GOLD Analysis Post-Election: Bearish Continuation with Key LevelTechnical Analysis
As we mentioned yesterday, GOLD was expected to be bearish due to the high likelihood of Trump’s success in the election.
Now that Trump has won, GOLD has dropped by about $49 as anticipated, reaching 2712 and 2700.
Currently, we remain in a bearish trend, with the price still aiming for 2712 and potentially 2695 and 2677. A retest of up to 2739 is possible.
As long as the price trades below 2731, further declines toward 2712 and 2695 are expected.
Bearish Scenario: The price may retest 2731 before resuming its downward trend toward 2706, 2695, and 2677. Stability below 2706 reinforces the bearish outlook.
Bullish Scenario: A 4-hour candle close above 2739 would indicate a potential bullish shift, with subsequent targets at 2749 and 2758.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2731
Resistance Levels: 2739, 2749, 2758
Support Levels: 2706, 2695, 2677
Trend Outlook:
Under 2739: Downtrend
previous idea
Xauusd(w)
XAUUSD: 300+ Pips Daily 1 HR View! Dear Traders,
Price dropped from 2792 to 2733 record 600 pips, now we are looking at the price correct the fair value gap that it has created due to that massive drop. Now we are looking at the nice correction and price might reject from the 2772 area. Good luck.
Trade safe!
HelenP. I Gold will make small move up and then continue fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In the chart, we can see how the price some time traded in the support zone, which coincided with the support level and later rebounded down to the trend line. Then the price turned around and started to grow, so, soon it broke the 2525 support level and rose a little higher. After this, the price made a small correction and continued to move up, until it reached 2680 points. Then it turned around and in a short time declined to the trend line, after which rebounded and quickly rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Price broke this level, made a retest, and continued to move up to 2790 points, but when it reached it, Gold turned around and made a strong impulse down. So, after this, the price broke the trend line with the resistance level and now continues to decline. That's why I expect that XAUUSd will little grow and then continue to decline, therefore I set my goal at 2590 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
HelenP. I Gold can reach resistance level and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone and broke it, after which started to trades between this level. Later, Gold rebounded from this level and dropped to the trend line, after which started to trades inside the upward channel, where it soon reached the 2655 support level and broke it again. Also, the price made a first gap, after which continued to move up to the resistance line of the channel, and even reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. After this, Gold dropped a little and then continued to move up to the resistance level, making a second gap inside the upward channel. When the price reached the 2755 level, it broke it and rose a little more, after which turned around and dropped. Price exited from the channel and broke the trend line too, after which made a retest and now it declined. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will grow to a resistance level and then start to decline. Therefore I set my goal at 2710 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Multi-Timeframe Insights and Potential Reversal Points!OANDA:XAUUSD
Multi-Timeframe Analysis (2Hr - 4Hr)
1st - Falling Wedge (2Hr)
2nd - Head and Shoulders (4Hr)
3rd - Bearish Divergence (Daily)
4th - Extreme Overbought (Weekly)
1 - Falling Wedge Pattern (2-Hour Chart)
On the 2-hour chart, we identified a falling wedge pattern suggesting potential price movements. Initially, the price may decline from the breakout line, potentially reaching the 2724 - 2714 range. After reaching this level, we expect a bounce towards 2754 - 2762.
If the price falls from the breakout line and reaches 2714 - 2724, it’s important to closely monitor the 4/8 Murray Math Level (MML) at 2734 during the bounce, as this Major Resistance level could cause a decline.
Falling Wedge Target: 2783
However, around 2754 - 2762, prices may face resistance as the Head and Shoulders pattern completes, potentially signaling a reversal point.
2nd - Head and Shoulders Pattern (4-Hour Chart)
On the 4-hour chart, the left shoulder and head have completed, with the right shoulder partially formed. After the right shoulder completes, we anticipate a potential drop towards the neckline, which lies between 2724 - 2714. Should this level break, the Head and Shoulders pattern projects targets at 2675 and further down at 2656.
3rd - Bearish Divergence (Daily Chart)
Daily chart analysis reveals a bearish divergence, signaling a possible downside. Bearish divergences often indicate weakening momentum and could precede price declines.
4th - Extreme Overbought Zone (Weekly Chart)
On the weekly chart, prices are currently in the extreme overbought zone, which historically hints at a likely correction. Traders should watch for signs of price weakness at these elevated levels.
Key Levels to Watch;
Resistance:
• 2783
• 2773
• 2762
• 2754
Support:
• 2734
• 2724
• 2714
Price Targets;
Falling Wedge Price Targets:
• 2783, 2754, 2762
Head and Shoulders Price Targets:
• 2734, 2724, 2714, 2675, 2656
⚠️ Note: This analysis is intended for informational purposes only. Please use appropriate risk management.
