HelenP. I Gold will little rise, and then start to fall to $2025Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago declined to the trend line, after which it made a strong impulse up to the 2010 support level, which coincided with the support zone. Soon, Gold broke this level and continued to move up to the resistance zone, which coincided with the resistance level, and in a short time price broke this level and rose to 2090 points. After this, XAU soon turned around and fell below the 2060 level, breaking it one more time, after which the price continued to decline. Price fell almost to the support zone, but soon turned around again and rose to the resistance level. Then the price finally declined to the support zone and at once rebounded and started to rise inside a wedge. In a short time, Gold rose to the resistance line of the wedge, after which it turned around and declined to the support line, which coincided with the trend line. At the moment, price rising and I expect that Gold will rise to 2050 points, after which price turn around and start to decline to the trend line. That's why I set my target at the 2025 level, which coincided near this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Xau-usd
XAU/USD SELL - 07/02/2024Dear Students,
I trust you're all eager to explore the fascinating world of trading. Today, I want to walk you through the rationale behind a hypothetical sell position in gold in 2051, leveraging a supply zone strategy.
1. Identifying the Historical Supply Zone:
Upon thorough analysis of historical price charts, a prominent supply zone was identified at the price level of 2051. This zone represented a region where sellers historically dominated, creating a robust resistance level that had consistently held over time.
2. Technical Analysis:
The decision to initiate a sell position was heavily influenced by technical indicators. The presence of the supply zone, coupled with other bearish technical signals like overhead resistance, reversal candlestick patterns, or negative momentum indicators, provided a compelling case for a potential downward movement in gold prices.
3. Fundamental Analysis:
Fundamental factors were also considered in conjunction with the technical signals. If economic conditions, central bank policies, or geopolitical events aligned with the technical signals within the supply zone, it bolstered the conviction behind the sell decision.
4. Global Economic Conditions:
Understanding the broader economic landscape was pivotal. Factors such as interest rate decisions, economic indicators, and currency movements that interacted with the supply zone were carefully analyzed to anticipate potential catalysts for a downward price movement.
5. Market Sentiment and Supply Zone Dynamics:
The supply zone wasn't just a technical level; it also resonated with market sentiment. If there were indications of increased selling interest or a shift in sentiment aligning with the supply zone, it added another layer of confidence to the sell decision.
6. Diversification within the Supply Zone:
Initiating the sell position within the supply zone was strategic for portfolio diversification. By entering the market at a historically significant level, the trade aimed not only for potential profits but also to minimize risks associated with potential market reversals.
7. Short-Term Perspective:
This sell position was approached with a short-to-medium-term perspective, anticipating a potential price decline within the context of the identified supply zone.
8. Risk Management within the Supply Zone:
Robust risk management strategies were integral to this hypothetical trade. Setting stop-loss orders and closely monitoring price movements within the supply zone were paramount to control potential losses.
Remember, this discussion is intended for educational purposes, and trading decisions should be based on a comprehensive analysis of both technical and fundamental factors. If you have any questions or would like further clarification, feel free to reach out.
Happy learning,
XAU/USD 06 Feb 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal Bearish.
-> Has reached EQ.
Price printed double bullish iBOS to confirm swing pullback phase is complete.
Currently internal structure remains bearish.
Expectation remains as H4 analysis dated 05/02/2024, for price to continue to trade bearish to target weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
-> Sub-Internal: Bullish.
-> Has reached EQ.
Following swing BOS price very aggressively pushed to the upside.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are now in the pullback phase.
Sub-structure to internal structure, which is marked in red has now printed a bullish iiBOS.
Intraday expectation is for price to target weak internal high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 05 Feb 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal Bearish.
-> Has reached EQ.
Price printed double bullish iBOS to confirm swing pullback phase is complete.
Currently internal structure remains bearish.
Price has once again to reacted to Daily and H4 nested supply levels where we saw a noticeable reaction. Price wicked above high of internal structure but failed to close above.
Expectation remains as H4 analysis dated 04/02/2024, for price to continue to trade bearish to target weak internal low.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
-> Sub-Internal: Bullish
-> Has reached EQ.
Following swing BOS price very aggressively pushed to the upside.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS where we are now in the pullback phase.
Sub-structure to internal structure, which is marked in red has now printed a bearish iiBOS to align with internal bearish order-flow.
Expectation is for price to target weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD H4 Channel PatternThe XAU/USD pair on the H4 chart currently showcases a bearish channel pattern, hinting at potential selling opportunities in the coming days. However, a breakout above the channel could present potential buy opportunities.
