Xauusd(w)
XAUUSD - Gold Awaiting US ElectionsGold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe.
In today's analysis, I have drawn trade scenarios for you based on various confirmations
In each circle we look for one-hour timeframe candles to confirm the expected trend.
After a grueling and controversial campaign season, the US election will be held this week. Although many experts believe a clear winner is unlikely to be announced on Wednesday, much of the uncertainty surrounding the US political landscape is expected to ease next week, which may not bode well for gold.
This precious metal had significant momentum last month due to the election fluctuations. Market analysts pointed out that the improvement of former US President Donald Trump's chances of victory and the creation of a potential "red wave" (a Republican victory) in Congress raised concerns about the continued unabated increase in government spending. In recent weeks, that fear has extended to either party's control of the White House and both houses of Congress.
However, there is a famous saying in the financial markets for times like this: "Buy the rumor and sell the news."
Last week, gold prices hit an all-time high above $2,800 an ounce as investors weighed in on rumors surrounding the US election.
Dennis Gartman, a noted commodity investor, said he has become more cautious about gold as it draws more attention from investors. However, he added that despite any near-term weakness, gold's long-term fundamentals are well supportive of prices.
"The main trend is still bullish," he said.
Aside from the geopolitical turmoil created by this election cycle, gold remains well-supported by the sluggish US economy and labor market.
In October, the US economy added just 12,000 jobs, well below expectations for 100,000 jobs. Some of the weakness can be attributed to fluctuations caused by cyclone devastation in southern states. However, looking beyond this volatility, sharp downward revisions in August and September suggest that the labor market is cooling.
At the same time, this week we also saw that inflation is continuously increasing. The main measure of personal consumption expenditures, the U.S. central bank's preferred measure of inflation, showed that consumer prices held steady at 2.7% over the past three months.
The Fed is stuck and will continue to cut interest rates as the labor market weakens. While interest rate cuts may not be as aggressive as they would like, higher inflation means lower real interest rates, which will hurt the US dollar and support gold prices.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1H chart idea already playing out.
We started the week with a gap above at 2751 and a gap below at 2733. We stated that we will see price lay between these two levels and a cross and lock on either levels will confirm the next range.
We got the bearish target at 2733 hit, which gave us the perfect bounce inline with our plans to buy dips. The full gap remains open and therefore we will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2751
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2751 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2768
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2782
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2782 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2799
BEARISH TARGETS
2733 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2733 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2717
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2717 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2705 - 2692
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD: 4/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2800, support below 2716
Four-hour resistance 2800, support below 2762-16
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday night, under the influence of a small positive, non-agricultural data quickly reached the 2762 mark and was suppressed and fell back and fluctuated downward, closing below the previous low.
From the current 4-hour technical perspective, today's upper resistance is around 2758-63. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to look down and fall. The short-term support below is around 2722-2728. The daily level support is 2716. The strong unilateral bulls have come to an end temporarily. Today, the long and short range oscillation trading is maintained, and the key points are patiently waiting for entry. After all, before the US election, the market is viewed as a range fluctuation, and the focus is on the US election tomorrow!
BUY:2717near SL:2714
BUY:2727near SL:2724
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
XAUUSD 2738 +0.08% SHORT IDEA PRICE ACTION MULTI TF ANALYSIS HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at GOLD from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
GOLD DAILY TF
* Still in a strong bullish momentum, with Friday coming with some signs of bearish sentiment.
* The weekly & daily TF show signs of bullish continuation on Gold.
* As Gold took internal range LQ, looking for that external range LQ to be taken.
* Friday closed leaving a FVG- This is where I would be looking for long entries.
* With PO3 looking to open bullish to confirm a move lower on GOLD.
GOLD 4H TF
* Looking for the week to open bullish because our HTF BIAS is BULLISH (PO3) .
* WEEK open I will probably be looking for short positions before looking long.
* We will see what does the market dish.
