Silver's Bullish Momentum: Can It Rally Another +12.14%?Hey Realistic Traders, A lot of uncertainty looms after Donald Trump was officially sworn in as President. Will Safe Haven Assets, such as OANDA:XAGUSD Rise Again?
Let's dive into the analysis...
Silver has tested the EMA-200 line more than twice in the past year. This retracement often signals a strong bullish trend.
On the daily chart, Silver has formed a falling wedge pattern, followed by a breakout. The breakout, combined with a bullish MACD crossover, suggests the trend is likely to continue upward.
Based on these technical indicators, the price is projected to rise toward Target 1 at $33.0811 or potentially Target 2 at $34.5649, as long as it stays above the critical stop-loss level of $28.7040
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"Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Silver".
Xagusdlong
#XAGUSD 2HXAGUSD (2H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has broken above a key resistance level, which is now acting as support. This change in role indicates potential bullish momentum, with buyers likely to dominate if the level holds.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity is expected as the price respects the new support level, confirming the breakout and signaling further upward movement.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Near the support level after confirmation that the price is holding above it.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed below the support level to limit downside risk.
Take Profit: Target the next resistance levels or Fibonacci extensions for potential upside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The transition of resistance into support reflects strengthening buying interest, favoring upward continuation as long as the support holds.
#XAGUSD 4HXAGUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Resistance Trendline Breakout: The price has broken above a key descending trendline resistance, indicating a potential shift in momentum toward the upside.
Forecast:
Buy Opportunity: The breakout suggests bullish momentum, with further upward movement likely as long as the price holds above the broken trendline.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: After breakout confirmation or a retest of the trendline as new support.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed below the broken trendline or recent swing low to limit downside risk.
Take Profit Zones: Focus on the next resistance levels or Fibonacci projections for potential targets.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish Bias: The breakout above trendline resistance reflects increased buying interest, supporting expectations for further gains.
Fri 3rd Jan 2025 XAG/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAG/USD (Silver) Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Silver’s Deep Retrace: Long Setup with Bullish Potential I’ve entered a long trade on Silver (XAG/USD) after observing a deep retrace to the 0.7 Fibonacci level on the daily timeframe. The entry at $28.96 is positioned strategically based on historical support and the current technical setup.
The stop loss is set at $26.54 to mitigate risk, while the take profit target is $36.00, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. In the bearish scenario, a break below $27.50 will prompt a reassessment and tighter risk management. Conversely, on the bullish side, breaking above $32.50 will strengthen the case for holding towards the TP.
Silver’s price action showcases its potential for a significant bounce back, supported by current geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions.
Fundamentals:
1. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance:
The Fed’s updated projections for rate cuts in 2025 have pressured silver prices, as a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields (above 4.5%) diminish the appeal of non-yielding assets. However, easing inflation in the long term could rejuvenate demand for precious metals.
2. Geopolitical Tensions:
Although silver traditionally benefits from uncertainty, recent macroeconomic headwinds, such as concerns about tariffs under the new Trump administration and sluggish global economic recovery, have overshadowed its safe-haven status.
3. Industrial Outlook:
Challenges in the industrial demand for silver, particularly from China’s solar panel production slowdown, add pressure. However, as inflation stabilizes and geopolitical risks unfold, silver could regain its industrial and safe-haven allure.
Technicals:
• Entry: $28.96
• Stop Loss: $26.54
• Take Profit: $36.00
• Key Levels:
• Bearish Scenario: Manage position below $27.50.
• Bullish Case: Strength above $32.50 confirms upward momentum.
This setup leverages a confluence of technical retracement, macroeconomic factors, and the potential for a trend reversal. Stay sharp and pay yourself as the market unfolds.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Mon 25th Nov 2024 XAG/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAG/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
XAGUSD - UniverseMetta - Signal#XAGUSD - UniverseMetta - Signal
D1 - Formation of the 3rd wave.
H4 - Exit from the channel + working out the ABC structure. You can try to enter from these levels.
Stop behind the minimum of the 2nd wave.