Sell Opportunity:
1.A potential sell entry could be considered around the current price as it sits closer to the channel resistance. This allows for some buffer before a potential downward move.
2.Targets for the bear case would be the lower support line of the channel or potentially even lower depending on bearish momentum and confirmation from other technical indicators.
Shifting to Buy:
1.A break above the upper resistance line of the channel would signal a breakdown of the bearish trend, opening up potential buy opportunities.
2.Entry points for buying could be considered just above the broken resistance or on a retest of the broken line.
3.Targets for the bull case would be the previous swing highs within the channel or higher depending on bullish momentum and confirmation from other technical indicators.
Central Bank Decisions:
Federal Reserve (Fed) Meeting and Interest Rate Decision (Jan 31): A hawkish Fed with a large rate hike (75bps+) and strong economic projections could strengthen the USD, potentially putting downward pressure on gold. Conversely, dovish hints or smaller increases could boost its safe-haven appeal.
Bank of England (BoE) Meeting and Interest Rate Decision (Feb 2): A hawkish BoE could also strengthen the USD and weigh on gold. Dovish signals might offer some support.
US Non-Farm Payrolls (Feb 2): A robust US jobs report might reinforce hawkish Fed expectations and weigh on GBP/USD. Conversely, weaker data could dampen USD strength and lend some support to the pound.
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Thank you
HelenP. I Gold will grow a little, after which start to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago price rebounded from the trend line and in a short time declined firstly to the 2055 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Soon, the price broke this level and made a retest, after which continued to decline to the 2015 support level, which coincided with the support zone, but when the price fell to this level, it at once rebounded and made a strong impulse up to the resistance zone. After this price rose to the trend line and then made from this line lower buer zone strong impulse down. Then price in a short time rose higher than the support level, making a fake breakout and some time trading near this level. Later price bounced from the 2015 support level and rose to the trend line, which soon broke and continued to move up to the resistance level. But a not long time ago Gold rebounded from this level and in a short time declined to trend line back, where it now continues to trades near. I expect that Gold will rise to 2050 points, after which turn around and then start to decline to the trend line. That's why I set my target at the 2025 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold can fall little more, turn around, and start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a not long time ago bounced from the support line and made an upward impulse to the resistance line of the pennant, thereby breaking the 2055 resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. After this movement, Gold rebounded from the resistance line and started to decline to the resistance level, and after it fell, the price exited from the pennant pattern. Next, Gold broke the resistance level one more time and entered to range, where it declined to the 2015 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone with the bottom part. After this, the price started to rise and in a short time rose to the seller zone, but soon turned around and made a downward impulse lower even the buyer zone. Then price soon backed up to the range and some time traded near the support level, after which made a correction to this level and in a short time rose to the resistance level. But a not long time ago price rebounded from this level and started to fall. Now, I think Gold can decline to 2025 points, after which it turns around and starts to move up, therefore I set my target at the 2045 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Buy XAUUSD Channel PatternGold (XAU/USD) might be gearing up for a climb, showcasing a bullish channel pattern on its H1 chart. This pattern suggests a gradual increase in buying pressure, potentially leading to a breakout towards higher prices.
Bullish Channel: The price has been oscillating within a channel with rising support and resistance lines, forming a Shape. This often indicates building buying pressure as the price range narrows.
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 2023, which offers a potential entry point near the channel support.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the resistance levels of 2043 and 2054, marking the upper boundaries of the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the channel support at 2013.
Key Points:
Weakening US Dollar: A potential slowdown in US interest rate hikes and concerns about the American economy could weaken the greenback, benefiting gold prices.
Geopolitical Tensions: Rising tensions in various regions like the Middle East and Ukraine could trigger risk aversion, driving investors towards safe-haven assets like gold.
GOLD - Price can little correct and then continue to move upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price declined to support line of triangle from support level, which coincided with support area.
Then Gold made strong upward impulse to resistance level, which coincided with resistance area, breaking $1980 level.
But price turned around and soon fall to $1980 level, after which XAU repeated movement up to resistance area.
Gold made fake breakout and in a short time declined to support line, and also tried to grow again, but failed.
A not long time ago, Gold bounced from this line and started to grow, so I think that price can first make correction to $2030 points.