* On the hourly ERL > IRL.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,BOOST & LETS TAKES SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
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SMASH THAT SOPPORT BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Seize the opportunity and welcome Super WeekMarket Analysis: No need for lengthy discussions; the best strategy in the current market is to initiate long positions in gold at lower levels. With the U.S. elections and Federal Reserve decisions approaching, the gold market remains bullish. Recent rumors of Iranian retaliation against Israel, coupled with disappointing employment reports, suggest the Fed may lower interest rates, all of which will likely drive gold prices higher.
Technical Analysis: Gold has retraced to the strong support level of 2733-2735. This area represents a robust support zone from the past few days. In the absence of bearish news, it is unlikely that this support will be broken. Thus, our trading strategy this week will pivot from last week’s approach, focusing on going long at lower levels.
Today’s Trading Strategy:
Entry Strategy: Go long on gold near the support level
Take-Profit Target: 2748-2750
Stop-Loss: 2718-2720
Conclusion and Recommendations: This week marks a super week for the month, with numerous major events and data set to impact market trends. How should you navigate these trading conditions? What will the market trend look like? After reviewing my analysis, you’ll have a clearer sense of direction. For specific trading strategies, please reach out to me, and I’ll share the comprehensive trading plan for the week with all my VIP members.
Short gold, TP: 2730-2725Gold may still fall back and test the support of 2725 area again
At present, gold maintains a volatile market as a whole. Although gold has failed to fall below 2730 several times, it is still in a rebound structure at the short-term level. But it is still relatively weak at present, and the rebound strength is not strong, so the continuity of gold rebound remains to be seen.
At present, it is still suppressed by the trend in the short term, so gold may still fall back to around 2725, so I do not recommend aggressively chasing long gold for the time being, and you can still seize the appropriate opportunity to short gold.
XAUUSD: Can Gold Return to 2780?On Friday, gold prices experienced a slight decline, mainly under the pressure of a stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields. However, weaker-than-expected U.S. job growth fueled market speculation for a Fed rate cut, cushioning gold’s decline.
In October, due to hurricane disruptions and an aerospace industry strike, U.S. nonfarm payrolls saw a modest gain of just 12,000 jobs, marking the smallest increase since December 2020. Although the dollar initially retreated, it closed up 0.4%, and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rebounded from early losses, diminishing the appeal of non-yielding gold.
Gold prices returned to the support zone, aligning with prior predictions. Current chart patterns suggest a potential “W” bottom, signaling bullish prospects, with short-term indicators pointing to a likely upward move. However, a mid-term bottom pattern has yet to form, and bulls should watch for resistance around 2750 in Monday’s trading, as a retest of support remains possible.
With the U.S. election approaching and reports of a potential retaliatory move by Iran against Israel, multiple uncertainties hover over the market. Coupled with a lackluster jobs report, many analysts now see a near 100% probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut next week.
While rate cut expectations might bolster gold bulls, this scenario could already be priced in, meaning gold prices may potentially drop in response to the rate decision. Ahead of this, the U.S. election on Tuesday and initial jobless claims on Thursday will be key factors influencing gold.
In summary, a turbulent week lies ahead for gold, with investors encouraged to remain vigilant and approach trades with caution.
The price of gold currently fluctuates mainly in a rangeThe overall operating rhythm of gold is range-bound. It fell for two consecutive trading days last week. Although there was a retracement today, it continued to support the low of 2732.
The bottom of gold continues to rely on the position near 2730, which has been supported many times in the early stage. The resistance above focuses on the 2745, 2755 and 2760 first-line suppression. If it encounters resistance, it will lighten up its positions and continue to see range fluctuations.
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
GOLD LONG ENTRYAnother Gold Entry Can Be SEEN Here STOPLOSS Below Swing Low.
Execute the price at the exact price mentioned, NO FOMO.
