Xau-usd
XAUUSD H1: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 1942.50On the H1 time frame, prices are approaching the resistance zone at 1942.50, in line with the graphical resistance zone, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and Fibonacci extension. We could see a reversal below this zone to the support zone at 1913.00, which coincides with the graphical support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Prices are holding below the ichimoku cloud as well, supporting the bearish bias.
XAG/USD (Silver) Fundamental Analysis + Forecast 1/29I've been watching silver prices closely, and they've been hovering around $24 per ounce so far this year. On January 16th, the price briefly touched a nine-month high of $24.4, helped by a weaker dollar and expectations of easier monetary policy. There have been signs of lower inflation and recession concerns, which have fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may stop raising its funds rate at 5%. Recent data shows that annual PCE core inflation has continued to slow, and personal spending has contracted for a second straight month. These developments have made non-interest-yielding bullion more appealing, and lower borrowing costs have also increased demand for silver as an industrial input for goods with high electricity conduction needs, as evidenced by the recent rise in solar energy equities. Additionally, supply concerns are supporting silver prices, as COMEX inventories remain under pressure and LBMA stockpiles have declined due to outflows to India.
Our neural network-based forecasting model predicts that silver prices will continue to be close to the $24 per ounce mark this quarter, and we estimate that the price will be around $24.2 in 12 months.
RLinda ! GOLD -> A rebound from a strong support zone Gold is in consolidation, but this consolidation has the form of an ascending wedge, which is also in an ascending price channel.
Strong analysts and large investment figures believe that the gold in the near future could go into a correction phase, after which the growth will continue, but not as active.
A "rising wedge" pattern is forming on the chart, which aims at a break-down of the support and making the price fall, but there are no prerequisites at the moment. Earlier (several weeks ago), a similar set-up was formed, but as we see, the price has already tested the multi-month high of 1949.26.
The price forms a pullback to the channel support, I expect the retest of the strong zone and a bounce of the price. Our target in this case will be the resistance area of 1945-1950
Regards R.Linda!
XAUUSD Potential for Bullish Continuation | 26th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for XAUUSD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a buy entry at 1937.580, where the recent overlap support is. Stop loss will be at 1924.260, where the previous overlap support is. Take profit will be at 1998.460, where the previous intermediary high is.
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XAUUSD Gold Next MovePair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Elliot Waves - Completed the Impulsive Wave " 12345 " and Corrective Wave a will be Completed if Reject from here or at Fibonacci Level - 78.60%
Divergence
Following BEARISH CHANNEL in Long Time Frame and Bullish Channel in Short Time Frame
Break of Structure
S / R Level
XAUUSD Potential for Bullish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for XAUUSD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a buystop entry at 1942.555, where the recent high is to ride the bullish momentum. Stop loss will be at 1924.260, where the previous overlap support is. Take profit will be at 1998.460, where the previous intermediary high is.
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XAUUSD Potential for Bullish Continuation | 25th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for XAUUSD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a buystop entry at 1942.555, where the recent high is to ride the bullish momentum. Stop loss will be at 1924.260, where the previous overlap support is. Take profit will be at 1998.460, where the previous intermediary high is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
XAUUSD 4hour Analysis January 22nd, 2023Gold Bullish idea
Weekly Trend: Bullish
Daily Trend: Bullish
4Hour Trend: Bullish
Trade scenario 1: Looking bullish on GOLD! We are due for some structure so that is a high priority at the moment before we can enter any trades.
Ideally, price action confirms new structure near 1900.00 with bullish setups we can enter long on.
Trade scenario 2: If we want to consider short scenarios we need to see 1900.00 break and bearish structure form below.
XAUUSD 23 Jan - 27 Jan MovePair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description : It is Following Bullish Channel in Long Time Frame and it can Possibly Reject from the Upper Trend Line
Selling Divergence
We have Symmetrical Triangle in Short Time Frame and it has completed the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line and Retested
It has Breakout the Daily S / R Level
Break of Structure
Its Next Target Fibonacci Level - 78.60% if breaks the Previous Highs