After correction, price will turn around and continue to move up to $2075 level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Gold can break trend line and then continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price not long time ago made an impulse downward from the resistance zone, which coincided with the resistance level to the support level. After this, the price tried to rise, but failed and declined even below the 2020 support level, which coincided with the support zone, but soon XAU turned around and made a strong impulse up to the trend line, breaking the 2050 resistance level again. Next, the price bounced from this line and in a short time declined to 2000 points, thereby breaking 2050 and 2020 levels one more time. After this movement, Gold turned around and rose higher than the support level, breaking the 2020 level again and some time traded near this level. But when XAU made a fake breakout of the trend line it made impulse down to the support zone, and even fell lower, but recently price rose back and now trades close to the support level. I expect that Gold will make a correction to the support level and then rise to the trend line. After this movement, XAU can try to break this line, after which the price will continue to move up. Therefore I set my target at the 2040 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XAU/USD 22 Jan 2024 Daily Analysis-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish
-> Has reached EQ.
Price pulled back following bearish iBOS and is reacting to 50% EQ of the internal structure marked in green and daily demand zone.
Price is currently trading within internal high and fractal low.
Expectation: Price to target weak internal low. Current demand zone to be respected.
In the event price continues to trade bullish the likely scenario is for price to trade up to strong internal high before continuing bearish internal order flow.
XAU/USD 19 Jan 2024 Intraday Analysis -> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
-> Has reached EQ.
Following swing BOS price very aggressively pushed to the upside.
Currently price has printed a bearish iBOS where we are now in the pullback phase.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH which is the first sign (but not confirmation) that internal pullback has initiated. Internal EQ is marked in green.
Expectation is for price to continue bullish and react at M15 and H4 POI's, which it currently is.
Price anticipated to target weak internal low.
XAU/USD H4 ANALYSIS-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal Bearish.
-> Has reached EQ.
After the swing BOS price aggressively moved to the upside.
First structural sign of pullback initiation was the bearish iBOS. Price pulled back to beyond EQ where we saw reaction at POI's.
Price printed double bullish iBOS to confirm swing pullback phase is complete.
Currently internal structure is bearish. After iBOS we expect pullback which is underway
Price is trading near extreme internal low and reacting at H4 POI.
Expectation is for price to target weak internal low priced at 2013.390.
Gold can make upward impulse from support line to 2060 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see that the price recently rebounded from the 2030 support level, which coincided with the support line of the pennant and made a strong upward impulse to the resistance line, breaking the 2060 resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. After this, Gold bounced from the resistance line and made a downward impulse to the seller zone, exiting from the pennant, and soon the price broke the 2060 level too and declined lower. Also then, the price started to decline in a downward channel, where it fell below even the 2030 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Later Gold bounced from the support line of the channel and rose to the resistance line, breaking the 2030 support level again. At the short time later price exited from the channel and started to trades in one more upward pennant, where it continues to trades near the support line at the moment. Possibly, Gold can rebound from the support line and rise to the resistance line of the pennant. After this, XAU can make a little correction, after which it continues to move up to the resistance level, thereby exiting from the pennant. So, I set my target at the 2060 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold plunges as investors await fresh cues about Fed rate cutsGold price has been hit hard amid uncertainty over US Retail Sales and Industrial Production data.
A strong US Retail Sales data would provide more room for the Fed to maintain higher interest rates.
•Further escalation in Middle East tensions could bring some revival in the gold price.
Gold price (XAU/USD) witnesses a sell-off after failing to reclaim the weekly high above $2,060. The precious metal drops as investors reconsider the timeframe in which the Federal Reserve (Fed) may reduce interest rates. This comes after the release of the sticky Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for December, as well as hawkish comments from European Central Bank (ECB) officials recalibrating broader market expectations.
While markets continue to lean towards a rate cut decision in March, policymakers are in no hurry to endorse a dovish stance on interest rates. The consumer price inflation in the United States economy is almost double the required rate of 2%, labor demand is steady and the chances of a recession are low despite interest rates remaining in the range of 5.25-5.50%. This would allow Fed policymakers to maintain a restrictive monetary policy stance for the time being.
Going forward, monthly US Retail Sales, the Industrial Production data and the Fed's Beige Book are expected to provide fresh cues about the interest rate outlook.
Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price falls sharply as US Dollar, yields recover
Gold price corrects to near the crucial support of $2,040 as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has recovered sharply ahead of crucial United States economic data for December.
A strong run-up in the precious metal that was propelled by firm bets in favor of early rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and deepening Middle East tensions, has stalled for now.
• As per the CME Fedwatch tool, chances in favor of an interest rate cut in March have eased nominally to 66% against 70% recorded earlier.
A gradual decline has come as investors are reconsidering strong optimism for Fed starting the rate-cut cycle from March after getting mixed cues from stubbornly higher headline consumer price inflation and softer factory gate price data.
