XAO - AU10YR - Australian Stock Market - 10 YR Bond YieldsStarting with this video, I'll begin incorporating insights from AriasWave into each new release.
Here, I dive deep into what I believe to be the true pattern of the Australian Stock Market and discuss what might unfold next.
I also analyze 10-year bond yields, presenting a case for significantly higher rates—potentially reaching at least 16%. This isn't just about making bold predictions; I break down the reasoning behind these conclusions using detailed wave analysis.
XAO
AW ASX Analysis - How This Pattern Differs to the Dow Jones...A quick video to mention the slight difference between this pattern and the Dow Jones.
Most people don't care about their portfolio oscillating within these moves.
If you are trader or investor that likes to swing trade however, then this might be of interest to you.
Don't forget to check out the Dow Jones version down below.
Short Stop: 7656.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
Flight Centre Bullish Trend ?FLT is one of most populer Stock to trading, now we look at the chart the trend is bullish, how to catch the bottom? now i look you can have a plan buy on weakness at 17.65 area bottoming, if reverse, that will going up to close the gap at 35.50. Are you have a same idea? , Comment in below, The Story still good for FLT because Australia will be reopen flight for international on end of november or December, so follow this story and take your Profit!!
Disclaimer On
XAO has not changed its trend yet. My view and analysis is The XAO has NOT proven that its broken out of its downtrend yet. I continue to see lower highs and the Trend does not look to have changed as of yet. In a previous accumulation Period which was similar I could see the pattern was also different to this one. I think we are in different waters here and the outcome is still waiting to play out. I wouldn't be getting to exited just yet but my view could change in a week, pending on the strength and if I can see it break through and close above this pennant pattern. We could possibly be in a distribution pattern where we could see a downside before we see a continued rising market.
XAO - Bearish Divergence leading into 2021 !!The overall market has been extremely bullish in the later part of 2020, however, MACD bearish divergence is starting to present.
I'm thinking that this suggests that the trend may slow leading into 2021 or a bearish move is on the cards at some point. Will watch closely.
A similar divergence persisted in 2019 and into early 2020 which resulted in the bearish cv February 2020 pullback. Check related ideas below to compare.
Broad ASX All Ord shows lagging Midcaps (Tech & Mining) from NovThe broad ASX All Ordinaries Index (XAO), since the beginning of November 2020, shows the underperformance of previously overperforming Midcap (XMD) sectors of Information Technology (XIJ - note particularly the high flyer Afterpay APT) - and Mining (XMM) to a lesser extent.
Z1P - The Final STAND- A move the next Demand Zone is on the cards, most of the indicators are pointing in this direction - Notably our home grown Indicator Steamroller
- After this a move to the 50 Fibs - Which lines up with liquidity on the left as shown by the white line
- This would complete a H&S scenario and could see us close the GAP and move to around that lower Demand Zone.
ALL ORDINARIES – An Expected MoveBeen speaking about this Index Heavily, this movement is to be expected & I’ll explain why.
- This Demand Zone that we are moving through today was a 4H Demand Zone, it was Low Quality, meaning there is levels underneath it that are formed on Market Pivots, which yield Higher Quality Demand Zones
- There are a number of Levels in the way of the Main Demand Zone at 5700
- Most notably the 23.6% Fibonacci Level, this area lines up nicely with liquidity to the left where we have multiple respected daily candles & wicks
- This would be the most logical High Timeframe level to look towards, which the 23.6% Fibonacci Level acting as nice support for XAO.
- We’ve got a decent amount of room on the indicators, Steamroller, CCI & RSI to facilitate a move in that direction also.
- Our in-house developed Unicon Indicator was telling us there was an increasing bearish bias forming at the 6250 level (Orange Arrow) and that is being maintained with this break of the Demand Level.
Looking towards that 23.6% Fibonacci Level in the immediate term.
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Topping up #AR9. Seems to be finding a base here.Topping up here
TA,
- Trend line support
- 20EMA daily
- Ascending triangle
- RSI relatively oversold
- Short term resistance at 0.6 show by high volume. Good place to take some profits if you intend to.
Concerns,
- Recent earnings and 50% loss in operating revenue. However, the earnings reaction was neutral which shows strong hands holding this.
