IS XAUUSD CORRECTION OVERIn my recent analysises I warned that a significant correction is xauusd correction in xauusd prices was inveitable.
True to this predication the election of Donald Trump triggered a sharp 1000 minus pips dropin xauusd value However yesterday the market rebounded strongly recovering 700 pips from that intial decline.
The big question now is wether this correction has run its course in my view we may have reached a bottom and xauusd could be poised to resume its overall uptrend.
im currently looking for buying oppurtunities on dips.
Xauusd(w)
Hellena | GOLD (1H): Short to support area 2641.84.Colleagues, I believe that the price will continue the downward movement, but before this movement there is a high probability that the price will reach the area of 2734, then continue the downward movement.
There are only 2 options to enter the position.
Either you take a risk and enter on the market.
Or you wait for the local high of 2710 to be updated.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bearish drop?XAU/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit:
Entry: 2,710.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,745.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 2,659.43
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Update the latest gold price today. Today, gold prices rebounded, climbing over $48.4 to reach $2,708.8 per ounce. This rally, a gain of more than 1%, was fueled by a weaker U.S. dollar and the anticipated 0.25% rate cut announced by the Federal Reserve on Thursday.
Currently, the market is pricing in the possibility of another 25 basis-point cut in December. However, if former President Trump returns to office, future rate cuts might face hurdles. Concerns over rising prices and persistent inflation could compel the Fed to keep a restrictive monetary policy longer than desired.
This outlook poses a challenge for gold. If inflation worries prevent the Fed from lowering rates, prolonged high-interest rates would diminish gold's appeal compared to interest-bearing assets, adding downward pressure on its price.
Is Gold's correction over?In my recent analyses, I warned that a significant correction in Gold prices was inevitable.
True to this prediction, the election of Donald Trump triggered a sharp 1,000-pip drop in Gold's value.
However, yesterday, the market rebounded strongly, recovering 700 pips from that initial decline.
The big question now is whether this correction has run its course.
In my view, we may have reached a bottom, and Gold could be poised to resume its overall uptrend.
I’m currently looking for buying opportunities on dips.
XAUUSD 2.695.08 -0.44% INTRADAY MULTI-TF SETUPHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at GOLD At the close of ASIA INTO THE LONDON, TO NY PM SESSION
- As we draw to the close of the week, looking for GOLD to close bullish.
* on the 4H looking for a bearish open with the close of ASIAN SESSION.
* PO3
* Push LOWER before going for HIGHER structures LQ pull.
1 HOUR TF
* Looking for the mitigation of the bullish OB+.
* FVG below has already been mitigated.
* if this structure holds, looking for long entries to close the week.
* BASED on the price action served next session...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
FOMC and Powell support GOLD, bearish outlook still prevailsOANDA:XAUUSD Spot trading rose nearly 2% yesterday when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as market predicted, causing the US Dollar to plunge and giving gold a boost.
The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points on Thursday, while policymakers noted a "broad deterioration" in the job market. Officials voted unanimously to lower the federal funds rate to a range of 4.5%-4.75%. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Trump's presidential election victory will not directly affect monetary policy.
Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have put pressure on the US dollar and bond yields, while boosting the investment appeal of non-yielding gold.
FOMC content
In their monetary policy statement, officials acknowledged the economy is growing steadily despite slowing labor market conditions. They admitted inflation was close to the Fed's 2% target but still remained slightly high.
Fed policymakers also noted that the risks to achieving their dual mandates were “roughly balanced” but acknowledged uncertainty about the economic outlook.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement said: "The Committee believes that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are balanced and that there is uncertainty about the economic outlook. The Committee concerned about the risk of achieving his dual mandate."
While policymakers noted “progress” in achieving the inflation target, they neglected to mention “becoming more confident that inflation can move steadily toward 2 percent.” sustainable”.
“Labour market conditions have generally eased since the beginning of this year, with the unemployment rate rising but remaining low,” the Fed statement said.
Powell said the election results would not affect decision-making in the short term and that there was flexibility in future policy direction.
At his post-FOMC press conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell avoided giving specific guidance on the future direction of interest rates, leaving room for flexibility at the December meeting and beyond. He emphasized that because the economy is strong, the Fed can take its time lowering interest rates. He acknowledged that even after Thursday's rate cut, policy remains restrained as officials aim to return interest rates to neutral levels.