Entry: 31.53334 - *31.29743
TP: 31.92113 - 32.67554 - 33.40175 - 34.54394
Stop: 30.59562
XAGUSD Silver: Is the Bullish Breakout Here to Stay?👀👉 Silver (XAG) has been gaining bullish momentum, with a clear breakout in market structure visible on the daily and 4-hour timeframes. My bias remains bullish, and I’m closely monitoring a retracement into the Fibonacci 61.8% zone for a potential entry. In this video, we take an in-depth look at Silver, applying a trend continuation strategy to identify high-probability setups. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct thorough research before making trading decisions. 📊✅
Silver Gains Traction: Short-Term Upswing Expected● Silver continues to exhibit a robust uptrend, having recently touched an all-time high of 34.9 before retracing to its key support zone around 29.8.
● Following a successful bounce off this level, the metal is now regaining momentum, positioning itself for further gains.
● Notably, the immediate resistance level – aligned with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, just 3% above the current price – presents a prime short-term buying opportunity for traders to ride the anticipated upswing.
XAGUSD (Silver) Weekly - Potential High-Probability ReversalOn the weekly chart for XAGUSD (Silver), there are signs of a potential reversal setup contingent on this week’s candle close. Price recently tapped into a high-probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) that had previously broken structure, displacing price higher. A swing low was established above a key high, and this low has since been swept, indicating possible liquidity capture. Price is now interacting with the FVG while taking out this swing low, hinting at a possible reversal.
If this week’s candle closes above the FVG and the recent low, we could anticipate a strong push to the upside in the coming weeks, with an initial target around 34.88981, aligning with the next area of buy-side liquidity.
Always remember: DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
XAGUSD updateSilver has formed a descending trend line and broke it so now we can expect this pair to retest the blue upper trendline on the higher timeframe so we can enter a buy position now and once he reject the high trend we can close our buy and enter a sell trade
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Safe trading
Silver price down 1.75% (intentional I think) to take longs out.
A lot of people were long on gold and silver on thursday and I think that it was planned to keep the price selley today to take out stops.
Anyway, XAGUSD is down 1.75% and about 31.38 now. I think the price will move swiftly back up if buyers are there.
Join the friday afternoon free silver train long and get paid to do nothing.
Silver very bullish now. Giving its usual false breaks earlier
As I mentioned for Gold price and Silver, although overextended a bit in price still, I am seeing momentum swinging back for the bulls and on the important bigger timeframes like 4hr and daily.
This chart is a recent Fibs pullback. Check it out below.
Silver: Time to Take a Long Position..?Silver has successfully broken through the resistance level at 32.200, indicating a potential upward trend. The asset has not only surpassed this key level but has also undergone a retest, confirming its strength and stability at this price point. This dual occurrence suggests that the market has tested the new support level and found it to be viable. As a result, we now have sufficient confidence to proceed with entering a long trade, capitalizing on the bullish momentum.
Bullish Divergence Formed on SILVER XAGUSDWe have a bullish Div here on Silver 45min TF.
Divergence is not completely fool proof, however 7 out of 10 times, they give you a win and push into green, giving you an oppurtunnity to cut your stoploss in half.
There are 3 possible rejective price levels on chart. Which may send price back on a bearish rally. However once price breaks 32.50 it should retest rejection price level 1.
This will be interesting to watch play out this week, once markets reopen in 3 to 6hours, Be mindful of market open CME Gap. OANDA:XAGUSD
Silver - Just Starting The Parabolic Rally!Trading update on Silver ( TVC:SILVER ):
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Silver just perfectly completed the bullish break and retest and is about to reject the next horizontal resistance level. However everything is still significantly bullish and I honestly do expect a breakout soon. Following the previous cycle, Silver might rally another +35% from here.
Levels to watch: $34, $45
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
XAGUSD (Silver) still BullishMonthly Chart
The monthly candle is still bullish.
Weekly Chart
Weekly candle closed as indecision candle while the trend is still bullish and we are expecting the price to at least retrace towards the middle of previous IPA (or FVG) candle of previous week and then resume higher. Next Target above 35.15 level.
Daily Chart
We will be looking a bullish structure around 32.47 or slightly lower for a buy entry. Next target around 35.15 level.
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