Happy Trading! 🚀
BUY GOLDWe are monitoring GOLD for a big move up. Our entry is at 2671 and our targets remain at 2754 and 2900 long term as earlier projected. Our stop losses has been adjusted to 2640. Use your own risk management. Good luck. Congratulations to the new Elected President for the USA Donald Trump, markets are defiantly going to be much interesting these next 4 years.
GOLD REACHES NEW HEIGHTS AMID RISING SAFE-HAVEN DEMANDUS economic data
Positive news came from the jobless claims, which dropped to 241,000, much lower than expected and down from the revised 260,000 from the previous week. US retail sales also did better than predicted, rising by 0.4% from the month before, compared to an expected 0.3% increase. Nonetheless, positive retail sales and strong jobless claims are unlikely to alter the course of the Fed's monetary policy.
ECB rate cut
ECB cuts rates as expected and upcoming months will be crucial as the ECB evaluates economic conditions and decides on its future monetary policy approach.
US dollar index-
The US dollar index showed a minor decline due to profit booking. A break above 104 would confirm a continuation of the bullish trend.
Based on the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut in November has risen to 92.2%, up from 89.50% just a week ago.
XAU/USD : Liquidity Fills and Key Levels Amid Market VolatilityBy analyzing the #Gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we observe that yesterday, as anticipated, both targets of $2745 and $2748 were achieved, with the price even climbing to $2750. After collecting liquidity above these levels, gold experienced a sharp decline following the announcement of Donald Trump's presidency, dropping to $2701. The price quickly filled the liquidity gap and is now trading around $2724.
The key level to watch is $2740—if the price stabilizes below this, further declines toward $2717, $2700, and $2686 are likely. High market volatility persists; inexperienced traders should consider observing the market until it stabilizes. This analysis will be updated soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD SHORT TO $2,540 (1H UPDATE)Well done to everyone who watched my Elliott Wave update on Gold above & took sell positions alongside me🙌
Wave 5 completed. We saw an original impulse sell off (Wave 1), followed by a flat Wave 2 correction & now the main wave (Wave 3), which according to the Elliott Wave Theory is normally the strongest wave. Further downside expected.
GOLD SHORT OVERVIEW (4H UPDATE)Gold prices are absolutely plummeting, created by the volatility from Donald Trump winning! But if you've been following my analysis then you'd know this had nothing to do with fundamentals, it was pure technicals.
Learn to read market structure & you can read the future!
XAUUSD / UNDER CHOICE PRESIDENT AMRICAN / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Market Influence of Election Results:
The text suggests that if Donald Trump wins the election, it could impact the financial markets by increasing the price of gold and decreasing the value of the dollar. This reflects the common market reaction where political uncertainty or risk can lead to a “flight to safety” in assets like gold.
Current Gold Price Levels:
• The current price range mentioned is between $2,728 and $2,709. This is described as a support or stabilization zone, where prices are attempting to maintain a level above $2,709.
• If the price stabilizes above this range, there’s an expectation that gold could continue to rise, aiming for a “Fair Value Gap” (FVG) between $2,756 and $2,772. Above this FVG, there is a “supply zone” where upward momentum might slow or reverse due to selling pressure.
Downward Scenario:
• If the gold price falls below $2,709, it suggests a possible decline toward the “demand zone” between $2,688 and $2,672. A demand zone indicates a level where buyers might come in, potentially stopping or reversing the price decline.
Overall Trend:
• The text concludes that gold is trading under upward pressure, meaning that current market sentiment is biased toward price increases. This could be influenced by factors like inflation concerns, economic instability, or political uncertainties tied to the election.
The Best Level to Short EURUSD TP +120/+240 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the 6hour chart for EURUSD today. As expected previously we are getting a normal bounce off the fresh demand zone
at 0800 currently closing on heavy overhead mirror s/r resistance.
🔸This setup falls in-line with my strategic outlook for EURUSD
which is targeting 0500, review via link:
🔸Key mirror S/R detected at 0925/0945, most likely further upside
is very limited in EURUSD so expecting fresh sell-side pressure and
reversal from the key s/r zone. Bears will target fresh demand zone
near 0700.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders: focus on short selling high near 0925/0945 price cluster SL fixed at 40 pips TP1 +120 pips TP2 +240 pips final exit at 0700. Expecting rejection from overhead resistance and re-test of the mirror S/R level at 0700. good luck traders!
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
XAUUSDXAUUSD price is in the correction phase. Now the price is near the support zone 2689-2675. If the price cannot break through the 2675 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone. (Very Risky Trade)
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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XAUUSD SELLAmid the uncertainties surrounding the US presidential election and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, gold is finding support. With attention shifting to key US economic data, gold is nearing the 1-hour supply zone, where we may look for selling opportunities toward the lows.