Regarding the pace of interest rate cuts, Powell said if the labor market weakens or slows as it approaches neutrality, the Fed could accelerate the pace of interest rate cuts. However, he clarified that no final decision has been made yet.
Powell also said that in the short term, the presidential election results will not directly affect monetary policy.
General assessment
The Fed's 25 basis point cut boosted gold prices, on the other hand, Powell made very clear statements about the possibility and prospect of cutting interest rates and this is not beneficial for the US Dollar.
A very basic knowledge is that the US Dollar is controlled by the Fed and not under the power of the US President. Therefore, even in the event that Trump is elected and boosts the US Dollar, it will still be restrained by the policy of cutting interest rates. Only if Trump can completely eliminate the Fed will the US Dollar have nothing to show for it. prevent. Of course, this is without precedent, nor has any President been able to do this.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Although gold has recovered strongly from the 0.618% Fibonacci level confluence with the lower edge of the channel, it is still in a downtrend with the price channel as the short-term trend.
On the other hand, gold's upward momentum has also been limited by the EMA21 level, and it still has enough bearish conditions when the Relative Strength Index is also showing signs of folding down from the 50 level area.
If gold falls below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, it will have the potential to fall a bit further with a short-term target of around 2,684 USD rather than 2,668 USD.
However, in case gold moves above the EMA21 level it will tend to increase further to test the 0.236% Fibonacci level. Therefore, for open selling positions should be protected above EMA21 quite "strictly."
During the day, gold still has a bearish technical outlook with notable points listed as follows.
Support: 2,684 – 2,668USD
Resistance: 2,700 – 2,710USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2736 - 2734⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2740
→Take Profit 1 2729
↨
→Take Profit 2 2724
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2676 - 2678⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2672
→Take Profit 1 2683
↨
→Take Profit 2 2688
XAUUSD: Buyers Dominate!Dear traders!
Today, gold prices have made an impressive recovery, rising more than $48.4 to $2,708.8/ounce, marking a strong move with an increase of more than 1%. This recovery is reinforced by the weakness of the US dollar, along with the news that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 0.25% this Thursday. Although future interest rate cuts may face challenges if former President Trump returns, this trend opens up many positive opportunities for gold in the short term.
As seen from the 1-hour chart, the uptrend is forming and is being consolidated after the correction. In addition, the current gold price is reacting at the support zone of the two EMAs (34 and 89), creating a notable area. Therefore, Victor personally appreciates that based on the current momentum, if the price breaks the short-term resistance level near $2,710, the possibility of gold prices continuing to increase to higher levels in the coming time is high.
At the time of writing, the realization phase is forming, Victor is waiting for confirmation with the aim of strengthening further.
GOLD established a falling structure after a sharp declineOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is basically stable after yesterday's plunge. The current gold price is about 2,660 USD/ounce. Previously on Wednesday (November 6), after Trump was elected President of the United States, investors rushed to buy US Dollar, OANDA:XAUUSD plummeted to its lowest level in 3 weeks.
As sent to readers in many articles about the election of Trump, a shock decline in gold is inevitable because Trump's "steering wheel" will support the Dollar from general economic policies.
Trump's victory will boost the dollar as he is expected to propose new tariffs that could cause a spike in inflation and cause the Federal Reserve to pause its easing cycle.
Fed decision upcoming
After cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this time.
The US economic calendar today (Thursday) will focus on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision. The Fed is expected to reduce borrowing costs by 25 basis points to a range of 4.50%-4.75%.
Trump and the Fed
Trump's economic policy proposes imposing taxes, increasing the fiscal deficit, and reducing taxes. His economic advice conflicts with the Fed's anti-inflation policy. Therefore, the Fed will be forced to take a very cautious approach when loosening monetary policy.
The risk of rising inflation after Trump introduced new taxes could slow the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This is very important because Trump and the Fed are becoming opposing, it is likely that Trump will destroy all previous efforts of the Fed to curb inflation.
For more than 70 years, the Federal Reserve has operated as an independent government agency in the United States, but this tradition may soon be overturned. After declaring victory on Wednesday (November 6), Donald Trump is preparing to talk about "interest rates" after taking office in January 2025, insisting his intuition is better than the Chairman of the Reserve Federal Powell.
For more than 70 years, the US central bank has operated as an independent government agency. When officials meet to decide interest rates, they will not need to consult with the president and other elected officials. That's because, as the former Fed chairman famously said, “The job of the central bank is to get rid of the drinking bowl just as the party is getting started.”
