Gold (XAU/EUR) – Potential Sell Setup from Rising Wedge📉 Market Structure & Pattern:
The chart shows a broadening wedge pattern followed by a rising wedge formation.
Price has reached the upper boundary of the descending channel, where a potential sell-off could begin.
📉 Bearish Outlook:
The sell signal is indicated near 2,811 EUR, suggesting a possible reversal.
The target area is around 2,769 - 2,700 EUR, aligning with previous support zones.
If the price breaks below the wedge structure, further downside momentum is expected.
📌 Trading Plan:
Bears may look for short opportunities around resistance.
A break below 2,794 EUR could confirm further downside.
Bulls should monitor price action for any rejection near support zones for potential buying opportunities.
⚠️ Risk Management:
A break above 2,815 EUR could invalidate the bearish setup.
Stop-loss placement above resistance is advisable to minimize risk.
Xaueurshort
Gold (XAU/EUR) – Bearish Setup at Key Resistance LevelChart Overview:
This 4-hour chart of Gold (XAU) against the Euro (EUR) suggests a potential bearish setup as the price has reached a key resistance zone.
Key Observations:
Resistance Zone: The price has broken above a descending channel and is testing a significant resistance level around 2,790 - 2,800 EUR.
Sell Signal: A rejection from this resistance level has prompted a potential short entry.
Bearish Target: The projected price decline could reach the 2,727 EUR support zone, aligning with previous demand areas.
Risk-to-Reward: The expected decline represents a -2.08% move, indicating a strong risk-reward setup for sellers.
Trading Idea:
Sell Entry: Near 2,790 EUR (if rejection confirms).
Target: 2,727 EUR (support zone).
Invalidation: A breakout above resistance could signal further bullish continuation.
This setup suggests a short opportunity, but traders should watch price action for further confirmation before entering trades. 📉🔥
XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2800 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2680 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
╰┈➤XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Interest Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB at 2.5%—U.S. yield advantage pressures gold, ECB easing weakens EUR—neutral.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, Eurozone 2.8%, Japan 2.5%—global inflation boosts gold’s hedge appeal—bullish.
Demand: Central banks (e.g., China, Russia) buy ~8M oz. in 2025; European ETF inflows up—bullish.
Geopolitics: U.S.-China tariffs, Russia-Ukraine tensions—safe-haven demand rises—bullish.
EUR Strength: ECB dovishness vs. Fed stability weakens EUR—bullish for XAU/EUR.
╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: PMI 50.4, jobless claims up—USD softens, gold gains—bullish.
Eurozone: PMI 46.2, growth stagnant—EUR weakens—bullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1%—slow growth, risk-off favors gold—bullish.
Commodities: Oil $70.44 (U.S./OPEC)—stable, neutral.
Trump Policies: Tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—EUR weakens, gold rises—bullish.
╰┈➤Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~50,000 contracts (global futures, down from 60,000)—cautious bullishness.
Hedgers: Net short ~60,000—stable, locking in highs.
Open Interest: ~120,000 contracts—sustained global interest, mildly bullish.
╰┈➤Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 55% short (global X posts)—contrarian upside risk—bullish.
Institutional: Bullish long-term (e.g., $3,000 XAU/USD targets), short-term caution—neutral.
Corporate: Global miners hedge at 2,750-2,800 EUR—neutral.
Social Media Trends: Mixed—bearish to 2,650 EUR, some see buy zone—neutral.
╰┈➤Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs target 2,750-2,800, shorts aim for 2,650-2,600 (global consensus).
Retail: Shorts at 2,710-2,720—squeeze risk if price rises.
Institutional: Balanced, favoring inflation-driven gold gains.
╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day ~2,650, 200-day ~2,500—price above both, bullish.
RSI: 52 (daily)—neutral, flexible for moves.
Bollinger: 2,670-2,730—price near upper band, breakout potential.
Fibonacci: 61.8% from 2,800-2,400 at 2,686—support holds.
Volatility: 1-month IV 11%—±30 EUR daily range.
╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis
EUR/USD: Below 1.0500—EUR weakness boosts XAU/EUR—bullish.
DXY: 106.00, softening—supports gold—bullish.
XAU/USD: 2910—aligned with XAU/EUR rise—bullish.
Equities: SPX500 5990, stable—neutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% vs. Eurozone 2.2%—yield gap weakens EUR—bullish.
╰┈➤News and Events Analysis
Recent: Trump tariffs (Feb 23-25) and Russia-Ukraine talks—risk-off lifts gold—bullish.
Upcoming: U.S. PCE (Feb 28)—hot data could lift USD/EUR, pressuring XAU/EUR; soft data boosts gold—mixed.
Impact: Bullish short-term, PCE reaction pivotal.