- If negative momentum continues, could see 0.35 in the short term. Should bounce there(first touch rejection 90% of the time)
FA,
Fundamentally, I am betting on the the team and the trust they've developed over the last 1.5 decades
It's quite obvious that the next decade will be dominated by data,cloud and IoT. Cyber security is the back bone for this next paradigm and it is highly unlikely governments will outsource data security to a non-Australian company. AR9 has built this trust over the last 1.5 decades. Trust is hard to replicate on balance sheets.
$WZR: Fintech hype+ Solid uptrendFA,
- FinTech Revolution (WZR left behind while the punters bet on BNPL)
- Loan origination spikes 48% in June 2020. Consistent uptrend
- Wisr Ecosystem up 52%
- 42.4 Million in Cash
- Great vision: Improve financial wellness in Australians.
- Strong support from NAB
- Good management team including CEO Anthony Nantes
- Cool name and logo ( It’s vital for long term success, Ask Peter Lynch)
TA,
- 5EMA and 10EMA above 150EMA
- Bottom trendline of Strong uptrend
- Ascending triangle( WZR has historically broken out higher from ascending triangles)
- Volume consolidation
- Strong monthly level support(white)
- RSI not overbought (RSI<50)
XJO end of 13/06/2020. Opening green next weekFinally, a pullback we've been waiting for.
XJO was running way too fast and pullbacks are healthy in the long term. The pullback came right at the 0.618 FIB level.
Tested the 200MA and will be interesting to see if we hold the 200MA next week.
RSI is still relatively overbought but as the pullback was so sharp, I expect a green day on 16/06/2020 Monday.
Apart from the technicals, other reasons for the pullback include
1. Fears of 2nd wave
2. End of financial year profit-taking
3. Federal reserve grim outlook
4. Riots
Next week will be a decisive week in determining which direction the market is headed. The overall sentiment is optimistic but the market does not care.
Next bullish target is 6380 level.
All the best if you went Long on Friday on short-medium term positions.
ANZ entry sub 18Tested 0.618 Fib and top resistance of downward wedge.
All other major banks NAB. CBA and WBC to follow.
RSI is still relatively high.
1st entry at 18 and will average down to 17 if it falls further.
First entry at the start of an uptrend which most likely gets back tested.
RSI<40
ANZ will most likely hold 17.65 level(GFC bottom)
XAO - downtrend to new lows aheadXAO just reached 0.618 retracement of primary wave 1 down and completed the counting of five waves for the completion of intermediate wave C. For higher confirmation a move below 5,600 would almost eliminate the contrary odds. The next move should be in direction to levels below 4,500. If prices continue to rise a next target would be 6687, before the trend turns down. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
FPH accumulation within the zone with trendline supportKeeping it really simple here since deep research and analysis are meaningless in this market.
Historically strong trendline support
Accumulation within the range, on strong support
Long term moving average support 200EMA
MACD oversold
RSI oversold
Can't ask for more technicals in check.
The current market is underweight healthcare as economies are reopening. Regardless, FPH is a solid company with good fundamentals(if they matter anymore)
XAO - last leg of counter trend rallyXAO is tracing minute wave v, which is the last leg that will complete intermediate wave C and also primary wave 2. The most probable target for the end of this move is at 6,202. After this price should decline during primary wave 3 down to new lows. If price crosses down 5,700, the odds are that primary wave 3 has already started. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
XAO - All Ordinaries - Bull Flag - Gold UpdateQuick update on XAO and the broader Aussie market.
It seems that insanity is the path of least resistance and the major index is set to target the 61.8% fib level, around the 6,200 level.
This measured move higher from the bull flag would als coincide with the 61.8% fib level.
The combined 'big 4 banks' are also signaling that a potential move higher is on the cards, with a measured breakout from a symmetrical triangle pitched at the 50% fib retracement.
I am also watching Aussie gold, looking for a pullback closer to the 2,500 price range.
Although in fairness, an entry even at these levels would still be quite a nice initial entry point on the yellow metal, with the vast global QE efforts to reinflate global equity markets set to lead to higher inflation (or even just perceived higher inflation).
Overall the Aussie equity markets look set to move higher, gold looks set to move slightly lower/ sideways and the real economy still looks battered and bruised. I am still on the lookout for the inevitable 2nd leg lower, but i am also keenly aware that throwing money at a short trade is not the best course of action in the face of global efforts to reflate the markets.
-TradingEdge
XAO - opportunity for more than 7% of returns in up to 30 daysMinor wave C counter trend rally is under early stages of developing, after its formation odds increase after the cross up of the minor A level. The most probable target before the trend turns down again is the range between 6027 and 6322. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.