In other words, they have to make unpopular decisions that ultimately seek to bring long-term benefits to the economy. However, once President-elect Trump returns to the White House, the independence the Fed has maintained for many years could be compromised.
Trump's statement was posted on CNN: “I think the president should at least have a say. I feel very strongly,” Trump said about the Fed's interest rate decision at a press conference in August.
Trump added: “I make a lot of money, I'm very successful and I think in many situations I have better abilities than the people at the Fed or the president.”
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
After yesterday's strong price drop, gold has all the technical conditions to decrease in price through the price channel. The fact that gold was sold below the price channel and the 21-day moving average (EMA21) caused the bullish price structure to be completely broken.
Currently, gold is recovering slightly after receiving support from the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, and once this level is further broken below, gold tends to continue to decline with a subsequent target level of around 2,600 USD around the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement area.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index continues to point downward after breaking the 50 level, which should be considered a negative signal for gold as the RSI's next target is 25. Showing that the downward momentum remains quite wide in the front.
In the near future, technically, gold has the potential to decrease in price with the price channel being the short-term trend.
As long as gold remains in the price channel and below the EMA21 level, the bearish outlook will still be prioritized, and the notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,640 – 2,645USD
Resistance: 2,668 – 2,684 – 2,697USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2708 - 2706⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2711
→Take Profit 1 2701
↨
→Take Profit 2 2696
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2637 - 2639⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2633
→Take Profit 1 2644
↨
→Take Profit 2 2649
Gold's Slide: A Deep Dive into Today’s Sharp DeclineGold prices took a steep hit today, plunging below the critical $2,700/ounce mark and trading around $2,655, shedding over 800 pips from yesterday’s levels.
This sharp decline is largely driven by the strength of the U.S. dollar and the Federal Reserve's high interest rates, which have dampened gold's appeal for investors. The rising rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, nudging capital flows toward higher-yield assets.
Forecast Should the downward trend persist, gold may test lower support levels near $2,607, following a Fibonacci retracement. Investors are advised to consider short positions while closely monitoring market fluctuations in the near term.
Resistance 2720. Support 2692. Today's market analysisGold attacked 2710 and stood on the 2700 mark again. The adjustment range is very large. The market fluctuated greatly recently, fluctuating back and forth by 70~100$, so don't chase the rise or follow the short. Pay attention to the continued high action at the end of the week. Go long first and then go short when the correction is made!
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision for gold was cut as expected, and the expectation of interest rate cut was realized. Gold is now encountering resistance and fluctuating. Today, it is mainly high and low. After the strong rebound of gold yesterday, the short trend of gold has temporarily come to an end, but the market may not reverse. It is likely to start a volatile market again.
The 1-hour moving average of gold has not turned around yet, and gold may not start to reverse for the time being. Gold seems to rebound strongly, but gold has repeatedly fallen under pressure above 2720. It continues to go short at highs below 2720 in the Asian session. Gold 2720 can be shorted first.
First support: 2692, second support: 2687, third support: 2672
First resistance: 2720, second resistance: 2736, third resistance: 2750
Trading strategy:
Trading based on resistance and support, BUY: 2691-2693. SELL: 2720-2722
Long xauusd• Current Price: As of this data, the price is around 2,705.9 USD per ounce, showing a slight decrease of 0.6 USD, or about -0.02%.
• Chart Analysis:
• A red moving average line is displayed, possibly a short or medium-term trend indicator. The price action is below this moving average, suggesting a bearish or downward trend over the period shown.
• There are red and green candlesticks representing the price movement in each hour.
• The current price (2,705.9) is marked on the right-hand side, with 2,706.5 just above it as another price level.
Calling All Pro Traders!This is the action you’ve been waiting for as it dances around critical levels!
XAUUSD Outlook:Currently in a tight range between 2692 and 2700 – a major battle unfolding here! Will it break out soon?
Keep those eyes peeled! Downside Alert:If XAUUSD slips below this key range, it could trigger a swift move lower! Targets on the radar: 2680 and 2667.
Be ready to act! Upside Potential: On the flip side, if we see a breakout above this zone, it could set the stage for an explosive rally! Next targets in sight: 2704 and 2708.
Is the bulls' momentum building? Let’s Chat! What’s your take? Will we see a breakout or a reversal? Drop your thoughts below! Together, we’re navigating one of the most exciting moments in the market! Stay sharp, stay strategic – let’s go for the win!