╰┈➤Next Trend Move
Technical: Support 2,686-2,650, resistance 2,750-2,800. Below 2,686 targets 2,600; above 2,750 aims for 2,850.
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Dip to 2,650 if PCE strengthens USD/EUR; up to 2,800 if risk-off persists.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 2,600-2,900, driven by tariffs/inflation.
╰┈➤Future Prediction
Bullish: 2,850-2,900 by Q2 2025 if EUR weakens further (EUR/USD to 1.03), tariffs escalate, or PCE softens.
Bearish: 2,600-2,550 if PCE boosts USD/EUR (DXY to 107) or risk-on emerges.
Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 2,650, then bullish to 2,850 by mid-2025
╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook
XAU/EUR at 2,700.00 benefits from bullish drivers (global inflation, geopolitics, EUR weakness) but faces short-term risks from USD/EUR strength (PCE). COT and sentiment suggest consolidation, with quant signals favoring upside if support holds. Short-term dip to 2,650 possible, medium-term rise to 2,900 likely with risk-off momentum.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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XAU/EUR "GOLD MINES" Bearish Robbery Plan to steal GoldHola ola My Dear 🤑💰,
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This is our master plan to Heist XAU/EUR "GOLD MINES" based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰.
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Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 30m timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
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XAUEUR Gold Mines Robbery Plan in Short SideMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist XAUEUR Gold Mines based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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XAUEUR Gold Mines Robbery Plan To Steal EverythingMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist XAUEUR Gold Mines based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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GOLD XAU/EUR Bearish Robbery Plan to make moneyMy Dear Gold Euro Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist Bearish side of GOLD EURO based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan i have mentioned with target in the chart focus on Short entry, Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous area market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend change / Strong Pullback happens at the level Bear Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. when market break the dynamic support it will continue to go down down. Loot and escape at the target🎯.
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[EN] XAUEUR vs XAUUSD // GaliortiTradingOANDA:XAUEUR has greatly improved its appearance relative to the chart of $OANDA:XAUUSD. See the weekly charts of both:
1 W €
1 W $
We will now comment on the charts OANDA:XAUEUR :
OANDA:XAUEUR has reached a market top in the very short term but we think that before the end of the year it will reach new all-time highs with free upside , a fact that will probably take time for the XAUUSD to achieve. For this we base our analysis on:
- large volume in euros since mid-August ( volume has tripled ), a fact that has not occurred in dollars.
- the best technical aspect.
In the first half of March 2022 OANDA:XAUEUR made record highs but the price was rejected with strong volume (the highest in the entire historical series).
For such reason, we expect a correction in the coming days as this is the third time it faces that resistance arriving with strong overbought. It does not facilitate the rise:
1. weekly bearish divergence in the RSI.
2. Technical figure of an evening star on the daily chart.
3. Extreme slope of the short term bullish guideline.
1 D
We believe that in the coming weeks there will be a correction with a target of 50% of Fibonacci of the entire rise since the beginning of the month (around 1.803-1.813€), a level that will be reinforced by the 200-session average .
4h
On 30-minute charts, the price is supported by the 100-session average . Its loss will accelerate the falls towards the floor of the bullish channel with origin at the beginning of the month. Its first downside targe t is 1,850 ( 23.6% Fibonacci correction area). Its loss would generate a second downward targe t at 1,810-1,820 ( 50% Fibonacci correction area).
30
From there, the stock will probably restructure upwards to try to beat its historical highs before the end of the year .
Pablo G.
XAU/EUR Sell Setup.This count is based on my assumptions so anything can happen not a trading or financial advice just for educational purposes only kindly do your own ta thanks trade with care good luck.
If Gold is falling against EUR which suggests that investors are shifting their sentiment to the fiat currency/equities (for faster and better rr) rather than safe haven assets like gold and other safe heaven currencies like JPY and CHF.. I'm concerned about EUR/USD because if Eur is rising against all the safe haven assets and currencies (my assumption) it can rise against dollar also because it has already risen it's interest rate earlier than USD (0.25 points in December 2021) which is earlier move than anticipated than dollar which has still haven't yet and is planning to do so in 2022. My bias EUR/USD Bullish.
XAU-EUR 6/10/2020Hello guys, welcome to this analysis on XAU-EUR.
As you can see on the chart it appears like Gold has made a distribution pattern since April that got confirmed by a high volume markdown below 1523 last week.
The round arching formations above the 1520 level are usually an indication of weakness and distribution. This can be confirmed by the bearish divergence and series of lower highs and lower lows on the volume and cash flow indicators as well.
Currently, price is retesting the 1520 ish zone of previous support which should act as resistant now. It can be a good entry for a short trade with a target of around 1430.
This trade idea has 3 risk to reward ratio.
Good luck trading :)