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Signature Analysis and Trade Plan for XAU/USD (Gold) This analysis incorporates the GOLDontheNILE strategy, using Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, Chikou Span, Fibonacci levels, Bollinger Bands, Stochastic RSI, and volume dynamics to provide a comprehensive outlook across multiple time frames. It integrates higher time frame trends with actionable intraday setups. Daily Chart (1D) Analysis Outlook: Bearish Consolidation with Key Resistance - Trend: Downtrend intact with price hovering below key Fibonacci 61.8% resistance at 2,610.00. - Indicators: - ADX: Strong trend with value at 83.48, favoring bearish continuation. - RSI: Neutral at 35.33, approaching oversold but without divergence signals. - Ichimoku: Chikou Span remains below the cloud, confirming bearish dominance. - Volume: Elevated bearish volume supports potential downside acceleration. - Key Levels: - Resistance: 2,610.00 (Fibonacci 61.8%) and 2,630.00 (upper resistance). - Support: 2,578.00 (pivot support) and 2,554.00 (Fibonacci 50%). Daily Scenario: 1. Bearish Continuation: - Sell Entry: Below 2,578.00. - Stop Loss: 2,585.00. - Take Profit 1: 2,554.00. - Take Profit 2: 2,547.00 (critical low). 2. Bullish Reversal (Low Probability): - Buy Entry: Above 2,610.00. - Stop Loss: 2,600.00. - Take Profit 1: 2,630.00. 4-Hour Chart (4H) Analysis Outlook: Bearish with Temporary Retracement - Trend: Price remains in a bearish structure, with minor retracement stalling near 2,596.00 (Ichimoku resistance and Fibonacci 23.6%). - Indicators: - ADX: Declining trend strength at 31.78 indicates short-term consolidation. - RSI: Overbought at 67.19, signaling a potential retracement. - Volume: Bullish volume unable to break key resistance, hinting at bearish dominance. - Key Levels: - Resistance: 2,596.00 (Ichimoku & EMA). - Support: 2,578.00 and 2,560.00. 4H Scenario: 1. Bearish Continuation: - Sell Entry: Below 2,578.00. - Stop Loss: 2,585.00. - Take Profit 1: 2,570.00. - Take Profit 2: 2,560.00. 2. Bullish Retracement: - Buy Entry: Above 2,596.00. - Stop Loss: 2,590.00. - Take Profit 1: 2,610.00. 1-Hour Chart (1H) Analysis Outlook: Short-Term Consolidation Below Resistance - Trend: Consolidation with price struggling near 2,593.00–2,596.00 resistance cluster. - Indicators: - RSI: Overbought with Stochastic RSI showing a downward cross, signaling pullback potential. - Ichimoku: Price remains below the cloud, maintaining bearish bias. - Volume: Sideways, indicating indecision but favoring downside on rejection. - Key Levels: - Resistance: 2,593.00–2,596.00. - Support: 2,587.00 and 2,582.00. 1H Scenario: 1. Bearish Scalping: - Sell Entry: 2,595.00. - Stop Loss: 2,600.00. - Take Profit 1: 2,588.00. - Take Profit 2: 2,582.00. 2. Bullish Scalping: - Buy Entry: 2,588.00. - Stop Loss: 2,582.00. - Take Profit 1: 2,593.00. 15-Minute Chart (15M) Analysis Outlook: Intraday Volatility with Bearish Bias - Trend: Sideways with Bollinger Band compression signaling upcoming volatility. - Indicators: - RSI: Overbought, warning of potential pullback. - Bollinger Bands: Compression suggests breakout, likely to the downside. - Key Levels: - Resistance: 2,594.50–2,596.00. - Support: 2,590.00 and 2,587.00. 15M Scenario: 1. Sell Scalping: - Sell Entry: 2,594.50. - Stop Loss: 2,597.00. - Take Profit 1: 2,590.00. - Take Profit 2: 2,587.00. 2. Buy Scalping: - Buy Entry: 2,588.00. - Stop Loss: 2,585.00. - Take Profit 1: 2,592.00. Confidence Assessment 1. Bearish Continuation: - Daily Confidence: 85% (multi-timeframe alignment with Ichimoku, ADX, and bearish volume). - Intraday Confidence: 70% (temporary retracement but overall trend intact). 2. Bullish Reversal: - Daily Confidence: 40% (only valid above 2,610.00). - Intraday Confidence: 50% (short-term scalping opportunities exist). Justification for Analysis - Ichimoku Alignment: Bearish across all timeframes, with Chikou Span and price below the cloud. - Fibonacci & Resistance Levels: Strong confluence at 2,610.00 and 2,596.00. - Volume Profile: Bearish dominance with weak retracement attempts. - Multi-Timeframe Consistency: Daily, 4H, and lower timeframes all align toward bearish continuation with intraday pullback opportunities.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
XAUUSD: Ready for a Correction After NFP?Analyzing XAU/USD's movement, the price recently hit a fresh all-time high around $2,790 but then experienced a slight pullback to $2,780. Despite this minor drop, the underlying trend remains strongly bullish, driven by the weakness of the US dollar due to mixed macroeconomic data limiting its demand. From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows a clear bullish setup, suggesting the potential for further highs until a significant correction occurs. After a brief corrective dip, technical indicators have resumed their ascent into overbought territory, signaling that buyers are ready to capitalize on minor price dips. The price could break the psychological threshold of $2,800 before the US presidential elections, with the potential to discover new highs beyond the recent record of $2,789.72. In October, the private sector added 233K new jobs, surpassing