XAUUSD 1day MA50 and Channel bottom tested and held. Strong buy.Gold / XAUUSD hit today the 1day MA50 for the first time since August 5th 2024.
This isn't just a 3 month test of the rising supporting trend line but also a test of the bottom of the 5 month Channel Up.
The 1day RSI hit and is rebounding on its own 5 month Buy Zone.
This is a textbook buy signal on very low risk (Channel Up bottom limit).
Buy and target 2840 (+7.50% from the low, a standard bullish leg rise within this Channel Up).
Previous chart:
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GOLD → U-turn and fall... Waiting for Powell (Fed)FX:XAUUSD is forming a reversal setup with a bias for the medium and long term. The fundamental background is changing in favor of the dollar at the expense of gold, as well as changing the targets...
Trump is the new (old) president of the United States. What does that mean? Rising inflation, a rising dollar, stock market and bonds are possible, but not gold or currency markets. But because Trump's policies promise to be tough on China and Europe, gold may get additional support from investors, but not in the near term, perhaps not in the next year. What are the targets to gold going forward? 2400, 2300, 2200. 2K is not excluded.
Now all eyes are on the Fed rate meeting later on Thursday. Will they cut 0.25% or keep the rate the same? The important aspect in that case is the regulator's comments and hints (slowing down the easing cycle is not ruled out). Waiting for Powell...
Technically, gold is returning to the range, so the focus is on the internal levels and the key 0.5 fibo, from which the decline may resume
Resistance levels: 2670, 2685, 2696
Support levels: 2652 (trigger), 2637, 2624
A correction after the spill is being formed. False breakdown and subsequent consolidation below the above resistance levels will be a signal for the continuation of the fall
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great day on the charts today with our swing range doing exactly what it says on the tin. We got the big drop yesterday from the election volatility, yet our levels were still respected technically, providing the reactional bounce.
Swing range bounce gave us 2690. A close above this level will see the upper levels being retested again, keeping in mind the long range gap above on this chart idea. Failure to close above this level will see a retest on the swing range again.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Best trading opportunity before interest rate decision!Market Analysis: Gold has made a powerful comeback today, and those who followed my buy recommendations yesterday have seen substantial profits—congratulations to all VIP members! Reviewing yesterday’s price action, gold's sharp decline was primarily triggered by Trump’s election win, a bearish news factor that was quickly digested by the market. With the Fed’s rate decision looming today, gold remains in a bullish trend.
Forecast and Price Movement: Analyzing the current market setup, I anticipate a minor pullback in gold, likely toward the 2680 level. This dip is expected as the gold market prepares for a potential Fed rate cut in the next few hours. Thus, I foresee a brief drop in prices leading up to the rate announcement, followed by a significant rally post-cut.
Trading Strategy:
Aggressive Approach: Enter a short position at current levels but secure profits before the rate decision.
Conservative Approach: Wait for a pullback before the rate cut to establish a long position, capitalizing on the anticipated post-cut rally.
Summary and Recommendations: This analysis should provide a clear direction for today’s gold trading. For a detailed breakdown of this week’s trading strategies, please reach out. All VIP members will receive an exclusive, complete trading plan to maximize gains during this pivotal market phase.
XAUUSD / AFTER VOTE OF THE PRESIDENT OF THE AMRICAN / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Initial Reaction to Election Outcome, It suggests that gold prices dropped by 3.46% following Trump’s win, indicating an immediate market response likely due to investor sentiment or economic expectations associated with his presidency.
Current Trading Position, The current price is below an “ascending channel” (typically a technical pattern indicating a trend), which could signal a weakening upward trend. However, it remains within a “demand zone,” where buying interest could support prices.
Demand Zone and Support, As long as gold stabilizes above the $2,657 - $2,638 demand zone, there is a potential for prices to rise back up. This zone acts as a support level, where enough demand could prevent further declines.
Upside Target (Supply Zone), If prices hold above the demand zone, there is an expectation of an increase toward the $2,732 - $2,747 supply zone. This is seen as a resistance level where selling pressure may limit further upward movement.
Downside Risk , If a 4-hour candle closes below the demand zone, a further decline is anticipated, potentially pushing prices down to the next demand zone between $2,618 - $2,605.
Overall Trading Range , The analysis concludes with a broader price range for gold between $2,790 (upper limit) and $2,605 (lower limit). This range outlines the expected volatility in gold prices.