Gold Outlook 20th March 2023Gold traded significantly higher last week, due to several key events;
1) gross market uncertainty increased as banks collapse (SVB and Credit Suisse).
2) flight toward the reserve commodity
3) weakness in the DXY
Currently, the price is retracing and is trading along the 1973 price level, with further downside expected. The price is likely to test the support level of 1956 which sits between the 23.60% and 38.20% Fibonacci retracement levels.
However, as the uptrend of Gold remains strong, anticipate the retracement to be brief with the price likely to rebound from the support to trade higher again.
The next key resistance level is at the round number level of 2,000 which was last visited in April 2022
Xau-usd
#Xau | #UsdIn the one-hour time frame, gold is in an ascending channel, which is currently trying to break a dynamic resistance in the area of 1980.09. If this resistance is broken, the price can rise up to the key area of 2029.99 to 2071.77. The area can be entered into a short trade with different setups
XAUUSD Potential Forecast | 15th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. Market sentiments has shifted bearish for the USD
2. With the ongoing Silicon Valley Bank crisis, USD has been very volatile and there has been plenty of fear with the USD.
3. This sets the path for further bearish pressure on the USD.
Technical Confluences
1. Extremely strong bullish pressure can be noticed on the GOLD chart.
2. Price has already came up >800 pips since the lows.
3. Previous bearish structure has all been shifted bullish.
4. Price can potentially break the previous high at 1959.6.
Idea
Anticipating price to form a new higher high at 1959.6.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Gold Bearish reversal off major resistanceWe're seeing a massive resistance level at 1913 which is a strong overlap resistance. We could potentially see prices reverse off here to drop towards the support level of 1804.
The intermediate support to take note of is at 1881 which is also an overlap support - breaking that level should trigger a downside acceleration towards the TP level.
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XAUUSD H4: Bullish outlook seen, further upside above 1864.00 On the H4 time frame, prices are showing bullish order flow with higher lows and higher highs seen and a throwback to the support zone at 1864.00, which coincides with the 100% Fibonacci extension and 50% Fibonacci retracement could present an opportunity to play the bounce to the resistance zone at 1957.00. Prices are holding above the 20 EMA and MACD is showing bullish momentum, supporting the bullish bias.
Gold Daily Analysis 13.03.23Gold made a high of 1894 and faced resistance here. This high is caused due to weakness of USD and market will be volatile this week.
So we shall see for small trades and enter in trades only when price reaches near strong support or resistance levels.
The value zone is bullish trending upwards. The next resistance levels are at 1900-1924
The support levels are 1848-1868.
I suggest to prefer BUY trades only.
BUY 1868 SL 1840 TP 1888
BUY 1848 SL 1840 TP 1888
SELL 1900 SL 1908 TP 1888
SELL 1924 TP 1888
Bullish setup on XAUUSDHi Traders,
Here is gold braking out of the descending channel and pouting around the previous supply area.
Here it is, i am anticipating for a straight rebound, provided that XAUUSD, made a successful retest back to the previous demand zone, which also falls at the Fibonacci 61.8% Golden ratio level of,.
And this could ultimately leads to a fast bullish run.
It's advisable to wait for the completion of the retest before going long.
XAUUSD Potential Forecast | PRE-NFP | 9th March 2023Welcome back guys.
In today's analysis, I will be talking about GOLD and the future where price can be headed towards.
GOLD has fell a whopping 485 pips since the start of the week.
Fundamental backdrop
1. GOLD's strong bearish pressure was credited to Fed Powell's speech that "Fed is prepared to speed up rate rises if warranted by data releases".
2. Since then, not just has GOLD fell close to 500 pips , a few US data releases has coincided nicely with Powell's speech.
3. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change came out at 242000 jobs compared to a forecasted 197000 and 119000 previous.
4. JOLTS Job Openings came out at 10.82m compared to a forecasted 10.58m, beating expectations.
5. All eyes will be on NFP releasing tomorrow.
6. Given the recent strong USD fundamental news release, there is reason to believe that the NFP print will come out stronger than expected , which will highlight the resilience of the US economy once again.
Technical context
1. Price reacted off a key supply zone at 1856 odds and since fell close to 500 pips.
2. Key level of resistance at 1830 odds is an area I will be looking at for short opportunities.
3. Another great confluence to have is for current price to break the low at 1804.82 first before retracing up.
4. This would serve as a break of structure.
5. Target #1 has been marked out at 1766 and if NFP comes out to be strong again, we can see added bullish pressure onto USD and bearish continuations onto GOLD.
Risk management
1. However, if NFP print comes out poor, we can see the whole bullish pressure on USD being overtaken by the bears as the market has not priced in a poor NFP print and the market sentiments surrounding the USD will shift.
This will be the pre NFP chart analysis on GOLD.
Trade safe everyone.
Market has been extremely data driven since the past year or so.
Risk safely.
Let me know in the comments if you guys would want to see a post NFP forecast.
Regards,
Chern Yu
XAUUSD Potential Forecast | 7th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop
1. NFP this week will solidify the bias for GOLD.
2. There have been alot of bullish sentiments in the market surrounding GOLD.
Technical Confluences
1. Price has followed our previous forecast and have broken the H4 resistance (now support) at 1846.
2. Price have retraced and looks good to continue heading up to tap into the next H4 resistance at 1862.
3. Price is hovering well above the ichimoku cloud, signifying strong bullish intent in the market.
4. All eyes will be on NFP this Friday to dictate the future direction on GOLD.
Idea
If NFP comes out to be worse than expected, we can see bullish pressure coming in onto GOLD. However, if NFP comes out good, signifying the resilient economy of the US, price can flip bearish for GOLD.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Gold Outlook 7th March 2023Overnight, Gold retraced from the price area of 1858.50 to retest the 1846.80 key support level.
Although the price broke below the upward trendline, it would still be too early to consider the possibilities of a deeper retracement to the downside, since the support level held prices up.
As the current price action develops to indicate a potential rejection of the support level, look for a couple more conditions to develop before expecting further more significant upside on Gold:
- further weakness in the DXY (especially if it breaks below 104)
- high impulsive move on the EURUSD (beyond the key resistance level of 1.07)