Silver Forecast: Markets Fall Towards Major Uptrend LineSilver markets fell pretty significantly on Friday, as we had seen a lot of “risk off behavior” around the world. Silver would struggle in that type of environment, as it is a very volatile asset. Keep in mind that the coronavirus variant in South Africa has made traders nervous, and they started to focus on the possibility of lockdowns. If we do get those lockdowns, then the industrial demand for silver falls.
You can see that we stopped right at a major uptrend line, so it will be interesting to see whether or not it can hold. If it can, then the market is more than likely going to bounce from here and go looking towards the $24 level. However, that would be a bit surprising to happen right away. A lot of this will come down to whether or not the world thinks that the South African coronavirus is going to cause some type of major meltdown. If it does not, then this could be an excellent opportunity.
Keep in mind that the Friday session was a bit thin, as it is the day after Thanksgiving. This could have led to a lot of the selling pressure, as we are to simply warrant as many traders involved. Because of this, the market is going to have to figure out whether or not the momentum can keep them, but at this point I think that you are best sitting on the sidelines and waiting to see what today brings. At the end of the day today, we should have quite a bit more clarity, but if we do close below the lows of the trading session on Friday, then it is likely that this market would continue to go lower, perhaps reaching towards the $22 level. That is an area that has been massive support more than once, and it is likely that there would be a lot of interest in that general vicinity. Because of this, I think that you have to watch in that area to see whether or not we fell apart completely. If we did, then it could lead to a massive downtrend in this market. The silver market is extraordinarily volatile, so you need to be cautious about your position size regardless.
Xagusdtrade
Silver- Best place to sellIn my past Silver analyzes, I said that XagUsd is more bearish than Gold and the H&S trap confirmed this scenario.
Now, as in Gold's case, Silver is in a small correction and this can give us the opportunity to open short trades at better prices.
24 zone I expect to be very well offered and there we should search for selling opportunities.
Only Silver above 24.80 would change my bearish opinion
Silver- Strongly bearish under 24.80Yesterday I said that Silver is more bearish than Gold, and indeed, although it has risen, it could reach the last top
As you all may have seen, we have a clear H&S pattern with the neck-line at 24.80, which is broken at this moment.
Although this means upward momentum, the price is stalling above this neckline and looks more like distribution at this point and could be a false break.
Silver back under 24.80 (the neckline) is strongly bearish and confirms the false break.
In this case, I expect acceleration to the downside and Silver to drop to at least 23 zone (around 1800 pips)
My scenario is valid as long as the price stays under 25.60 on the daily close bases
Silver- More bearish than GoldLike its bigger brother, Gold, Silver also has a good start this month, with the price rising around 2500 pips or around 10%.
However, after breaking above the neckline of an H&S, the price stalled and lacked strong continuation. Instead found a strong ceiling at 25.50 and yesterday's rally above resistance for Gold wasn't matched with a rally above 25.50 for Silver.
This consolidation above the neckline looks like distribution to me and a drop under 24.70 could accelerate losses towards 23 zone support
I will look to sell rallies and a daily close above 25.50 would negate this scenario
Silver- My target remains 28As you may have noticed, I'm strongly bullish Gold&Silver and in Silver cases, I draw attention to a possible H&S a few days ago.
At this moment the pattern is complete and we also can consider the neck-line broken.
I expect continuation to the up-side and only Silver back under 23.50 would change my bullish outlook
Silver- Where to buy? After it has reached 24.70 zone resistance, Silver has started to correct October's rally and is trading now at 23.43.
Slightly under 23 is strong confluence support given by 61% Fibo and horizontal support and here we can look for opportunities to buy the market for a revisit of resistance.
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Silver- 28 could be swing trader's targetAfter the false break under 22 from the end of last months, Silver has started to rise and has broken above the descending trend line.
