liquidity and demand fluctuations between industrial and store of value uses.
- The price is systematically manipulated BIG TIME ( JPMORGAN example and off course, my Chicago friends at the CME , Merrill Lynch and COMEX also etc etc - probably even the Bogdanoff brothers 😱🧟)
- This is no Gamestop for any retail investor group to be able to play with. It's too big.
- Long-term Cycles in Silver: academic research did not find any clear evidence of silver price suppression. Moreover, when we look at the long-term behavior of silver prices (see the chart), we see clear cyclical patterns, not a permanent downward trend (or even a flat line).
Thus:
I expect the price to rise and I have the patience to manage my positions on Silver and also on AGQ, accordingly.
That's me. One love
FXPROFESSOR 💙
SILVER - The ShiningSilver intermediate cycle bottomed with gold on the 30th November.
Silver didn't have that serious decline at the end of the last intermediate cycle
like gold.
Notice that we were in a consolidation box for 4 months and today we broke out.
Is it too late to enter the party?
No. We are still early in this game and I think silver will run to 42 and maybe to 50 in the following 3-4 months.
I've already posted my thoughts regarding the XAUXAG ratio:
If you are looking for targets in silver I suggest to read the idea above .
If you are not in a position yet I would wait for a backtest of the consolidation box at 26.00$. If you already in a position I would increase the position size at 26$.
We have a lot of time in this trade before we have to worry about a top.
TSI is just turning up and RSI just reached the overbought territory.
RSI can stay overbought for a month or more just like last summer.
I will set this idea as a long idea as we broke out of the box but I would wait for a backtest at 26$ before entering.
$XAGUSD - WallStreetBets Push Silver - Here's The Mining Co'sA list of Mining Companies to watch to tomorrow if the price of silver continues to soar.
We're close to making a recent high but far from making the all time high set back in 2011 at nearly $50 and right now we're near $30. It takes a lot to push up the price of silver but physically demanding it might do just that. So watch these Mining Companies during the Stock Echange Hours. I know I'm going to Jump on GPL and probably Furtuna, just because I've had luck with them before :)
Good Luck and Good Trading
XAGUSD key resistance 30.00 if breaks 34.50 would be next targetsilver 2% long positions increased by professionals, gold silver ratio reduced by historical level 113 to 68 yet. silver movement is more volatile use low risk wider stop loss and target. buy xagusd if deeper correction occurs.
SILVER - Full Breakdown - Beware Of A Short-Term TopIn this introduction to Silver analysis using AriasWave I break down the long-term pattern right up until this very moment during this buying climax.
I thought this would be a great time to to start officially bringing regular Silver updates due to the current speculative environment.
I want to highlight how speculative mania's usually lead to a short-term top no matter what market you are looking at.
Let's just remember that hope is not a strategy.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
