Quick Gold Update: 1500 Next Major TargetOur long Gold bull-run is set to continue. While the markets finished up today, Gold and Silver continue to hold their specific resistances and maintain their sound technical strength which should provide great confidence for traders.
I am expecting perhaps a slight pullback when Gold opens somewhere into the 1460s. However, I see muted major retracements of longer duration until we get to 1560. Once we reach the 1560 mark I expect some more major retracements back into the 1480s or 1490s unless there are key geopolitical/political issues that otherwise would continue the drive higher.
I do not focus on shorts here because the overall trend is for Gold to soar. For those who are looking to short and gain a few hundred dollars here and there and hope you can get a good re-entry - trade at your own risk. Generally, many people lose money in the long-run when shorting metallics, therefore, I do not recommend it.
I am eyeing 1500 no later than the end of August. Moreover, once Gold hits 1500, I expect Silver to reach 17. Once Silver reaches 17 it will soar very quickly to at-least 20-21 and from there, end up working on the 88:1 ratio.
--
As always, be careful selling off as there are always fake breakouts on the downside that will try to sway typical investors out of Gold so the big money can swoop in for grabs. Recall our last fake out down to 1402...
--
The USA is entering quantitative easing and back down to 0 and under no circumstances should we expect Gold to tank. Retracements? Yes. Contingent on the fact that negative yields around the world being present; global economic numbers beginning to dwindle; Manufacturing data being abysmal and epic currency devaluation, we can expect in the long run, for Gold to go way higher.
Further, markets will be volatile and trend overall, on the downside in order to sway the Fed to cut in mid September to keep this overextended bubble going.
- zSplit
Xaudusd
GOLD - Still strong above $1325GOLD's breakout of the triangle it formed was quite something. First, what appeared to be a fakeout to the upside, catching the bulls a bit early. Then collapsing back into the triangle.
Price threatened a downside break, and then picked itself up, broke up again (and retested) and then promptly took out the $1325 target I had drawn in.
Friday's candle looks a bit bearish, doesn't it?
However, the bears weren't able to capitalise at all yesterday.
Where to from here? I think today's candle close will be us a good clue.
If today's candle threatens yesterdays low, a short down to $1325 is in order. Alternatively, if today's candle starts "eating up" the wick of Fridays candle, the bulls are stil pushing this one higher.
XAUUSD - Gold's Glorious Own GoalOn May 9 I highlighted the wedge GOLD found itself in.
On May 14, price had broken the wedge and looked to break to the upside.
However, my caveat was that to confirm the breakout, we needed to see price stick around at the new highs it had more, or retest the trendline from above.
And this is why we wait for confirmation!
The breakout, and failure with price now back in the wedge is bad news for the pulls.
And I'm interested in a short, adding to their misery.
However, just in case the bears are about to get a similar kick in the teeth, lets wait for the breakout lower..and once again, either a retest or for price to remain lower.
Xau/USD Sell Hi all ,
I'm opening a sell on this pair , as we are still in the range of our H&S pattern i drawn out on my previous post . This is an aggressive entry , as price is a few pips away from the key resistance level i would have love to enter from , But with a stop just above that , the r:r looks okay to me .
Many Thanks
Uncle Sam Whipped by Nippon
USDJPY forming a descending triangle on the four hour. Managed to hit large quarter point at 110, but each challenge led to higher lows consistent to the counter trendline. It seems like price action peaked above the 61.8 fib level, and no longer has bullish momentum. A reversal trend is imminent, most likely when price breaks below the blue line @109.819
If price does break below the blue line, then bears have taken over the trend and I will short until price reaches the orange zone.
Orange zone: 109.5-109.6
Price goal: Fib level 78.6 (@109.385)
XAUUSD approaching support, potential rise! XAUUSD is approaching our first support at 1328.73 (horizontal overlap support, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement) which coincides with our short term ascending support line. A strong bounce might occur above this level, pushing price up to our major resistance at 1340.80 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is also approaching our major support and a bounce off this level might be a good precursor of a potential rise in price.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Gold Medium term SELLHappy New Year, fellow traders!
Gold has finally stopped after almost two weeks of rally and currently has reached a resistance. I see a potential for a sell trade with SL slightly past 1330 and TP just above 1300 to be safe.
In addition to the technical analysis, stronger US Dollar and Stoch RSI also indicate on a potential for a sell trade.