GOLD SELL AFTER REACHING THE 1H SUPPLY ZONE
XAUUSD - Will Trump cause gold to fall?If gold reaches the bottom of the descending channel, which is also in response to the demand zone, we can look for gold buying positions.
Donald Trump won in Wisconsin and got 10 electoral votes, and Trump's total electoral votes reached 277 electoral votes. In this way, Donald Trump became the 47th president of the United States.
The rise in long-term interest rates and the broad sell-off across the Treasury yield curve reflect public expectations for an inflationary mix of domestic (fiscal and immigration) and foreign (tariffs) policies from Trump.
Also, we see movements in short-term US dollar swap rates related to the hawkish revision of Fed interest rate expectations. In line with forecasts and public expectation, markets still expect the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% tomorrow.
Xauusd buy confirm signal Gold extends it daily slide to the $2,700 area as markets reacted to Donald Trump's victory in the presidential election. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield rises more than 4% on the day, forcing XAU/USD to stretch lower.
Gold now buy 2706
Support 2720
Support 2730
What will happen to gold after the U.S. election?After Trump was elected in the U.S. election, gold went through a wave of decline. It once retreated to around $2,702, and then moved back to the 2,732 position. It fell as fast as it rose!
Gold rebounded after retreating to 2701. Pay attention to the pressure positions of 2734 and 2745.
GOLD: Market Sentiment & Forecast
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the GOLD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Trump Reclaims US Presidency6th November President Trump!!!
DXY: Further strength expected to 105.45, could retrace briefly, needs to stay above 104.80. (beyond 105.45 could reach 106)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5935 SL 20 TP 75 (hesitation at 0.5895)
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6560 SL 25 TP 80
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2810 SL 30 TP 60
EURUSD: Sell 1.0765 SL 25 TP 90
USDJPY: Buy 154.40 SL 45 TP 90
USDCHF: Buy 0.8710 SL 20 TP 40
USDCAD: Sell 1.39 SL 30 TP 70
Gold: Looking for reaction at 2733, beyond that could trade up to 2760
Gold’s Next Big Move: Election Night’s Hidden Chart Signals!Chart Analysis Summary
In both charts, we see a prominent ascending channel on a higher time frame (HTF), suggesting an overall bullish structure initially. However, there are signs of potential reversals, especially around critical levels where price fails to break higher and instead forms correctional structures. The ascending channel shown aligns with The Rule of Three, as it often precedes reversals after the third touch due to exhaustion in the trend.
Reversal Signal: Double Top with Bearish Flag
The first chart illustrates a double top pattern within the broader ascending channel, a common reversal signal. This pattern suggests a weakening bullish momentum, aligning with a probable corrective phase. Following the double top, we observe a bearish flag or descending channel, indicating that the price may continue downward after a break. This aligns with Patterns within Patterns, where a smaller bearish flag within a larger corrective structure increases the probability of a downside move.
Bull Flag Structure and Liquidity Zone Testing
The second chart labels a large bull flag on the higher time frame (4H) near a liquidity zone. The corrective phase within this flag aligns with the market psychology of retracement after an impulsive move. Multi-Touch Confirmation indicates that these structures gain credibility with multiple touches on key support/resistance lines, making the upcoming third touch a critical point for deciding the direction.
Potential Entry and Exit Scenarios
Based on Entry Types from your strategy:
High-Probability Entry: Enter on a break of the corrective structure (such as the bear flag or descending channel) following multiple touches. Place a stop loss above the recent high if you’re anticipating a downside continuation, using a reduced-risk entry if you see low-momentum candles and ascending channels close to the top.
Wait for Confirmation: Given the corrective nature, it might be safer to wait for a confirmed breakout rather than entering at the top without solid confirmation. Back-tested data often shows better results when entries are taken after the third touch or initial pullback post-breakout.
Confluence of Multi-Touch and Patterns
The multi-touch confirmation method supports the idea of a third touch before a potential breakout or breakdown. Additionally, patterns within patterns enhance reliability, as seen with ascending or descending channels within larger structures, suggesting the market’s next probable moves more accurately.
Strategy Application:
Assess the Momentum: Enter on the first pullback (flag formation) after a significant breakout if momentum is strong. For a conservative approach, watch for a third touch on the boundary of the corrective channel.
Risk Management: As part of your trading plan, place stops conservatively to avoid getting caught in corrective waves, as tight stops near liquidity zones may result in unnecessary stop-outs.
Psychological Preparation: Avoid the perfectionist trap; if the confluence signals are strong but not perfect, following the 80/20 rule may be more beneficial than waiting for ideal entries, as markets rarely align perfectly with expectations.