At this moment the price is slightly under 24.50 resistance and a break here could be bulls trigger for more gains towards 28 zone resistance
Interim resistance is at 26 and only Silver back under 23.50 would change my bullish opinion
Buy dips is my strategy
Silver is heading lowerHi there,
Silver is preparing for the next move lower, we are just making a correction in smaller timeframes for the next target between 19 to 17 usd, watch price action at smaller timeframes and short at the breakdown of the bearish triangle formation. Dxy is also heading higher and preparing a breakout, which gives us confirmation of the down move on silver.
Good luck
Silver- New leg up?As I said in my previous Silver analysis, as long as the price stays above 22.20 support, bulls hold the upper hand.
At this moment, on H1 chart and smaller time frames, we can see a small pennant forming which can lead to continuation.
The confirmation comes with the price above 22.65-22.70 zone and the parget can be 23.50
Silver- Where to buy?After breaking above the trend line resistance on Friday, and confirming the drop under 22 as a false break, Silver has riched a high around 22.7
Now XagUsd is in a normal correction and this can be a good opportunity for bulls to load long positions
A good place for this is 22.30 support and a break back below 22 would invalidate this bullsih scenario
23.50 could be the target
Silver- Buy dips is my strategySimilar to Gold, Silver also has reversed strongly yesterday and at this moment is trading in confluence resistance as well.
A break to the upside would confirm reversal on medium-term and also a false break of support
Buy dips is my strategy and I will remain bullish as long as the recent low is not violated
Silver can drop to 19Unlike Gold, Silver is weaker and the price couldn't correct the drop, instead consolidated in a tight range.
At this moment the price is exactly in a strong support zone and considering the incapacity of correcting, I expect a break and a hard fall for XagUsd
My target is 19 and only Silver back above 23 would negate this bearish scenario
Silver- Clear levels to watchAfter the 22 recent low, Silver rose and reached almost 25 figure.
Now the precious metal is correcting this move and is trading at 23.68 at the time of writing.
A break under 23.40 zone would again expose 22 and, on the other hand, a break above 24 would signal a potential leg up
XAGUSD Price has just broken the support zone and price did so impulsively, will be looking for sell setups in the coming week.
Silver Analysis, Bears in controlHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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XAGUSD is bearish on the long-term outlook. The sellers were in charge of the Silver market since June and the bears’ momentum has been increasing. The price has been decreasing accordingly.
The market has pushed above the 23 levels and holding near the support zone, and all the former support levels of 25 and 24 has turned into resistance levels.
Using the Elliot wave theory we can see that the market is having a corrective wave right now which could push it near the 24$ zone where a battle will happen between the Bears and Bulls, and if the Bears wins then the price will be going down near the 22$ level as confirmed by the Elliot theory.
Different Scenarios for the market :
Scenario 1 :
The Market is holding at 23.709 near the support zone from 23.649 to 23.437, The bears are trying to drop the market as much as they can so we could be seeing a breakout happening at that level that would lead the market near the 22$ level.
Scenario 2 :
The Bulls are trying to gain control back over the market as we saw from the last movement on August 23, where the market price jumped from 22.897 and hit 23.938, but they will have to show a lot of power to break the resistance zone at 24.004 to 24.147, But if they were able to break that resistance then we will be seeing the market price going back up near the 25$ level.
Technical indicators show:
1) The market is below the 10 20 50 100 200 MA and EMA (Bearish sign)
2) The MACD is below the 0 line showing that the market is Bearish, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line that explains the latest push that happened.
3) ADC is at 48.73 showing that the market is trending, With a negative crossover between DI+ (15.51) and DI- (29.99)
Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 23.649 1) 24.004
2) 23.437 2) 24.147
3) 23.294 3) 24.359
Fundamental point of view :
Silver prices rallied and remained buoyed, closing with a doji day at the highs of the trading session. This came despite a selloff in gold prices. Durable goods orders declined less than expected and new orders ex-transportation were unchanged. The dollar eased slightly, which helped silver prices gain a toe hold.
Silver of course has a certain amount of an industrial component built into it, and it is worth noting that industrial numbers have fallen quite a bit over the last several weeks. That being said, if we see the US dollar sell-off drastically, it is likely that the silver market may catch a bit of a bid, at least temporarily based upon that alone. According to fxempire.
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts and news for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading