Bearish view on Silver : Naked AnalysisGood morning traders,
Silver broke 2 trend lines and my bias is bearish if price holds below 20 . If the formation of Wolfe Pattern is accurate, we should see a drop till 16 area.
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1. Never add to a losing position .
2. Don´t be the first to buy low and sell high ., and don´t be the last one to exit
3. Think like a fundamentalist, trade like a technician .
4. Keep your analysis simple
5. Start small and increase exposure when trend is confirming your analysis
6. The hard trade is the right trade
Josep Pocalles
www.realisto.net
Xagusdshort
Silver just finished the 4th wave and started the 5th.Silver was in a corrective 4th wave triangle and it just finished today. The 5th wave should take us up all the way to around 22.100 . If you want to be on the safer side, wait till silver breaks the upper side of the triangle then place your trade.
Buy 19.670
SL 19.472
TP 22.100
Good Luck
Negative divergence warning to longs in overcrowded Silver tradeNegative divergence in momentum indicators including the RSI shouldn't be ignored by longs in the overcrowded Silver trade.
Silver currently trading around 20.20
Selling has been seen 50 cents higher around 20.70 over the past month
Support levels: 19.09 (38%), 17.83 (62%), 16.94 (78%)
Resistance level: 21.12 (high pivot)
Downside target: $18 (and possibly a test of the upward sloping 2016 trend line currently above $17)
Trade management: Sell within 20.17-76 with a stop (on daily close) above 21.12
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Like Gold, Silver May Be Headed Down As WellA couple of days ago, I spoke on a potential downward reversal in gold but have we just formed a double-top in silver also? From all appearances, we have done just that...which means that silver prices are likely headed down. We’ve reached the top of a 5-year trend channel, a reverse trend channel at that. In early July, prices also touched the top of a short-term reversal trend channel. On a side note: For those who are unaware, reverse trend channels work really well for measuring a market who's movement has become really steep. In my experience, reversal trend channels are highly accurate at anticipating reversals.
Another indication of a bearish change in behavior is that the last down-wave had really large volume while the responding up-wave contained only half the volume of the down-wave, suggesting that supply is entering the market and demand is tiring. Friday's trading session also had a wide price range, indicating ease of movement, AND we managed to close near the low.
Result: Bearish
First level of Support: If $19 is taken out, I'd look for major support in the $18 area.
Target: If this is a complete turn-around, prices can go in the $14 area.
(30m) Structure Breakout / Bullish Shark & Remote H&S (a vision)FX:XAGUSD
Obviously a little early for the H&S, but something pulls me to this trade setup, and we just need to wait. (no hurry)
In the meantime, the upward structure was broken, apparently to enter in a corrective movement for a coffee break for the bulls.
*I will be looking to the neck of this eventual structure, and if it is forged, i can place an pending order below it.
For this corrective structure, we can expect something like a basic ABC correction or AB=CD pattern between 50% and 61.8% retracement and a Bullish Shark that can complete between the 161% <> 224% extension.
Safe Trades;