expectations and temporarily strengthening the dollar. However, Q3 GDP growth at 2.8% fell short of forecasts, adding downward pressure on the dollar. The quarterly Core PCE Price Index was 2.2%, down from the previous quarter’s 2.8% but above the 2.1% expectation. Despite this decline, inflation remains within the Fed’s tolerance range, reducing the likelihood of an impact on the central bank’s policy decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Its Clearly Over For Bulls XAUUSD Sell Short!Price has gone dramatically up for 10 days straight. Lots of FVGs Below and Price must Refill this Because we are talking GOLD (Xauusd) not some Low Caps Crypto so Price Must go Down to Fill Orders and take Liquidity. We have CPI coming today March 12 (Tuesday) Feds aren't going to Cut Down Rates Immediately and we see a Big Gold Retracement. Worst thing that can happen is we can see a double sided move, like first Touching 2202 and then Going Down to 2150 and then further to 2080 and so on...
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by iamkhizar
2
XAUUSD: The upward momentum has not stoppedOn H1, the EMA technical indicator clearly indicates an upward trend. By using Fibonacci, I anticipate that gold will soon reach the 1.618 level, which is $2053, thanks to the strong support from EMA and the previous market breakout above $2030. As long as gold maintains this level, it would not be surprising to see this scenario unfold in the short term. All attention will be focused on the upcoming release of the latest US consumer inflation data next week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingForecast_Signals
XAUUSD: opens a new wave of price increasesHello dear friends! Currently, in today's trading session, the price has completely escaped from the previous parallel downtrend channel. At the time of writing, precious metals are still below the supply zone of $2,038-2,042 and are trading within the familiar range, with the last support level at $2,015 that needs to be protected by the price increase. In the short term, increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also benefit the price of Gold in the context of global safe haven shift. Now, attention is shifting to the US Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data to get new insights into labor market conditions ahead of the Fed's policy announcement on Wednesday and the release of Non-Farm Payrolls data on Friday. With the current picture, we are expecting a short-term price surge with an expected increase to $2,060, while breaking above this resistance level will open up new opportunities for this precious metal as mentioned on the 12-hour chart.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingForecast_Signals
Gold Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ShahedZare
❔❔GOLD lost clarity, so just walk away. It's that easyPlease check the linked ideas for more context. Gold has shown good bullish impulses during the previous two weeks or so. However now it's kind of stuck in this messy range. And though it's saving its bullish potential, I would wait for more confirmation and actual bullish price development. I want to show this market to remind myself what's unclear for me, and maybe you'll also add something to your plan, like what is clear and unclear in the markets. Institutional sentiment is 50\50. Multitimeframe analysis has shown basically the same rangy wicky structure recently, so this is one of the markets that are not worth trading at this specific moment. One more interesting thing is that this week follows a very intense week before, filled with news and strong movements. This week, on the contrary, has less news and probably will have less volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Yelli_trades
9
XAUUSD BUY AND SHORT POSSIBILITIESHi guys, I'm back with this week first analysis. As always I'm gonna keep things simple. So price did react to my sell zone on last Friday and started selling off, currently price is reacting to the broken resistance(1992) which has turned into support level. I have multiple demand levels, the immediate one is around 1982-1980 which I wait for price to reach there. After that I would wait for a confirmation in lower time frame to take a long trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AliHassanzadeh
XAUUSD LONG AND SHORT SETUPHi Guys, I'm going to update my analysis on gold. Yesterday after touching our demand level at 1964 price rallied up more than 200 PIPS which was absolutely amazing. Now today I'm back with new setups. Area 1979 - 1977 is an fresh area which has not been touched yet so price could react to it and give us a good trade. If price passes through that next area would be 1974-1971 which has been tested once yesterday and has already proven itself. if rallying up continues resistance level 2001 is gonna be the first level to monitor and following that we have 2010 -2022 as a H4 time frame supply level. So currently, best course of action is to wait and see how price responds to our intended areas of supply and demand. I also will keep you updated of my thoughts on this analysis. Be honorable
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AliHassanzadeh