XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2800 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2680 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
╰┈➤XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Interest Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB at 2.5%—U.S. yield advantage pressures gold, ECB easing weakens EUR—neutral.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, Eurozone 2.8%, Japan 2.5%—global inflation boosts gold’s hedge appeal—bullish.
Demand: Central banks (e.g., China, Russia) buy ~8M oz. in 2025; European ETF inflows up—bullish.
Geopolitics: U.S.-China tariffs, Russia-Ukraine tensions—safe-haven demand rises—bullish.
EUR Strength: ECB dovishness vs. Fed stability weakens EUR—bullish for XAU/EUR.
╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: PMI 50.4, jobless claims up—USD softens, gold gains—bullish.
Eurozone: PMI 46.2, growth stagnant—EUR weakens—bullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1%—slow growth, risk-off favors gold—bullish.
Commodities: Oil $70.44 (U.S./OPEC)—stable, neutral.
Trump Policies: Tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—EUR weakens, gold rises—bullish.
╰┈➤Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~50,000 contracts (global futures, down from 60,000)—cautious bullishness.
Hedgers: Net short ~60,000—stable, locking in highs.
Open Interest: ~120,000 contracts—sustained global interest, mildly bullish.
╰┈➤Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 55% short (global X posts)—contrarian upside risk—bullish.
Institutional: Bullish long-term (e.g., $3,000 XAU/USD targets), short-term caution—neutral.
Corporate: Global miners hedge at 2,750-2,800 EUR—neutral.
Social Media Trends: Mixed—bearish to 2,650 EUR, some see buy zone—neutral.
╰┈➤Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs target 2,750-2,800, shorts aim for 2,650-2,600 (global consensus).
Retail: Shorts at 2,710-2,720—squeeze risk if price rises.
Institutional: Balanced, favoring inflation-driven gold gains.
╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day ~2,650, 200-day ~2,500—price above both, bullish.
RSI: 52 (daily)—neutral, flexible for moves.
Bollinger: 2,670-2,730—price near upper band, breakout potential.
Fibonacci: 61.8% from 2,800-2,400 at 2,686—support holds.
Volatility: 1-month IV 11%—±30 EUR daily range.
╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis
EUR/USD: Below 1.0500—EUR weakness boosts XAU/EUR—bullish.
DXY: 106.00, softening—supports gold—bullish.
XAU/USD: 2910—aligned with XAU/EUR rise—bullish.
Equities: SPX500 5990, stable—neutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% vs. Eurozone 2.2%—yield gap weakens EUR—bullish.
╰┈➤News and Events Analysis
Recent: Trump tariffs (Feb 23-25) and Russia-Ukraine talks—risk-off lifts gold—bullish.
Upcoming: U.S. PCE (Feb 28)—hot data could lift USD/EUR, pressuring XAU/EUR; soft data boosts gold—mixed.
Impact: Bullish short-term, PCE reaction pivotal.
╰┈➤Next Trend Move
Technical: Support 2,686-2,650, resistance 2,750-2,800. Below 2,686 targets 2,600; above 2,750 aims for 2,850.
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Dip to 2,650 if PCE strengthens USD/EUR; up to 2,800 if risk-off persists.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 2,600-2,900, driven by tariffs/inflation.
╰┈➤Future Prediction
Bullish: 2,850-2,900 by Q2 2025 if EUR weakens further (EUR/USD to 1.03), tariffs escalate, or PCE softens.
Bearish: 2,600-2,550 if PCE boosts USD/EUR (DXY to 107) or risk-on emerges.
Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 2,650, then bullish to 2,850 by mid-2025
╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook
XAU/EUR at 2,700.00 benefits from bullish drivers (global inflation, geopolitics, EUR weakness) but faces short-term risks from USD/EUR strength (PCE). COT and sentiment suggest consolidation, with quant signals favoring upside if support holds. Short-term dip to 2,650 possible, medium-term rise to 2,900 likely with risk-off momentum.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
