Silver to $38The move from March 2020 to August 2020
Was a measured move that played out to the Tee.
We have a similar structure building that projects to the High 30's
Suggesting #Gold move beyond ATH's and #Silver the beta play to move faster in an attempt to catch up, and move towards it's high's again.
Xagxau
Gold - XAUUSD is about to push above 2 000 USDTechnical and fundamental factors continue to push gold higher. At the moment, it trades around 1 995 USD/oz., just slightly below 2 000 USD price tag. We maintain a bullish stance on gold and we expect it to break above 2 000 USD and continue higher. Our medium-term price target of 2100 USD stays in place. Our long-term price target of 2300 USD also remains active.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bullish. DM+ and DM- show bullish conditions in the market with ADX rising. Overall, the daily time frame is very bullish for gold.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bullish. The same applies to DM+ and DM-. Meanwhile, ADX shows that the bullish trend of a higher degree continues to strengthen. Overall, the weekly time frame is very bullish for XAUUSD.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
ridethepig | Silver Waterfall Event📍 What's in play here?
This boat is becoming very crowded and the absolute freeing move would be a pullback into support before continuation to the topside in 2021. I have dropped my target to 18.5x, because even after the defensive CB manoeuvres continue the strength is mostly priced, and late buyers are underestimating that.
The nucleus of the move comes from a 11 August with the start of an ABC part inside a 5-3-5 pattern to open up the possibility of a slingshot in wave 3. For now, to the downside sellers must not allow buyers too far down, or else the threat of the creation of a wedge would becoming disastrous. Take for example 22.4x and 18.5x as main targets to aim for. While to the topside, invalidation and reassessment needed above September highs.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
XAG USD clear path to 26+Hello traders & analysts,
Here is out latest update for Silver . We are bullish and would like to share our out look for the next opportunities which can take place.
Now we have hit 21.00 - expect some resistance to occur - why? This is due to the barrier to be broken through.
We will now anticipate the next target of 26.00
at 20.5 we closed 200 units to cash in 450pips - great partial take!
COT data:
Long Short Total %Long %Short
Avg_13 62,368 28,887 91,255 69% 31%
Avg_20 61,214 26,449 87,663 70% 30%
Avg 50 83,059 35,629 118,688 70% 30%
Avg_130 84,123 36,227 120,349 70% 30%
Technically what has happened?
Price was severely undervalued and silver is an important commodity to use for manufacturing sectors.
Commodity currencies rely on this as an export factor e.g. CAD, AUD, MXN, ZAR , RUB, NZD.
We had a great wedge pattern where we entered on a nice engulfing daily candle which broke to the upside.
Price has hit a nice supply zone at 18.3-18.9 zone.
The price in this area can reject and retrace which is an option we are looking for; however keep in mind the bullish structure, price has alot of upside potential.
If price rejects, we will look for a nice clean break from the zone and hedge.
Fundamentals:
Coronavirus re-opening of industries and subsequent purchase power of retailers.
Fear commodity but less attractive than Gold and platinum.
Cheap metal but gains are very high and attractive
China vs USA trade war
Australia vs China mini trade war.
Mexico has large coronavirus numbers but largest producer of silver .
Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.
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Team Lupa
ridethepig | XAG Market Commentary 2019.12.17Here we can see price risks are still skewed to the topside, with CB's buying Gold at a rate unseen since the Nixon era meaning Silver will continue to move as collateral. Prices have trended in the same direction over the past 4 waves, the market appears to be underpricing the odds of future demand risks as well as a meaningful pick-up in risk due to completions and geopolitics.
The long term XAUXAG chart still looks to have formed a meaningful top so I expect to see Silver outperform Gold in 2020.
Here I stick to the $17 - $18 range and expect the metal to hit main targets within a 3m basis. Thanks all for keeping the support coming with likes, comments, questions, charts and etc. As usual jump into the comments with your ideas and views to open the discussion for all!