💡KEEP IN MIND💡
I am not a financial advisor and do not contribute to any of your losses or profits. To be safe, I recommend that you risk only 0.1 - 0.2% for the first week or 10 days, as no one can predict the market.
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XAUUSD Analysis | Upcoming Election...GOLD recently bounced off the key resistance zone whilst creating all time highs for the last 2 weeks before slowing down before the next quarter phase of $2,800 where we saw a pivot correction into what could be a inner descending channel of the overall long term bull trend.
As price approaches a key support level which is met by several confirmations such as the EMA, Dynamic Trend, Lower BB + Latter half of this quarter phase we could see a short term pullback to test that newly created resistance and create a lower high inside the inner channel before descending to fulfil price at these confirmation levels of $2,700 and a suitable long entry point for the long term trend following the correct validations.
In previous times following elections the precious metal has had corrections from its price which would increase the probability of this idea but it is still important to be patient and make sure to wait for suitable confirmations to unfold before looking at entries due to the volatility that will occur primarily watching price action to gain better insight into the market movements.
If you like this analysis feel free to drop a like and comment your ideas about the upcoming direction of gold below :)
GOLD /Bearish Momentum StrengthensTechnical Analysis
The price has declined and stabilized within a bearish zone after breaking a strong support level at 2,758.
Today, it's possible to see a retest around 2749, followed by a potential bearish trend toward 2712.
Bearish Scenario: The price appears set to retest 2749 before resuming a bearish trend toward 2721 and 2,712.
Bullish Scenario: Alternatively, a 4-hour candle close above 2,758 would signal a potential bullish move, with targets at 2,775 and 2,788.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2745
Resistance Levels: 2758, 2764, 2775
Support Levels: 2731, 2712, 2695
Trend Outlook:
Above 2758: Uptrend
Under 2758: Downtrend
previous idea:
XAUUSD GoldXAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves, " A " Corrective Waves and making its " B " Corrective Wave in a Consolidation in Short Time Frame. Strong Bullish Divergence in RSI. Need to wait until it Breaks and Retest its Extreme Point of Interest ( POI ) and Complete its Order Block
XAUUSD Long term selling can start as early as now. Target 2550.Almost 3 months ago (August 19, see chart below) we gave a bullish medium-term signal on Gold (XAUUSD) that almost hit our 2800 Target last week:
We are high enough to take profits as the target was missed by just 10 points. On top of that, the price is very close to what we consider the absolute top potential of this pattern (Fibonacci level 1.0 at 2900), so from a R/R perspective the return isn't worth the risk.
In addition the 1W RSI is deeply overbought (above 80.00), which is always a bearish sign, even on the medium-term. But this exact 1W RSI overbought (Double) Top, was seen on the August 03 2020 High, which was the Top of the previous Cycle.
As you can see this cyclical pattern frequency holds since 2016 and based on the last Cycle alone, we can sell and initially target the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 2550. On the longer term, we can expect a bottom on this sequence closer to the 0.618 Fib (Target 2 at 2350).
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XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Market Movement:
• Prices initially dropped to a buy zone at around $2,728, where a buying opportunity was identified.
• After reaching this zone, the price increased, securing a profit of 145 pips.
Price Retesting and Stabilizing:
• The price is currently retesting the $2,728 level.
• If the price stabilizes above this level, it indicates potential upward momentum.
Upward Targets:
• If prices hold above $2,728, the next target range is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $2,756 and $2,772. This gap suggests potential for further gains if it’s reached and surpassed.
Demand zone and Downward Risks:
• If prices break below $2,728, they may fall to $2,710.
• Should prices decline below $2,710, further drops are expected, with a potential support or “demand zone” between $2,688 and $2,672.
Overall Market Sentiment:
• Despite potential downward corrections, the market remains under bullish pressure, indicating that the primary trend remains upward for now.
GOLD W Closure Very Bearish , Easy Short Setup To Get 500 PipsThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.