Investors would get more cues about when the Fed could plan rate cuts after the release of the monthly US Retail Sales and Industrial Producer data, which are due to be released on Wednesday.
• Retail Sales are expected to have grown at a higher pace of 0.4% against 0.3% increase in November. Consumer spending excluding automobiles is estimated to have grown at a steady pace of 0.2%.
• The Industrial Production data is seen stagnant against 0.2% growth in November on a monthly basis.
Upbeat economic data would comfort Fed policymakers for maintaining a restrictive monetary policy stance while a soft report will firm the case of rate cuts in March.
• Before that, commentary from Fed Governor Christopher Waller will be keenly watched by market participants. Investors are eager to know how the Fed is considering the timeframe for the rate-cut cycle after the release of sticky consumer price inflation data.
• The appeal for the gold price has not been impacted on a broader basis as crises in the Middle East region have deepened after the airstrikes from the US and the United Kingdom.
Iran-backed Houthi rebels have threatened to retaliate for attacking groups in Yemen, which will keep risk sentiment on its toes.
• The US Dollar Index has broken to a new high slightly above 103.00 as investors hope that other central banks will also start reducing interest rates earlier than previously projected. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield has rebounded swiftly above 4.0%.
Technical Analysis: Gold price corrects to near 20-day EMA
Gold price has faced a sharp sell-off after failing to recapture the weekly high of $2,062. The precious metal has dropped to near $2,040 and is expected to remain on tenterhooks before getting fresh cues about the timing of rate cuts from the Fed. The yellow metal has surrendered entire gains generated on Monday and has corrected to near the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades around $2,039.
More downside could appear in the gold price if it fails to defend the January 3 low of $2,030, which will expose it towards the psychological support of $2,000.
XAU/USD H4 ANALYSIS-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal Bearish.
-> Has reached EQ.
After the swing BOS price aggressively moved to the upside.
First structural sign of pullback initiation was the bearish iBOS. Price pulled back to beyond EQ where we saw reaction at POI's.
Price printed double bullish iBOS to confirm swing pullback phase is complete.
Currently internal structure is bearish. After iBOS we expect pullback which is underway
Price reached internal EQ and reacted at a POI.
Expectation is for price to target weak internal low.
XAU/USD 15-19 Jan 2024 Weekly Analysis This is my weekly analysis for XAU/USD:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
-> Did not reach EQ.
As price has not yet reached 50% EQ and price is still in pullback phase in the premium swing/internal, therefore, I would be looking to short.
Price has rejected the Weekly weak Swing High but respected the weekly strong internal high.
Price wicked in excess of Weekly Swing high but failed to close above. This presumably was to sweep liquidity above the strong internal high.
Bullish pullback following bearish iBOS now most likely complete and will target weak internal low.
Bearish CHoCH will be the first indication that sweep of liquidity of internal high is confirmed bearish swing pullback has initiated.
As mentioned last week, request to LTF's would be to shift bearish.
Gold - 4H bullish signalsHey everyone! Let's dive into what's going on with gold after the CPI news.
We saw a spike, followed by a channel formation. But after losing channel support, I'm expecting gold to enter a trading range, starting with the first pullback post-spike.
Notice how gold experienced three bearish pushes, each weaker and shallower than the last, barely breaking the previous lows.
So, what's next? I'm predicting a rise. This could be further fueled by the delay in rate cuts amid ongoing inflation and the looming recession.
XAUUSD H4 Triangle PatternEconomic Data:
US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): Released on Friday, January 6th, the NFP report showed stronger-than-expected job growth, potentially raising concerns about inflation and future interest rate hikes. This could push investors towards the safe-haven gold, providing it with some support.
US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Jan 11, 2024): Inflation remains a key concern, and a higher-than-expected CPI could boost the dollar and put downward pressure on gold.
Geopolitical Events:
Tensions between Russia and Ukraine: The ongoing conflict in Eastern Europe continues to be a source of uncertainty for financial markets. Any escalation in tensions could lead to a flight to safety and boost gold prices.
Weekly Forecast (Jan 8 to Jan 12) :
XAU/USD - H4 Chart - Triangle Formation
Price must need to break Triangle and Retest, then only able to take Entry.
Always wait for strong Conformation in Short term for entry. 👈👈👈
If you found my post helpful or informative, could you please leave a comment 💬🖌 and hitting that like button💚💚
“Markets are never wrong, but opinions often are.”-Jesse Livermore
Good Luck💛💛