XAG/USD Maintains Uptrend, Buyers Target $24.00Silver prices increased by 0.91% on Thursday, trading around $23.82 as the Asia-Pacific trading session commenced on Friday. The daily chart indicates a neutral to bullish trend, maintaining near weekly highs, setting the stage for a potential test of the $24.00 level. Once surpassed, the next resistance lies at the June 9th high of $24.52 before potentially reaching $25.00. Breaking through these levels would solidify the upward trend, marking the highest point year-to-date (YTD) at $26.12.
On the downside, if XAG/USD drops below the November 23rd low of $23.60, it may test the 200-day Moving Average (DMA) at $23.32. Further decline could lead to a neutral to bearish trend, with the 20-DMA at $23.13 and the 50-DMA at $22.75 as potential support levels.
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SILVER → XAG/USD rally as buyers reclaim the 200-DMAOANDA:XAGUSD price climbs on Wednesday, following last Tuesday’s soft US inflation report, which sent US Treasury bond yields plummeting on expectations the US Federal Reserve is done hiking rates. Hence, the XAG/USD advances sharply, reaching key resistance levels like the 200-day moving average (DMA) at $23.26. If Silver bulls hold price above the latter, the uptrend would likely continue toward year’s end, as buyers target $24.00. The XAG/USD is trading at $23.40, up 1.47%.
From a daily standpoint, the grey metal is neutrally biased, though about to shift neutral-upwards if buyers reclaim the latest cycle high seen at $23.69, October 20 daily high. Upside risks remain above that level, with a seven-month-old resistance trendline at $23.80-90, before challenging $24.00 a troy ounce.
On the other hand, if XAG/USD couldn’t remain above the 200-DMA, that could exacerbate a pullback toward the 20-DMA at $22.89, before sliding to the 50-DMA at $22.64 before challenging the November 13 swing low of $21.88.
XAGUSDPair : XAGUSD ( Silver / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Completed Right Shoulder of the Corrective Pattern " H&S " in Short Time Frame and Started Rejecting from the Daily Demand Zone after it Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " abc " Corrective Waves. Bearish Channel in Short Time Frame
Entry Precautions :
Wait for the Proper Trend Reversal Price Action
XAGUSD SilverPair : XAGUSD ( Silver / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Completed Impulse and Corrective Wave " wxyx ". Symmetrical Triangle as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame. Head and Shoulder Pattern in Long Time Frame, It will complete its Right Shoulder at Daily Demand Zone
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it Breaks UTL / LTL
XAGUSD 23/10 MovePair : XAGUSD ( Silver / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and it is Rejecting from the Upper Trend Line and S / R Level. If it Rejects from the Lower Trend Line then it will Reject from the Daily Descending Trend Line. Break of Structure / RSI - Divergence
Entry Precaution :
Wait for the Breakout and Retest of the Lower Trend Line or S / R Level
Silver 13/10 MovePair : XAGUSD ( Silver / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Falling Wedge in Long Time Frame and Rising Wedge in Short Time Frame and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line. It can Rejects from Demand Zone or Upper Trend Line at Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
Entry Precaution :
Wait until it Rejects from any Level with Strong Reversal Price Action
Silver- Will it drop another 1k pips?Since last Friday's high and strong reversal from 23.50, Solver has dropped 1500 pips.
Like in Gold's case, bulls were unable to recover some of the losses and XagUsd is consolidating in the support zone at 21.
Here we could also have a new leg down after the consolidation and the obvious target for this drop (swing trading) is the next support at 20, so, 1k pips under the current level.
I'm bearish as long as the price stays under 21.50 in terms of daily closing.
XAGUSD 05/10 MovePair : XAGUSD ( Silver / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Impulse Correction ( ABC Corrective Waves / Consolidation Phase ) Impulse Completed. It is Following Consolidation Phase in Short Time Frame if it Breaks the Upper Trend Line then Buy and If it Breaks Lower Trend Line and Retest then Sell
Silver could also drop under supportUnlike Gold, which dropped under support yesterday, Silver managed to keep the range intact and is still trading above the newly found support.
However, when it comes to precious metals, the pressure seems to be on the sell side and Silver could also drop under range's support.
A drop under this level could lead to a 500 pips drop to the next important support at 22.25
Silver- will history repeat itself?As I said, before, I usually use XagUsd as a leading indicator for Gold, and more often than not, this is the case.
Also recently, although XauUsd made a new low, XagUsd stopped its descent and reversed and on Monday the reversal was very strong, with the price slightly getting back above both the ascending trend line and the horizontal level followed by a clear up break the next day(yesterday)
If we look back at March, we could see a similar pattern, we a double false break and strong reversal.
With a renewed appetite for precious metals, we can expect price action to act in a similar way.
Technically speaking, a false break leads to reversal, and also, the recent bottom is marked by a lot of reversal candles and candle formations.
23.25 is strong confluence support and considering a trade in that zone with a target in the next important resistance a trade with a 1:4 risk: reward could be achieved
XAGUSD I Daily correction and continuation on the weeklyWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Completion of 5th Elliott's Wave on Silver Daily Timeframe 21.50 which has been quite a solid support in the last two years has been breached (Wave 3) and an ascending wedge/bear flag has been broken (Wave 4).
Once price is traded below this Month Open (which is below 21.50), there is a high probability that it'll test 19.00-19.50 area.
Analysis of the silver priceOn the other hand, technical indicators on the daily chart have not yet confirmed a positive outlook. Therefore, the $23.00 confluence region might continue to act as a barrier for any subsequent move up. Immediately following this is the ascending trend-channel resistance, which currently stands around $23.45 in price. As long as the XAG/USD maintains a strong upward trend beyond the 61.8% Fibo, a positive breakout will be confirmed. It is possible to regain $24.00 by reclaiming the $23.60 region.
As long as the XAG/USD keeps climbing above the intermediate barrier of $24.20-$24.25, toward the $24.55 swing high of June, the positive momentum could continue.
The downside is likely to attract some buying and remain limited near the $22.65-$22.70 area, or the 23.6% Fibo, if price weakness lower than $23.00 is confirmed. In addition, we need to consider "level." If this is broken, the XAG/USD could slide back toward the $ 22 mark. Falling prices will likely reach the $21.70-$21.65 zone en route to the $21.25 support and $21.00 mark if some follow-through selling occurs.